january 2014 corporate presentation - final...final under construction sabine pass liquefaction t1-4...
TRANSCRIPT
Chad Zamarin June, 11, 2015
LNG Exports
LNG Exports
US Natural gas supply growth is robust and outpaces domestic demand • Dry and associated gas abundance • Production growth limited by
domestic takeaway capacity Global demand is strong and
growing • US supply and price stability
US LNG Exports are coming • Over 10 Bcf/d under construction • First LNG by YE 2015
Next phase of growth undetermined
2
US Proved Non-Producing Reserves
Productive Capacity from Unconventional Reservoirs
Tcf
Current market fundamentals in the U.S. – increased production, increased natural gas reserves and lackluster increase in natural gas demand – have created an opportunity to expand into exports – benefitting U.S. economy, creating jobs and reducing balance of trade deficit
Source: EIA, US Crude Oil, Natural Gas and Natural Gas Liquids Proved Reserves, 2013.
Source: Advanced Resource Intl; Cheniere Research.
U.S. Natural Gas Markets
3
US Natural Gas Resources
Tcf
Source: Potential Gas Committee, 2015; EIA, Natural Gas Proved Reserves, 2010
US Gas Consumptions vs. Production
Source: EIA March 2014 STEO
• U.S. resources increased by 86% since 2006 • Represents over 100 years of supply at current demand
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014Shale Other
2,718
2,203
2,853
2,081
1,532
-
3
6
9
12
0
4
8
12
16
2012 2015 2020 2025
Productive Capacity from Unconventional Reservoirs
Oil NGLs Natural Gas
Bcf/d MMB/d
Includes Eagle Ford, Barnett Combo, Bakken, Permian, Anadarko, Wet Marcellus, Utica, Cotton Valley, Piceance, Uinta
51 60 67 78
86 98
113
118
110 116
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
49.6 50.7 52.9
55.3 56.4 58.4
62.7 65.7 66.7
70.4 73.9
60.3
54.5
63.3 63.8 62.7 66.0 67.1
69.8 71.7
73.5 75.7
40
50
60
70
80
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Bcf/d US Gas ProductionUS Gas Consumption
4
$HH Cash
$8
$4
$0
$12
$16
U.S. Shale Production & Henry Hub Price
Bcf/d
Note: * YTD is through June 2014
Source: Lippman Consulting, Advanced Resources Intl.; EIA (HH prices)
CA Energy Crisis
Hurricane Katrina
$147/Bbl Peak Oil
0
10
20
30
40
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Annual Shale Gas Production (Bcf/d) 2000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014*
Eagle Ford 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.6 3.9 4.7
Marcellus 0.0 1.3 3.5 6.5 9.9 13.4
Haynesville 0.0 4.0 7.0 7.2 5.3 4.3
Fayetteville 0.0 2.1 2.6 2.8 2.8 2.8
Woodford 0.0 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.8 1.7
Barnett 0.2 5.1 5.6 5.7 5.3 4.9
Other 0.9 2.2 2.3 2.9 3.7 5.3
Total 1.1 16.2 23.5 29.3 32.7 37.3
U.S. Demand vs. Productive Capacity
59
75
82
92
103
116
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
5
The U.S. holds vast natural gas resources recoverable at low prices
Domestic demand cannot keep pace with supply growth Bcf/d
U.S. Demand High/Low Range
Productive Capacity at $4.55/MMBtu wellhead (2010-2035 average)
~ 29 Bcf/d
Surplus
Source: EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2013 (U.S. Demand). Range includes Low Economic Growth, High Economic Growth and $25 Carbon Tax Scenarios Advanced Resources International Inc., “U.S. Natural Gas Resources and Productive Capacity: Mid 2013 Update” (Productive Capacity). In constant 2010 $.
Applications Filed with FERC for Liquefaction Projects Continental U.S.
