is there a green future for israel?
TRANSCRIPT
New Energy Blueprint(c) Shai Agassi - June 2013
Israel - 2007
Israel -2025
???
Understanding Renewables
Material Science + New Business Models
2009 - Most efficient solar panels (16%)
2013 - SolarCity - PV Utility (20% efficiency)
The same size as a standard 240-watt panel, the X-Series produces a mammoth 345 watts in the same footprint. Ideal for roofs where space is at a premium or where future expansion might be needed, X-Series panels are designed for demanding conditions such as Hawaii’s salt mist climate, partial shade or hot rooftop temperatures. More advantages of the X-Series line include:•Most energy from less space: X-Series solar panels deliver 44 percent more power per panel than conventional panels. This allows the system to create more power in a smaller footprint, with fewer panels. •Most electricity: X-Series solar panels produce more electricity than conventional panels. They convert more sunlight to electricity, producing 75 percent more energy per square foot over the first 25 years. •Most peace of mind: More guaranteed power. SunPower offers the best combined 25-year power and product warranty.. The X-Series panels are made with third-generation SunPower Maxeon® solar cells, which are built on a solid copper foundation delivering unmatched performance and reliability over the lifetime of the solar energy system.
Efficiency gains SunPower (25% efficiency)
2010-2015 same cost decrease in EV batteries
...2015-2020 price will cut in half again
Material Science Improvements...
...Drive lower unit costs
The Renewable Utility model
...pay as much as your utility bill today
...And allow me to take the profit from technology improvement
No upfront cost...
Israel - Energy Future
Israel - 2007
Electricity 2007 - Generation & wasted heat
Solar ??Solar ??
Natural GasNatural Gas7878
CoalCoal350350
Electricity & Electricity & HeatHeat490490 RejectedRejected
EnergyEnergy366366
(310+56)(310+56)
Energy Energy ServicesServices
112112
residentialresidential5454
CommercialCommercial5353
IndustrialIndustrial6060
Domestic78
Imports350
54
53
60
18
18
20
36
35
40
310
Electricity 2025 - Generation & wasted heat
SolarSolar4040
CoalCoal4040
RejectedRejectedEnergyEnergy
275275
Energy Energy ServicesServices
150150
residentialresidential7575
CommercialCommercial7575
IndustrialIndustrial8080
Domestic300
Imports50
75
75
80
25
25
25
50
50
50
200
Natural GasNatural Gas300300
Electricity & Electricity & HeatHeat430430
Israel (Petroleum)- 2007
Petroleum670
Exports180
190
160
140
25
TransportationTransportation190190
IndustrialIndustrial160160
48
RejectedRejectedEnergyEnergy
165165
Energy Energy ServicesServices
183183(135+48)(135+48)
135
Israel transportation (EV)- 2025
10
TransportationTransportation8585
75
RejectedRejectedEnergyEnergy
5050
Energy Energy ServicesServices
7575
85
Electricity & Electricity & HeatHeat125125 40
SolarSolar5050
Natural GasNatural Gas7575
Israel 2025 - New Energy Blueprint
SolarSolar4040
CoalCoal4040
RejectedRejectedEnergyEnergy
300300
Energy Energy ServicesServices
325325
residentialresidential7575
CommercialCommercial7575
IndustrialIndustrial8080
Domestic300
Imports50
75
75
80
25
25
25
50
50
50
200
Natural GasNatural Gas300300
Electricity & Electricity & HeatHeat430430
10TransportationTransportation8585
75
RejectedRejectedEnergyEnergy
5050
Energy Energy ServicesServices
7575
85
Electricity & Electricity & HeatHeat125125 40
SolarSolar5050
Natural GasNatural Gas7575
IndustrialIndustrial200200
Natural GasNatural Gas200200
175
25
Domestic200
Domestic75
Israel 2025 - Energy Efficient & Independent
SolarSolar9090
CoalCoal4040
RejectedRejectedEnergyEnergy
350350
Energy Energy ServicesServices
400400
residentialresidential7575
CommercialCommercial7575
IndustrialIndustrial280280
Domestic575
Imports50
75
75
80
25
25
25
50
50
225
240
Natural GasNatural Gas575575
Electricity & Electricity & HeatHeat550550
10
TransportationTransportation8585 75
85
200
375
Israel - 2007
Israel’s Energy Future -Inevitable, if only we get
interests out of the way...Inevitable, if only we get
interests out of the way...