ipsos mori issues index...2 base: 976 british adults 18+, 10 th – 20 th october 2014 source: ipsos...

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Contacts: [email protected] [email protected] 020 7347 3000 Ipsos MORI Issues Index October 2014

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Page 1: Ipsos MORI Issues Index...2 Base: 976 British adults 18+, 10 th – 20 th October 2014 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Issues Facing Britain: October What do you see as the most/other

Contacts: [email protected]

[email protected]

020 7347 3000

Ipsos MORI Issues IndexOctober 2014

Page 2: Ipsos MORI Issues Index...2 Base: 976 British adults 18+, 10 th – 20 th October 2014 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Issues Facing Britain: October What do you see as the most/other

2

Base: 976 British adults 18+, 10th – 20th October 2014 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

Issues Facing Britain: October

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

40

34

30

24

21

14

14

12

11

11

Top mentions %

NHS

Economy

Crime/law and order/ASB

Unemployment

Immigration/immigrants

Poverty/inequality

Low pay/Minimum wage

Defence/Foreign affairs/Terrorism

Change since Sept:

+1

+9

+3

0

-2

+1

0

-4

0

+3

% Position

Education/Schools

Pensions/Social Security

-1

-2

+1

+3

+3

-1

+1

+2

Page 3: Ipsos MORI Issues Index...2 Base: 976 British adults 18+, 10 th – 20 th October 2014 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Issues Facing Britain: October What do you see as the most/other

3

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

Issues Facing Britain: Long Term Trends

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

Unemployment

NHS

Crime/ Law & Order

Economy

Race / immigration

Page 4: Ipsos MORI Issues Index...2 Base: 976 British adults 18+, 10 th – 20 th October 2014 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Issues Facing Britain: October What do you see as the most/other

4

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

Issues Facing Britain: Economy / Economic situationWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

Global Recession and Russian Financial

crisis

Highest score since 1992.

Most important issue for the first time

Sub-prime mortgage crisis in

the US

Northern Rock nationalised

End of recession

announced

Bank

bailout

Cameron becomes

PM

Lowest score since June 2008 (30%)

Page 5: Ipsos MORI Issues Index...2 Base: 976 British adults 18+, 10 th – 20 th October 2014 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Issues Facing Britain: October What do you see as the most/other

5

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

Issues Facing Britain: Race Relations / Immigration / ImmigrantsWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

Race riots in Burnley, Oldham,

and Bradford

Sangatte detention centre costantly in the

news throughout 2002

9/11

Foreign prisoners

furore

Cameron becomes

PM

Border controls relaxed for

Romanians and Bulgarians

Highest score since Sept 2006 (45%)

Page 6: Ipsos MORI Issues Index...2 Base: 976 British adults 18+, 10 th – 20 th October 2014 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Issues Facing Britain: October What do you see as the most/other

6

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

Issues Facing Britain: Unemployment / Factory closure / Lack of industryWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

Unemployment falls below 1 million for first

time in 25 years

Minimum wage introduced

Unemployment in Britain rises to

5.5%

Lowest ever score(5%)

Youth unemployment reaches 1 million

Cameron becomes

PM

Page 7: Ipsos MORI Issues Index...2 Base: 976 British adults 18+, 10 th – 20 th October 2014 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Issues Facing Britain: October What do you see as the most/other

7

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

Issues Facing Britain: Crime / Law & Order / Violence / Vandalism / ASBWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May day riots

Blair activates civil contingencies machinery to deal with spiralling street

crime

Tory election pledge of 40,000 more police

Riots in England

Prison overcrowding

reaches record levels

9/11

Cameron becomes

PM

Page 8: Ipsos MORI Issues Index...2 Base: 976 British adults 18+, 10 th – 20 th October 2014 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Issues Facing Britain: October What do you see as the most/other

8

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

Issues Facing Britain: NHS / Hospitals / HealthcareWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

Report says waiting lists have doubled under Labour

Blair – “We have underfunded the NHS for years and we are paying the price for

it” – BBC NHS day

Hewitt heckled at UNISON

conference – fears over NHS job cuts

Lowest scoresince

December 1985 (12%)

Cameron becomes

PM

Page 9: Ipsos MORI Issues Index...2 Base: 976 British adults 18+, 10 th – 20 th October 2014 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Issues Facing Britain: October What do you see as the most/other

9

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

Issues Facing Britain: Education / SchoolsWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

London Bombs

Introduction of means-tested tuition fees. Education most

important issue.

