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ITEM 6: APPENDIX

A.

Lower Super Output Area LSOA Hounslow 003D – Desk Based Review

OVERVIEW

Lower Super Output Area (LSOA) 003D is bounded by the M4 to the north and the Thames to the south, with Griffin Park football ground on the western edge.

The area contains approximately 1181 households (2011 Census) with a population of about 3,110 (ONS 2014) which 52.7% are female. It is relatively deprived, being ranked in decile 3 on the Index of Multiple Deprivation (where decile 1 contains the 10% most deprived LSOAs in England and decile 10 contains the least deprived 10%).

On the hard data the area scores neither particularly well nor particularly badly, with only a few factors differing a great deal from the LBH average. The predictive data, by contrast, is very poor for this area. Most of this area scores poorly across the board, with the only exceptions being the areas closest to the motorway, at the northern end of the LSOA.

A visit in 5 September 2016 found that the area was very quiet. There were a few people walking around including some adults with children and older people closer to the sheltered housing. There was little activity in or around Mission Hall and the Baptist Centre. The areas around the shops were also quiet. The two play grounds and the school seemed empty. The planning of the Haverfield Estate means that there are numerous alleys that connect to the road. They are bounded by wooden fences. There are two Sheltered Housing schemes and are disconnected by being at the end of a cul de sac. The area feels disconnected from Brentford Towers. The railway track separates the estate from the newly developed Great West Quarter in the north. Another visit on 23 September at 11am confirmed the above findings.

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1. HARD DATA

Self

Working age adults (16-65) constitute 64.8% of the population, children (0-15) 21.7%, and those aged overs65 constitute 8.7% of the population. Hence the dependency ratio is low.

The ethnic profile of the area include a large proportion of those classified as White (41.6%). The highest proportion of ethnic minority groups are Asian (16.8%), followed by Black (14.4%). Of the Asian population, the majority of households are Other Asian (6.5%) and Indian (5.5%). 75.1% of households speak English and 6.8% speak another European language (mostly Polish, followed by Spanish). 4.4% speak South Asian Language and 3.1% speak an African language. Only 3.9% speak English badly or not at all.

61.7% of the population was born in the UK while 11.9% was born in Europe, 11.7% in Asia or the Middle East and 9.4% were born in Africa. Of those not born in the UK, 77.7% had been in the UK for more than 5 years.

The average household income is £31,904 which below the average for the Hounslow Borough (LBH) as a whole. However, 35.6% of children under 18 are in low income families this is significantly above average for the LBH. In fact 24.5% of households are deprived in more than 2 dimensions. 30.1% of households have dependent children.

Claimant rates are relatively high with 13.9% of working age people claiming benefits and 34.8% of residents claiming pension credit. 42,4% of the population are claiming housing benefits. 5.5% of people are claiming a disability living allowance

The number of economically active people is below the LBH average (70.2%). The largest sectors for employment in the area are Wholesale and Retail Trade; Repair of Motor Vehicles and Motor Cycles (15.1% of working residents) Human Health and Social Work Activities (11.1%), followed by Transport and Storage (9.5%). 67.5% of those in employment are full-time employment or self-employment with 11.6% of those working more than 49 hours per week.

67.6 % of the population over 16 have a residents with level 2 or higher qualifications. This is below the average for LBH. 20.9% have no qualifications which is above LBH average.

The area would be considered a health deprivation hotspot. Although, life expectancy for men and women is average for LBH, 15.1% of the population indicated that their daily activities are limited a little or a lot and 5.4% are in bad or very bad heath which is above the averages for LBH. 30% of households have one or more household member with a limiting long term illness. Childhood obesity is above average; 12.9% of reception age children are obese. Obesity levels for adults is also above average. Smoking is higher than the LBH average and the prevalence of cancer is also high. Alcohol-related harm hospital admissions are above the rate for LBH.

Ambulance callouts per 1,000 residents is the 11th highest in the LBH and 68% higher than the average rate for LSOAs. The admission rate for Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease and hip fractures are above the national rates. The number of adult social care clients per 1,000 adult residents is significantly above the LBH averages.

