Renewable Raw Materials Group, Brussels, 02/04/2014

“Study on the wood raw material supply and demand for the EU wood-processing industries”

Jeremy Wall

European Commission, DG Enterprise and Industry

Unit-F3 «Raw Materials, Metals, Minerals and Forest-based Industries»

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• F-BI scope wider: woodworking; furniture; pulp & paper; printing

• Forest-based Industries Advisory Committee ad-hoc Working Group (European industry representatives + member-state observers + experts): five meetings throughout 2012(NB wood study in parallel)

• Review of the challenges and actions in the 2008 EU Sectoral Strategy and in-depth discussion of new challenges arising since and possible areas for remedial actions (NB total of 12 challenges)

• Basis for DG ENTR’s "Blueprint for the EU forest-based industries" (SWD(2013)343) - input to Commission’s 2013 sectoral package, including the Commission Communication on "a new EU Forest Strategy: for forests and forest-based sector" (COM(2013)659) (See section 3.3.2)

EU Forest-based Industries (F-BI) Strategy 2014-20

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1. Stimulating growth2&3. EU resource & energy efficiency objectives4. Raw materials, their sources and their flows5. Logistics (wood harvesting, infrastructures & transport)6. Structural adaptation7. Innovation & RTD8. Education, training & skills, including shortages; ageing workforce9. Coherence of EU legislation and costs arising10. Implementation of EU climate policy, including beyond 202011. International competition, trade and co-operation12. Information, communications and image

2013 EU Strategy: Challenges facing the F-BI:

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• Resource & energy efficiency:• Promote cascading use of wood • Follow-up of EU Waste Framework Directive review (targets)• Catalogue and good practice guidance on resource- & energy-

efficient measures for wood-processing, esp. for SMEs

• Raw materials supply and logistics:• Implementing the actions of the European Innovation Partnership

on Raw Materials• Increased sustainable wood mobilisation, including facilitate

transport within and outside forests• Vigilance on recovered paper and roundwood exports

• Coherence of EU legislation and costs arising

NB initiatives for CCA (cumulative cost assessment) cascade & mobilisation under European Innovation Partnesrship for Raw Materials

2013 EU Strategy: selected activities

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Main study objectives:•to evaluate the respective wood raw material (wood, recovered wood, recovered paper) supply and demand situations for the EU wood-processing industries (woodworking; furniture; pulp & paper) and biomass-based bio-energy sector for the recent past (2001-2010), present (2011) and future (2016) •to identify the inter-actions between these sectors in the context of the prevailing EU and member-state policy and legislative frameworks;•to analyse the present and future competitiveness (quantitative; qualitative) of EU wood-processing industries vis-à-vis competitors in five global regions; •to assess the scope to increase wood raw material supply from domestic (EU) sources, international sources, as well as to increase the efficiency of wood uses.

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Main conclusions - quantitative:•the EU annual wood harvest should grow from 436 to 454 Mm³ by 2016, but further increase will be constrained by less than 75% of the forest area being legally available and owners’ limitations on the rest; •by 2016 a 63 M m³ wood raw material supply shortfall will exist for bio-energy. This equates to 16 % of the roundwood going to wood-processing or 9.6 % of their total wood raw material supplies. Without EU and MS remedial measures, imports of wood, e.g. pellets from N. America, Russia et al. will increase significantly;•the EU “cascade factor” (multiplier of wood re-use) rose from 1.96 in 2000 to 2.07 in 2011 and 2.10 is projected in 2016. However, the factor varies regionally and, if forest residues are included, their increased use for bio-energy reduces the factor to 1.88 in 2011 and 1.83 by 2016, against the trend needed to meet biomass demand from the emerging bio-economy;

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Main conclusions - qualitative:•widespread purpose-grown energy-wood plantations are unlikely, given resistance from agriculture;•whereas bio-energy can be produced from combusting any species, shape, size or form of wood, the manufacture of wood-based products depends on specific varieties, qualities, dimensions and quantities of wood. Thus, not all wood types are mutually substitutable; sawmills for example can only use large-dimensioned rondwood (sawlogs);•EU sawmilling is a pump of the wood “cascade” on which other processors and bio-energy depend for wood. EU sawmilling and hence other wood processing are shrinking, given the world’s highest wood, energy and labour costs, exacerbated by sawlog exports. However, EU wood-processing can remain globally competitive by retaining leadership in labour productivity; •a decline in the quality of EU recovered paper is likely, due to decreased EU high-grade pulp manufacture, following less use of graphic papers, and non-standardised recovery and sorting.

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Main recommendations•Supply side: domestic EU wood supply can be addressed through: better motivation and organisation of the owners of small private forests; a wider use of forest residues and wood from outside the forest; more recovery and use of used wood, using standards and legislation; •better forest and public infrastructures are needed to bring more wood to market more efficiently and cheaply; market transparency should be increased through better information;•improve recovered paper quality, using separate collection streams and international standards. Consider waste legislation and/or trade measures to control its export and also of sawlogs;•demand side: encouraging sustainable building at EU and MS levels could improve markets for wooden building products, e.g. sawnwood, which comply with the Construction Products Regulation and are price-competitive. Public housing procurement could also offer scope; •Bio-energy generation from (woody) biomass and its use must be efficient, to reduce pressure on wood supplies and prices. Combined heat and power (CHP) should be prioritised.

