janda.chapter 17 challenge of democracy economic policy

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    Learning Outcomes

    17.1 Compare and contrast three theories of

    market economics: laissez-faire, Keynesian, and

    supply-side.

    17.2 Describe the process by which the nationalbudget is prepared and passed into law and the

    reforms undertaken by Congress to balance the

    budget.

    17.3 Identify the objectives of tax policies and

    explain why tax reform is difficult.

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    Learning Outcomes

    17.4 Identify the major areas of government

    outlays and explain the role of incremental

    budgeting and uncontrollable spending on the

    growth of government spending.17.5 Identify the origins of the income tax, trace

    the influence of government spending and taxing

    policies on inequality, and examine these policies

    from the majoritarian and pluralist perspectives.

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    Theories of Economic Policy

    Laissez-Faire Economics

    Absence of government control

    Strict advocates maintain government interference with

    business obstructs workings of the free market Mainstream economists today favor market principles but

    recognize that government can sometimes improve

    market outcomes

    Efficient market hypothesis has held that financialmarkets are informally efficient

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    Theories of Economic Policy

    Keynesian Theory

    John Maynard Keynes

    Business cycles stem from imbalances between

    aggregate demand and productive capacity Productive capacitygross domestic product

    Government could stabilize economy by controlling level

    of aggregate demand

    Aggregate demand can be adjusted through fiscal andmonetary policies

    Low demand: government spend more money or cut taxes

    Demand too great: government spend less or raise taxes

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    Theories of Economic Policy

    Keynesian Theory (cont.) Capitalist countries have widely adopted Keynesian

    theory in some form

    Employment Act in 1946, reflects Keynesian theory

    Established government responsibility for economy

    Tremendous effect on government economic policy

    Council of Economic Advisors (CEA)

    Keynes-Hayek: debate in 2012 election Obama auto industry bailout (Keynes)

    Romney Let Detroit Go Bankrupt(Hayek)

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    Dueling Economists on YouTube

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    Theories of Economic Policy

    Monetary Policy Monetarists, such as Nobel Laureate Milton Friedman,

    argue that government can control the economys

    performance simply by controlling the nations money

    supply

    Monetary policies are under control of Federal Reserve

    System in U.S.

    Three goals:

    Controlling inflation Maintaining maximum employment

    Insuring moderate interest rates

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    Theories of Economic Policy

    Monetary Policy (cont.) 2010 Dodd-Frank financial reform bill granted even

    greater powers to the Fed to regulate large complexfinancial firms

    Ways the Fed controls money supply

    Sells securities, takes money out of circulation, raisinginterest rate

    Buys securities, process in reverse, lowers interest rate

    Sets federal funds raterate banks charge oneanother for overnight loans

    Less frequently, may change its discount rate

    Can change its reserve requirement

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    Theories of Economic Policy

    Monetary Policy (cont.)

    Formally, president responsible for state of the

    economy and voters hold him accountable

    President neither determines interest rates (Fed does)nor controls spending (Congress does)

    Feds activities are essential parts of governments

    overall economic policy but lie outside presidents control

    and in hands of Fed chair

    Fed ChairCritical player in economic affairs

    Ben BernankeStretched Feds authority during financial crisis

    of 2008

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    Theories of Economic Policy

    Supply-Side Economics

    Stimulate investment through tax cuts and less

    government regulation of business

    Reaganomics Economic Recover Tax Act of 1981

    Tax cuts

    Cuts in spending for social programs

    Deregulation

    Increases in defense spending

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    Theories of Economic Policy

    Supply-Side Economics (cont.)

    How Well Did Reaganomics Work?

    Worked as expected, except deficit

    Inflation dropped:13% in 1981 to 3% by 1983

    Due more to Fed chair Paul Volckers actions

    Deregulated business

    Unemployment increased to 9.6%

    Didnt reduce budget deficit

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    Public Policy and the Budget

    Congressional budgeting

    Congress in charge of budget until 1921

    Today, President prepares budget, Congress

    approves it

    Budget and Accounting Act of 1921

    Established Bureau of the Budget (now Office of

    Management and Budget) to prepare presidents budget

    to be submitted to Congress each January

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    Public Policy and the Budget

    The Nature of the Budget

    Budget of the United States Governmentannual plan

    Applies to next fiscal yearOctober 1 to September 30

    Defines budget authority and outlays Receiptsexpected tax and revenues

    Deficitdifference between receipts and outlays

    National debtsum of all unpaid government deficits

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    Public Policy and the Budget