Supports

The number of people providing more than 20 hours unpaid care (3.4%) is similar to the LBH average. However the numbers of lone parent families (15.4%), are far above the average for the LBH. 43.2% of the population live in a couple (married or cohabitating) this is significantly below the average for Hounslow and London. 14.4% are divorce or separated. The pensioners (9.9%) is slightly below the LBH average.

71.1% of the population ascribe to a religion. The predominant religion is Christian (48.2%), followed by Islam(15.6%).

The area scores above average for transience, with the number of people having moved address within the last 12 months is significantly above the LBH average (21.8%)

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The majority of housing was built after 2000. The tenure of housing in the local area is mostly social rented (54.4%) with the majority rented from the council. 13.4% of households rent from private landlords. Ownership levels are low, only 20% of households are owned and 67.9% of these are owned with a mortgage or loan which is above average for the LBH and London. The median house price is below the LBH average.

The area has very low rate of houses of multiple occupation (HMO) in comparison to the LBH average. The population density is very high compared to the rest of the wards 138.4 vs. 45.4 persons per hectare. 20% of houses are classified as overcrowded but this is slightly lower than the average for the LBH. Overcrowding is significantly higher at 34.5% compared to an average of 21.7% in the LBH.

Voter turnout levels are below the LBH average. Volunteering levels are also slightly lower. In addition, only 64% of the residence are satisfied with the local authority, which is below the national and LBH averages. Similarly there are lower than average satisfaction with the local area.

Systems and infrastructure

Travel times to services are average or good. However, public transport accessibility is low. The average distance to work is 11km and similar to the LBH average. Commuting by foot or bicycle is only slightly higher than the LBH average. Road accident casualties is high.

Air quality levels average for Hounslow. Call outs to area at the above LBH average. Residents report that they 92% feel safe during the day and 65% at night which is above LBH averages However residents report feeling safe or very safe during the day and after dark (the latter is significantly above Hounslow averages). The rates of crime are slightly higher than national averages (2016) and violent crime and burglaries are higher than average.

The area scores significantly above average for the number of residents satisfied with their local area and local authority. Access to public services is very good.

2. PREDICTIVE DATA

The predictive data – produced from a statistical model which uses national survey data on wellbeing and resilience, and ‘matches’ it to local areas in Hounslow by using Office for National Statistics Output Area Classifications (OACs) – paints a mixed picture for resilience in this area.

88% of the households in the local area fall into the “Ethnicity central” Output Area Classification (OAC). These households are “concentrated in Inner London and other large cities, high ethnic diversity, high proportion of rented accommodation, high proportion of people living in flats, low car ownership.

The remaining OA falls into the category “Cosmopolitans” These households are “live in densely populated urban areas. They are more likely to live in flats and communal establishments, and private renting is more prevalent than nationally”. They are further classified into the “Aspiring and Affluent” group.

The predictive data for the following clusters is:

Wellbeing: measuring people’s experience and satisfaction with the lives overall, including with income, health and financial management. The wellbeing in the area is low except in the Output area closest to the motorway.

Local Support: The area has average “neighbourhood support”, indicating that the social solidarity, belonging and social supports is very poor in most areas.

Isolation: the levels of isolation score high in the area, indicating low levels of belonging and local levels of social solidarity

Competence: the area scores very poorly for competence except in two of the eight output areas, meaning people reporting high levels of capability (the ability to manage problems and feel useful) and low levels of stress (including anxiety and confidence).

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Emotional fragility the area has high levels of emotional fragility – meaning the high levels of stress and low levels of capability

3. ASSETS

The Mission Hall appear to be the main community space. The Baptist Center also seems to do some activities. St Georges all is being restored. Carville Park is to the north West Opposite the newly build Great West Quarter. There are a small row of shops close to Brentford Towers and the Haverfield Estate. The railway separates the estates from the Great West Quarter where there are a few shops and high rise buildings and show rooms. There are a few pubs on the outskirts of the estate. Two playgrounds are situated, one in the centre of the estate and another close to Brentford Towers and the Green Dragon Primary School. There are several Sheltered Accommodation Units and the Depo for Hounslow Homes. There is a row of local shops off Claypond Lane made up of 2 convenience stores and a laundrette as well as one empty store. There are two pubs closer to Brentford Football club. On the opposite side of the High Street there are the docks and Waterman’s cinema.

