investors’ briefing · ‘06 ‘05 ‘06 655 748 93 parent 724 company debt 570 624 100 100...
TRANSCRIPT
Investors’ BriefingInvestors’ Briefing
08 March 200708 March 2007
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FY 2006 EXECUTIVE SUMMARYFY 2006 EXECUTIVE SUMMARYFIRST GEN DELIVERED GROWTH AND EXTRACTED MORE VALUE FIRST GEN DELIVERED GROWTH AND EXTRACTED MORE VALUE FROM ITS ASSETS WITH THE RESOLUTION OF THE DISPUTES IN FROM ITS ASSETS WITH THE RESOLUTION OF THE DISPUTES IN 2006. THIS LED TO INCREASED NET INCOME OF US$92 MILLION.2006. THIS LED TO INCREASED NET INCOME OF US$92 MILLION.
Net Income Attributable to Parent(US$ million)
Revenue(US$ million)
Recurring Net Income (US$ million)
992 164 (20% )
828
92 90
87 825 (6% ) 8 (10% )
‘05 ‘06 ‘05 ‘06 ‘05 ‘06
Highlights for 2006 are:
• First Gen Initial Public Offering (“IPO”)• Resolutions of both the Gas Dispute and the Siemens Dispute• 112MW Pantabangan/Masiway Hydroelectric Complex (“PMHC”) acquisition and
turnover• The extension of Santa Rita’s Income Tax Holiday (“ITH”)
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FY 2006 EXECUTIVE SUMMARYFY 2006 EXECUTIVE SUMMARYFIRST GEN’S FIVE POWER PLANT PORTFOLIO CONTINUES TO FIRST GEN’S FIVE POWER PLANT PORTFOLIO CONTINUES TO DELIVER STRONG CASH FLOWSDELIVER STRONG CASH FLOWS
Santa Rita
San Lorenzo
PMHC^ Agusan Bauang*
Revenues 678 331 13 1 53
47
23
8
EBITDA 172 88 11 0
Net Income
92 48 6 0
Net Income to First Gen
55 29 6 0
(in US$ MM)
CONTRIBUTION TO FGEN NET INCOME
Santa Rita60%
San Lorenzo32%
PMHC7%
Others1%
^PMHC, started commercial operations only on 18 Nov 06.*Bauang is an affiliate and therefore not consolidated into First Gen.
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FY 2006 Financial and Operating HighlightsFY 2006 Financial and Operating Highlights
Outlook for 2007Outlook for 2007
Growth PlansGrowth Plans
Q&AQ&A
5
FY 2006 MAJOR DEVELOPMENTSFY 2006 MAJOR DEVELOPMENTSTHE YEAR WAS HIGHLIGHTED BY THE COMPANY’S IPO AND THE THE YEAR WAS HIGHLIGHTED BY THE COMPANY’S IPO AND THE SUBSEQUENT RESOLUTION OF ITS LEGAL DISPUTESSUBSEQUENT RESOLUTION OF ITS LEGAL DISPUTES
Key Areas Major Developments
First Gen IPO
Successful Fundraising amidst market uncertainties• Raised $186 million (gross) from the listing of 24% of its outstanding common shares on the
Philippine Stock Exchange• 80% foreign and 20% local take-up
Legal Proceedings
Final resolution of the Siemens dispute• The tribunal ruled that Santa Rita is entitled to the US$94.2 million previously withheld• Siemens made an additional net payment to Santa Rita of $10.5 million in respect of all other
claims, counterclaims, interest and costs of the arbitration–Receivables from Siemens of US$6.7 million was reversed.–Remaining US$3.8 million booked as extraordinary income
• Used US$88.0 million to reduce outstanding debt
Resolution of the dispute with the gas sellers• Santa Rita and San Lorenzo’s US$231 million gas take-or-pay obligation reduced to US$135
million; net amount payable on a quarterly basis until 2009.• Total principal and interest payments made during the year amounted to US$77.3 million• Gas take-or-pay consumption extended until 2014.• All Gas take-or-pay obligations are a full pass-through to Meralco.
