january 6-8, 2002 / n=1,000 registered “likely”voters / ±3.1% m.o.e. battleground 2002 (xxi)

January 6-8, 2002 / N=1,000 Registered “Likely”Voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

Battleground 2002 (XXI)


What do you think is the number one problem facing this part of the country today -- that is, what is the problem that you

and your family are most concerned about?

Q1

6%

22%

1%

4%

3%

5%

7%

15%

10%

28%

0% 10% 20% 30%

Economy

Unemployment / jobs

Terrorism / national defense

Education

Crime and drugs

Health care

Taxes

SS / Medicare / senior issues

other

unsure


Which party do you think could do a better job of working to solve this problem? Do you think that the Republican Party or the Democratic Party – could do a better job of working to

solve this problem?

Q2

38%

29%

7%11%

15%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

RepublicanParty

DemocraticParty

Both equal Neither Unsure/don'tknow


In thinking about the economy, how would you rate the current

state of the economy?

Q3

1%

26%

47%

23%

2%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Excellent Good Just fair Poor Unsure/don'tknow


Would you say that you and your family are financially better off, worse off or just about the same as you were a year ago?

Q4A

17%23%

59%

1%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Better off Worse off About the same Unsure/don'tknow


Looking ahead, do you think that a year from now you and your family will be better off financially, worse off, or just

about the same?

Q4B

33%

7%

57%

3%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Better off Worse off About the same Unsure/don'tknow


Thinking specifically about the economy, what are you personally worried about the most?

Q5

8%

12%

22%

17%

30%

11%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Losing your job

Rising health carecosts

Higher taxes

A secure retirement

Expenses like childcare or college tuition

Unsure/don't know


Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the economy?

Q6A

67%

9%

24%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Approve Unsure Disapprove


Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling the economy?

Q6B

39%

19%

42%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%



Please tell me if you have heard of this person, and if so, whether you have a favorable or unfavorable

impression of that person.

Q7-11

81% 16% 2%

44% 52% 4%

73% 16% 9% 2%

45% 47% 8%

35% 26% 18% 20%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Tom Daschle

Al Gore

Dick Cheney

Bill Clinton

George W. Bush

Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard of


Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?

Q12

84%

3% 13%0%

10%

20%30%40%

50%60%70%80%

90%



Whether you approve of disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President, what is your impression

of George W. Bush as a person? Do you approve or disapprove of him?

Q14

80%

9% 11%0%

10%

20%30%40%

50%60%70%80%

90%



Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their jobs?

Q15

54%

15%

30%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%



Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their jobs?

Q16

59%

15%

26%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%



Do you approve or disapprove of the way your Member of Congress is handling his/her job?

Q17

71%

16% 13%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%



Do you approve or disapprove of the way your Governor is handling his/her job?

Q18

60%

9%

31%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%



If the election for the U.S. Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your

district?

Q19

Undecided20%

Democrat39%

Republican41%


Thinking about the elections for U.S. Congress, would you want to elect Members of Congress who support Bush;

Members of Congress who act independently of Bush; or is it not of particular importance to

you either way?

Q20

38%

25%

33%

4%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

Support Bush Act independently ofBush

Not of particularimportance

Unsure


When you think about President George W. Bush’s first year in office, which of the following emotions best describes how you

feel?

Q24

3%

6%

6%

7%

30%

11%

34%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Hopeful

Content

Reassured

Anxious

Frustrated

Disappointed

Angry


Please tell me if you would agree or disagree with this particular statement.

Q25-26

73% 6% 21%

65% 5% 30%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

George W. Bush hasimproved the tone ofpolitics in Washington

today

George W. Bush hasmade significant efforts

to reach out to membersof the Democratic Party

Agree Unsure Disagree


Please tell me if you would agree or disagree with this particular statement.

