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Japanese Cable Industry 13,May.2013,Tokyo Hideaki Takahashi Chairman Japanese Electric Wire & Cable Makers’ Association (JCMA)

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Japanese Cable Industry

13,May.2013,Tokyo

Hideaki Takahashi Chairman

Japanese Electric Wire & Cable Makers’ Association (JCMA)

1

The purpose of this presentation is to guide programs benefiting the copper industry and to provide attendees with information to make independent business decisions.

Agenda

1. Outline of Japanese Wire & Cable industry

2. JCMA Activities (Japanese Wire & Cable Makers’ Association)

3. Current Topics

(a) Optimization of conductor size

(b) High Temperature(HT) Superconducting

Cable

4. Conclusion 2

Outline of Wire & Cable Industry in Japan

Japanese Wire & Cable Industry in 2011

3

(Source:JCMA)

Number of companies about 400 (JCMA Members : 127)

Number of workers 20,800 (Incl. optical fiber cable)

Production volume

copper cable 685,000 tons

aluminum cable 24,000 tons

optical fiber cable 38,487,000 fiber-km

Production amount

metal cable 1,254,000 million yen

optical fiber cable 258,000 million yen

total 1,512,000 million yen

(18,700 million $:80.8yen/$)

:

:

:

:

:

:

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '16

(

Production Volume of Wire & Cable in Japan

4

688

IT Bubble Burst

Lehman Shock

(Source : JCMA)

(Forecast)

702

Telecommunication

Construction & Wholesaler

Electric Machine & Appliance

Power Automobile Others

701

(thousand tons)

50

150

250

350

450

550

650

'93 '95 '97 '99 '01 '03 '05 '07 '09 '11

(billion yen)

5

Export and Import of Wire & Cable in Japan

Excess of Imports over Exports from 1997

Import

Export

(Source : MOF)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

'85 '95 '00 '05 '10'12

6

Number of Overseas Plants

Overseas plants increased rapidly from 1985 to 2005.

303

Asia

(73%)

Other North America Europe Other Asia Vietnam Thailand China

Major Trading Partners for Japan (2011)

7

Import : 474 billion yen

(Asia 95%)

Export : 182 billion yen

(Asia 77%)

(Source : MOF)

China 37%

Philippine 7%

Thailand 7%

Vietnam 5%

Korea 4%

Other Asia 17%

America North

12%

Europe 8%

Other 3%

China 48%

Vietnam 18%

Philippine 12%

Indonesia 8%

Other Asia 9%

North America

3%

Europe 2%

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11

Production Volume in Major Countries

8 China is the biggest market and still growing.

China

U.S.A

Japan Italy

Brazil

thousand tons (Conductor weight) (Source : ICF)

9

JCMA’s Mission and Role

JCMA:Japanese Wire & Cable Makers’ Association

JCMA’s social contribution comes through

fostering the development of wire & cable

industry on which our society depends.

(1)formulates all types of standards for safe use

of wire & cable.

(2)helps protect the global environment

(3)drives globalization

Role

Mission

General Assembly

Board of Directors

Management Council

Expert Committee

JCMA’s Organization

Technical Committee

Planning and

Coordination Council

Technical Council

Studies on

technical

subjects Standardization

Industry Research 10

11

Main Activities of JCMA

(1) Standardization International standardization for superconducting cable

and conductor size in low-voltage power cable for optimal

environmental performance

(2) Technical studies

・Maintaining and improving quality of specified electrical

appliances and materials

・Compliance with chemical substances regulations

・Environmentally friendly design

(3) Industry research

・Demand forecasting

・Preparation and publication of statistical data

12

JCMA’s Activities

Standard-ization

Studies on technical subjects

Industry Research

Globalization New Technology

Environment IEC/TC20 Tokyo

Meeting

Technical Exchange

IEC Standard

Biochemical materials

Compact VVF

PV Cable

EV Cable

Ecology Cable

Fire resistant Cable

Fire simulation

Smart Grid

Chemical Substance

HTSC Cable

Conductor Up-sizing

Recycling

others

Visualize Data base

11kV CV standard

Optimization of Conductor size

HT Superconducting

Cable

IEC/TC20 Plenary meeting IEC:International Electrotechnical Commission

13

Superconducting Cable

Mr.Sato

Conductor size optimization

Mr.Ooi

Welcome speech Mr.Takahashi

Presentation

14

Double size of conductor

→ Half of conductor

resistance

→ Half of heat loss at

conductor

→ Half of electricity cost

& CO2 emission

(running cost)