The Haverfield estate homes are mostly terraced houses with small gardens joined by connecting walkways. Brentford Towers is a very large high rise building. The estates are separated by a road from St George’s Center which is currently under renovation. There are many cars, alleys and open spaces.

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B.

Lower Super Output Area 004A– Desk Based Review

Overview

Lower Super Output Area (LSOA) 004A is located in Heston Central. This LSOA is located just south of the M4, and covers Heston Park, New Heston Road and Westbrook Primary School (formerly called Andrew Ewing School).

The area contains approximately 675 households, with a population of about 1,965 people (ONS 2014). It is relatively deprived, being ranked in decile 3 on the Index of Multiple Deprivation (where decile 1 contains the 10% most deprived LSOAs in England and decile 10 contains the least deprived 10%). 25% of Children are living in poverty in the LSOA compared to 19% in England. Discussion with the London LBH of Hounslow’s Community Partnerships Unit (CPU) has identified that these parts of Heston face challenges related to the growth of new and emerging communities.

“Hard” data – that which is publically available or held within the Council – indicates that the area scores averagely or poorly for resilience in the LBHs. However, “predictive” resilience data (which predicts likely levels of wellbeing, isolation and emotional fragility for the residents living here) indicates that there are severe resilience issues – the area scores very poorly across all clusters, apart from isolation for which it scores averagely.

A visit in early June found that the area is a highly mixed and feels disjointed. There are a range of shops, services, schools and facilities in the LSOA, but the mixed housing profile – particularly the positioning of purpose built flats behind traditional properties – creates a lack of permeability. The area seems fairly crowded and chaotic, and a significant amount of new developments are now underway. A subsequent two visits in September confirmed this finding

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1. HARD DATA

Self

Working age adults (16-65) constitute 63.5% of the population, children (0-15) 27.1%, and those aged 65+ 9.4%. This is a comparatively strong age profile for the LBH. The area’s “dependency ratio” (the ratio of non-working age to working age population) at 0.58, sits at the England average.

The majority of the population (81.1%) is Black, Asian or Minority Ethnic origin, which is around four times the national average. White British residents make up 18.9% of the population. The highest proportion of ethnic minority groups are Asian (50.4%), households with multiple ethnicities 21.2%, or black (8.5%). Of the Asian population, the majority of households are Indian (26.6%). Over half of residents (53.8%) were born outside of the UK and 30.4% have a non-UK passport.

The area scores strongly averagely in the LBH across income and benefits, but poorly for work and employment. 1.2% of the working age population are claiming JSA, 3% of residents are claiming incapacity benefits, and 2.7% of 16-24 year olds are unemployed, all lower than the national average. 27.2% of the population claim pension credit this is above the national and Bough averages. The number of economically active people is lower than the LBH average. The largest sectors for employment in the area are retail (19% of working resident) transport and storage (17%), and health and social work (10%).

The area is relatively deprived, scoring particularly poorly on the ‘barriers to housing and services’ domain of the IMD. 22% of children are living in poverty, which is higher than the national average. The area scores averagely for education and qualifications in the LBH. English language aptitude is average for the LBH.

Health outcomes are average in the LBH – with male life expectancy at 83 and female life expectancy at 87. All-cause mortality, hospital admissions, percentage of residents in very poor health and public health measures – such as alcohol or childhood obesity – are also at the LBH average.

Supports

The number of people providing unpaid care, and numbers of lone parent families, are average for the LBH.