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FY 2006 MAJOR DEVELOPMENTSFY 2006 MAJOR DEVELOPMENTSTHE YEAR WAS ALSO HIGHLIGHTED BY THE ACQUISITION AND THE YEAR WAS ALSO HIGHLIGHTED BY THE ACQUISITION AND TURNOVER OF PMHC AND THE EXTENSION OF SANTA RITA’S ITH TURNOVER OF PMHC AND THE EXTENSION OF SANTA RITA’S ITH TO MAY 2007TO MAY 2007
Key Areas Major Developments
PMHCAcquisition and Turnover
Successful turnover and operation of PMHC• First Gen successfully bid for the plant on 08 Sept 06 at US$129 million• PMHC was turned over on 18 Nov 06• Net income of $6 million in less than two months
Santa Rita ITH Extension
Extended the ITH for another year• Santa Rita saved some US$23 million in income tax payments (for seven months) as a result of the
extension• Santa Rita’s ITH to expire in May 2007 (savings of US$16.5 million this year)
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FY 2006 MOVEMENTS IN KEY VALUE DRIVERSFY 2006 MOVEMENTS IN KEY VALUE DRIVERSTHE GAS PLANTS BOAST OF THE HIGHEST DISPATCH RATES THE GAS PLANTS BOAST OF THE HIGHEST DISPATCH RATES FOR 2006 IN THE LUZON GRIDFOR 2006 IN THE LUZON GRID
Sta. Rita998
’05 ‘06
995958Guarantee
503
’05 ‘06
498487Guarantee
77%
’05 ‘06
81%
77%
’05 ‘06
81%
Target ‘06
90%97%
Target ‘06
94%100%
90% 96%
Target ‘06
94% 99%
Target ‘06
The highest in the Luzon Grid
Value Drivers
Santa Rita
San Lorenzo
Dispatch Availability ReliabilityNDC
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FY 2006 MOVEMENTS IN KEY VALUE DRIVERSFY 2006 MOVEMENTS IN KEY VALUE DRIVERSPMHC’S CAPACITY UTILIZATION WAS 72% SINCE TAKEOVER PMHC’S CAPACITY UTILIZATION WAS 72% SINCE TAKEOVER AND BAUANG’S DISPATCH INCREASED TO 8%AND BAUANG’S DISPATCH INCREASED TO 8%
238
’05 ‘06
215Guarantee
112
’05 ‘06
102
’05 ‘06
72%
n/a
97% 96%
Target ‘06
Target ‘06
90%97%
Target ‘06
94%100%
23896% 96%
Target ‘06
2%
’05 ‘06
8%
Value Drivers
PMHC
Bauang
NDC Dispatch Availability Reliability
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FY 2006 GROWTH INITIATIVESFY 2006 GROWTH INITIATIVESFIRST GEN PURSUED SEVERAL OTHER GROWTH INITIATIVES IN FIRST GEN PURSUED SEVERAL OTHER GROWTH INITIATIVES IN 20062006
Growth Initiative Major Steps
PSALM Assets First Gen bid for the 360MW Magat Hydroelectric Plant. The Company’s bid price was US$420 million in contrast to AEV’s, the highest bidder, US$530 million – a 26% premium.Earlier in the year, the Company was also a bidder in the 600MW Calaca privatization. Our bid at US$176 million was about US$16 million higher than DMCI’s, one of the plant’s coal suppliers. Both bids, however, did not meet the reserve price.
Private Acquisitions First Gen formed a consortium with TEPCO and Marubeni for the purchase of Mirant’s Philippine assets. The Company, however, chose not to participate prior to the bid submission.
–First Gen was invited by the consortium to be part of the 400MW Pagbilao expansion
550MW San Gabriel Power Plant
The ability to successfully develop San Gabriel hinges on the commitment of the Gas Sellers to provide additional supply. The ball is in the Gas Seller’s court.
