ir presentation oct 2015 · steel plate bulk part contract steel cutting keellaying launching...
TRANSCRIPT
January 2015
IR Presentation Oct 2015
CONTENTS
Ⅱ. New order & Backlog
Ⅲ. Products & Market Situation
Ⅰ. Financial Highlights
CONTENTS
Ⅱ. New order & Backlog
Ⅲ. Products & Market Situation
Ⅰ. Financial Highlights
Revenue & Operating Profit
Quarterly Results (recent 4Q)
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
-
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Offshore Shipbuilding E&I OP margin
Revenue & OP Margin Trend
13.1 13.4
14.5 14.8
12.9
10.8
8.7
8.3
6.2
(KRWt) (%)
(KRWb)
1.4
- 3 -
2014 2015
3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q
Revenue 3,263 3,078 2,610 1,439
Operating Profit 182 101 26 -1,548
OP Margin 5.6% 3.3% 1.0% -
Profit before income tax 175 46 33 -1,498
Net Profit 172 41 11 -1,155
▶ Revenue & OP declined in quarters
▷ Product mix change
∙ High margin drillship ↓,
Provision for construction loss on Ichthys&Egina P/J↑
▷ The overall cost increase for the remaining projects
∙ Expected future costs are reflected in 2Q financials
→ some as revenue decline, the others as provisions
* Details on page 4
Details on 2Q15 losses and 2015 guidance
2015년 2분기 적자 발생 내용 상세
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Details on 2Q15 losses 2015 guidance
▶ Revenue
: Increased total estimated cost lagged percentage to
complete , and it resulted revenue for 2Q decline
▶ Profits
: KRW 1.5tn of EBT losses generated by revenue decline
and provisions for construction loss on projects
※ Breakdown of EBT loss KRW 1.5tn
Category Elements Amount (KRWt)
Due to cost increase
expensed in 2Q15 0.2
To be expensed from 3Q15 1.3
Due to accounting rules
Provisions 0.3
Revenue decline due to
lowered percentage to complete 1.2
Due to project nature
Further losses from Ichthys&Egina 0.5
Lower profits from FLNG&Drillship 0.7
Others 0.3
1H15 2H15 (e)
2015 (e)
1Q 2Q
Revenue 2,610 1,439 6,651 10,700
Operating Profit 26 -1,548 - -
Profit before income tax 33 -1,498 95 -1,370
Net Profit 11 -1,155 - -
(KRWb)
▶ Expected to be normalized from 2H
as all expected cost increase is recognized in advance
▷ 2015 revenue is expected to reach KRW 10.7tn
as production of large offshore projects is to peak
▷ 2015 EBT is to be recorded at KRW -1.37tn with
producing small profits in 2H
* Accumulated actual cost / Total estimated cost
* [Contract value ⅹ percentage to complete]-recognized revenue for the past periods
Risk Management
Improvement on Risk management before/after the contract
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Pre-contract At execution
Risk assessment before participating bid
Prospect Selection Committee (ITT review incl.)
Cost Review Committee (Quantity review incl.)
Risk Review Committee
Contract terms Review Committee
Bid Review Committee
Bidding
only for risk hedging available projects
Contract Signing
Intensive risk analysis
& mitigation planning
Risk Workshop
Continuous Risk verification & assessment
Setting up specific action plans
+3 months
of contract
Regular
Process
ITT issue
Award winning
KPI management
Factors to drive cost increase and construction delay
Regular KPI check and feedback
Lessons Learned System
To prevent from repetitive troubles,
lessons learned and improvements we’re making for current projects are systematically
recorded and applied to future projects
* Invitation to tender
Risk Hedging Policy
SHI Focuses on minimizing profit volatility
Building Event
Time Gap (months) 12 5 3 10
Currency
Receivable
Payable
Raw Material
Main Engine
Machinery
Steel Plate
Bulk Part
Contract Steel Cutting Keel Laying Launching Delivery
: Hedging, Order : Execution, Delivery
Foreign currency exposure is fully covered through forward transaction at the stage of shipbuilding contract
Main engine and machinery are ordered within 1~2 months after contract signing
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Financial Summary
Consolidated Statements of Income
2011 2012 2013 2014 1H15 1Q 2Q
Revenue 13,392 14,490 14,835 12,879 2,610 1,439 4,049
Operating Profit 1,160 1,206 914 183 26 -1,548 -1,522
OP Margin 8.7% 8.3% 6.2% 1.4% 1.0% losses losses
Profit before income tax 1,150 1,045 819 190 33 -1,498 -1,465
Net Profit 851 796 632 147 12 -1,155 -1,143
(KRWb)
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Financial Summary
Consolidated Statements of Financial Position
(KRWb)
- 8 -
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015.2Q
