january 2020 - preeminent middle market investment bank ... · • led and smart lighting systems...
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J A N U A R Y 2 0 2 0
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• ESCOs• Utility Program Management• Building Optimization• Energy Management
Systems• LED and Smart Lighting
Systems• Energy Storage• Electric Submeters
• Demand Response/Smart Grid
• Billing & Workforce Management
• Distribution Automation• Microgrids/Asset
Management• EV Charging
• 16 professionals based in Richmond, VA
• 15+ closed transactions in the last 24 months
Energy Management
Luke SempleManaging Director
[email protected]: (804) 915-0158
2017
Vertical Focus AreasEnergy, Power & Infrastructure (“EPI”) group
• Energy Management• Renewables and
Distributed Energy• Industrial and
Infrastructure Services• Outsourced Utility Services
• Oilfield Services• Engineering and
Construction• Environmental Services• TIC & Integrity Services
has been acquired by
Provider of integrated software, data and analytics solutions to the global energy market including financial services, capital markets, and trading and risk professionals
has received a minority
investment from
Leading cloud-based provider of energy services management software and behavioral energy efficiency solutions
has been acquired by
Provider of demand response capabilities, energy efficiency projects and distributed generation assets to identify, optimize and monetize across distributed energy assets
has been acquired by
Leading independent ESCO serving the federal, MUSH, and commercial and industrial end markets
has been acquired by
Provider of integrated cloud-based demand response, energy efficiency and customer engagement solutions for utility customers
has been acquired by
Leading designer of smart submeter systems and integrated energy intelligence software
has been acquired by
Develops and markets transportation analysis software for improving traffic flow
has been acquired by
Leading provider of energy efficiency and renewable energy services in the Southwestern U.S.
has been acquired by
Leading implementer and administrator of energy efficiency programs
has been acquired by
Leading provider of demand-side management (“DSM”) solutions to utility clients
Energy, Power & Infrastructure
Drew SpitzerManaging Director
[email protected]: (804) 915-0174
Select Energy Management Transactions
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The ongoing shift towards more sustainable energy represents a more than $4 trillion opportunity over the next several decades. Energy service companies (ESCOs) are on the leading edge of this shift, helping a wide range of organizations boost efficiency and cut energy costs.
Understanding the ESCO landscape
Where are we today?
Where are we headed?
Key considerationsfor investors
Introduction to the sector
Key characteristics and drivers of value
Current market landscape
Historical strategic and private equity investment in the sector
Focus areas for strategic players
Private market participants
ESCO landscape scorecard
Key considerations for investors
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Our goal is to provide an overview of the North American ESCO landscape and framework for investment opportunities in the context of the ongoing energy transition.
Purpose
Provide an overview of the North American ESCO market
Explore trends and areas of focus in the M&A market
Provide a framework for exploring investment opportunities in the sector
Scope
For the purposes of this discussion, we have focused exclusively on the North American market
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Direct benefitDirect benefit
An ESCO is a professional services business providing a broad range of comprehensive energy efficient solutions, including design and implementation of energy savings projects, energy infrastructure outsourcing, power generation and energy supply, including the design and installation of DERs, and risk management.
ESCOs perform in-depth analyses of physical properties, design energy efficient solutions, install proper elements and maintain the systems to ensure energy savings. The savings in energy costs are often used to pay back the capital invested in the project over a five- to 20-year period, or reinvested into the building to allow for capital upgrades that may otherwise be unfeasible. These energy efficiency projects are executed through a variety of financing structures (as outlined on page 8 herein).