LNG Export Projects Quantity
Bcf/d FERC
Pre-filing Date
FERC Application
Date
FERC Scheduling
Notice Issued
EIS / EA
Scheduled Date for EIS
or EA FERC Approval
DOE Non FTA
Final
Under Construction
Sabine Pass Liquefaction T1-4 2.8 7/26/10 1/31/11 12/16/11 EA 4/16/12 8/7/12
Cameron LNG 1.7 4/30/12 12/10/12 11/21/13 EIS 4/30/14 6/19/14 9/10/14
Freeport LNG 1.4 0.4
12/23/10 8/31/12 1/6/14 EIS 6/16/14 7/30/14 11/14/14
Dominion Cove Point LNG 1.0 6/1/12 4/1/13 3/12/14 EA 5/15/14 9/29/14 5/7/15
Corpus Christi Liquefaction 2.1 12/13/11 8/31/12 2/12/14 EIS 10/8/14 12/30/14 5/12/15
Sabine Pass Liquefaction T5-6 1.38 2/27/13 9/30/13 11/03/14 EA 12/12/14 4/6/2015
Jordan Cove Energy 1.2/0.8 2/29/12 5/22/13 7/16/14 EIS 2/27/15
Oregon LNG 1.25 7/3/12 6/7/13 4/17/15 EIS 2/12/16
Lake Charles LNG 2.0 3/30/12 3/25/14 1/26/15 EIS 4/10/15
Magnolia 1.08 3/20/13 4/30/14 4/30/15 EIS 11/16/15
Excelerate 1.38 11/5/12 2/6/14 ON HOLD EIS
Southern LNG 0.5 12/5/12 3/10/14 EA
Golden Pass 2.6 5/16/13 7/7/14 EA
Note: National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) empowers FERC as the lead Federal agency to prepare an Environmental Impact Statement in cooperation with other state and federal agencies
Source: Office of Fossil Energy, U.S. Department of Energy; U.S. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission; Company releases
6 projects have received FERC approval 5 projects have received final DOE approval for Non FTA
6
Source: Office of Oil and Gas Global Security and Supply, Office of Fossil Energy, U.S. Department of Energy; U.S. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission; Company releases
U.S. LNG Export Projects
Dominion Cove Point
Under Construction
Company Quantity (Bcf/d)
DOE FERC
* Contracts
Cheniere Sabine Pass T1 – T4
2.2 Fully permitted Fully
Subscribed
Freeport 1.8 Fully permitted Fully
Subscribed
Lake Charles 2.0 FTA +
NonFTA v
Fully Subscribed
Dominion Cove Point
1.0 Fully permitted Fully
Subscribed
Cameron LNG 1.7 Fully permitted Fully
Subscribed
Jordan Cove 1.2/0.8 FTA +
NonFTA
Oregon LNG 1.25 FTA +
NonFTA v
Cheniere Corpus Christi
2.1 Fully Permitted Partially
Subscribed
Cheniere Sabine Pass T5 – T6
1.3 FTA A T5
Subscribed
Southern LNG 0.5 FTA v Fully
Subscribed
Magnolia LNG 0.5 FTA v Partially
Subscribed
Golden Pass LNG 2 FTA v Fully
Subscribed
Freeport LNG
Corpus Christi
Plus other proposed LNG export projects that have not filed a FERC application. Excelerate has requested that FERC put on hold the review its application. • Application filing = v • FERC scheduling notice issued = • FERC Approved = A
Filed FERC Application
Proposed Projects
Jordan Cove
Oregon LNG
Cameron LNG
Lake Charles
Sabine Pass
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Southern LNG
Shale Plays
Basins
Source: Lippman Consulting, Baker Hughes and Bentek, as of January 2014
NGPL
Tennessee Gas
HPL
KM Tejas
Oasis
Enterprise
Permian Basin
Barnett
Granite Wash
Eagle Ford
Haynesville
Marcellus / Utica
Corpus Christi
Woodford
LNG Exports and Gas Supply
Marcellus / Utica mother load
Other shale plays growing contribution
Need for Infrastructure re-tooling
Domestic supply to the Gulf Coast
LNG outlet to global market
8
Sabine Pass
Projected Global LNG Demand
9
22 17 19
2015 2020 2025
2015 2020 2025
5 10 16
2015 2020 2025
2015 2020 2025
Americas
Asia
Middle East/N. Africa
186 270
314
30 63 89
Europe
Source: Wood Mackenzie Q1 2015 LNG Tool (1) Assumes 85% utilization of nameplate capacity
Demand forecasted to increase by 200 mtpa to 2025, a 5.7% CAGR Average of 21 mtpa of new liquefaction capacity needed each year(1)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500mtpa
Asia Pacific Europe Middle East
North Africa North America South America
Cheniere Energy Global Customers
Supply Purchase Agreements
Spain
Gas Natural Fenosa
Endesa
Iberdrola
India GAIL
South Korea Kogas
U.K. BG Centrica
8.6
France Total EDF
Indonesia Pertamina
Australia Woodside
Portugal
EDP
10
Sabine Pass LNG – November 2012
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Sabine Pass LNG – March 2015
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Aerial View of SPL Construction – April 2015
Train 1
Train 2
Train 3 Train 4
Air Coolers
Compressor Area
Propane Condenser Area
T1 Ethylene Cold Box
T1 Methane Cold Box
T2 Ethylene Cold Box
T2 Methane Cold Box
LNG Exports – What’s next?
Additional Greenfield Projects? Incremental Expansions?
Small and Mid Scale LNG?
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