ipsos investor polling results and rental market overviewbase: all respondents. fall 2020 (n=3213);...
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Ipsos Investor Polling Results and Rental
Market Overview
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Likelihood To Purchase an Investment Property
1B. How likely are you to purchase a home as an investment property over the next year?Base: All respondents. Fall 2020 (n=3213); 416 (n=1455); 905 (n=1758). Fall 2019 (n=4333). Fall 2018 (n=4060).
25%23% 24%
8%7%
8%
Fall 2018 Fall 2019 Fall 2020
Very/somewhat Likely(T2B)
Very likely(T1B)
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Impact of Vacant Home Tax on Decision to Buy Investment Property
1B. How likely are you to purchase a home as an investment property over the next year?Base: All respondents. Fall 2020 (n=3213); 416 (n=1455); 905 (n=1758). Fall 2019 (n=4333). Fall 2018 (n=4060).
40%
21%
37%
2%
Fall 2017 Fall 2018 Fall 2019 Fall 2020
Won’t impact plans
No longer buy
Have tenants rent
Other
↓ 7 pts
↑ 6 pts
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45%
33%
20%
Impact of Regulations on Short-Term Rentals on Decision to Buy Investment Property
4B. Earlier in the survey you mentioned that you own an investment property. The City of Toronto has implemented stringer regulations on short-term rentals and is currently studying the possibility of a vacant home tax. Starting from September 2020, short-term rentals (defined as all or part of a dwelling unit rented out for less than 28 consecutive days in exchange for payment, including B&Bs but excluding hotels and hotels) must be registered with the city. Among other things, the property listed must be the owner’s primary place of residence and they must also collect a 4% municipal accommodation tax. Not yet a reality, the vacant home tax means that homes that are not occupied for a certain period of time will be levied a tax. The Federal Government has already announced it will consider a nationwide vacancy tax. How do each of these measures impact your decision regarding your investment property?
Base: Plan to Buy an Investment Property In Toronto. Fall 2020 (n=277); 416 (n=219); 905(n=58).
Won’t impact plans
No longer purchase
Have tenants rent
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Likelihood of Listing Investment Property For Sale
A3A. How likely are you to list an investment property you own for sale over the next year?Base: Own an Investment Property. Fall 2019 (n=651): 416 (n=366); 905 (n=285)
61%66% 67%
22%
30%29%
Fall 2018 Fall 2019 Fall 2020
Very/somewhat likely(T2B)
Very likely(T1B)
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COVID-19 Pandemic and Listing Investment Property
QA3AX. Has COVID-19 made you more or less likely than you otherwise would have been to list an investment property you own?Base: Those who have an investment property (n=895; 416 n=508; 905 n=387).
More likely
37%
No impact
51%
Less likely
13%
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Fall 2019
Fall 2018
It won’t impact me at all 36% 35%
I’ll sell my investment property 34% 31%
I’ll have tenants to rent from me 28% 32%
Other 2% 2%
Potential Impact of Vacant Home Tax
A10. Earlier in the survey you mentioned that you own an investment property. The City of Toronto has implemented stringer regulations on short-term rentals and is currently studying the possibility of a vacant home tax. Starting from September 2020, short-term rentals (defined as all or part of a dwelling unit rented out for less than 28 consecutive days in exchange for payment, including B&Bs but excluding hotels and hotels) must be registered with the city. Among other things, the property listed must be the owner’s primary place of residence and they must also collect a 4% municipal accommodation tax. Not yet a reality, the vacant home tax means that homes that are not occupied for a certain period of time will be levied a tax. The Federal Government has already announced it will consider a nationwide vacancy tax. How do each of these measures impact your decision regarding your investment property? Base: Own an investment property. Fall 2020 (n=665). Fall 2019 (n=651). Fall 2018 (n=571).
30%
40%
28%
2%
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32%
26%
40%
Impact of Regulations on Short-Term Rentals on Decision about Investment Property
A10. Earlier in the survey you mentioned that you own an investment property. The City of Toronto has implemented stringer regulations on short-term rentals and is currently studying the possibility of a vacant home tax. Starting from September 2020, short-term rentals (defined as all or part of a dwelling unit rented out for less than 28 consecutive days in exchange for payment, including B&Bs but excluding hotels and hotels) must be registered with the city. Among other things, the property listed must be the owner’s primary place of residence and they must also collect a 4% municipal accommodation tax. Not yet a reality, the vacant home tax means that homes that are not occupied for a certain period of time will be levied a tax. The Federal Government has already announced it will consider a nationwide vacancy tax. How do each of these measures impact your decision regarding your investment property?Base: Own an investment property. Fall 2020 (n=665); 416 (n=384); 905 (n=281).
Won’t impact plans
Sell propertyHave tenants rent
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Condo Rental Transactions
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Source: TRREB
Condo Rental Transactions by Quarter - 2019 vs. 2020
2019 2020
39
Average Condo Rents Dipped in 2020
$1,400
$1,600
$1,800
$2,000
$2,200
$2,400
$2,600
$2,800
$3,000
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020Source: TRREB
Average One-Bdrm & Two-Bdrm Condo Apt. Rents
One-Bedroom Two-Bedroom
40
CMHC Vacancy Rates Climbed in 2020
1.5%
0.8%
3.4%
1.7%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
Purpose-Built Rental Condo Rental
Source: CMHC
CMHC Purpose-Built and Condominium Apartment Vacancy
2019 2020
41
In Conclusion: Home Sales Have a Huge Economic Benefit
Professional Services (incl. REALTORS®):
33,600Renovations: 19,550
Furniture & Appliances: 8,575
General Household Purchases: 4,125
Moving Costs: 2,425
$0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000
Econ
omic
Impa
ct
Source: Altus Group
Economic Impact of Each GTA Home Sale