is there a bias in deep sea diversity patterns?
TRANSCRIPT
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Is there a bias in deep sea diversity patterns?
Graeme T. Lloyd
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Collaborators
Andrew Smith
Jeremy Young
Paul Pearson
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Talk Outline• Introduction• Deep sea diversity patterns:
– Deep sea diversity through time– Deep sea rock record through time– Correlations– Modeling
• Species-per-genus patterns:– Species-per-genus through time– Deep sea rock record through time– Authors through time– Correlations– Modeling
• Other diversity curves
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Introduction
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Fossil record is our only record of the diversification of life
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Diversity correlates with rock record on land…
Peters and Foote 2001 Smith and McGowan 2007
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…but what about the deep sea?
• Widely regarded as the best record we have:– Larger spatial extent than land– Abundant and widespread taxa– Near continuous sedimentation– Well studied (e.g. DSDP/ODP/IODP)
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The database
• Study group is Coccolithophores • Novel compilation from North Atlantic• Compiled from 40 years ODP/DSDP
data• >50,000 occs from >15000 samples• High temporal resolution (nanno zones)
Questions:• What is the deep sea diversity pattern?• What is the deep sea rock pattern?• Are the two correlated to any degree?
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Deep sea species richness
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Deep sea rock record
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Correlation tests
• First both time series were log-transformed• Long term test:
– Simple correlation• Short term tests:
– First differences (absolute)– Moving average differences (relative to long
term trend)• Degree (rho) and significance (p) of
correlations determined using Spearman rank
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Deep sea long-term correlation
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Deep sea short-term correlation I
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Deep sea short-term correlation II
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Modeling approach
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Modeling results
Real dataPredicted
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Deep sea conclusions
Questions:• What is the deep sea diversity pattern?
– Linear rise with short-term fluctuations• What is the deep sea rock pattern?
– Exponential rise with short-term fluctuations• Are the two correlated to any degree?
– Yes, strongly and significantly, long-term and short-term
– N sites is a good predictor of species richness
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Species per genus patterns
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Higher taxa as species proxies
• Used since the earliest diversity curves…• …and continue to be (e.g. Alroy et al. 2008)• Originally pragmatic (less data required)• Then argued that species are inadequate• But, adequacy of higher taxa to represent
species-level patterns is essentially untested
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Taxonomic level affects pattern
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Flessa and Jablonski 1985
• Only explicit test of species-to-higher taxon ratio
• Compared families to number of named species in Zoo. Record (Raup 1976)
• Pattern of change differs; families become more speciose
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Our database is superior!
• Species are standardised (synonyms)• Species are assigned to genera• Species are often widespread• Species are long-ranging• Species are comparatively stable
taxonomically• Question: how does the species-to-genus
ratio change over time?
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Species per genus
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Number of sites
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Number of authors
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Long-term correlationN sitesN authors
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Short-term correlationSpecies per genusN sites
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Short-term correlationSpecies per genusN authors
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Correlations and conclusions
• Both number of sites and number of authors significantly correlate with species-per-genus
• Which is the best explanatory model?– Akaike weights = a combined model– Variance partitioning = a combined model
• Genera are not an accurate proxy for species• Shift in species-per-genus ratio is best explained
by a combination of sampling and worker bias, with limited room for a biological explanation
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Other diversity curves
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Other diversity curves
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Other diversity curves