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  • 7/31/2019 Issue 1-Eng

    1/27

    How can Abu Dhabind its entrepreneurial spirit?

    Fit for the future:Building a robust nancial system

    Zaha Hadid Masdar City The savings culture The psychology of ina

    World-class healthcare Economic zones GCC monetary union

    THE ECONOMIC

    REVIEWEncouraging entrepreneurialism and economic growth

    Summer 2009

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    ADCED

    it takes teamwork to win

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    We are living in turbulent economic times

    but here in Abu Dhabi we have much to be

    positive about. Our governments conservative

    investment strategy has placed us in a strong

    position to weather the global downturn, not only in the banking

    sector but throughout the economy. During that time, we must

    brace ourselves for a slowdown in growth but unlike many

    other parts of the world growth will continue.

    The slowdown is an ideal opportunity to lay the foundations

    for a strong and sustainable economy to take us into a prosperousfuture. That work has started with a range of positive initiatives

    and we highlight just two of them in this, the launch issue of

    The Economic Review.

    In the nancial services sector, the governments swift and

    decisive action to protect Abu Dhabis nancial system from the

    credit crunch will lead to a stronger, more robust banking system

    that is better able to withstand any future storms (page 18).

    In the wider economy, we must encourage the development of

    a bigger, more diverse private sector that will help to grow our

    GDP (page 10).

    The population of Abu Dhabi must take personal

    responsibility too, by taking a more considered approach to

    savings and by remaining condent about the times ahead

    (page 5). If the government and its citizens can work together,

    Abu Dhabi can emerge from the downturn as an even stronger

    economy with an even brighter future.

    We hope you enjoy reading this, and future editions, of The

    Economic Review. We would be delighted to receive any feedback

    you have. You can email us at [email protected]

    Waleed Al Mokarrab Al Muhairi

    Director General,

    Abu Dhabi Council for Economic Development

    THE ECONOMIC REVIEW SUMMER

    CONT

    WELCOME AGENDA: NEWS ANALYSIS5 Economy and tradeAbu Dhabi citizens need to start saving; inations

    mind over matter; dirham de-pegging debate

    7 Construction and infrastructureThe Modern Residential City a solution to

    affordable rent prices?

    8 Business environmentChanges to foreign-ownership laws could boost

    FDI in economic zones

    9 Social developmentAbu Dhabi has invested in medical facilities

    now it needs more healthcare workers

    INSIGHT:ENTREPRENEURIALISM

    10 Wealth generatorsEntrepreneurs create the economic and cultural

    fabric of society. They should be better valued

    13 The art of doing nothingHong Kong is a textbook example of why

    light-touch regulation works

    14 Learning from global leadersAbu Dhabis entrepreneurs can glean valuable

    lessons from the failures of other countries

    16 Private tuitionTo move towards a private sector-driveneconomy, Abu Dhabi should study the US

    17 Backing business dreamsEntrepreneurs in Abu Dhabi now have a better

    chance of achieving their business dreams with

    a helping hand from the Khalifa Fund

    SECTOR FOCUS:FINANCIAL SERVICES

    18 Credit crisis: how we got hereThe worlds nancial institutions are joining

    forces to tackle the economic downturn. To nd

    the right cure, they need to understand the causes

    23 DebriefGreen living at Masdar City

    24 DatabankAbu Dhabis economic indicators

    26 In conversationZaha Hadid on Saadiyat Island

    8

    10

    18

    26

    Cover illustration byFlat

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    ADCEDdriving Abu Dhabis growth

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    Ordinary UAE residents lost

    hundreds of millions of dirhams

    last year after falling victim to

    a number of bogus investment

    portfolios that promised monthly returns of 30-

    40%. These scams have highlighted the dangers

    of investing in short-term, high-risk, high-return

    products compared to long-term savings.That hurts the entire economy, not just the

    individual, says Dr Abd Al Majeed Al Heeti, an

    economic adviser for the Abu Dhabi Council

    for Economic Development. High savings

    support economic expansion and growth as that

    capital provides nance for different economic

    sectors. It also helps keep ination rates down

    by reducing levels of consumer spending.

    But the savings habit is not deeply rooted in

    Abu Dhabis culture, mainly for three reasons:

    a lack of nancial awareness; a shortage of

    attractive, long-term savings products; andtraditions and lifestyles.

    The recent spate of fraudulent investment

    portfolios emphasises the need for nancial

    literacy programmes across Abu Dhabi to teach

    citizens how to manage their personal savings

    and to understand how nancial institutions

    and products work. The long-term aim of such

    programmes would be to boost levels of saving,

    but that cant happen until the market offers

    a better range of savings products.

    Five main savings instruments are available:

    the stock market; savings accounts; xed deposit

    accounts; real estate; and the pension scheme

    for employed nationals, managed by the Abu

    Dhabi Retirement Pensions and Benets Fund.

    However, most people are not attracted to these

    THE ECONOMIC REVIEW SUMMER

    The savings habiTBy Salwa Fadhel

    AGENDA Economy and

    instruments because of their low returns, which

    barely match increasing rates of ination*, says

    one Abu Dhabi-based banker.

    However, there are cultural barriers to

    overcome. People in Abu Dhabi appreciate

    generosity and what they would consider to be

    normal spending patterns can often be seen as

    excessive in other cultures for example, thosewho earn less than AED10,000 a year regularly

    spend well over three-quarters of their income

    (see table). Moreover, the prominence of luxury

    brands in Abu Dhabi has a strong inuence on

    spending habits. Saeed Al Mehairi, a 28-year-

    old Emirati who works for the government,

    says: People always like to purchase the best

    in the market such as the latest cars, phones,

    clothes, shoes, bags and jewellery, and they

    often nance that with loans.

    Abu Dhabi could look overseas for

    inspiration. The Monetary Authority of

    Singapore oversees a national programme

    called MoneySENSE, designed to educate

    Singaporeans on how to save, invest and

    manage their money; how to understand

    In this section:The savings culture (p5) The psychology of ination (p6) GCCmonetary union (p6) Affordable housing (p7) Economic zones (p8) World-class healthcare (p9)

    INcomE Groups (AED) AvErAGEINcomE (AED)AvErAGE

    ExpENDIturE (AED)ExpENDIturE As

    pErcENtAGE of INcomE (%

    Less than 10,000 4,922 4,270 86.75

    10,000-25,000 15,980 12,035 75.31

    More than 25,000 55,456 27,684 49.92

    Total of all income groups 20,298 12,249 60.35

    Source: Department of Planning and Economy, Abu Dhabi. All income and expenditure figures are preliminary

    nancial products; and how to teach

    reinforce savings habits in children. Whet

    such a programme would work in Abu Dh

    remains to be seen, but one thing is clear

    citizens need to learn to save.

    *The ination rate in Abu Dhabi was 10.

    in 2007, according to the DepartmentPlanning and Economy, Abu Dhabi.

    Aeage ine and eendie hehld in Ab Dhabi (2007/08)

    Allillustrationsby

    GaryBates

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    AGENDA Economy and trade

    The UAE government

    has put an end to the

    de-pegging debate

    once and for all after

    announcing that it will not take

    part in the proposed monetary

    union agreement between the

    Gulf Cooperation Council states.

    It had not stated why, however, at

    the time The Economic Review went

    to press.

    The UAE dirham has been

    pegged to the dollar since its

    creation in 1973 but the policy

    had attracted critics, particularly

    during the past two years when

    the dollars depreciation prompted

    HOW INFLATION PLAYS

    WITH THE MINDBy Alanoud Al Alawi

    Ination levels in Abu

    Dhabi are falling after a

    period of record rises but

    during that peak, were

    peoples perceptions and not

    simply economic factors at play?

    A rise in rents and food prices,and higher public spending,

    had been highlighted by Abu

    Dhabis government as signicant

    contributors to rising ination.

    A series of economic, scal and

    monetary policies, as outlined in

    theAbu Dhabi Economic Vision 2030,

    have helped tackle the problem.

