irelands transformation by paul haran
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IrelandIreland’’s s
TransformationTransformation
An InsightAn Insight
Paul Haran UCD Dublin Caribbean Council Nov. 2007
BackgroundBackground
Demographic Demographic
Political Political
Economic Economic
Paul Haran UCD Dublin Caribbean Council Nov. 2007
Demographic ContextDemographic ContextPopulation DeclinePopulation Decline
Migration TrendsMigration Trends
Birth RatesBirth Rates
Participation RatesParticipation Rates
Dependency RatioDependency Ratio
Population1841-2006
0
1000000
2000000
3000000
4000000
5000000
6000000
7000000
1841 1851 1861 1871 1881 1891 1901 1911 1921 1931 1941 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001
Population
Paul Haran UCD Dublin Caribbean Council Nov. 2007
Political ProfilePolitical Profile
Political Legacy Political Legacy –– The Civil WarThe Civil War
Isolationism/SelfIsolationism/Self--Sufficiency Sufficiency
InternationalisationInternationalisation
EU MembershipEU Membership
IdentityIdentity
Paul Haran UCD Dublin Caribbean Council Nov. 2007
Economic ProfileEconomic Profile1970 GDP Per Capita 60% of EU Average1970 GDP Per Capita 60% of EU Average1987 Debt/GNP 130%1987 Debt/GNP 130%1987 U/E 17%1987 U/E 17%1987 LTU 12%1987 LTU 12%2007 GDP Per Capita 145% (22007 GDP Per Capita 145% (2ndnd))2007 Debt/GDP 25%2007 Debt/GDP 25%2007 U/E 4.5%2007 U/E 4.5%2007 LTU 1.4%2007 LTU 1.4%
GDP Growth Constant Prices
-4.00%-2.00%0.00%2.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%
10.00%12.00%14.00%
1971
1974
1977
1980
1983
1986
1989
1992
1995
1998
2001
2004
2006
Year
GDP Growth
How?How?EU EU -- SovereigntySovereigntySocial PartnershipSocial PartnershipFiscal PolicyFiscal PolicyEducationEducationLabour MarketLabour MarketEconomic InfrastructureEconomic InfrastructureIndustrial DevelopmentIndustrial DevelopmentLeadershipLeadership
EU EU
19721972Single MarketSingle MarketRegulatory InfrastructureRegulatory InfrastructureCurrencyCurrencyLabour MarketLabour MarketShared ExperiencesShared ExperiencesPooled Sovereignty = Real SovereigntyPooled Sovereignty = Real SovereigntyFiscal TransfersFiscal Transfers
Paul Haran UCD Dublin Caribbean Council Nov. 2007
Social PartnershipSocial Partnership
National Economic Social CouncilNational Economic Social CouncilMembershipMembershipCrisis Crisis -- 19871987TrustTrustAnalysis of Issues/ProblemsAnalysis of Issues/ProblemsSocial Partnership AgreementsSocial Partnership Agreements
Paul Haran UCD Dublin Caribbean Council Nov. 2007
Fiscal PolicyFiscal Policy
ExpenditureExpenditureTaxationTaxation–– CompanyCompany–– PersonalPersonal–– ConsumptionConsumption–– CapitalCapital
National FinancesNational FinancesEMU RulesEMU Rules
Paul Haran UCD Dublin Caribbean Council Nov. 2007
EducationEducation
Societal AttitudeSocietal AttitudeBroad 2Broad 2ndnd LevelLevelEconomic Focus and ResponsivenessEconomic Focus and ResponsivenessAttainment LevelsAttainment LevelsFundingFunding33rdrd and 4and 4thth Level Level ResearchResearch
Paul Haran UCD Dublin Caribbean Council Nov. 2007
Labour MarketLabour Market
Participation RatesParticipation RatesGenderGenderMigrationMigrationProtectionsProtectionsLabour Relations MachineryLabour Relations Machinery
Paul Haran UCD Dublin Caribbean Council Nov. 2007
Economic InfrastructureEconomic Infrastructure
LegalLegal–– Company/Commercial LawCompany/Commercial Law–– Intellectual PropertyIntellectual Property
RegulatoryRegulatory–– Competition AuthorityCompetition Authority–– Monopoly RegulationMonopoly Regulation
Competitiveness CouncilCompetitiveness CouncilAgility/ResponsivenessAgility/Responsiveness
Paul Haran UCD Dublin Caribbean Council Nov. 2007
Industrial DevelopmentIndustrial Development
InstitutionsInstitutions–– FDIFDI–– Indigenous IndustryIndigenous Industry–– Sectoral Sectoral PoliciesPolicies–– Capital/GrantsCapital/Grants–– IncubationIncubation–– AdvisoryAdvisory–– Trade Missions/SupportTrade Missions/Support
Paul Haran UCD Dublin Caribbean Council Nov. 2007
LeadershipLeadership
Political Political Social CohesionSocial CohesionNational PrideNational PrideThe Public ServiceThe Public ServiceCitizensCitizens
Paul Haran UCD Dublin Caribbean Council Nov. 2007
Financial Services ExampleFinancial Services Example
Political LeadershipPolitical LeadershipClearing HouseClearing HouseEmpowered Public ServantsEmpowered Public ServantsFiscal SupportFiscal SupportTook a ChanceTook a ChanceLearnedLearned
Paul Haran UCD Dublin Caribbean Council Nov. 2007
TourismTourism
Infrastructure and PromotionInfrastructure and PromotionBranding DifferentiationBranding DifferentiationInvestment IncentivesInvestment IncentivesAccess/TransportAccess/TransportExpanding the ShouldersExpanding the ShouldersBroadening the Product RangeBroadening the Product RangePolicy CoherencePolicy Coherence
Paul Haran UCD Dublin Caribbean Council Nov. 2007