jeremy stanley - the rise of the data scientist -collective

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Jeremy Stanley, Chief Technology Officer, Collective His presentation at the first Data Summit in NYC. More information: http://datasummit.aaaa.org/

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Page 1: Jeremy Stanley - The Rise of the Data Scientist -Collective

col lective | t h e a u d i e n c e e n g i n e ®

The Rise of the Data Scientist

10/15/13

Page 2: Jeremy Stanley - The Rise of the Data Scientist -Collective

1. CHALLENGES FACING MARKETERS

2. THE RISE OF THE DATA SCIENTIST

3. BUILDING A DATA SCIENCES TEAM

Overview

Page 3: Jeremy Stanley - The Rise of the Data Scientist -Collective

Top Challenges Facing Marketers

Source: IBM CMO C-Suite Series, “From Stretched to Strengthened”

Data explosion

Social media

Growth of channel and device choices

Shifting consumer demographics

Financial constraints

Decreasing brand loyalty

71%

68%

65%

63%

59%

57%

DATA SCIENCE IS CRITICAL TO ADDRESSING THESE

Page 4: Jeremy Stanley - The Rise of the Data Scientist -Collective

Source: IDC, “The Digital Universe”

DataExplosion

VOLUMEExponential growth

VERACITYVarying data quality

VARIETYDiversity of sources

VELOCITYMillisecond decisions

YOU ARE HERE

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

40,000

30,000

20,000

10,000

THE DIGITAL UNIVERSE: 50-fold Growth from the beginning of 2010-2020

EXABYTES

Page 5: Jeremy Stanley - The Rise of the Data Scientist -Collective

DataExplosion

VOLUMEExponential growth

VERACITYVarying data quality

VARIETYDiversity of sources

VELOCITYMillisecond decisions

AUDIENCE(Who)

PLACEMENT(Where)

TIME(When)

CREATIVE(What)

Page 6: Jeremy Stanley - The Rise of the Data Scientist -Collective

1 Second(1,000 ms)

Elapsed Time

DE

VIC

E

DataExplosion

VOLUMEExponential growth

VERACITYVarying data quality

VARIETYDiversity of sources

VELOCITYMillisecond decisions

EXCHANGEPUBLISHE

R AD SERVER

Real Time Bidding

ADVERTISER AD SERVER

CREATIVE CDN

Serve Ad(200 ms)

Decide

Bid(50 ms)

Page 7: Jeremy Stanley - The Rise of the Data Scientist -Collective

Source: Collective

DataExplosion

VOLUMEExponential growth

VERACITYVarying data quality

VARIETYDiversity of sources

VELOCITYMillisecond decisions

PROVIDER #3

Age 20-25

Age 65-70

PROVIDER #1

PROVIDER #2

Age 65-70

Age 20-25

Age 65-70

Age 20-25

Page 8: Jeremy Stanley - The Rise of the Data Scientist -Collective

Growth of Channel & Device choices

Unified view of the

consumer? Choreographed

experiences? Consistent measurement?

DAYTIME LATE NIGHTPRIME TIMEEARLY FRINGEEARLY MORNING

Page 9: Jeremy Stanley - The Rise of the Data Scientist -Collective

RiseOf the Data Scientist

Page 10: Jeremy Stanley - The Rise of the Data Scientist -Collective

Data Scientist

Chief Marketing Officer

20132011 2012201020092007 200820062005

Source: Google Trends

Population Growth

Page 11: Jeremy Stanley - The Rise of the Data Scientist -Collective

Algorithms

Data

Data Scientist

Computers

Models

Predictions

Purpose

Visualizations

Insights

Page 12: Jeremy Stanley - The Rise of the Data Scientist -Collective

Evolutionary Tree

Data Scientist

Business Analytics

Business Intelligence

Domain Expert

Detective

Historian

Reporting

Visualization

Machine Learning

Data Mining Statistics

Science

Mathematics

Optimization

Artificial Intel.

Data Hacker

Computer Programmer

Data Developer

Data Admin.

Data Capture

Logician

Engineer

Page 13: Jeremy Stanley - The Rise of the Data Scientist -Collective

Source: Google Trends, Data Science Central, “Data Scientist Demographics”

NEW YORK

LONDON

BANGALORE

MOSCOW

SAN FRANSISCO

Demographics

<18

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

50

100

150

0

AVERAGE AGE INDEXEDUCATION INDEX

NO COLLEGE

100

200

300

0COLLEGE GRAD SCHOOL

MALE vs. FEMALEINDEX

158

46

Page 14: Jeremy Stanley - The Rise of the Data Scientist -Collective

OPERATING SYSTEM

LINUX

Windows

MODERN LEGACY

Tool Usage

Open source

Community supported

State of the art

Steeper learning curve

MODERN TOOLS

DATA MANAGEMENT

HADOOP

Oracle

SASDATA ANALYSIS

R

VISUALIZATION TECHNOLOGY

GGPLOT Excel

Page 15: Jeremy Stanley - The Rise of the Data Scientist -Collective

Source: Wikipedia, “List of biases in judgment and decision making”

Critical Weaknesses

CONFIRMATIONSeeking what you believe

SAMPLE SIZEMistaking noise for real patterns

INFORMATIONSometimes, data is useless

SELECTIONIgnoring how the data was collected

NORMALCYIgnoring the ‘black swan’ possibility

Page 16: Jeremy Stanley - The Rise of the Data Scientist -Collective

Building a Data Science team

Page 17: Jeremy Stanley - The Rise of the Data Scientist -Collective

Where to put them

Chief Technology Officer

Data Sciences

Engineering & Operations

TECHNOLOGY

Product Management

PRO Tight integration into platforms

CON Weak business unit connections

PRO Connection to applications

Marketing Operations

Chief Marketing Officer

Data Sciences

Marketing Strategy

FUNCTIONAL

CON Limited scope and potential for bias

Chief Data Officer

Data Sciences

Data Management

DIVISIONAL

CON Data must be a top 3 board priority

PRO Focus &Sponsorship

Data Governance

Page 18: Jeremy Stanley - The Rise of the Data Scientist -Collective

ROCK STARPRINCIPALJUNIOR SENIOR

50%

Requiresclose supervision

Transformational Impact

Driven & accomplished

Must be mentored

35% 14% 1%

COMP

POPULATION %

ABILITY

CAT ANALOGY:

Levels of experience

Page 19: Jeremy Stanley - The Rise of the Data Scientist -Collective

Where they Congregate

EVENTS:

ONLINE:

Page 20: Jeremy Stanley - The Rise of the Data Scientist -Collective

Defining Success

INSIGHTSInfluencing big decisions

TRANSFORMATIONALNew products or strategies

ALGORITHMSAutomating micro decisions

OPERATING CHANGESRedesigned processes & technology

Page 21: Jeremy Stanley - The Rise of the Data Scientist -Collective

CONTACT: [email protected]

Thank You!

Page 22: Jeremy Stanley - The Rise of the Data Scientist -Collective