    But evidence from other

    markets suggests that the threat

    posed by the psychology of

    ination requires a similarlyrobust response. Perceptions

    of whether ination is rising or

    declining in any economy play

    a vital role in how people invest,

    save and spend. They also affect

    the decisions of policymakers.

    In the UK, the Bank of England

    produces a quarterly survey

    of ination expectations. In

    May 2008, the perceived rate

    of ination was a percentage

    point above the actual rate. This

    can become self-fullling: if

    investors and consumers believe

    that prices will continue to rise,

    there is an expectation of higher

    salaries and potentially higher

    interest rates. The result? A rise

    in ination despite the absence

    of economic triggers.

    Predictions are often based

    on historical indicators, as well

    as peoples responses to media

    reports and rumours on the state

    of the economy, regardless of

    their accuracy.

    In Abu Dhabi, expectations of

    future price increases are fuelledby a Consumer Price Index (CPI)

    that has risen every year since

    2004 (see chart right).

    Yet despite the effect of

    the global nancial downturn

    on Abu Dhabis economy,

    some economists believe that

    inationary causes are easing.

    Simon Williams, the chief

    economist at HSBC, told The

    Nationalin November 2008: We

    are denitely past the worst,and youll see prices not fall, but

    ination moderate substantially

    over the next 12 months.

    How will this affect

    the behaviour and attitudes of

    Abu Dhabis consumers over the

    next 12 to 18 months?

    Professor Stephen

    G Cecchetti of Brandeis

    Business School recently

    noted, people have selective

    memories: Ask nearly anyone

    about ination and they are

    likely to recall price increases.

    They somehow take them as

    personal affronts. Probe further,

    and people might admit that

    the price of clothes has fallen,

    or that their phone service is

    cheaper; but thats not what

    they remember rst.

    Growth in major componentsof Abu Dhabis CPI basket(Base year: 2004)

    TO PEG

    OR NOT TO PEG?By Hamda Al Kindi

    some to call for de-pegging.

    With the recent apprecia

    of the dollar, those critics w

    silenced but the debate had

    threatened to raise its head

    again in the next few years

    the GCC presses ahead with

    monetary union. Whether t

    new currency should be peg

    to the dollar or stand alone

    likely to be top of the agend

    the UAE will no longer hav

    revisit that question.

    Speaking in the wake of

    decision to pull out of mon

    union discussions, Mr Sulta

    Nasser Al Suwaidi, governo

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    Recreation, education & cultura

    Food, drinks & tobacco

    Transportation & commu

    Rentals, water & uel

    Source: Department o Planning and Economy, Abu Dhabi

    AED 100

    AED 146

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    The peg [tothe dollar]greatlybeneftedthe localeconomy

    AGENDA Construction and inrastru

    the UAE Central Bank, said the

    UAE would continue to maintain

    its expansionary monetary

    policy without change and that,

    therefore, the dirhams peg to the

    US dollar would be maintained.The peg greatly beneted the

    local economy and helped to

    achieve good rates of growth in

    the industrial and tourism sectors,

    as well as to attract foreign

    investments, Mr Sultan bin

    Nasser al Suwaidi recently told a

    banking conference in Frankfurt.

    It has also provided a backdrop of

    stability and clarity to the UAEs

    monetary, scal and economic

    policies. Critics claimed thatkeeping the peg would simply fuel

    ination and make imports more

    expensive. We were criticised

    for staying with the dollar when

    it was weak, so I dont think we

    should be criticised for staying

    with the dollar when it is strong,

    the Central Bank governor told

    the banking conference.

    Supporters of the peg

    claim an uncontrolled rise in

    the value of the dirham couldmake holidaying or investing

    in Abu Dhabi more expensive.

    Al Mafraq, 45

    kilometres outside

    of Abu Dhabi city

    centre, will soon be

    home to the Modern Residential

    City (MRC) a new development

    housing 25,000 technicians,

    supervisors and other workers.

    What sets it apart from the other

    small and inexpensive it isabout operating it fairly. It means

    a personal commitment to the

    tenant, Mr Fardan Hassan Al

    Fardan, chairman of Al Rayan

    Investment Company, the

    business behind MRC,

    said recently.

    The MRC model is a potential

    solution to the growing problem

    of affordable housing for middle-

    income workers in Abu Dhabi.

    Rent levels for this group haveskyrocketed during the past

    two years as demand outstrips

    supply. In 2004, a typical three-

    bedroom apartment was on the

    rental market for AED60,000-

    90,000 per year. Today, that

    same apartment would fetch

    AED160,000-200,000 a year

    an increase of more than 100%.

    The price rises are nancially

    crippling middle-income earners

    and their families. Those on

    a monthly salary of AED5,000-

    15,000 are spending up to 65% of

    their salary on rent, compared to

    just 23% for those on more than

    AED15,000 per month, according

    to Abu Dhabi Department of

    Planning and Economy gures.

    Demand for affordable housing

    is expected to continue growing as

    the government pushes aheadwith plans for economic

    diversication, which will bring

    more expatriate workers into the

    emirate. Thats likely to keep ren

    levels at all-time highs, unless

    measures are introduced to

    tackle the problem.

    Past moves, such as laws

    prohibiting rent rises for a xed

    term, while welcomed, have bee

    seen as a short-term x.

    Longer term, its hoped thatthe Al Reem Island and Al Rah

    Beach housing developments

    will ease the supply shortage.

    Located close to Abu Dhabis

    business district, Al Reem Island

    is expected to house more than

    200,000 residents, and a further

    120,000 housing units are under

    construction in Al Raha Beach,

    closer to Abu Dhabi Airport.

    Both projects are expected

    to be completed within the next

    three to ve years, but their imp

    may be limited if the population

    continues to grow. MRC will be

    in operation sooner phase one

    is due for completion this Augus

    while phase two will be delivere

    February 2010 and, with its fo

    on affordable housing, may well

    the more effective way ahead.

    This would dent the revenues

    the country currently gets from

    tourism and foreign directinvestment and make it less

    competitive than other nations.

    Thats not a scenario they need to

    worry about any longer, however.

    MRC: THE WAY

    FORWARD?By Khalia Al Mehairi

    housing developments currently

    under construction across Abu

    Dhabi is its commitment to setting

    rents at levels affordable to middle-

    income workers the fastest-

    growing segment of the emirates

    working population.

    Affordable housing is not

    just about building something

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    IN THE ZONE

    C

    ould changes to

    laws governing

    foreign ownershipof businesses in the

    UAE currently under active

    government consideration boost

    foreign direct investment (FDI) in

    its economic zones?

    For the past four years, Abu

    Dhabi has been developing

    and operating economic

    zones as part of its strategy

    to diversify its oil-dependent

    economy. However, it has been

    less successful than some otherregions at attracting FDI, widely

    recognised as one of the main

    drivers of zone development.

    FDI accounted for just 13%

    of the total AED34bn invested

    in Abu Dhabis zones as of

    December 31, 2008, according

    to ZonesCorp, the government-

    backed organisation that

    manages and operates the zones.

    Mr Mohamed Al Hameli,

    director general of the Abu

    Dhabi Chamber of Commerce

    & Industry, believes the

    AED30bn worth of local

    investment in the emirates

    zones marks a good start to

    the programme. The zone

    environment encourages locals

    to have joint ventures with

    foreign investors, especially

    THE ECONOMIC REVIEW SUMMER 2009 8

    AGENDA Business environment

    in [producing] for regional

    markets, he says.

    Thats made possible by thecurrent statutory requirement for a

    minimum of 51% local ownership

    of all businesses, including those

    operating within the zones, but

    the law is considered to affect

    Abu Dhabis ability to attract FDI

    into those areas. Changes to the

    rule are imminent, and many are

    hoping for a removal of the cap

    on foreign ownership to allow

    international investors to have up

    to a 100% stake in their businesses.That will almost certainly lead

    to a boost in the amount of FDI

    owing into Abu Dhabis zones,

    in which many foreign delegations

    have already expressed an interest

    in investing.