Municipal
The Problem
Schools Hospitals Universities C&I
Aging plant and equipment
Rising electricity costs
Sustainability initiatives
ESCOs Provide Customers with a Compelling Value Proposition
Municipal
The ESCO Solution
Schools Hospitals Universities
Upgrade and replacement of existing plant/equipment
Lower energy costs
No or limited up-front capital investment
Increased resiliency
Enhanced occupant satisfaction, health and safety
C&I
Rising Electricity Prices1
(cents per kilowatt-hour)
1.) U.S. Energy Information Administration
$0.04
$0.06
$0.08
$0.10
$0.12
$0.14
$0.16
$0.18
2018 2020E 2022E 2024E 2026E 2028E 2030E
Residential Commercial Industrial
Service Commitment
Current energy costs
25%+
Analysis
Collection of data and evaluation of savings potential
Concept
Design of the measures and definition of the baseline
Implementation
Execution of the various measures and verification of savings
Service
Inspection, maintenance, repair and ensuring of savings
Renewal
End of the contract period
Reduced energy costs
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Federal projects typically have many facilities and are comprehensive retrofits
Public policies have enhanced and influenced the increased development of ESCO projects at the state and local levels
K-12 schools have started to install capital-intensive, low-energy savings measures to address maintenance backlogs
Universities have the highest median project investment levels of any market with a median project investment level of ~$7M
Major HVAC retrofits account for over 50% of project investment on healthcare facilities
Underserved market that is seeing rising energy costs and new technologies improving economics of energy efficiency
Historically, ESCOs have primarily concentrated on projects for municipalities, universities, schools and hospitals (the “MUSH” market) and the federal government. Increased adoption of energy efficiency measures and DERs by commercial and industrial (C&I) represent a significant market opportunity for ESCOs in the years ahead.
1.) Federal includes housing/other in 2008, 2011, 2014.Source: LBNL, U.S. Energy Service Company Industry: Recent Market Trends (2016), State of the U.S. ESCO Industry (2019)
ESCO Industry Market Segments Overview of Market Segments
(% of investment $)
Federal
State/Local
K-12
Universities
Healthcare
C&I1
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2008 2011 2014 2017
Federal State/Local K-12 Universities Healthcare C&I
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ESCOs typically provide a broad scope of services for end users and, in recent years, projects have increased in scope and complexity. For purposes of classification, Lawrence Berkeley National Labs classifies projects into Dominant Retrofit Strategies (DRS), which are summarized below.
Primary ESCO Services1
1.) Source: LBNL, State of the U.S. ESCO Industry (2017)
Dominant Retrofit Strategy (DRS) Representative Examples
DERs
Installation of on-site generation, including solar, natural gas generation, backup generation systems and biomass
gasifiers
Installation of energy storage assets
Facility Management Continuous commissioning, monitoring and preventive maintenance
Lighting-Only Installation, upgrade and replacement of lighting control systems
Lighting retrofits
Major HVAC Major replacement of HVAC equipment, such as boilers, chillers and cooling towers
Minor HVAC Modifications and upgrades to existing equipment
Motors and Drives Repair and replacement of pump systems
Repair and replacement of variable speed drives and electric motors
Non-Energy Non-energy facility improvements such as roof replacements and environmental abatements
System Integration Coordinating the planning and operation of energy systems across multiple pathways and/or geographical scales
Water Conservation Installation of water conservation measures, including low-flow showers, faucets and toilets
Installation of meters and leak detection equipment
Other Installation of other high-efficiency equipment
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$6
$37
$104
$12
$85
$168
$0 $50 $100 $150 $200
Federal
C&I
MUSH
Upside Case Base Case
Over the last several decades, the ESCO industry has generated significant energy savings across the economy through the installation and maintenance of energy efficiency equipment. U.S. ESCO annual industry revenues increased from approximately $2 billion in 2000 to nearly $8 billion in 2017.
As the market has evolved, ESCOs have emerged as key players in the installation of not only energy efficiency initiatives, but also on-site renewables, storage and other distributed energy infrastructure.
1.) Reflects the midpoint of the Base Case and Unfettered Case, respectively.Source: LBNL, Updated Estimates of the Remaining Market Potential of the U.S. ESCO Industry (2017)
Addressable Market1 Key Growth Drivers
~$150 to ~$300 billion in remaining market opportunity
Deployment of New Technologies
• There are a number of large, vertically integrated ESCOs that both develop and deploy emerging technologies that can increase the market potential beyond what was originally estimated based on efficiency technologies that were commercially available during the last 5-10 years
Subsequent Retrofits in Existing Facilities
• Building owners and operators may opt for additional retrofits in a facility that has implemented an ESCO project to capture benefits of additional measures
Project Savings Due to O&M Savings
• It has been reported that public facilities, which are often targeted by ESCOs, have a significant backlog of deferred maintenance. For example, U.S. K-12 schools have a total maintenance backlog of ~$250 billion
Increased Number of ESCO Industry “Champions”
• All 50 states have enacted legislation that enables various types of institutional facilities in a state to engage in ESPC
($ in billions)
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In addition to funding through traditional secured and unsecured lease and loan structures, the energy efficiency market utilizes specialized financing products designed to reduce up-front capital investments and encourage greater adoption of energy efficiency measures.