Total Assets 16,414 16,635 17,427 17,122 15,981
Cash & Cash Equiv. 1,289 1,164 1,140 893 1,711
Inventories 540 699 842 1,169 1,289
Accounts Receivable 4,078 5,091 5,935 6,400 4,127
Advanced Payments 1,675 1,501 1,354 1,204 1,072
Hedge Related 2,592 2,064 2,035 1,113 1,001
Total Liabilities 11,770 11,352 11,581 11,549 11,601
Advanced Receipts 5,602 3,967 3,885 3,799 4,300
Interest Bearing Debt 1,784 3,193 2,937 3,827 4,013
Hedge Related 2,452 1,458 1,725 1,093 1,005
Total Equity 4,644 5,283 5,846 5,573 4,380
Paid in Capital 1,155 1,155 1,155 1,155 1,155
Treasury Stock -659 -657 -656 -970 -970
Debt to Equity Ratio 253% 215% 198% 207% 264%
CONTENTS
Ⅲ. Products & Market Situation
Ⅰ. Financial Highlights
Ⅱ. New order & Backlog
New Order
September 2015
Trend
-
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015.Sep
Containership LNG Carrier
Tanker Drilling Rig
Production Facility Others(WTIV etc.)
9.8
14.9
9.6
13.3
7.3
(USDb)
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Facility
62%
17%
Tanker
14% Production LNG Carrier
7%
Containership
Unit USDb
Containership 10 1.6
LNG Carrier 3 0.7
Tanker 26 1.4
Production Facility 6 6.1
Total 45 9.8
$9.8 billion (45 Units)
Order Backlog
September 2015
Trend
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015.Sep
Shipbuilding Offshore
38.3 37.2 37.5
36.4
9%
LNG Carrier
14%
Tanker 7%
Drilling Rig
16%
Production
Facility 51%
Others 3%
(USDb)
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Unit USDb
Containership 26 3.5
LNG Carrier 24 5.1
Tanker 37 2.5
Drilling Rig 10 5.9
Production Facility 14 18.4
Others 7 1.0
Total 118 36.4
$36.4 billion (118 Units)
34.8
Containership
CONTENTS
Ⅱ. New order & Backlog
Ⅰ. Financial Highlights
Ⅲ. Products & Market Situation
Balanced supply & demand to generate solid order flow
- Mega containership market to be led by global alliances to achieve operational efficiency
and cost competitiveness among peers
Containership
Delivery decline & stable trade growth Global order trend & SHI market share
(Source: Clarksons, SHI assumption)
72
10
62
29
10 8
14%
28%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
'11 '12 '13 '14
Global Order (Over 10kTEU) SHI M/S
(Source: SHI)
1,839
1,133
803
228
6.9%
4.8%
3.9%
1.1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
'15(e) '16(e) '17(e) '18(e)
Delivery Fleet Growth Trade Growth
Trade growth to be stable above 6%
(unit) (,000TEU)
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(M/S)
Short term demand is weak, but long term outlook is solid due to
stable LNG trade growth(CAGR 5%) and longer distances with US exports
LNG Carrier
Long term outlook of LNG trading & Fleets
= approximately 120 vessels needed
Global order trend & SHI market share
48
32
39
59
18
4
14
5
38%
13%
36%
8%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
'11 '12 '13 '14
Global Order SHI M/S
(Source: SHI)
(unit)
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(M/S)
(Source: Gaslog, BP, Earnst&Young, Wood Mackenzie Jan 2015 )
2014 trading : approx 240mtpa
Current fleet
: approx 430 ships
(1.8ships/1mtpa)
~2030 trading(e) : approx 500mtpa Fleet outlook
: approx 900 ships
(= 30 ships to be
ordered a year
in avg )
< World LNG trading outlook>
CAGR 5%
2014 main routes New supply ~2030
Limited demand for high specification drillship is expected
while downturn continues due to shrinking investment in exploration
Drillship
Next generation: 20K BOP drillship
New demand for 20K BOP drillship is expected
- For safe and efficient operation in high-pressure
and high-temperature deepwater reservoirs
Global order trend & SHI market share
(Source: SHI)
25
19
12
4
10 9
5
2
40%
47%
42%
50%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
'11 '12 '13 '14
Global Order SHI M/S
(unit)
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(M/S)
• BP-Maersk “Project 20K”
Jointly developing next generation drillship
using 20K BOP for Gulf of Mexico since
year 2013
Seeking both growth and profitability in offshore EPC market through
enhancement of EPC execution capability with ongoing projects
Production Facility
What we do for strengthening competitiveness Key projects under construction
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Ichthys CPF(Gas), Austrailia
Egina Oil FPSO, Nigeria
Lessons Learned Program
- Accumulating and systemizing knowledge learned from current projects to execute following better
Reinforcement of engineering capacity
- New R&D center established only for FEED, FEED verification, detailed design etc.