    Ownership rules are not

    the only constraints on zone

    development the availability of

    adequate energy and land space to

    meet growing demand also needs

    to be addressed. Furthermore,

    Abu Dhabi needs to continually

    differentiate itself in order to

    boost its volume of FDI in an

    increasingly competitive market.

    Dr Nermine El Shimy, chief

    economic, regulatory and customer

    service ofcer for ZonesCorp, says

    this could be achieved by targeting

    a highly specialised segment of

    FDI that would facilitate the

    transfer of knowledge and

    know-how, in line with the Abu

    Dhabis governments vision of

    becoming a knowledge-basedeconomy by 2030.

    Abu Dhabi is already

    differentiating itself from

    immediate competitors in the

    Gulf through its approach to

    zone infrastructure, namely its

    cluster approach, which has

    helped countries such as Ireland

    attract FDI, and the use of

    the public/private partnership

    model, which the emirate has

    been pioneering in the region.But, above all else, Mr Al

    Hameli points out that Abu

    Dhabis zone programme

    must maintain credibility by

    ensuring that we provide what

    we promote; to do otherwise

    would be highly detrimental to

    the continued success of our

    economic zones.

    By Jennifer Green

    5The current numberof economic zonesin Abu Dhabi

    47sq km

    The area coveredby the existingeconomic zones

    3.12

    bn The estimatedcost of AbuDhabis zoneinfrastructure

    45The number ofcountries from

    which companieshave set up in thezones, producingplastics, glass,construction

    materials andchemical products

    4The numberof new zonesbeing plannedin Abu Dhabi, toaccommodatehigh-value-addedmanufacturing,commercial andservice-basedindustries

    117sqkm

    The total landspace dedicatedto economic zonesin Abu Dhabi,once its four newzones come intooperation

    Zonefacts

    We mustensure that

    we providewhat wepromote

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    AGENDA Social develop

    Abu Dhabi is

    successfully building

    world-class medical

    facilities, but its

    healthcare sector will develop

    sufciently only if it can attract

    enough highly qualied doctors

    and medical scientists from

    overseas and train local staff.Abu Dhabi boasts 3,394

    doctors, 6,345 nurses and

    4,338 other health professionals

    including pharmacists

    according to 2007 gures from

    Health Authority Abu Dhabi

    (HAAD). However, the authority

    estimates that it needs a much

    higher number of qualied

    medical staff to increase the

    healthcare sector.

    Increasing staff numbers willbe a challenge not only is there

    a shortage of homegrown medical

    school graduates, historically, Abu

    Dhabis older hospital facilities

    have found it a challenge to

    attract and retain good people.

    In an article published byArab

    Finance recently, HAAD chief

    executive Zaid Al Siksek admitted

    that high turnover of healthcare

    professionals was a problem. That

    CALLING ALL

    DOCTORSBy Shaikha Al Qassimi

    Project Partner Laun

    Imperi al Col lege London Diabetes Centre Imper ia l Coll ege London, UK 2006

    National Reference Lab LabCorp, USA 2009

    Tawam Molecular Imaging Centre Johns Hopkins Medicine International, USA 2010

    Abu Dhabi Spine Centre Wooridul, South Korea 2010

    Cleveland Clinic Abu Dhabi Cleveland Clinic, USA 2011

    may start to change now that the

    government has invested in new,

    state-of-the-art medical facilities.

    A third reason why Abu Dhabi

    will nd it tough to adequately

    staff its healthcare sector, at

    least in the short term, is an

    unprecedented demand for a

    greater quantity and better qualityof healthcare, which is currently

    outstripping supply.

    In the near future, the

    healthcare industry will face great

    difculties recruiting and retaining

    good, qualied professionals in all

    aspects of the industry because

    demand exceeds by far what is

    available, Taysir Khatib, regional

    director of the UAE branch of

    the Mayo Clinic the US not-for-

    prot medical practice recentlytoldArab Finance.

    That demand has been driven

    by economic migration to the

    emirate, which has led to

    a population explosion in 2008,

    it was home to 2.3 million people,

    compared to 1.4 million in 2001,

    according to the Abu Dhabi

    Chamber of Commerce and

    Industry. Abu Dhabis increasing

    economic prosperity, and the

    change in lifestyle that brings,

    has also led to an increase in the

    incidence and range of illnesses

    that require treatment. Increases

    in type II diabetes, asthma and

    obesity are of particular concern.

    The government has begun

    to shift responsibility for the

    healthcare service delivery to

    the private sector, allowing

    policymakers to focus ondelivering primary care such as

    prevention and awareness raising.

    As a result, the Abu Dhabi

    state-owned company Mubadala

    Healthcare has been building

    partnerships with international

    institutions such as Imperial

    College London (ICL). Mubadala

    and ICL launched the Imperial

    College London Diabetes Centre

    in Abu Dhabi in 2006. Mubadala

    supplied capital investment,

    while ICL manages the facility

    maintains clinical standards,

    hires and develops staff, and se

    medical protocol. The centre,

    which specialises in diabetes

    treatment, research, training

    and education, has treated mo

    than 20,000 patients and reach

    countless others through publi

    health awareness campaigns.

    More projects are in the

    pipeline (see table). If Abu Dha

    can upgrade the skills of its

    medical staff in line with its ne

    facilities, the healthcare sector w

    become an engine of economic

    growth in the emirate over the

    next two decades.

    Healthcare facilities partnerships

    There isa demandfor a greatequality of

    healthcare

    THE ECONOMIC REVIEW SUMMER

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    The 19th-century English Romantic poet Percy ByssheShelley memorably called poets the unacknowledged

    legislators of the world. A work-shy Bohemian, he clearly

    failed to notice that there might be a rival fraternity with

    a better claim: entrepreneurs.

    Entrepreneurs shape our world, its fashions, its entertainments and

    accoutrements, but who acknowledges them? Poets get statues in their

    honour (Shelleys huge memorial stands in the quad of University

    College, Oxford, under a painted dome). Entrepreneurs are anonymous.

    Frances richest man, Bernard Arnault, owns more than 60 well-known

    luxury brands including Christian Dior and Louis Vuitton yet he

    can walk through any city in the world unnoticed. Sun Microsystems

    co-founder Bill Joy developed the internet, Carlos Slim Helu is thesecond richest man in the world and dominates commercial life in his

    native Mexico and across South America, while the Ambani brothers

    are taking India to rst-world status. But who, aside from business nerds,

    would know their names? Can you picture their faces?

    The status entrepreneurs ought to be accorded is evident from

    their astonishing contribution to society. According to the Global

    Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM), up to 70% of the difference between

    national economic growth can be attributed to entrepreneurial activity.

    No countries that have high levels of entrepreneurial activity experience

    low long-term growth.

    Entrepreneurial rms are creative engines, outstripping large

    institutions. In the United States, some 67% of inventions and 95%

    of radical innovations since the Second World War have come from

    small entrepreneurial rms.

    Defnitive expression

    But even the word entrepreneur is abused. Just as not everyone who can

    write is a poet, so not everyone who owns a business can be called an

    entrepreneur. A worthwhile distinction can be made between owner-

    managers who form a company for tax and legal purposes and the true

    tycoon. A global poll by GEM revealed 6.5% of people starting a business

    THE ECONOMIC REVIEW SUMMER 2009 10

    INSIGHT Entrepreneurialism

    WEALTHGENERATORSEntrepreneurs rarely win the publics

    affection, yet they are the main drivers

    of a nations prosperity

    By Charles Orton-Jones

    IllustrationbyPeterCrowther

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    INSIGHT Entrepreneurialism

    believe they will employ more than 20 workers within ve years, and

    a mere 1.7% believe they will employ more than 100 workers. The latter

    will account for half of all the jobs created by owner-managers, and

    almost 90% of jobs are created by a quarter of owner-managers. Half

    of new rms expect to create no jobs at all. It is therefore too generous to

    label every hairdressing salon owner, drinks vendor and sole trader as an

    entrepreneur. Since only one in nine adults starts a rm, it might be fair

    to estimate that only one person in 100 is a true entrepreneur.