Representative Financing Sources
Type Description
Energy Service Agreement (ESA) Energy Service Agreements are agreements between a customer and the ESA provider that provides financing for the project and
delivers energy savings (i.e., megawatt hours) at a negotiated price (less than retail rates for energy services).
Energy Savings Performance Contract Under an Energy Savings Performance Contract (ESPC), an energy service company (ESCO) coordinates installation and
maintenance of efficiency equipment in a customer’s facilities and is paid from the associated energy savings. The ESCO typically
provides a savings guarantee.
Commercial PACE (CPACE)
Financing
Commercial property-assessed clean energy (CPACE) is a financing structure in which building owners borrow money for energy
efficiency, renewable energy or other projects and make repayments via an assessment on their property tax bill. The financing
arrangement then remains with the property even if it is sold, facilitating long-term investments in building performance.
On-Bill Financing/Repayment
(OBF/OBR)
On-bill financing (OBF) and repayment (OBR) are financing options in which a utility or private lender supplies capital to a customer to
fund energy efficiency, renewable energy or other generation projects and is repaid through regular payments on an existing utility
bill.
Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) A Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) is an arrangement in which a third-party developer installs, owns and operates an energy system
on a customer’s property. The customer then purchases the system’s electric output for a predetermined period. A PPA allows the
customer to receive stable and often low-cost electricity with no up-front cost.
Efficiency-as-a-Service (EaaS) Efficiency-as-a-service is a pay-for-performance, off-balance-sheet financing solution that allows customers to implement energy and
water efficiency projects with no up-front capital expenditure. The provider pays for project development, construction and
maintenance costs.
Loan or Debt Financing Customers can borrow money directly from banks or other lenders to pay for energy efficiency, renewable energy and other
generation projects. The customer must then arrange the purchase, installation and management of equipment by a third-party
contractor or in-house staff.
Lease Financing A lease is a simple financing structure that allows a customer to use energy efficiency, renewable energy or other generation
equipment without purchasing it outright. The two most common types are on-balance-sheet capital leases and off-balance-sheet
operating leases.
Internal Funding Internal funding refers to the use of an organization’s existing financial resources to pay for energy efficiency, renewable energy or
other generation projects, rather than seeking external financing. This is often the most simple and direct method for funding
projects.
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Innovative EaaS solutions have emerged as an attractive model to further expand the market for energy efficiency services. InEaaS contracts, the service provider maintains ownership of the installed assets and the customer pays for the services provided by the assets.