32.7% of households in the area are married – lower than the England average of 33.2%. The number of pensioner households (11.9%) is far lower than the national average. The number of lone parent families with dependent children (27.6% of all families) is higher than the national, but around LBH, average. The predominant religion is Christian (31.7%) followed by Muslim (20.3%) and Hindu (14.2%).

The area scores averagely for transience, with the number of people having moved address within the last 12 months (Census, 2011) at 12.9% - at LBH average. 29% of housing is categorised as ‘overcrowded’, far higher than the national - but at LBH – average. The area does not have high rates of housing in multiple occupation (HMO) in comparison to the LBH average.

Voter turnout and volunteering levels are lower than the average for the LBH. The area scores very poorly in the LBH for the number of residents satisfied with their local area and local authority.

Systems and infrastructure

The majority of housing by type is purpose built flats (57.7%) or semi-detached housing (21.5%). Other types of properties in the area are detached houses, flats in converted houses and flats in commercial properties. The tenure of housing in the local area is mostly (41.4%) owner occupied, however this is below national and LBH averages. Of these, 17.8% households own their priority outright, 20.1% with a mortgage and loan, and 3.3% are in shared ownership. Average house prices are below LBH and national averages

29% of households are in the social rented sector (with 20.9% renting from housing associations or social landlords, and 8.1% from the Council) and 27.5% are in the private rented sector.

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Air quality levels are above average for Hounslow. Call outs to fires are above LBH average. The overall crime rate is higher than the average across England. Residence perceptions of safety are low.

The area scores poorly for access to public services, and specifically badly for access to a nearby food shop. There are low levels of active travel.

2. PREDICTIVE DATA

The predictive data – produced from a statistical model which uses national survey data on wellbeing and resilience, and ‘matches’ it to local areas in Hounslow by using Office for National Statistics Output Area Classifications (OACs) – paints a very poor picture for resilience in this area.

84.2% of households fall into the “multicultural metropolitans” Output Area Classification (OAC). These households are “concentrated in larger urban conurbations in the transitional areas between urban centres and suburbia, high proportion of BME groups, high proportion of families”.

“Ethnicity central” households make up the remaining 15.8% of the households in the local area. These households are “concentrated in Inner London and other large cities, high ethnic diversity, high proportion of rented accommodation, high proportion of people living in flats, low car ownership

The predictive data for the following clusters is:

Wellbeing: measuring people’s experience and satisfaction with the lives overall, including with income, health and financial management. The picture of wellbeing in the area is very poor.

Local Support: The area has very poor levels of “neighbourhood support”, indicating that the social solidarity, belonging and social supports are weak.

Isolation: the levels of isolation score averagely in the LBH.

Competence: the area scores very poorly for competence, meaning people reporting high levels of capability (the ability to manage problems and feel useful) and low levels of stress (including anxiety and confidence).

Emotional fragility: similarly the area has high levels of emotional fragility – meaning the There is a mixed picture for emotional stress, with the majority of the local area likely to have high proportions of people with high levels of stress and low levels of capability.

3. ASSETS

The area surrounds Heston Park, which includes the new Heston Pools and Fitness centre. There are a number of shops and services on the New Heston Road – including Heston Library, Heston Village Hall, the Seventh Day Adventist Church, a cinema, Royal British Legion, Elm Tree Pub, a Laundrette, a florist and takeaways – which are either within or close to the LSOA. North Hyde Medical Practice is to the north on North Hyde Lane. Westbrook primary school is within the LSOA, and Heston Primary School sits just to the East.

An initial visit to the area on 9 June 2016 found that the LSOA was an extremely mixed area. The mix of semi-detached properties and large blocks of purpose built flats has resulted in permeability issues, and a dense and overcrowded feel. Although there are a number of small businesses and services within the LSOA, and the area seems busy and fairly well connected, it would be difficult to identify a clear community or sense of place. All of the above contributed to a perception that the area was disjointed. In addition to the recently built Heston Pools and Fitness Centre, there is a significant amount of new development underway, including construction of a Hounslow Housing Site with United Living.