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FY 2006 RESULTS OF OPERATIONSFY 2006 RESULTS OF OPERATIONSREVENUE GROWTH WAS ATTRIBUTABLE TO THE ACQUISITION OF PMHC REVENUE GROWTH WAS ATTRIBUTABLE TO THE ACQUISITION OF PMHC AND SURGING FUEL PRICES; PASSAND SURGING FUEL PRICES; PASS--THROUGH NATURE OF THE FUEL THROUGH NATURE OF THE FUEL COMPONENT RESULTED TO AN INCREASE IN OPERATING COSTS AND COMPONENT RESULTED TO AN INCREASE IN OPERATING COSTS AND EXPENSES AS WELLEXPENSES AS WELL
Revenues (US$ million)
Operating Costs & Expenses(US$ million)
992 164 (20% )
828 790148 (23% )
642
‘05 ‘06 ‘05 ‘06Increase is mainly due to:Increase is mainly due to:• Improvement in dispatch of 4%, and
higher fuel charges due to prices in the world market
• Higher O&M expenses due to higher dispatch
156
3
• Lower administrative expenses
• Lower depreciation expenses
(8)
(3)
TOTAL 148
• Higher fuel charges reflecting global prices and improvement in dispatch by 4%
160
• Addition of PMHC revenues 13
• Reduction in sales tax charge (9)
TOTAL 164
* From US$6.82/GJ for SR and US$6.90 for SL in 2005 to US$8.35/GJ in 2006
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FY 2006 RESULTS OF OPERATIONSFY 2006 RESULTS OF OPERATIONSINCREASE IN EBITDA MAINLY DUE TO PMHC AND SAVINGS IN INCREASE IN EBITDA MAINLY DUE TO PMHC AND SAVINGS IN ADMINISTRATIVE EXPENSES. THE DECREASE IN INTEREST ADMINISTRATIVE EXPENSES. THE DECREASE IN INTEREST EXPENSES RESULTED IN IMPROVED NET INCOME.EXPENSES RESULTED IN IMPROVED NET INCOME.
EBITDA*(US$ million)
Net Income Attributable to Parent(US$ million)
261273 12(5% )
8792
5 (6% )
‘05 ‘06 ‘05 ‘06Increase is mainly due to:Increase is mainly due to:• Increase in EBITDA 12
• Decrease in interest expense - net 8
• Increase in taxes (20)
• Decrease in depreciation 3
• Others 2
TOTAL 5
• Increase in revenues
• Higher fuel and O&M expenses
• Lower administrative expenses
164
(159)
8
• Others (1)
TOTAL 12
* Includes equity in net earnings & other income (charges)
12
FY 2006 CASH FLOWSFY 2006 CASH FLOWSFURTHER INCREASES IN FREE CASH FLOW DUE TO FREED UP FURTHER INCREASES IN FREE CASH FLOW DUE TO FREED UP CASH FROM OPERATIONS AND HIGHER INTEREST INCOMECASH FROM OPERATIONS AND HIGHER INTEREST INCOME
Free Cash Flow*(US$ million)
Movements in Cash and Cash Equivalents(US$ million)
294
167229 65(28% )
‘05 ‘06Increase is mainly due to:• Increase in cash EBIT 13
• Decrease in working capital 32
• Increase in interest income 15
• Decrease in non-current assets 6
• Others (1)
TOTAL 65
* Net cash from operations – net cash used in investing activities –effects of forex on cash and cash equivalents
302
294
Dec 05 FCF IPO
52
Decrease in cash from financing activities
Dec 06
252
PMHCPurchase
459
13
FY 2006 FINANCIAL RATIOSFY 2006 FINANCIAL RATIOSIMPROVED RATIOS REFLECT FIRST GEN’S STRONG FINANCIAL IMPROVED RATIOS REFLECT FIRST GEN’S STRONG FINANCIAL POSITIONPOSITION
Key Ratios
US$446M
US$266M
‘05
‘06
8.9x
10.0x‘06Price-to-Earnings Ratio**
Net Debt
‘05
Debt-to-Total Equity Ratio* 1.6x
1.0x
‘05
‘06
US$0.109
US$0.118‘06Earnings per share
‘05
*Equity includes minority interest**FGEN price used is P47.00 (as of 31 Dec 05)
2.9x
2.7x
‘05
‘06 4.3x‘06Debt-to-EBITDA
EV-to-EBITDA 3.5x‘05
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FY 2006 FINANCIAL CONDITIONFY 2006 FINANCIAL CONDITIONTHE DEBT LEVEL DECREASED DUE TO TIMELY AND CONTINUED THE DEBT LEVEL DECREASED DUE TO TIMELY AND CONTINUED PAYMENT OF PROJECT FINANCE DEBT DESPITE NEW PAYMENT OF PROJECT FINANCE DEBT DESPITE NEW BORROWINGS FOR THE RECENTLY ACQUIRED PMHCBORROWINGS FOR THE RECENTLY ACQUIRED PMHC
Net Debt-to-Total Equity Ratio*Consolidated Debt as of end-2006 *(US$ million)
Project Debt
1.0x
0.4x
‘05
‘06
‘05 ‘06
655
748
93
Parent company debt724
570
624
100100
’07F**
470
* Equity includes minority interest; net debt pertains to bank debts only less cash and cash equivalents.