The EaaS Model1 Case Study: The Ohio State University2
Pays monthly, quarterly or annualservice charge for realized
energy savings
Designs project, installsequipment, provides
maintenance andmonitoring service
Vendor Energy-as-a-Service (EaaS)
Provider
Customer Commercial Building Owner
Energy Service Agreement
(ESA)
Energy Service Performance
Contract (ESPC)
Contractor Energy Services Company
(ESCO)
Situation at a Glance
Ohio State entered into a $1.165 billion public-private partnership that will establish the university as an international leader in sustainability while generating new resources to advance teaching, learning and research
ENGIE North America and Axium Infrastructure, which are world leaders in energy services and sustainability, created Ohio State Energy Partners to serve the university
How It Works
On behalf of Ohio State Energy Partners, ENGIE Services operates the systems that power, heat and cool the Columbus campus and will install energy conservation measures to meet the university’s sustainability goal for energy
3High-Voltage Substations
750kMWH of
Electricity
$115MAnnual
Spending
110MW Peak Demand
2.9MmmBTUs of
Steam
OSU at a Glance: Energy Profile
What Ohio State Gets
In return for a 50-year lease, Ohio State Energy Partners paid Ohio State $1.015 billion up-front and will pay an additional $150 million in direct academic collaboration support. In addition, the consortium will put up the capital funds for and install energy conservation measures and other energy infrastructure improvements
1.) Source: American Council for an Energy-Efficiency Economy, Energy-as-a-Service2.) Source: The Ohio State University, Comprehensive Energy Management Opportunity
The EaaS model shifts the burden of financing, owning, installing and managing the performance of an energy asset from the
customer to the service providerWhat Ohio State Pays
Ohio State pays Ohio State Energy Partners an annual utility fee that includes three elements: an operating fee to cover costs (starting at $9.2 million based on a three-year average of university costs), a fixed fee that starts at $45 million and grows 1.5 percent a year, and a financial return for any capital investments it funds at the university
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The ESCO market remains fragmented with market participants ranging from sector-focused players to larger, diversified players from a variety of markets, including industrial technology, utilities, engineering and construction, international energy services, building and facility services, renewables and professional services.
ESCO Market Participant Taxonomy
Industrial Technology
Building and Facility Services
Energy EfficiencyEngineering & Construction
Lighting
International Energy Services
Professional Services Renewables Utility
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ESCOs and adjacencies have a long history of M&A activity.
Acquirers
Targets
2010
2011
Quantum Engineering
Ennovate Corporation
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
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Strategic Energy Management Investments since 2017
Smart Buildings
Energy Efficiency
E-Mobility
Energy Services
Smart Buildings
Software Consulting
Data Analytics
Infrastructure Solutions
Distributed Energy
Demand Response
E-Mobility
Demand Response
Energy Efficiency
E-Mobility
E-Mobility
Demand Response
Residential Retailer
Demand Response
EV Charging
Energy Storage
Demand Response
Smart Buildings
Data Analytics
EV Charging
Energy Storage
Distributed Energy
Smart Buildings
Energy Storage
EnergyEfficiency
Acquirers
Targets
2017 2018 2019
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Select Private ESCO Market Participants
Company Ownership Headquarters
Bernhard Energy SolutionsBernhard Capital Partners Baton Rouge, LA
CenergisticKleiner Perkins Dallas, TX
Clear EnergyPrivately Held Fayetteville, AR
CM3 Building SolutionsPrivately Held Fort Washington, PA
CMTA Energy SolutionsPrivately Held Prospect, KY
Energy Solutions ProfessionalsPrivately Held Overland Park, KS
EnvocoreDFW Capital Partners Gambrills, MD
Metco EngineeringPrivately Held Dallas, TX
SitelogIQOaktree Power Opportunities Minneapolis, MN
Stark Tech GroupPrivately Held Tonawanda, NY
VeregyBow River Capital Phoenix, AZ
The ESCO remains fragmented with a range of private participants, including regional and local players as well as private equity-backed platforms.
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Key Market Segments Market DriversAddressable
MarketMarket Outlook
Aging building stock
Operational improvements
Technology advancement
Regulations/legislation
Financing advantages
Improving indoor environment, security and comfort
Corporate sustainability and environmental priorities
Increasing tenant occupancy and property values
Economics and shortening payback periods
Resiliency needs and security
Transition toward distributed energy resources and privatization
Regulations and federal mandates
Dynamic DOD/DOE initiatives
Deferred maintenance
MUSH1
$104B+
$37B+
$6B+
Commercial & Industrial
Federal
1.) Municipalities, universities, schools and hospitals
Critical market segment
Underserved relative to the opportunity
Offers counter-cyclical and technologically advanced diversification
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What Should Investors Be Looking For?
Comprehensive energy efficiency
offeringDER capabilities
Demand management
Controls integration capabilities
Measurement and verification
Facilities management capabilities
Project finance solutions
Engineering expertise
Proven project execution
Technology leadership
Demonstrated ability to attach to the customer
at multiple offerings
Business analytics and
reporting
End market diversity
Depth of customer
relationships
Sales pipeline development and
conversion
Proven track record of organic
and inorganic growth
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