- Recruiting experienced engineers and project managers
Organizational improvement
- Risk management team and offshore package procurement team established
SHI’s new growth engine
- Market to expand due to its cost advantages and environmental benefits
FLNG
Concept & Advantage
Production, treatment, liquefaction and offloading
of natural gas to be carried out on a vessel
- No need for extensive pipe lines and onshore
processing facilities
Less CAPEX required
Natural Gas
Pretreatment
Liquefaction
FLNG projects under consideration
Number Projects
Under construction
3 Prelude(Shell)
Kanowit, Rotan (Petronas)
Active 10 Browse1,2,3(Shell)
Mozmbique(ENI), etc.
Potential 38 Scarborough, Sunrise, etc.
Total 51
(Source: Clarkson World Offshore Register )
3 Projects will be complete during year '15~'18,
and 10 projects are actively considered.
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SHI leads the market with accumulated experiences in a solid relationship
with its strategic partners
FLNG
Long term relationship with the leading companies
(Source: SHI, Shell)
Prelude Browse
Region Austrailia Austrailia
LNG Capacity 3.5mpta 12.0mtpa
Contract amount 6 USDb under negotiation
FID 2011 2016
Delivery 2016 2021~2023
2 major projects are underway based on long term agreement with Royal Dutch Shell and Technip
that are leaders of FLNG market.
FEED & EPC contract for Browse project made in June 2015
- EPC contract amount ($4.7b) includes hulls of three FLNGs
and top side value will be added when the FEED is complete.
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* To commence with NTP issuance in 2016
Appendix- Global Network
Oslo
London
Athens Tokyo
Dubai
Rongcheng
Ningbo
Singapore
Houston
Kuala Lumpur
Houston
Deli
Rio De Janeiro
Lagos
Shipyard Block Factory Engineering Center Branch Office
Global production and engineering bases enable SHI to meet various needs of customers
Block Factories in China (2) Ningbo (Since 1997) , Rongcheng (Since 2007)
Offshore Engineering Centers (2) Houston [ASOG (J/V with AMEC)], Deli (Noida)
Branch Office (10) London, Oslo, Athens, Lagos, Dubai, Kuala Lumpur, Singapore, Tokyo, Huston, Rio De Janeiro
Geoje Shipyard
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Appendix- Shipyard View
Site : 4.0million ㎡
Quay Wall Length : 7.9Km (24 vessels)
3 Floating Cranes : 3,000 / 3,600 / 8,000ton
8 Docks (3 Dry Docks & 5 Floating Docks) ▪ No. 1 : 283m × 46m ▪ NO. 2 : 390m × 65m ▪ No. 3 : 640m × 98m ▪ G1 : 270m × 52m ▪ G2 : 400m × 55m ▪ G3 : 400m × 70m ▪ G4 : 420m × 70m ▪ G5 : 157m × 131m (only for Offshore)
SHI Focuses on minimizing profit volatility
Offshore Facilities
Dry Dock No.2
Floating Dock 3
Dry Dock No.3
Floating Dock 2
Floating Dock 4
Main Building
Dry Dock No. 1
ShinHanne Factory
Floating Dock 1
Floating Dock 5
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Disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared by Samsung Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. and contains forward-looking
statements that are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions.
The presentation is solely for your information, subject to change without notice, and makes no
representation or warranty, expressed or implied and no reliability should be placed on the accuracy,
fairness, or completeness of the information presented herein.
The Company, its affiliates, or representatives accept no liability for any losses arising from any information
contained in the presentation.
The contents of this presentation may not be reproduced, redistributed or circulated, directly or Indirectly,
to any other person or organization, or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose.
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