    But what a difference that person can make. Entrepreneurs tend to

    follow up success with more success. Steve

    Jobs is known for founding Apple (32,000

    employees), but he also founded Hollywoodsfastest-growing lm studio, Pixar. Hermann

    Hauser has founded more than 100 rms (he

    says hes lost count), including chipmaker ARM

    and Acorn, both billion-dollar companies. And

    the Greek-Cypriot-born British tycoon Sir

    Stelios Haji-Ioannou has founded a shipping

    rm, an airline, a hotel chain and two dozen other businesses.

    The vital contribution that entrepreneurs make to the wealth of

    a nation is obvious. Less apparent is their ability to endow that nation

    with social power or soft power. Americas cultural inuence is entirely

    due to entrepreneurs. From Ray Krocs McDonalds to Berry Gordys

    Motown Records, Uncle Sams ubiquity is the product of pioneeringmen. The government plays no part. The engine of Americas cultural

    might is Hollywood, created by mavericks such as Samuel Goldwyn,

    Jack Warner, David Geffen and Harvey Weinstein. Australia and Britain

    have no such entrepreneurs to boast of, so the children of both nations

    watch what the Hollywood studios desire. The Canadian entertainment

    industry exists only to distribute American productions. US lm exports

    are 10 times larger than its imports. The cultural trafc is one-way.

    State of a nation

    If the rise of nations is inuenced by entrepreneurs, so is the fall. Swedens

    ascent from a poor farming nation to model society is tightly correlated to

    the sudden owering of world-class entrepreneurs. From 1890 to 1950,

    it was the fastest-growing country in the world. Ruben Rausings Tetra

    Pak, Ingvar Kamprads Ikea, Assar Gabrielssons Volvo, Dr Axel Lennart

    Wenner-Grens Electrolux and Erling Perssons H&M are just a handful

    of the global giants produced by Sweden in the rst half of the 20th

    century. The country celebrated fewer new successes in the latter half

    of the century. None of the top 50 companies on the Stockholm stock

    exchange was founded after 1950. Net job creation since 1950 is negative.

    One in ve Swedes of working age is on benets. As a result, the wealth

    of the nation has declined.

    In 1970, Sweden was the fourth richest nation per head in the wIt is now 17th, behind tiger economies such as Ireland and Singapo

    a recent Start-up Day conference in Stockholm, the entrepreneu

    blogger Annika Lidne noted: The reection I cant seem to let

    from the day had nothing to do with the speakers and all to do wi

    audience. Where were all the young Swedish entrepreneurs? Or

    more scary, are they an endangered species? Of the 20- to 30-ye

    crowd, 80% seemed to be Asian or Middle Eastern or is it that

    Swedes still are obediently goaded into big corporation conformity

    an adversity to risk or an antipathy towards hard work? I dont

    What I do know is that if things dont change soon, Sweden is goin

    a second-rate country in a world run by an Indo Chinese joint vent

    Swedens entrepreneurs have lost their mojo, but that may be st

    to change. In 2006, the right-wing Alliance for Sweden swept to p

    pledging to revive the nations appetite for commerce. The current

    minister, Fredrik Reinfeldt, comes from a family of entrepreneu

    has vowed to change the culture of petty aggression towards w

    creators. He says that if Sweden cannot produce more entreprene

    will slide into mediocrity.

    If Swedens experience tells us anything, it is this entrepre

    may not be either celebrated or famous, but they are the true arch

    of every nation.

    The vital contribution thatentrepreneurs make to the

    wealth of a nation is obvious

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    Just getout of the

    way, keeptaxes lowand dontmeddle

    THE ART OF

    DOING NOTHINGSometimes, a lack of action is the most helpfulthing a government can do By Charles Orton-Jones

    How do you encourage

    entrepreneurs? Japan offers

    subsidised state loans to

    start-ups while France uses a

    complex system of research and development

    tax credits. There is another approach: do

    nothing. Just get out of the way, keep taxes low

    and dont meddle. This strategy was adopted

    by Sir John Cowperthwaite in Hong Kong in

    the 1960s with spectacular results.

    Cowperthwaite isnt well known. In his

    own lifetime he was uncelebrated. But as

    nancial secretary of Hong Kong from 1961

    to 1971, he transformed the island. His

    philosophy was extreme laissez-faire. When a

    delegation of businessmen pleaded with him

    to fund a tunnel across the harbour, he told

    them if it made commercial sense they should

    fund it themselves. They did. He kept income

    tax at the low rate of 15%. Red tape was

    non-existent.

    Cowperthwaite instructed civil servants to

    collect only the imsiest of statistics, believing

    facts would be seized upon and abused by

    meddling social engineers.

    Cowperthwaite understood the

    concept of mission creep. He

    worried that as Hong Kong grew in

    prosperity, the government would be

    tempted to intervene in the lives of

    its citizens. He considered

    it his job to nip this process in the bud. Large

    public projects were funded by land sales

    rather than tax rises. Under his keen nancial

    scrutiny, Hong Kong became a paradise

    of free trade. The results were staggering.

    When Cowperthwaite arrived in Hong Kong,

    income per capita was an estimated 40%

    lower than Gabon. It had no natural resources

    and a volatile neighbour. Yet during his t ime

    as nancial secretary, real wages rose 50%.

    The number of households in poverty fell by

    two thirds. Every social indicator improved.

    The framework Cowperthwaite created

    was carefully maintained by all his successors.

    The skyline of skyscrapers, profusion of

    multinationals and conspicuous wealth of

    modern Hong Kong is now openly credited to

    the foresight of this modest civil servant.

    Even the Chinese are hailing him. By 1997

    it was clear which model was succeeding.

    After the British handed Hong Kong back to

    the Chinese, it was Beijing, not Hong Kong,

    which remodelled its approach to fostering

    entrepreneurship. When Cowperthwaite

    died in 2006, Hong Kongs chief executive

    Donald Tsang said: We shall always

    remember Sir John for the pioneering and

    dominant role he played in the birth of the

    legend of Hong Kong as the freest market

    economy in the world.

    Today, politicians in ambitious nation state

    face a dilemma. Should they offer a helping

    hand to businesses or get out of the way?

    Cowperthwaite had some advice for them

    In the long run, the aggregate of decisions

    individual businessmen, exercising individua

    judgment in a free economy, even if often

    mistaken, is less likely to do harm than the

    centralised decisions of a government.

    His message to policymakers was

    emphatic: do nothing. I did very

    little, he said of Hong Kongs

    stratospheric rise. All I did was

    to try to prevent some of the

    things that might undo it.

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    China Key lesson:manage expansionappropriately, based onproper planningThe stratospheric rise of the Chinese

    economy has been underpinnedby the growth of the private sector,

    which began when the government

    started its economic liberalisation in

    the late 1970s.

    Many would say that

    entrepreneurialism in China goes

    back centuries, but in its most recent

    form, it dates back about 20 years,

    explains Eric Schmidt, founder

    and president of the not-for-prot

    organisation China Entrepreneurs,

    which encourages networkingand sharing of expertise. The

    rst businesses were opportunities

    tied to the government a friend

    who works there would push an

    opportunity your way. Then came

    private rms in real estate and in the

    mid-1990s, entrepreneurs moved

    into other opportunities.

    Today, Schmidt says the

    government is very supportive of

    entrepreneurial ventures and is

    particularly keen to see the privatesector ourish in rural areas.

    The government recognises that

    it is a huge part of the economy.

    They have set up local investment

    funds that operate at a provincial

    level. There are also incubation

    centres, technology parks and

    tax-free zones.

    However, the current global

    nancial crisis has had an impact

    on Chinas entrepreneurs. People

    are having to get smarter about how

    they develop their businesses. Some

    were spending money they didnt

    need to, and expanded too quickly.

    They had not planned the next

    step and are now having to shed

    employees quickly. Laying off staff

    is not a good thing, says Schmidt.

    All economies seek to avoid

    such job losses, and it is a lesson

    that Dubais real-estate sector is

    learning the hard way, with several

    developers conrming staff cuts

    in the hundreds.

