j.c. penney: remodeling project
DESCRIPTION
J.C. Penney: Remodeling project. Uranbileg Enkhtuvshin – Roy Ju Emily Kessler – Jaclyn Ivanisevic. Agenda. Recommendation Capital Budget Analysis Value Factors Analysis New Strategy Critique Conclusion. Recommendation. JCP overvalued with poor outlook - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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2016 Brooks Case Competition
Michael Schwalen, Eric Lanning, Nick Briscoe, &
Kirk Petrowitz
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Outline
• Executive Summary• Industry Outlook
• Likelihood of 50% price change• Traditional drilling vs. horizontal fracking• Saudi’s goal: Myth?
• Firm Analysis & Investment Decision• Impact of crude oil• Strategies• Investment attractiveness
• Conclusion
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Industry Outlook – Price Change
• Supply• OPEC – High production• Iran – Sanctions• Market share focus
• Demand• China• Oil reserve storage
• Cost
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Industry Outlook – Drilling vs. Fracking
• Traditional Drilling• Smaller Firms• Larger Firm• Sovereign States
• Horizontal Fracking• Smaller Firms• Larger Firms
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Industry Outlook – Saudi Arabia
• Falling oil prices• Increase in production
• Decrease in oil rigs• U.S. countermeasures
• Ability to cut costs
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Firm Analysis (ConocoPhillips)
• Revenue Mix:• Crude Oil (45%)• Natural Gas (39%)• Natural Gas Liquid (4%)• Other Sources (11%)
• Shift from natural gas to crude oil
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Firm Analysis (Antero Resources)
• Revenue Mix:• Natural Gas (48%)• Natural Gas Liquids (12%)• Commodity Derivatives (32%)
• Shift from natural gas to natural gas liquids
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Strategy Analysis
• ConocoPhillips• Shift from natural gas to oil• Reduction of labor• Increased focus on core business strategy
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Strategy Analysis
• Antero Resources• Financial Hedging
• Fixing product volume• Transportation commitments
• Fixing price• Over time• Locations
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Financial Analysis
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Financial Analysis
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Financial Analysis
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Conclusion
• Antero• Buy
• ConocoPhillips• Hold
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Recap• Executive Summary• Industry Outlook
• Likelihood of 50% price change• Traditional drilling vs. horizontal fracking• Saudi’s goal: Myth?
• Firm Analysis & Investment Decision• Impact of crude oil• Strategies• Investment attractiveness
• Conclusion