Q27-28

48% 4% 49%

44% 7% 49%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

George W. Bush has done agood job on the war in

Afghanistan, but he has notpaid enough attention to the

economy and domesticissues

George W. Bush is too tied tothe wealthy and big

business

Agree Unsure Disagree


Which of the following statements is closer to your point of view? To get more things done, I would like to see a Congress and a

President of the same party; or I prefer the President and Congress to be of different parties, because that way they can balance each

other out.

Q29

34%

56%

6% 4%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Same party Different parties No preference Unsure


Please tell me whether you have more confidence in -- President George W. Bush, or the Democrats in

Congress -- to deal with this issue.

Q30A-33A

49% 29% 9% 5% 8%

31% 46% 5% 9% 10%

52% 34% 4%4%7%

38% 47% 4%5%7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Protecting the middleclass

Sharing your values

Improving the healthcare system

Keeping Americaprosperous

George W. Bush Dem Congress Both equally Neither Unsure




Q34A-37A

48% 26% 5% 11% 9%

60% 26% 3%3%7%

49% 23% 8% 7% 12%

48% 32% 8% 5% 7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Improving education

Fighting crime anddrugs

Holding the line ontaxes

Cutting governmentwaste





Q38A-41A

46% 35% 7%4% 8%

26% 57% 5%3%9%

43% 36% 5% 7% 10%

36% 46% 4%6% 8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Strengthening SocialSecurity

Balancing the federalbudget

Protecting theenvironment

Keep improving theeconomy





Q42A-44A

68% 9% 12% 4% 7%

65% 20% 5%2%9%

39% 42% 4%5% 9%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Creating jobs

Handling foreignaffairs

SafeguardingAmerica from aterrorist threat



Please tell me whether you have more confidence in -- the Republican Party or the Democratic Party -- to deal

with this issue.

Q30B-33B

49% 32% 7% 5% 7%

33% 48% 5% 7% 6%

48% 37% 5%6%5%

40% 47% 4%4%6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Protecting the middleclass

Sharing your values

Improving the healthcare system

Keeping Americaprosperous

Republican Party Democratic Party Both equally Neither Unsure



with this issue.

Q34B-37B

49% 29% 6% 9% 7%

57% 28% 4%5%6%

47% 25% 12% 9% 8%

45% 38% 7%4%7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Improving education

Fighting crime anddrugs

Holding the line ontaxes

Cutting governmentwaste




with this issue.

Q38B-41B

46% 36% 5%4% 8%

25% 57% 4%4%10%

47% 36% 5%6% 6%

35% 47% 5%5% 8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Strengthening SocialSecurity

Balancing the federalbudget

Protecting theenvironment

Keep improving theeconomy




with this issue.

Q42B-44B

60% 15% 13% 6% 6%

57% 26% 8% 3%6%

37% 44% 7% 5% 7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Creating jobs