• As of Dec. 06, First Gen has paid a total of US$359m of project financed debt at the Santa Rita & San Lorenzo.
• First Gen took took on new debt of US$77.4 million for PMHC
*Current and Long-term portion**Assuming no acquisitions and no PMHC refinancing
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FY 2006 Financial and Operating HighlightsFY 2006 Financial and Operating Highlights
Outlook for 2007Outlook for 2007
Growth PlansGrowth Plans
Q&AQ&A
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OPERATIONSOPERATIONSPMHC WILL DELIVER A FULL YEAR OF OPERATIONS IN 2007 AND PMHC WILL DELIVER A FULL YEAR OF OPERATIONS IN 2007 AND IS OPTIMISTIC THAT IT WILL GET AN ITH IS OPTIMISTIC THAT IT WILL GET AN ITH
Full Year of PMHC
Dependable Capacity
Pantabangan – 100MW, Masiway – 12MW
Location Nueva Ecija Province (~180km. north of Metro Manila)
Land area Pantabangan – 8.4 ha.Masiway – 3.1 ha.
Age Pantabangan - 29 yearsMasiway – 25 years
With Contract? Generally bid out as a merchant plant with some ~60MW of TSCs attached
Reservoir 3 billion cubic meters
Original Equipment Manufacturer
Pantabangan – MitsubishiMasiway – Toshiba12MW Masiway
(Nueva Ecija)
100MW Pantabangan(Nueva Ecija)
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OPERATIONSOPERATIONSPMHC BOASTS OF VARIOUS OPERATING CAPABILITIES THAT PMHC BOASTS OF VARIOUS OPERATING CAPABILITIES THAT WILL ALLOW IT TO MAXIMIZE INCOMEWILL ALLOW IT TO MAXIMIZE INCOME
PMHC Competitive Edge
Reservoir size vs. Inflows At 3 billion cubic meters, the Pantabangan reservoir can adequately store annual water inflows (1.8-2.0 billion cubic meters) providing better control over water release, which minimizes spillage
Flexible Operations Can start up in 10 minutes and reach full load in 1 minute; is able to provide the whole range of ancillary services and can readily disengage from the grid when power prices are low and re-engage when power rates are high. Low minimum stable load of 5MW per unit.
Low variable cost Minimal water fees make PMHC one of the lowest variable cost plants in the system today
Low sedimentation Projected useful life of the reservoir is 110 years (up to 2084)
Operating History 100% reliability and >95% availability in recent years
GIVEN THE SIZE OF PMHC’S RESERVOIR AND ITS FLEXIBLE OPERATING PARAMETERS, THERE ARE OPPORTUNITIES FOR EXPANSION
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OPERATIONSOPERATIONSWHILE PANTABANGAN CAN OPTIMIZE TO RUN AT PEAK, THE WHILE PANTABANGAN CAN OPTIMIZE TO RUN AT PEAK, THE SMALLER MASIWAY WILL NEED TO SERVE CONSTANT SMALLER MASIWAY WILL NEED TO SERVE CONSTANT IRRIGATION NEEDSIRRIGATION NEEDS
PMHC Competitive Edge
Casecnan HEPRun-of-River fromCasecnan River
150MW
Pantabangan HEP2x50MW
Masiway HEP1x12MW
PantabanganReservoir Dam26km Tunnel
Max. Operating Level = 221masl
Min. Operating Level = 170masl
Max. Operating Level = 129masl
Min. Operating Level = 126.5 masl
Storage capacity: 3BCM
Masiway Reservoir
Storage capacity: 6MCM
2000.0
3000.0
4000.0
5000.0
6000.0