Second visit in September highlighted the numerous cul de sacs and an impermeable and fragmented nature of the area. There is a relatively large social housing area near the highway which appears rundown and isolated which might be compared to the more well-established traditional housing in the south.

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C.

Lower Super Output Area LSOA Hounslow 021A– Desk Based Review

Overview

Lower Super Output Area (LSOA) 021A located to the north-east of Hounslow Heath and just south of Staines Road. It covers a number of residential streets including Drayton Close and Roseheath Road. Wellington Road South is on the area’s eastern edge.

The area contains approximately 753 households (2011 Census) with a population of about 2213 (population estimate in 2014 is 2,245). There is a relatively high density population per hectare (128.8 compared to 45.4).

It is relatively deprived, being ranked in decile 3 on the Index of Multiple Deprivation (where decile 1 contains the 10% most deprived LSOAs in England and decile 10 contains the least deprived 10%). 32.3 % of households are deprived in more than two dimensions which is higher than the average for Hounslow.

“Hard” data – that which is publically available or held within the Council –scores neither particularly well nor particularly badly, with all but two factors close to the LBH average. The predictive data, by contrast, is very poor for this area; it scores consistently poorly for every cluster other than Isolation.

A visit in September found the area to be characterised by a set of impermeable cul de sacs There is no clear centre or community feel. There were few people walking around. Most of the houses were terraced with some social housing. There is a new development close to Staines Road.

1. HARD DATA

Self

Working age adults (16-65) constitute 65.2% of the population, children (0-15) 26.9%, and those aged 65+ are 7.9%. This shows a high number of children but a rather low number of pensioners. The area’s “dependency ratio” (the ratio of non-working age to working age population) at 0.54.

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The ethnic profile of the area include a large proportion of those classified as Black or Minority Ethnic groups (79.8) with the majority of this population Indian and Pakistani. 48.1 % of the population were born in England and 9% have a UK passport. Of those born outside of England, the majority come from the Middle East and Asia (32.3%). 54.1% of households have English as a main language. 6% of the population speak English badly or not at all which is slightly higher than the LBH average

Claimant rates re relatively low with 0.5% of the working age population are claiming JSA, 4.4 % of residents are claiming incapacity benefits and 9.6% claiming workless benefit claimants (2016). This is below national averages. However the number of 16-24 olds claiming workless benefits are much higher than the Hounslow averages (4.2% compared to 2.9%).

The number of economically active people is at the LBH average (70.1%) and 26.3% of adults with disabilities are in employment. 29.5% of the working population work part time which is slightly higher than the LBH and London averages but in line with national averages. The average household income is above the below for LBH as a whole. The largest sectors for employment in the area are Wholesale and Retail Trade (16.1%), Transport and Storage (14.8%) and Human Health and Social Work Activities (8.5%). 69.1% of the population have a level 2 or higher qualification. There are lower numbers of people working in managerial, professional or associate professional occupations (34.5%0 compared to the LBH (42.4%) and national (41.1%) averages.

Health outcomes are average in the LBH – with male life expectancy at 78 and female life expectancy at 89. Only 4.2% of the population report being in bad or very bad health and 12.9% indicate their daily activities are limited. This is slightly below the LBH averages. All-cause mortality, hospital admissions, ambulance callouts, percentage of residents in very poor health and public health measures are also average. Binge drinking is low as are rates of smoking. Child Obesity at year 6 is worrying at 25.3%.

Supports

There are low numbers of one person households 20.6 % 47.7% of the population live in a couple (married or cohabitating). The number of lone parent households with dependent children (11.7%) is slightly higher than the LBH average. 3.5% of households indicate they provide unpaid care which is below average.

The proportion of pensioners living alone (defined as households of one pensioner and no other household members) is 67.9% which is above national averages30.9% of pensioners in receipt of pension credit and this considered to be living in poverty is 30.89% which is above the national average of 17.8%. In addition, Age Concern have developed a Loneliness Index (which predicts the prevalence of loneliness amongst people aged 65+). Areas with a value closer to 0 predict a greater prevalence of loneliness amongst those aged 65 and over and living in households compared to areas with a value further away from 0. The LSOA scores 3.9 which is at the LBH average. The average number of adult social care clients per 1000 residence is 27.9 which is higher than the average for the LBH at 21.