    THE ECONOMIC REVIEW SUMMER 2009 14

    INSIGHT Entrepreneurialism

    LEARNING

    FROM

    GLOBAL

    LEADERS

    From expanding too quickly in

    China, to debilitating bureaucracy

    in Poland, and accepting failure

    in the US, global economies canprovide some useful lessons for

    Abu Dhabis entrepreneursBy Bernadette Redern

    The reality isthat the US hasalways beendominated byentrepreneurs

    US Key lesson: acceptand allow businesses to ailWith its free market economy, the

    US has long been considered

    a land of opportunity. It is in the

    DNA of the country. The reality

    is that the US has always been

    dominated by entrepreneurs,

    explains Dr Michael Morris,

    an expert in entrepreneurship

    and emerging enterprises from

    the Martin J Whitman Schoolof Management at New Yorks

    Syracuse University.

    According to research by

    Robert W Fairlee at the University

    of California, 5.94 million new

    businesses were launched in the

    US in 2007 that equates to

    IllustrationsbyJon

    Berkeley

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    a new business almost every two

    seconds. Dr Morris says the high

    level of new start-ups is due in

    part to the countrys acceptance of

    failure. It is a question of churn

    the rate at which ventures failor succeed. It is much more about

    having an environment where

    rms are strongly encouraged

    to enter and exit. The problem

    in many other markets is that,

    socially, it is much harder to re

    people and close businesses.

    Dr Shahid Yamin, UAE

    Universitys managing director

    of the Emirates Center for

    Innovation and Entrepreneurship,

    agrees this is a lesson Abu Dhabisyoung entrepreneurs could learn.

    I tell my students that failure is

    only a delayed success, he says.

    Other success factors in the

    US, says Morris, include minimal

    government interference, good

    supporting infrastructure, ample

    venture capital, angel networks

    and support from universities,

    although this could be improved.

    There is active aggressive

    entrepreneurship in businessschools, but the need is to go

    much further, says Morris. The

    leading-edge schools have it right,

    with the top 20 involving students

    from across all departments, as

    well as teaching entrepreneurship

    as an intellectual endeavour.

    Poland Key lesson:dont let bureaucracystife innovationIn Eastern Europe, Poland is

    considered to be one of the

    regions pioneers in terms of

    economic reform, following the

    fall of state socialism in 1989

    and the subsequent passing of

    legislation that gave economic

    freedom with few restrictions.

    In the 1990s, there was an

    explosion of entrepreneurs, with

    more than two million small

    companies launching, says

    Kamil Kajetanowicz, an expert at

    the Adam Smith Research Centrein Poland, a non-governmental

    think-tank that supports the

    principle and promotion of free

    market economies. Since then,

    government has consistently

    made life more difcult for

    entrepreneurs and passed

    hundreds of laws restricting

    their activity. It has introduced

    more and more requirements

    for permits and permissions and

    increased bureaucracy.On the bright side, the

    government is aware of the

    problems and has conducted

    a review to identify the stumbling

    blocks that prevent private

    enterprise from ourishing.

    Ministers voted in October 2008

    to reduce some of the burden

    by removing certain obligations

    on businesses. For example,

    businesses must keep all evidence

    of transactions printed and stored

    for ve years, but the quality

    of ink used often renders these

    receipts illegible after one year,

    says Kajetanowicz. The removal

    of such obligations could free up

    much time for entrepreneurs who,

    he says, spend as much as 30%

    of their time dealing with these

    kinds of legal requirements.

    People are hungry for

    success and work hard, but the

    should be given more chance t

    follow their ambitions, he say

    UK Key lesson:use popularculture to promoteentrepreneurialismamong young peoplePrivate enterprise has long been

    core to the UK economy, but th

    government wants to go further

    matching the US in terms of

    businesses per capita. To this en

    ministers published a new strate

    in March 2008, outlining plans

    for promoting entrepreneurialisthrough ve key areas, one of

    which is improving knowledge a

    awareness in the education syst

    Popular culture is key to

    achieving this aim. For examp

    one popular TV show

    Dragons Den encourages

    people who have new business

    ideas to pitch their plans to

    ve successful entrepreneurs

    and ask them to invest in

    their proposal. Entrepreneursfrom the programme are now

    working with the government

    initiatives to help young peopl

    learn more about starting thei

    own businesses.

    One initiative involves one

    of the UKs most popular spor

    football. Premiership teams a

    using their community groups

    to promote entrepreneurial

    activities. Tutors work with you

    people to use football clubs as

    case studies, showing them how

    the clubs work as businesses,

    not just sporting teams. They

    then work on challenges such

    as developing and marketing

    new products or designing new

    football strips, while considerin

    the nancial imperatives such a

    prots and costs.

    I tell mystudentsthat ailureis onlya delayedsuccess

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    INSIGHT Entrepreneurialism

    PRIVATE TUITION

    Moving from

    a hydrocarbon-

    fuelled

    economy to

    one driven by the privatesector is a key objective for

    Abu Dhabis government. With

    nite hydrocarbon resources

    dominating gross domestic

    product (GDP), Abu Dhabi is

    only too aware that an over-

    reliance on this is not sustainable.

    In order that future generations

    will inherit a more diverse

    economy, numerous initiatives are

    under way to boost the private

    sector and particularly to createa culture of entrepreneurialism.

    It is a known fact that in the

    21st century, entrepreneurs are

    the cornerstone for the success of

    any economy, explains Dr Shahid

    Yamin, managing director of the

    Emirates Center for Innovation

    and Entrepreneurship at UAE

    University. We have the land

    and the labour and the capital.

    We need more innovation, and

    the countrys leaders are very well

    aware of this and have placed it atthe heart of societal development.

    Abu Dhabis private sector

    generates 18.2% of GDP (see

    chart). According to the Abu

    Dhabi Chamber of Commerce,

    small to medium-sized enterprises

    (SMEs) account for about 85% of

    this, equivalent to around $17bn

    in 2007 or $18,280 per capita. By

    comparison, the US private sector

    contributes 88.5%, or $12.2trn,

    to the nations GDP, and the USSmall Business Administration

    estimates that more than 50%

    of this comes from SMEs. That

    amounts to $202,564 per capita.

    But perhaps more signicantly,

    the US job market is driven by

    SMEs that represent an incredible

    99.7% of all employers; generate

    In line with the worlds most entrepreneurial

    economies, Abu Dhabi is working hard to

    increase private-sector contribution to GDP

    By Bernadette Redern

    HELPING HAND

    According to entrepreneurs in Abu Dhabi, many changes havebeen introduced to support SMEs, including measures to

    encourage women and young people to start their own ventures.

    Mrs Farida Kamber is the founder and managing director of

    architectural and interior design practice Cinmar Design. The

    government would like people to play a positive part in building

    our economy and society, and long ago, realised women have

    an important role. There have been huge changes since I set up

    my business in 1989, not just in the infrastructure and buildings

    but in the markets and awareness. If I had to start a new business

    now, there are a lot more opportunities. Funding is one aspec

    and then females were not taken so seriously, but now the UAwoman has proven that she is smart and creative.

    Looking ahead, the government has set some challenging

    targets for Abu Dhabi when it comes to future private-sector

    growth. By 2015, it plans for private sector economic contribu

    to have soared to 32% of GDP, mainly driven by new SMEs.

    This requires a huge growth spurt in entrepreneurial activity,

    but thanks to efforts from a range of government departments

    and initiatives such as the Khalifa Fund (see page 17), SME

    contributions are on the rise.

    up to 80% of all new jobs annually;

    and employ more than 40% of all

    hi-tech workers (scientists, engineers

    and IT professionals). This is

    type of growth that Abu Dha

    looking to replicate.