Effects of bigger size of conductor (1)

15

Buildings and

factories

Generated Power Machines, etc

Users’ premises

Various loads Power Plant

Distribution

loss

40 billion kWh

(4%)

Transmission

loss

One trillion kWh

(100%)

Effects of bigger size of conductor (2)

about one-third of CO2

emissions in Japan.

CO2 emission 0.7%decrease

( 1/3 2% ) Distribution loss in users’ premises

20 billion kWh (2%)

Conductor size optimized

16

Conductor size

Co

st

Minimization of Total Cost

for Conductor Size selection

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

50 100 150 200 250 300

Initial cost

Total cost

Running cost

Minimization of total cost

for conductor size selection

Minimization of total cost for conductor size is “cross point “ of two curves.

600800

2100

340

Conventional

Cable

Troughing

Tunnel

Conventional cables

Tunnel image

275kV, 700MVA/3cct

HT Superconducting cables Duct installation image

66kV, 700MVA/3cct

[size: mm] 150

230

HT Superconducting cable

150

key technology for next-generation grid “Large capacity” “Compact size” “Low loss”

Merit of HT Superconducting Cable in Grid

17

340

2100

600 800 Tunnel

Conventional Cable

“3-in-One” Type

HT Superconducting Cable

18

Copper Stranded Former

Electrical Insulation

(PPLP+LN2)

LN2 flow channel

Superconducting Shield

(BSCCO tapes in 2 layers)

Superconducting conductor

(BSCCO tapes in 4 layers)

Thermal insulation pipe

(Cryostat)

Cable structure

66kV, 1.75kArms, 200 MVA

HT Superconducting Cable in operation in Japan

19

location AC/ DC

Operation contents

Chubu Univ. Kasugai city, Aichi pref.

DC 2005 Basic research at Univ.

Railway Technical Research Institute

Kokubunji city, Tokyo

DC 2011 Power distribution for

rolling stock

TEPCO, Sumitomo, Maekawa

Yokohama AC 2012/10 Actual operation at

substation

Sumitomo Osaka AC 2013/01 Actual operation at HTSC

factory site

Chubu Univ. Sakura Internet

Ishikari, Hokkaido

DC 2013 Distribution from Mega

solar to Data center

NTT Facilities Watari -cho Miyagi pref.

DC planning Distribution from Mega

solar to farm field

Leading Japanese Cable Technology

Discovery of HT superconductivity

Discovery of YBCO

Discovery of BSCCO

Hiroshi Maeda

Bi2Sr2Ca2Cu3O10 YBa2Cu3O7 year

Development of HT Superconducting Cable

Sumitomo

(2009) Fujikura

(2011.02)

Fujikura (2008.06)

Showa

(2008.05)

20

(Source : ISTC)

Global Market for Superconductivity

2011 2012 2014 2016

Market Amount of HT Superconducting Cable

30 30 70 130

21

(M€)

0

40

80

120

160

1 2 3 4 5 62011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 year

Am

ou

nt in

M€

(Source :Conectus)

22

Next Activities (a) Continue globalization : Asia market

(b) Protect environment : Optimization of conductor size

(c) Develop new products : HT Superconducting Cable

(1) Having influence of the Great East Japan

Earthquake, Japan market has not yet

recovered completely after the Lehman shock.

(2) Japanese manufacturers shifted their

production bases abroad ( = “Globalization” )

Conclusion

23

Thank you

for your attention.