7000.0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Can program generation during peak hours
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FINANCEFINANCEPMHC IS LOOKING AT PREPAYING ITS US$77.4 MILLION DEBT TO PMHC IS LOOKING AT PREPAYING ITS US$77.4 MILLION DEBT TO PSALM WHICH WILL LESSEN THE PLANT’S INTEREST EXPENSE PSALM WHICH WILL LESSEN THE PLANT’S INTEREST EXPENSE IN THE PROCESSIN THE PROCESS
Refinancing PMHC
FIRST GEN HYDRO POWER CORPORATION
US$77.4 million
US$77.4 million
Terms of PSALM Financing
Currency: USDRate: 12% 2007 Interest Expense: US$9.1 million (~P437.9 million)
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POWER AUGMENTATION FOR SANTA RITA AND SAN LORENZOPOWER AUGMENTATION FOR SANTA RITA AND SAN LORENZOFIRST GEN WILL ENJOY THE FULL EFFECTS OF INCREASE IN FIRST GEN WILL ENJOY THE FULL EFFECTS OF INCREASE IN 48MW VIA INLET AIR COOLING TECHNOLOGY IN 200748MW VIA INLET AIR COOLING TECHNOLOGY IN 2007
Improvements to Existing Power Generation Facilities
Total Capacity Additions 32.6MW for Santa Rita15.8MW for San Lorenzo48.4MW in total
Nature of improvement Water is evaporated or sprayed into the inlet air duct of the gas turbine to cool the inlet air and increase the gas turbine mass flow, thereby increasing the unit output. The impact on Net Heat Rate is negligible.
Implementation Date Santa Rita full implementation 23 Jan 07San Lorenzo full implementation 14 Nov 06
Estimated Cost US$3.0 million for both Santa Rita and San Lorenzo.
Financing Internally generated funds
Estimated Impact to FGEN’snet income
~US$3.1 million
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POWER AUGMENTATION FOR SANTA RITA AND SAN LORENZOPOWER AUGMENTATION FOR SANTA RITA AND SAN LORENZOFIRST GEN IS IN THE PROCESS OF INSTALLING THE COMPRESSOR FIRST GEN IS IN THE PROCESS OF INSTALLING THE COMPRESSOR BLADE UPGRADES IN LINE WITH ITS MAJOR OVERHAUL PROGRAM THIS BLADE UPGRADES IN LINE WITH ITS MAJOR OVERHAUL PROGRAM THIS YEAR, WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BOOST NDC BY ANOTHER 27MWYEAR, WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BOOST NDC BY ANOTHER 27MW
Improvements to Existing Power Generation Facilities
Total Capacity Additions
At least 18MW for Santa Rita At least 9MW for San Lorenzo27MW in total
Nature of improvement
Widely-used, proven technology to increase the generating capacity of Santa Rita and San Lorenzo. The new compressor blades will increase the air mass flow thus improving the efficiency of the compressor, resulting in an increased gas turbine power output.
Estimated Installation Date
Santa Rita - Feb to July 07San Lorenzo – Oct to Nov 07
Estimated Cost US$10.0 million for both Santa Rita and San Lorenzo.
Financing Internally generated funds
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OTHERSOTHERSSANTA RITA RECENTLY PREPAID DEBT OF US$84 MILLION. SAN SANTA RITA RECENTLY PREPAID DEBT OF US$84 MILLION. SAN LORENZO RECEIVED INSURANCE CLAIMS OF US$4.7 MILLION.LORENZO RECEIVED INSURANCE CLAIMS OF US$4.7 MILLION.