    88.6

    11.4

    17 88.5 18

    83 11.5 81

    GDP(%)

    ABU DHABI ABU DUSA USA

    2006 2007

    GDP: Public/Private sector balance

    Public sectorPrivate sector

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    F

    rom snack outlets

    in malls to air-duct

    manufacturingfacilities, a range of

    new businesses have been launched

    in Abu Dhabi recently, thanks to the

    Khalifa Fund. Established in June

    2007, the initiative nanced by the

    government of Abu Dhabi gives

    nancial and advisory support to

    locals with small to medium-sized

    businesses (SMEs). Our aim is not

    just to give nance, but also to take

    an integrated approach, explains

    chief operating ofcer Dr AhmedAlmutawa. This involves three main

    stages. At the rst stage we receive

    the applicant and counsel them on

    their idea, stage two is the nancing

    and the nal stage is developing

    and supporting the business,

    says Dr Almutawa.

    To date, the fund has had

    more than 3,000 applications

    and supported 154 new ventures.

    Recipients of the fund, such as

    Mr Abdullah Al Treibeel, say the

    nancial aid and the intellectual

    support have been invaluable.

    Former safety engineer Mr Al

    Treibeel opened his air-duct factory

    Cirta Electromechanical in

    February 2008 but before he could

    obtain nancing, the Khalifa Fund

    sent him on a one-month training

    course: It taught me to write

    a business plan, manage cashow

    and handle employees, he says.

    After the course, he was loanedAED3m to rent a factory and buy

    machinery. We now produce

    12,000 to 20,000 feet of ducting

    per day, and we are planning to

    make 50,000 feet. I have AED18m

    in forward orders and have made

    enough money to repay the loan,

    but they have told me to keep

    investing in my business for now.

    Repayment terms are much

    more favourable than conventional

    nancing. We work with thebusiness to establish whether it

    needs a grace period, which can be

    up to two years; the business can

    then take up to ve years to repay

    the loan at zero to 1% interest,

    says Dr Almutawa.

    Youth voteSuch support has proved

    indispensable, especially to

    young entrepreneurs who would

    struggle to obtain conventional

    nancing. Graduate Mr Hamad Al

    Shamisi was in London, working

    in marketing for a chain of food

    retail outlets called Mr Pretzels,

    when he heard about the Khalifa

    Fund. He says: I was looking at

    newspapers online when I read

    about a fund to help SMEs. The

    same day, I called them and told

    them about my idea for a UAEfranchise of Mr Pretzels. Within a

    week Mr Al Shamisi had submitted

    a business plan and within two

    weeks, the fund had decided to lend

    him AED2m. But I said I need

    only AED800,000. I managed to

    negotiate with the malls to take

    payment on a monthly basis, which

    enabled me to save capital early.

    His rst unit opened at

    Abu Dhabis Marina Mall in

    September 2007, and he workedthere himself in order to get

    the business started. He has

    deliberately kept management

    costs low so that he can divert

    those savings towards expanding

    the business a model that has

    gained approval from Mr Pretzels

    US headquarters. Mr Al Shamisi

    now has three operating units and

    plans a further 10 in 2009.

    The Khalifa Fund itself is also

    evolving by branching out intoindustrial investments and setting up

    a venture capital fund. The fund is

    still in its infancy, but it has matured

    quickly and achieved a lot, says

    Dr Almutawa.

    I can repaythe loan,but theyhave toldme to keep

    investing inmy businesor now

    BACKING

    BUSINESS

    DREAMSEntrepreneurs in Abu Dhabi are increasingly

    using the AED1bn Khalia Fund, and support

    rom its team o experts, to launch new

    business ventures By Bernadette Redern

    Financing options

    Khutwa (step)Micro-fnancing o

    up to AED250,000

    or home-based

    businesses

    Bedaya(beginning)Start-up fnance

    o up to AED3m

    Zeyada (increasGrowth capital or

    business expansion

    o up to AED5m

    1 2

    3The Khalia Fund oers applicants a range o fnancingoptions, depending on their stage o development

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    What started as a specic US problem

    sub-prime mortgage borrowers defaulting

    on a huge scale in the summer of 2007

    rapidly became a national credit disaster

    that immediately crossed the Atlantic to plague Europe.

    In no time, this became a global credit crunch, and

    by September 2008 had metamorphosed into a full-

    blown crisis that mortally threatened the worlds biggestnancial institutions and claimed the lives of some, most

    spectacularly the US investment bank Lehman Brothers.

    The nancial market turmoil took its toll on the real

    economy, and advanced countries teetering on the edge

    quickly fell over into recession. Emerging markets have

    followed a similar downward trajectory in economic

    growth, some of which will also fall into recession.

    The world is now suffering the worst economic crisis

    since the Second World War. The gravity of the problem

    was dramatically stated in the nal communiqu issued

    by the leaders of the Group of 20 nations (G20) meeting

    in London in April: We face the greatest challenge to

    the world economy in modern times; a crisis which has

    deepened since we last met, which affects the lives of

    women, men, and children in every country, and which all

    countries must join together to resolve.

    The G20 leaders said a global crisis requires a global

    solution and outlined their Global Plan for Recovery

    and Reform, agreed on at the meeting. But exactly what

    caused the crisis that has triggered such a signicant and

    coordinated response?

    THE ECONOMIC REVIEW SUMMER 2009 18

    SECTOR FOCUS Financial services

    CREDIT CRISIS:

    HOW DID WE

    GET HERE?The worlds fnancial institutions

    are coming together to tackle the

    global economic downturn but to

    administer the right cure, they need

    to understand the causes

    By Michael Imeson

    IllustrationbyRodC

    lark

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    SECTOR FOCUS Financial services

    There have been countless papers

    written and speeches on the causes. One

    of the best explanations was given by LordTurner, chairman of the UKs Financial

    Services Authority, in The Turner Review: A

    Regulatory Response to the Global Banking Crisis,

    published in March this year. Speaking before

    publication, Turner summarised it thus: At

    the core of the crisis was an interplay between

    macroeconomic imbalances which have

    become particularly prevalent over the last 10-

    15 years, and nancial market developments

    which have been going on for 30 years but

    which accelerated over the last 10 under the

    inuence of the macro imbalances.Macro imbalances are the large current

    account surpluses that piled up in the oil-

    exporting countries, China, Japan and other

    east Asian developing nations, and large

    current account decits that grew in the US,

    UK, Ireland, Spain and elsewhere. Many of

    these took the form of central bank reserves

    invested in government bonds or government-

    guaranteed bonds, and this in turn drove

    interest rates down to historically low levels.

    Low interest rates have had two effects.

    First, they have helped drive rapid growth ofcredit extension in some developed countries,

    particularly in the US and the UK and

    particularly, but not exclusively, for residential

    mortgages, said Turner. This growth in credit

    was accompanied by a degradation of credit

    standards, and it fuelled property price booms,

    which for a time made those lower credit

    standards appear costless.

    And second, they had driven among

    investors a ferocious search for yield a desire

    among any investor who wishes to invest in

    bond-like instruments to gain as much as

    possible spread above the risk-free rate, to

    offset at least partially the declining risk-free

    rate, he said.

    Developments in the nancial markets

    were the other main cause. The macro

    economic imbalances stimulated demands

    that were met by a wave of nancial

    innovation, focused on the origination,

    packaging, trading and distribution of

    Low interest rates drove thegrowth of credit extensionand a search for yield

    securitised credit instruments. There

    was explosive growth in both scale and

    complexity of these instruments and also

    a related explosion in the volume of credit

    derivatives to enable investors and traders

    to hedge underlying credit exposures, or to

    create synthetic credit exposures.

    Less risk averseThis growth was driven by (and itself drove)

    big increases in major nancial institutions

    borrowing. Market participants got locked into

    a cycle of increasing irrational exuberance

    THE G20S GLOBAL PLAN

    Restoring growth and jobs: this entailsan unprecedented and concerted fscal

    expansion, according to the G20s fnal

    communiqu, which will create or save

    millions o jobs and which, by the end o

    next year, will amount to $5trn, and raise

    output by 4%.

    Strengthening fnancial supervision

    and regulation: a stronger, more globally

    consistent supervisory and regulatory

    ramework or the fnancial sector will be

    built. The 10-year-old Financial Stability

    Forum, comprising international and

    national regulators and supervisors, willbe replaced by the new Financial Stability

    Board (FSB). The FSB will have a much

    wider membership and will collaborate

    with the IMF to provide early warning o

    macroeconomic and fnancial risks and

    the actions needed to address them.