    Preparing the Presidents Budget

    The Office of Management and Budget (OMB)

    oversees process

    OMB initiates process in spring, agencies preparebudgets in summer and submit to OMB in fall, analysts

    review requests, negotiations until budget goes to printer

    Proposed budget submitted to Congress

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    Public Policy and the Budget

    Passing the Congressional Budget

    The Traditional Procedure

    Tax committees

    Ways and Means in the House Finance in the Senate

    Authorization committees

    Approximately 20 in House; Senate 15

    Appropriations committees: House and Senate More powerful than authorization committees

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    Public Policy and the Budget

    Passing the Congressional Budget (contd)

    Two serious problems in budgeting process

    Spending process is complex

    No one is responsible for budget as a whole

    Budget committees supervise comprehensive review

    process aided by Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

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    Public Policy and the Budget

    Passing the Congressional Budget (contd)

    Congress tried twice to pass Budget Enforcement Act

    (BEA) of 1990

    Defined spending Mandatory spending

    Discretionary spending

    Previous laws paved way for Clintons Balanced

    Budget Act of 1997 (BBA) Led to balanced budget and produced a surplus

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    Public Policy and the Budget

    Passing the Congressional Budget (contd)

    Congress allowed caps on discretionary spending to

    expire at end of 2002

    Gramm-Rudman-Hollings Balanced Budget andEmergency Deficit Control Act in 1985

    Law utter failure, deficit targets eliminated in 1990

    Balanced budget amendment (BBA) introduced again

    in 2011 but failed

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    Tax Policies

    Reform

    Reform proposals influenced by interest groups

    Pre-198714 income brackets

    President Reagan reduced to two

    Flat tax violates principle of progressive taxation

    Progressive taxation allows government to redistribute

    wealth and promote economic equality

    Presidents G.H.W. Bush and Clinton added two morebrackets, moved to more progressive tax structure

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    Tax Policies

    Reform (cont.)

    George W. Bush pushed Congress to pass tax cuts

    Reduced revenues increased deficits

    Economic downturn, homeland defense, and militaryexpenses compounded problem

    Bushs last budgetover a trillion dollars deficit

    Deficit continued to grow under Obama

    2012, Obama campaigned to restore 39.6 tax bracketfor highest tax bracket

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    Tax Policies

    Comparing Tax Burdens

    Tax burden on U.S. citizens has decreased since

    1950s

    Tax burden not large compared to other democraticnations

    Almost every democratic nation taxes more heavily than

    the U.S. does

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    Spending Policies

    Incremental Budgeting

    Agencies submit budgets based on previous year

    Congress rarely looks at base budget items

    Few agencies ever cut back, spending continually goesup

    Earmarks greatly increased until early 1990s

    Congress declared moratorium on earmarks after 2010

    election

    Some members repackaging them as special funds

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    Spending Policies

    and Uncontrollable Spending

    Earmarks are discretionary outlays

    Most government spending is mandatory outlays and

    uncontrollable without change in law authorizingprogram

    Politics argue against large-scale reductions

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    Taxing, Spending, and

    Economic Equality

    Government Effects on Economic Equality

    Do government spending policies have measurable

    effect on income inequality?

    Government payments to individuals: transfer

    payments

    Dont always go to poor

    Farm program: Wealthiest farmers often receive largest

    subsidies

    Have definite effect on reducing income inequality

    National tax policies at all levels have historically

    favored those with higher incomes and the wealthy

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    Taxing, Spending, and

    Economic Equality

    Effects of Taxing and Spending Policies over

    Time

    Poorer citizens pay higher percentage of income in

    taxes than wealthier citizens In capitalist system, some degree of inequality is

    inevitable

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    FIGURE 17.5 Distribution of Family Income over Time

    T i S di d

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    Taxing, Spending, and

    Economic Equality

    Democracy and Equality

    U.S. prizes political equality, but economic equality not

    as strong

    Wealthiest 1% control 35% of nations household wealth

    Distribution among ethnic groups alarming

    Typical white familys annual income 1.5 times of blacks and

    Hispanics

    One theory - Pluralist interest group activity distortsgovernments efforts to promote equality

    Copyright 2014 Cengage Learning 31

    T i S di d

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    Taxing, Spending, and

    Economic Equality Democracy and Equality

    String of Gallup polls from 1985 to 2008:

    Clear majority said distribution of wealth not fair and favor

    some redistributionbut not through heavy taxes on rich

    Favor national sales tax or weekly lottery

    Sales tax, flat tax = regressive effect, promoting inequality

    Lottery also contributes to wealth inequality

    Poor more willing to chance income than rich

    Majoritarians argue most Americans dont understandinequities of national tax system

    Economic policy determined through pluralist politics

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