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DG ENTR study (Indufor Oy.)

Forest-based sector: region types

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Furnitur

e

Pape

Drivers

Consumption

Net trade

Consumption

Production

Consumption

Production

Net trade

Wood pulp & recovered paper

Roundwood & other wood biomass

Sawnwood and wood-based panels

Drivers

Consumption

Production

Net trade

Production

Net trade

Net trade

Industrial residues/ by- products

Forest residues

Other uses Disposal

Drivers Drivers

Consumption

Production

Net trade

Drivers

Bioenergy

Recovered wood

Recovered paper

collection

Recovered paper

utilisation

PrintingFurniture

EU-wood-processing and sector & bio-energy sectors

Paper & paperboard

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11

Raw material types

Sawn-wood

Plywood Pulp, Paper & Board

Oriented Strand Board(OSB)

Particle Board

Medium Density

Fibreboard (MDF)

Pellets CHPCombined Heat and

Power

wood

Pulpwood

Sawlogs

Forest residues

industrialResidues

Bark

Chips

Sawdust

recycled Material

Recovered paper

Recovered wood

Strong usage RAW MATERIAL SOURCES FOR VARIOUS END USES

Medium usage

Low usage NB: WOOD PRODUCTS’ RAW MATERIALS ARE FURTHER LIMITED BY SPECIES, QUALITY

No usage AND DIMENSIONS BUT BIO-ENERGY CAN USE ALL WOOD SOURCES

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Inter-relationships: solid wood products Roundwood dominates throughout the EU region. Use of industrial residues between 20-25% in countries with significant reconstituted panel industries.

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Inter-relations – Pulp and PaperRecovered paper to increase its dominant share in raw material use over roundwood. Industrial residues have a role in countries with significant sawmill industry.

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Inter-relations – BioenergyRoundwood to retain its importance and forest residues to increase strongly. However, significant differences among Member States.

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Inter-relations – Raw Material by TypeRoundwood clearly the most used material type, followed by recovered paper and industrial residues. Use of roundwood and forest residues to increase the most.

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Changes to 2016: Pulp and Paper and wood products to remain relatively unchanged whereas bioenergy to increase significantly. In addition, energy related raw material gap expected in 2016.

Total Raw Material Use in EU-27

Change in Raw Material Use in EU-27

Mm3 (RWE) Mm3 (RWE)

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Competitiveness – Cost StructureIn the wood-working industry, as well as in bioenergy,

Examples of cost structures in different wood-processing sectors: wood price is a key issue, especially for sawmilling

Note: Cost structure of the average European producer

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Competitiveness – Raw Material

Sawmilling is a driving force for harvesting EU wood and thus wood supply to other EU wood-processing industries and the bio-energy sector. However, its highest price is in the EU.But EU sawlogs are also exported to low-cost competitors – including potential residues.

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DG ENTR study (Indufor Oy.)

Forest-based sector: region types

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Cascade factors for EU wood use (2000-2016):2000 2005 2010 2016

Simple cascade 1.96 1.99 2.07 2.10factor (roundwood only)

Total cascade 1.85 1.86 1.88 1.83 (roundwood +forest residues)

Regions A B CSimple 1.73 2.29 3.08Total 1.58 2.06 2.81

NB cascade factor is the ratio of total new wood material (e.g. roundwood) input to (wood products + pulp & paper+ bio-energy) to their total wood raw material inputs (roundwood equivalents). This cascade factor is thus a multiple of the extent to which residues from sawmilling (1st process) et al. are re-used as inputs in other processes along the value chain as a whole.

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Section 3.1 of the new EU Forest Strategy,footnote 9:

"Under the cascade principle, wood is used in the following order of priorities: wood-based products, extending their service life, re-use, recycling, bio-energy and disposal."

Section 3.3.2 (text box):"……develop good-practice guidance for…..the cascade principle…"

New EU Forest Strategy (September 2013)

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1.Definition of cascade (inputs only? Outputs? What to optimise? (Raw-material efficiency? Energy efficiency? Added value? Jobs? Carbon?)2. general principle or mandatory instrument?3. what about free-market principle?4. regulated wood biomass markets?5. compensation for sub-optimal financial options?6. regional variations7. who will decide? EU? MS? Regions? Localities?8. logistics?

Cascade: some issues to consider:

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Thank you! Merci! Danke!

http://ec.europa.eu/enterprise/forest_based/index_en.html

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Context

More information:Forest-based Industries:: New functional mail-box: entr-f-i@ec.europa.euF-BI web-site: http://ec.europa.eu/enterprise/sectors/wood-paper-printing/index_en.htm

(NB Indufor study)

EU “Raw Materials Initiative” web-page:http://ec.europa.eu/enterprise/non_energy_extractive_industries/raw_materials.htm

European Innovation Partnership Raw Materials:http://ec.europa.eu/enterprise/policies/raw-materials/innovation-partnership/index_en.htm

Horizon 2020:http://ec.europa.eu/research/horizon2020