86.3% of the population ascribe to a religion which is higher than the LBH average. The predominant religion is Christian (33.4), followed by Muslim (25.2%) and Hindu (16.6%).

The area scores slightly below average for transience, with the number of people having moved address within the last 12 months (11.1%).The area has higher rates of housing in multiple occupation (HMO) (20%) and overcrowded housing (25.6%). There are 10.3 registered HMO per 1000 dwellings which is double the LBH average.

Voter turnout levels are slightly higher than the LBH average but volunteering levels are lower than the LBH, only 19% of the population volunteers.

Systems and infrastructure

Travel times to services and public transport accessibility is average. There are low levels of active travel by bicycle (1.5%) and foot (3.7%) Road accident casualties are slightly below the LBH average.

The majority of housing was built between 1973 and 1999. 42.8% are terraced houses followed by semi-detached housing (30.8%). The tenure of housing in the local area is mostly owner occupied

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(48.9%) or socially rented households (28%) or rented from a private landlord/letting agency (21.0%) The median house price is £249 475 which is below the LBH average (£374, 241)

The air quality levels average for Hounslow. Call outs to fires, crime and road accidents are also average. While residents report feeling ‘safe’ or ‘very safe’ during the day but levels of perceived safety at night are very low. In 2015-2016 crime rates as a whole were relatively low, violent crimes and robberies were higher than the national averages.

The area scores significantly average for the number of residents satisfied with their local authority and local area, however the latter scores lower.

2. PREDICTIVE DATA

The predictive data – produced from a statistical model which uses national survey data on wellbeing and resilience, and ‘matches’ it to local areas in Hounslow by using Office for National Statistics Output Area Classifications (OACs) – shows areas of concern..

All the households are classified as “Multicultural metropolitans” These households are ‘Concentrated in larger urban conurbations in the transitional areas between urban centres and suburbia’. There are generally a high proportion of BME groups and a high proportion of families “live in densely populated urban areas. They are more likely to live in flats and communal establishments, and private renting is more prevalent than nationally”.

They are further classified into the “Challenged Asian Terraces” sub group (4b) described below: The population of this group has a higher proportion of non-White ethnic groups than the parent supergroup especially people of the Pakistani ethnic group, and a higher proportion of 0 to 14 year-olds. It is more likely that their main language is not English or Welsh. A higher proportion of households live in terraced properties, and overcrowding is more prevalent. When compared with the supergroup more people are likely to be unemployed, and those in employment to be working in the accommodation and food service industries.

The predictive data for the following clusters is:

Wellbeing: measuring people’s experience and satisfaction with the lives overall, including with income, health and financial management. The picture of wellbeing in the area is consistently very poor across the LSOA

Local Support: The area has very poor “neighbourhood support”, indicating that the social solidarity, belonging and social supports is not strong in most areas.

Isolation: the levels of isolation score average in the LBH, indicating medium levels of belonging and social solidarity

Competence: the area scores very poorly for competence, meaning people reporting high levels of capability (the ability to manage problems and feel useful) and low levels of stress (including anxiety and confidence).

Emotional fragility the area has high levels of emotional fragility – meaning the high levels of stress and low levels of capability

3. ASSETS

The area does not seem to be well known by the Council although it has a few housing estates and sheltered housing and is relatively close to the Heath. It is made up of several cul de sacs which makes it relatively impermeable. There is one new development in the northern part of the LSOA near Staines road.

The area is quiet and mainly residential. There are a few shops and a restaurants mostly opposite the LSOA. Wellington Day Center and Midsummer Park Preschool are situated in the area. Two charities work from the nearby Alf Chandler Center- Riana and Weare 1. Three primary schools and 1 secondary school are close to the LSOA as is the Hounslow Jamia Masjid Islamic Center.