    Strengthening global fnancial

    institutions: the G20 governments will

    make available an extra $850bn throu

    bodies such as the International MoneFund, the World Bank and multilateral

    development banks to support growt

    developing countries.

    Resisting protectionism and promo

    global trade and investment: this inclu

    a promise rom governments not to ra

    new trade or investment barriers or

    implement measures that run counter

    World Trade Organisation rules.

    Ensuring a air and sustainable

    recovery or all: the signatories to the

    plan reafrmed their commitment to

    meeting the Millennium DevelopmentGoals and to achieving their pledges o

    overseas development aid. They also

    said that slower economic growth or

    recession would not derail their eort

    to address the threat o irreversible

    climate change or reach an agreemen

    at the UN Climate Change conerence

    Copenhagen this December.

    and decreasing risk aversion. Spreads on

    securities and loans fell to inadequate lev

    pushing up the value of assets on books o

    banks, hedge funds and other organisatio

    fuelling in turn higher apparent prots a

    higher bonuses.

    This carried on until we reached the

    where people began to fear that the musi

    about to stop, but where others felt tha

    had to keep dancing till the band stopped

    which it did in summer and autumn 200

    Irrational boom then turned to bust, crea

    a crisis which has been as bad as any sin

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    best illustrates the collective steps being taken to stabilise

    the world economy, restore growth, save jobs, reshape the

    nancial system and preserve free trade (see The G20s

    global plan opposite).

    What happens next?The G20 will meet again before the end of the year to

    review progress on its plan. G20 nance ministers willconvene in Scotland in November to discuss progress

    on the nancial regulatory and supervisory aspects of

    the plan. The Financial Stability Board (successor to the

    Financial Stability Forum), the IMF, the Basel Committee

    and other supranational bodies are all hard at work

    implementing their own recommendations.

    Meanwhile, the nancial industry itself is adopting new

    principles of conduct and best practices on critical issues

    such as risk management, pay and bonuses, asset valuation,

    liquidity management and credit rating.

    The IMFs World Economic Outlook: Crisis and Recovery,

    published in April, says the global economy is in a severerecession inicted by a massive nancial crisis and acute

    loss of condence and estimates that world output is

    projected to decline by 1.3% in 2009.

    But the worst could soon be over. The IMF forecasts

    the rate of contraction should moderate from the second

    quarter onward and world output should recover gradually

    in 2010, by 1.9%. That optimistic outcome depends

    on whether the measures outlined above are effective.

    Meanwhile, the worlds nancial institutions, businesses,

    governments and public sector entities must knuckle down,

    follow the programme and hope for the best.

    THE ECONOMIC REVIEW SUMMER

    the stock market crashes of 1929 and the various banking

    crises that followed, Turner added. As a result, banking

    systems in many countries are suffering from an impaired

    ability to play their vital role in credit extension to the real

    economy and a process of de-leveraging threatens severe

    adverse effects on real economic prospects.

    The global response

    The response to the nancial crisis and economicdownturn has been fairly swift and uncharacteristically

    coordinated. National governments, central banks

    and nancial regulators along with supranational

    institutions such as the International Monetary Fund

    (IMF), Organisation for Economic Co-operation and

    Development, Financial Stability Forum, the Basel

    Committee on Banking Supervision at the Bank for

    International Settlements and the European Commission

    have all published reports analysing the problems

    and recommending how to solve them and reduce the

    likelihood of similar occurrences in future.

    Private sector organisations have done likewise. Bodies

    such as the Institute of International Finance (IIF), the

    Counterparty Risk Management Policy Group, the British

    Bankers Association, American Bankers Association, the

    Alternative Investment Management Association and the

    International Capital Markets Association have all said

    who and what they think is to blame for the mess and how

    they should cooperate with national and international

    authorities to clean it up and prevent its reoccurrence.

    The programme of action agreed by the G20 in April

    THE REACTION IN THE GULF

    Economic growth in the oil-rich Gul Co-operation Council (GCC) countrie

    Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates (UAE), Kuwait, Bahrain, Oman and

    Qatar will slow this year as a result o the global economic downturn.

    But i oil prices remain above $45 a barrel, recession is unlikely in

    the region. Simon Williams, an economist at HSBC Middle East, says the

    region is well placed to weather the impact o this abrupt downturn.

    The immense surpluses the region has run over the past fve years now

    oer the Gul room to manoeuvre, which should ensure that stability is

    maintained, the banking sector is protected and debt obligations continu

    to be met.

    The Economic Vision 2030, launched last year by the Abu Dhabi

    government, aims to diversiy the economy away rom oil toward

    knowledge-based industries.

    DPE chairman Nasser Ahmed Al Suwaidi, Chairman o Abu Dhabis

    Department o Planning and Economy, said earlier this year that Abu

    Dhabi was fnancially strong enough to continue implementing Vision 2030

    despite the downturn. Even i it missed an annual growth target during

    a difcult year, it would not aect the long-term objectives o economic

    growth and diversifcation, he said. In any year o good growth, Abu

    Dhabi will easily exceed the set annual growth target.

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    ADCEDTeeing Abu Dhabi up for success

    Photo

    graphybyKerbe.co.u

    k

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    The launch of the

    worlds rst zero-

    carbon, zero-waste

    and car-free city in

    Abu Dhabi one of the worlds

    largest oil producers caught

    everyone by surprise. But the

    emirates government says this

    major investment in green energy

    not only demonstrates Abu

    Dhabis commitment to economic

    and energy diversication, but

    also shows a strong determination

    to lead the global agenda on

    sustainable development.

    Masdar City, a six square-

    kilometre energy, science and

    technology development due for

    completion in 2010, has been

    described as an integrated green

    community. Located in the heart

    of Abu Dhabi, the government-

    backed development will house

    50,000 people close to their work,

    schools and hospitals.

    The green citys downstream opportunities

    will beneft many thousands o people

    living in Abu Dhabi By Abeya Mokhtar

    THE ECONOMIC REVIEW SUMMER

    DEBRIEF Masda

    LIVING THE

    GOOD LIFE

    The projects planners believe

    its success rests on the fact that the

    city has been designed around the

    lifestyles of its future inhabitants.

    We are creating a city where

    residents and commuters will live

    the highest quality of life with the

    lowest environmental footprint,

    Dr Sultan Al Jaber, the CEO of

    Masdar the organisation behind

    the project recently said.

    While the city will house

    a limited number of people,

    planners say a ripple effect will

    affect thousands more living in

    Abu Dhabi. Urban planning

    experts have spoken of the

    potential Silicon Valley effects

    of the development and the

    downstream opportunities it

    will bring. The project is expected

    to take the populations skills

    to a new level, creating jobs in

    education, research and other

    areas; to attract companies

    pursuing new technologies; and

    to trigger a rise in ecotourism.

    Global investment in

    alternative energy exceeded

    $100bn in 2007, according to

    theRenewable Global Status Report

    2007from REN21, a renewable

    energy policy network. Masdar

    City is just one government

    initiative designed to attract some

    of this investment.

    Projected total investment in

    the citys infrastructure is $22bn,

    and a further $15bn will be

    poured into renewable energy

    projects. Masdar ofcials say this

    investment is expected to yield

    medium- and long-term returns

    for Abu Dhabis economy. The

    development is expected to save

    more than $2bn in oil over the

    next 25 years. It will also create

    more than 70,000 jobs and

    increase Abu Dhabis annual G

    by 2%, according to Masdar.

    Keen to maximise the retur

    on its investment, the governm

    is offering incentives to set up in

    Masdar City. Besides a tax-free

    environment, investors have be

    offered 100% foreign ownershi

    intellectual property protection

    and proximity to manufacturer

    suppliers and markets.

    The government is hoping

    such incentives will attract more

    names such as MIT, GE and th

    Tokyo Institute of Technology,

    all of which are taking part in

    the project. Global collaborativ

    networks are crucial to the succ

    of projects such as Masdar City

    and sustaining an environment

    that attracts the best partners an

    experts in alternative energy wi

    remain a great challenge.