First City Academies introduced

Lowest score since Dec 1985

(9%)

Labour’s second term - pledge to improve failing secondary schools

Education and

Inspections Bill limits the power of LAs to

open new schools

April 2011 – Pupil Premium introduced

Cameron becomes

PM

Page 10: Ipsos MORI Issues Index...2 Base: 976 British adults 18+, 10 th – 20 th October 2014 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Issues Facing Britain: October What do you see as the most/other

10

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

Issues Facing Britain: Defence / Foreign Affairs / International terrorismWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

9/11

London Bombs

Invasion of Iraq –protests across Europe

General Election - extra £400 million allocated for defence

budget

Failed terror attacks in

London and

Glasgow

UK withdraws from Iraq

War in Kosovo

Parliamentary vote on action in

Syria

Cameron becomes

PM

NATO bombing in Libyan Civil

War Rise of ISIS

Page 11: Ipsos MORI Issues Index...2 Base: 976 British adults 18+, 10 th – 20 th October 2014 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Issues Facing Britain: October What do you see as the most/other

11

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

Issues Facing Britain: Poverty/inequalityWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

5

10

15

20

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

Sept 1999: Alastair Darling – “one child in three”

living in poverty

July 2014 –highest score

recorded (18%)

January 2005 –

Make Poverty History campaign launched on New

Year’s Day

Cameron becomes

PM

Page 12: Ipsos MORI Issues Index...2 Base: 976 British adults 18+, 10 th – 20 th October 2014 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Issues Facing Britain: October What do you see as the most/other

12

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

Issues Facing Britain: Inflation/PricesWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

Inflation rate hits 16 year

peak

Inflation rises to 3.4%

Cameron becomes

PM

Page 13: Ipsos MORI Issues Index...2 Base: 976 British adults 18+, 10 th – 20 th October 2014 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Issues Facing Britain: October What do you see as the most/other

13

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

Issues Facing Britain: HousingWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

5

10

15

20

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

A8 Countries join the EU

House prices rising at fastest rate in 10

years

2005 Election – Blair promises

to make families £800 better off

and help first time buyers

Highest score since May 2008

(15%)

Cameron becomes

PM

Page 14: Ipsos MORI Issues Index...2 Base: 976 British adults 18+, 10 th – 20 th October 2014 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Issues Facing Britain: October What do you see as the most/other

14

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

Issues Facing Britain: Pensions/Benefits/Social securityWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

Lords vote to increase compensation for those whose

company pension schemes have

collapsed

Blair and Harriet Harman propose ‘affluence testing’ to exclude the

well-off from state benefits

Brown unveils

pension credits

Pensions commission report –

“more than 12 million working people are not saving enough

for their retirement”

Lowest ever score (3%)

Cameron becomes

PM

Page 15: Ipsos MORI Issues Index...2 Base: 976 British adults 18+, 10 th – 20 th October 2014 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Issues Facing Britain: October What do you see as the most/other

15

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

Issues Facing Britain: Pollution / EnvironmentWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

5

10

15

20

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

Cameron’s “Vote Blue, go Green”

campaign at 2006

local elections

Buncefield Oil Depot fire – toxic cloud reaches northern Spain

Wettest Autumn since records began –

widespread flooding across the UK

EC proposes carbon emission cuts of 20%

by 2020

Stern Review on

climate change

Cameron becomes

PM

Flooding in England

Page 16: Ipsos MORI Issues Index...2 Base: 976 British adults 18+, 10 th – 20 th October 2014 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Issues Facing Britain: October What do you see as the most/other

16

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

Issues Facing Britain: Common Market / Europe / Euro / EUWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

9/11

Treaty of Accession:

10 new EU Member States

France and Holland

reject ratification of EU constitution

Lowest score recorded (1%)

Amsterdam Treaty signed

Cameron becomes

PM

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home

Post Euro elections: Highest score since

June 2005 (12%)

Page 17: Ipsos MORI Issues Index...2 Base: 976 British adults 18+, 10 th – 20 th October 2014 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Issues Facing Britain: October What do you see as the most/other

17NHS – key issue overall, but less prominent as the ‘first choice’ issueWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? – The NHS

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

5 56

76

7

27

24

2725 25

34

0

10

20

30

40

May2014

Jun2014

Jul2014

Aug2014

Sep2014

Oct2014

Most important issue:

Main/other important issue:

40

34

30

24

21

23

7

15

8

7

Immigration

NHS

Unemployment

Economy

Defence/ foreign affairs

Top five biggest issues NHS – over time

Most important issue

Most/other important issue

Page 18: Ipsos MORI Issues Index...2 Base: 976 British adults 18+, 10 th – 20 th October 2014 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Issues Facing Britain: October What do you see as the most/other

18

Ipsos MORI Issues Index

Concern about the NHS - subgroups

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? – The NHS

Base: 976 British adults 18+, 10th – 20th October 2014

Concern by region

33%

Greater London

37%

33%

32%

35%

42% 41%

34%30%

27%

Social grade

ABOverallWomen

Social grade

DEMen

Differences in concern by sub-group