Handling foreignaffairs

SafeguardingAmerica from aterrorist threat



-10

-11

7

12

15

32

-59

-45

-34

-26

-22

-19

-18

-16

-11

-7

3

9

10

15

31

-11

-7

-17

-20

-21

-29

-32

-46

7

SAFEGAURDING AMERICA AGAINST TERRORISM

HANDLING FOREIGN AFFAIRS

HOLDING THE LINE ON TAXES

FIGHTING CRIME AND DRUGS

CUTTING GOVERNMENT WASTE

KEEP AMERICA PROSPEROUS

SHARING YOUR VALUES

IMPROVING EDUCATION

IMPROVING THE ECONOMY

BALANCING THE FEDERAL BUDGET

CREATING JOBS

PROTECTING THE MIDDLE CLASS

STRENGTHENING SOCIAL SECURITY

IMPROVING HEALTH CARE SYSTEM

PROTECTING THE ENVIRONMENT

DEMOCRATS VS. REPUBLICANS DEMOCRATS VS. BUSH

ISSUES ADVANTAGES

NET REPUBLICAN/BUSH ADVANTAGE

NET DEMOCRATIC ADVANTAGE


-35

-29

-22

-15

-14

-14

-11

0

0

40

-36

-17

-18

-13

14

0

-37

-36

-48

19

14

-24

-3

34

-30

-6

17

-55

-43

25

SAFEGAURD AMERICA FROM TERRORISM





KEEPING AMERICA PROSPEROUS

BALANCING FEDERAL BUDGET

SHARING YOUR VALUES

KEEP IMPROVING THE ECONOMY

IMPROVING EDUCATION


CREATING JOBS

STRENGTHEN SOCIAL SECURITY

IMPROVING HEALTH CARE



ISSUES ADVANTAGES AMONG MEN




-43

-21

-13

-13

-7

-7

-6

-6

-4

9

11

12

13

25

-62

-46

-31

-28

-21

-17

-10

-14

-25

3

6

6

4

27

-28

-9

SAFEGAURD AMERICA AGAINST TERRORISM




KEEPING AMERICA PROSPEROUS

SHARING YOUR VALUES

BALANCING THE FEDERAL BUDGET


KEEP IMPROVING THE ECONOMY

IMPROVING EDUCATION

STRENGTHEN SOCIAL SECURITY

IMPROVING HEALTH CARE

CREATING JOBS




ISSUES ADVANTAGES AMONG WOMEN




Please tell me whether you think -- President George W. Bush, or the Democrats in Congress -- better represents

this value.

Q45A-47A

55% 25% 8% 5% 7%

58% 23% 10% 2%7%

60% 20% 9% 5% 6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Personalresponsibility

Family

Unity



Please tell me whether you think -- President George W. Bush, or the Democrats in Congress -- better represents

this value.

Q48A-50A

60% 17% 7% 10% 6%

43% 36% 8% 4% 9%

62% 18% 7% 8% 5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Moral values

Community

Honesty and integrity



Please tell me whether you think -- the Republican Party or the Democratic Party -- better represents this value.

Q45B-47B

45% 33% 10% 6% 6%

50% 30% 11% 5%5%

57% 25% 7% 4% 7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Personalresponsibility

Family

Unity



Please tell me whether you think -- the Republican Party or the Democratic Party -- better represents this value.

Q48B-50B

52% 22% 7% 13% 7%

39% 40% 10% 4%6%

57% 23% 7% 8% 5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Moral values

Community

Honesty and integrity



-34

-31

-12

-30

-19

1

-44

-40

-30

-43

-35

-7

MORAL VALUES

PERSONALRESPONSIBILITY

UNITY

HONESTY ANDINTEGRITY

FAMILY

COMMUNITY


VALUES ADVANTAGES




-36

-32

-34

-21

-16

-1

-46

-45

-42

-35

-33

-3

MORAL VALUES

HONESTY ANDINTEGRITY


FAMILY

UNITY

COMMUNITY


VALUES ADVANTAGES AMONG MEN




-31

-28

-28

-18

-8

2

-43

-42

-39

-35

-33

-10

MORAL VALUES

HONESTY & INTEGRITY


FAMILY

UNITY

COMMUNITY


VALUES ADVANTAGES AMONG WOMEN




In thinking about George W. Bush, do you consider him to be...

Q21

Moderate9%

Liberal14%

Conservative77%


In thinking about the Democrats in Congress, do you consider them to be...

Q22

Moderate12%

Liberal66%

Conservative22%


In thinking about the Republicans in Congress, do you consider them to be...

Q23

Moderate11%

Liberal15%

Conservative74%


When thinking about politics, do you consider yourself to be...

Moderate7%

Liberal33%

Conservative61%


PARTY IDENTIFICATION

D5 & D6

33%

40%

31%

25%

36% 35%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Republican Independent Democrat

Apr-01 Jan-02

40%43%

17%

10%

43%

46%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Republican Ticketsplitter Democrat

Apr-01 Jan-02

VOTE BEHAVIOR

january 6-8, 2002 / n=1,000 registered “likely”voters / ±3.1% m.o.e. battleground 2002 (xxi)

Documents

registered likelyvoters

q1 slide

q2 slide

q3 slide

q4a slide

q4b slide

q5 slide

q6a slide