    Main picture and below:

    Masdar City has been designed

    around its citizens liestyles

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    24/27THE ECONOMIC REVIEW SUMMER 2009 24

    DATA BANK Abu Dhabi economic indicators

    RUNNING

    THE NUMBERSThe Abu Dhabi governments drive towards

    economic diversifcation is starting to

    deliver results, as are its eorts to attract

    greater levels o oreign direct investment

    Country 2006 2007 Estimates

    start ater

    Abu Dhabi 52.8 55.6 2007

    Canada 39.3 43.7 2007

    Ireland 52.5 60.2 2007

    Luxembourg 89.9 103.1 2007

    New Zealand 25.2 30.4 2006

    Norway 72.7 83.5 2006

    Oman 14.0 15.7 2007

    Qatar 67.9 78.8 2007

    Saudi Arabia 15.0 15.7 2007

    Singapore 31.0 35.2 2006

    United Arab Emirates 38.8 42.5 2007

    GDP per capita (current prices in $, 000s)

    The policy o economic

    diversifcation and eortsto encourage industriesand manuacturing havepaid strong dividendsHE Sultan Bin Saeed Al Mansouri, UAE Minister o Economy

    2001 2007 (estimate)

    Agriculture, livestock

    and fshing5,988 4,366.9

    Crude oil and natural gas 66,123 241,100.0

    Quarrying 115 160.0

    Manuacturing industries 18,549 41,528.8

    Electricity, gas and water 2,679 6,296.3

    Construction 8,720 20,069.8

    Wholesale retail trade

    and repairing services7,283 14,895.1

    Restaurants and hotels 1,439 2,958.3

    Transports, storage and

    communication6,231 11,324.8

    Real estate and business

    services7,413 15,800.0

    Social and personalservices

    2,137 4,823.2

    The fnancial

    corporations sector7,008 22,018.0

    Government services

    sector16,129 18,536.3

    Domestic services

    o households790 978.5

    Less imputed bank services 2,166 4,808.0

    Total 148,437.6 400,047.466

    Gross fxed ormation by sector (AEDm) 2007(estimate)Agriculture, livestock and fshing 665

    Crude oil and natural gas 9,613

    Quarrying 50

    Manuacturing industries 12,212

    Electricity, gas and water 4803

    Construction 3519

    Wholesale retail trade and repairing services 2299

    Restaurants and hotels 3774

    Transports, storage and communication 6639

    Real estate and business services 8947

    Social and personal services 2330

    Financial corporations sector 848

    Government services sector 2086

    Source: Statistical Bureau, Abu Dhabi

    Source: Department o Planning and Economy, Abu DhabiSources: Abu Dhabi Chamber o Commerce, IMF, World Economic Outlook Database

    Growth in GDP by sector (AEDm)

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    25/27THE ECONOMIC REVIEW SUMMER 200

    FDI 2005 FDI 2006

    Mining 251 273

    Manuacturing 2,589 2,685

    Electricity and water 1,268 1,479

    Construction 3,365 3,405

    Whole and retail sales -51 228

    Transportation and communication 765 1,196

    Financial intermediation 7,039 6,718

    Other 204 188

    Total 15,430 16,171

    Total FDI in the emirate o Abu Dhabi, by economicsector (2005-2006) (AEDm)

    2005 (census year) 2007 (estimated)

    Agriculture, livestock and fshing 93,395 90,097

    Mining and quarrying 23,714 24,788

    Manuacturing industries 63,102 75,985

    Electricity, gas and water 13,564 13,686

    Construction 184,292 266,371

    Wholesale retail trade and repairing services 134,470 148,969

    Restaurants and hotels 28,418 31,173

    Transport, storage and communication 44,891 50,564

    Real estate and business services 23,962 30,560

    Social and personal services 42,543 44,697

    Financial corporation sector 10,063 12,167

    Government services 114,851 115,023

    Abu Dhabi employment fgures: sector breakdown

    Source: Department o Planning and Economy, Abu Dhabi

    Source: Department o Planning and Economy, Abu Dhabi

    Employment by gender(census 2005)

    Male 614,770

    Female 99,238

    Employment by nationality

    (census 2005)

    Other Arab 124,489

    Asian (non Arab) 486,4

    Nationals 75,519

    GCC 6,924

    Western 9,171

    Others 11,446

    Abu Dhabis fnancial district:home to one o the emirates

    astest-growing sectors

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    What is your vision for the Abu

    Dhabi Performing Arts Centre?

    The centre is designed to cater

    for many events at the same time

    it can host a musical, opera,theatre, experimental theatre

    and concerts that coincide with

    conferences. I see such centres

    as gathering places for people of

    all cultures and ages, presenting

    an ever-changing menu of visual

    and performing art that feeds the

    cultural vitality of the city.What was your inspiration

    for the design?

    The idea was of an objectconnecting throughout the city,

    almost like an umbilical cord.

    There is this series of what they

    call pearls at the edge the

    idea for us was that the pearl was

    almost on a string, like a pendant.

    The project is interesting in the

    context of Abu Dhabis urbanism,

    because it looks as if it almost had

    the density of a city, but actually

    its a single building.

    From an architects view, what

    for you is the lure of this part

    of the world?

    Our projects in the Gulf are

    offering the most boundless and

    therefore the most challenging

    opportunities to develop and test

    our design repertoire, intelligence

    and creativity. Its the scale of the

    THE ECONOMIC REVIEW SUMMER 2009 26

    IN CONVERSATION Zaha Hadid

    work that is only possible here;

    there is a real spirit of innovation

    and creativity in the air.

    What is the importanceof architecture to society?

    I think through architecture you

    have to give people a glimpse

    of another world, and make

    them excited about ideas. The

    connection between culture and

    public life is critical. I believe

    cities that can shake off their

    inherited aesthetic regimes and

    dare to adopt a contemporary

    urbanism and architecture will be

    the places where the next, mostadvanced sectors of the economy

    will ourish.The cultural district is part

    of the governments 25-year

    plan. What are the merits

    of this approach?

    A cohesive masterplan helps

    fast-growing cities like Abu

    Dhabi avoid the market-driven,

    patchwork urbanism that can arise

    in rapidly emerging metropolises,

    relying on one building typology

    only the high-rise tower. With

    such a forward-thinking plan, Abu

    Dhabi has learned that a citys

    development cannot be steered

    simply by market economy, and

    that a sustainable vision for the

    future has to embody the wider

    aspects of urban life. This process

    needs to be initiated, monitored

    and guided and, of course,

    include a cohesive strategy for

    culture and the arts.Which challenges should urban

    planners be aware of whenimplementing long-term plans?

    In the digital 21st century, with

    peoples lives becoming more

    exible and globalised, we have to

    deal with social diagrams that are

    so much more complex, compared

    with those of the industrial 20th

    century. This requires a new

    architecture of uidity. In our own

    ofce, weve learned to apply new

    techniques to urbanism, where

    elements t together to form a

    continuum. With these techniques,

    we can do something radically

    different than what we saw at

    the beginning of the century,

    when buildings were oriented in

    disconnecting chaos. We look a lot

    at Natures systems when we try

    to create environments at her

    coherence and beauty.

    Abu Dhabhas learned

    a sustainabvision hasto embodythe wideraspects ourban lie

    IllustrationbyMarkDickson,

    sourcephotogra

    phybySteveDouble

    ZAHAS PEARLS

    OF WISDOMWorld-renowned architect Zaha Hadid talks to The

    Economic Reviewabout designing the arts centre on

    Saadiyat Island, Abu Dhabis new cultural district

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    The Economic Reviewis the newsletter o

    theAbu Dhabi Council for Economic Development.

    The Abu Dhabi Council or Economic Development

    is a statutory body, established in May 2006,

    to acilitate economic diversifcation and

    growth through creating greater understanding,

    cooperation and engagement between the

    public and private sectors o the emirate o Abu Dhabi.

    ADCED

    PO Box 44484Abu Dhabi

    UAE

    T: + 971 2 418 9999

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