Debt Prepayment Insurance Claims
Project San Lorenzo
Insurance Claims US$4.8 million
When Feb 2007
Project Santa Rita
Prepayment Amount
Principal - US$84.4 millionInterest – US$1.8 millionBreakfunding costs – US$1.4 million
When Feb 2007
Interest Expense Savings(2007)
US$6.0 million
Ave. Interest Expense Savings
US$1.7 million
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ACQUISITIONSACQUISITIONSFIRST GEN WILL CONTINUE TO BE ACTIVE IN THE EXPLORATION FIRST GEN WILL CONTINUE TO BE ACTIVE IN THE EXPLORATION OF GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES THROUGH THE PSALM OF GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES THROUGH THE PSALM PRIVATIZATION / PRIVATE ACQUISITIONSPRIVATIZATION / PRIVATE ACQUISITIONS
Expected Privatization for 2007Expected Privatization for 2007
600MW Calaca(Batangas)
Coal
600MW Masinloc(Zambales)
Geothermal
192.5MW Palinpinon(Negros Oriental )
100MW Binga(Benguet)
75MW Ambuklao(Benguet)
Hydro
246MW Angat(Bulacan)
200MW Manila(Manila)
Decommissioned
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FY 2006 Financial and Operating HighlightsFY 2006 Financial and Operating Highlights
Outlook for 2007Outlook for 2007
Growth PlansGrowth Plans
Q&AQ&A
25
HYDROHYDROAFTER JUST WINNING PMHC,AFTER JUST WINNING PMHC, A CAPACITY UPGRADE AND A CAPACITY UPGRADE AND EXPANSION OF 109MW IS ALREADY IN THE WORKSEXPANSION OF 109MW IS ALREADY IN THE WORKS
Hydropower Expansion
Capacity Upgrade Pantabangan - 30MWMasiway – 1MWTotal – 31MW
Target Delivery Date
Pantabangan Unit 1 – Dec 2008Pantabangan Unit 2 – Dec 2009Masiway – Dec 2008
Technology Pantabangan: Full rehabilitation of existing electromechanical components to extend the plant’s life by 25 years and to enhance its reliability. Masiway: Modernization of overall control system and its integration with PMHC’s control system, testing and calibration of all recording and indicating instruments, and some turbine adjustments to increase output
Cost US$25 million
Capacity Expansion
Pantabangan - 65MWMasiway – 13MWTotal – 78MW
Target Delivery Date
June 2010
Technology Pantabangan: Exploring the feasibility of one additional Francis turbine
Masiway: Exploring the feasibility of one additional Kaplan turbine
Cost US$600,000/MW
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MINIMINI--HYDROHYDROFIRST GEN IS IN THE PROCESS OF CONDUCTING STUDIES FOR FIRST GEN IS IN THE PROCESS OF CONDUCTING STUDIES FOR POSSIBLE HYDRO PLANTS IN THE ISLAND OF PANAY AND IN POSSIBLE HYDRO PLANTS IN THE ISLAND OF PANAY AND IN MINDANAOMINDANAO
Hydro Greenfield Development
Dependable Capacity
Up to 170 MW(12 projects)
Location Island of Panay, Misamis Oriental, Bukidnon, and Agusan del Norte
Technology Run-of-river mini-hydro
Potential Customers
Various A+/A electric cooperatives and nearby distribution utilities
Estimated Start of Commercial Operations
2011 / 2012
27
COALCOALTOGETHER WITH DMCI, FIRST GEN IS DEVELOPING A 100MW TOGETHER WITH DMCI, FIRST GEN IS DEVELOPING A 100MW CIRCULATING FLUIDIZED BED (“CFB”) COAL PLANT IN PANAYCIRCULATING FLUIDIZED BED (“CFB”) COAL PLANT IN PANAY
Entrance to Coal
Dependable Capacity
100MW (2 x 50MW)
Location Concepcion, Iloilo
Technology CFB is viewed as “clean coal technology” in terms of air emissions
Dispatch Baseload
Customers West grid (Antique), South grid (Iloilo City) and the North grid (Capiz and Aklan)
Fuel possibly, Semirara Coal
Iloilo City
Site
Semirara
28
NATURAL GASNATURAL GASFIRST GEN IS CONSIDERING BUILDING THEFIRST GEN IS CONSIDERING BUILDING THE 550MW SAN GABRIEL 550MW SAN GABRIEL PROJECT IN PHASES OF 275MW EACH PROJECT IN PHASES OF 275MW EACH
Natural Gas Expansion
Green Bay Boundary
FGHC PropertiesFGHC Corp. PropertiesFGPC Properties
Legend:
Proposed San Gabriel
site
Dependable Capacity
550MW
Location Santa Rita, Batangas
Technology Combined cycle
Dispatch Baseload
Cost US$400 million
Fuel Malampaya gas and/or LNG
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FY 2006 Financial and Operating HighlightsFY 2006 Financial and Operating Highlights
Outlook for 2007Outlook for 2007
Growth PlansGrowth Plans
Q&AQ&A
30
END OF PRESENTATIONEND OF PRESENTATION
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