*investors should consult their financial advisors if in doubt about … · 2019-01-22 · however,...
TRANSCRIPT
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*Investors should consult their financial advisors if in doubt aboutwhether the product is suitable for them.
Why prefer a debt fund over traditional fixed income investment?
Better liquidity Tax efficient Allows daily participation in growth Reasonable returns Flexibility of investment horizon Hassle free Systematic Investments
Traditional fixed income investments may offer assured or guaranteed returns. However, investments in mutual funds is subject to market risks. 1
Why invest now in a debt fund?
Real rates* are attractive.
Professionally managed
Taxation efficient
Better return potential
2*Real rates are inflation adjusted returns. Spread between RBI’s repo rate and AAA rated bonds across the yield curve is in the range of 150 - 200 bps as on Dec 31, 2018. These may change from time to time. They look even more attractive when compared to RBI’s latest projection of inflation (CPI) for H1 2019-20 at 3.8-4.2 range
Credit spreads over last 10 years
Current AAA-AA spreads are neutral; however, AAA-A spreads are reasonable
Why invest now in a credit oriented debt fund?
Past performance may or may not be sustained in future. Fixed Income Funds are tax efficient on completion of 3 years holding period. Hence the comparable rates of 3 years returns have been taken into consideration.Source: Bloomberg. Data as on Dec 31, 2018.
Spread Between AAA and AA
Spread Between AAA and A
Maximum Spread 1.58 2.38
Minimum Spread -0.08 0.65
Average Spread 0.52 1.50
Current Spread 0.59 1.77
Spread Between AAA and AA
Spread Between AAA and A
Maximum Spread 1.80 2.55
Minimum Spread 0.04 0.69
Average Spread 0.53 1.53
Current Spread 0.57 1.65
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-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
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Jan
-09
Au
g-0
9
Mar
-10
Oct
-10
May
-11
Dec
-11
Jul-
12
Feb
-13
Sep
-13
Ap
r-1
4
No
v-1
4
Jun
-15
Jan
-16
Au
g-1
6
Mar
-17
Oct
-17
May
-18
Dec
-18
1 year credit spread
Spread Between AAA and AA Spread Between AAA and A
0.00
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1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
Jan
-09
Au
g-0
9
Mar
-10
Oct
-10
May
-11
Dec
-11
Jul-
12
Feb
-13
Sep
-13
Ap
r-1
4
No
v-1
4
Jun
-15
Jan
-16
Au
g-1
6
Mar
-17
Oct
-17
May
-18
Dec
-18
3 years credit spreadSpread Between AAA and AA Spread Between AAA and A
Current scenario:AAA-AA spreads are neutral; however, AAA-A spreads are reasonable.
Why invest now in a credit oriented debt fund?
Our expectation: AA spreads to widen especially due to tighter liquidity scenario & credit averseness due to ALM mismatches of NBFCs.
Our positioning: Given the spreads, the current* portfolio has higher allocation to AAA and A rated instruments.
Our strategy in current scenario:To have shorter maturity (“A” rated) instruments reflects the above market reality. We have added exposure inAA recently on widening of spreads and would convert from AAA/A1+ to AA on further widening of spreads.
Our credit philosophy:We take near term credit calls over 1-2 years rather than taking bold calls with 3-5 years.
And its Outcomei) Investing in tenure with better visibility of business cycle (important for lower rated credits).ii) Early maturities help improve liquidity of the fund and may facilitate exits with relatively lesser impact cost.iii) Lower average maturity may reduce the initial YTM of the fund. However, it results in lower volatility due to MTM.
* As on 31st Dec, 2018. The investment strategy/philosophy stated above may change from time to time without any notice and shall be in accordance with the strategy as mentioned in the Scheme Information Document of the scheme 4
About Principal Credit Risk Fund
For investors seeking capital conservation with reasonable income accrual along with low interest rate volatility
Endeavors to generate alpha through appropriate credit selection rather than calls on interest rates movement
Aims at higher daily accrual income with lower modified duration (typically between 1-2 years).
Efficiently aspire to tap mispriced credit across the credit spectrum with or without rating migrations*
Investors seeking to do asset allocation across various asset classes and have credit risk appetite but low duration appetite can look to invest in this fund
*Upgrades/Downgrades may or may not provide the alpha as markets are efficient to some extent. However, opportunities still exist for mispriced credits (for example, new capital market issuers, size of issue, credit enhance structures, regulatory changes etc.). The investment strategy stated above is the current strategy and may change from time to time without any notice and shall be in accordance with the strategy as mentioned in the Scheme Information Document of the scheme. 5
Healthy Gross YTM despite low average maturity of Principal Credit Risk Fund
Why Principal Credit Risk Fund?
Traditional Fixed Income Investment - SBI 3 years FD rates. Source: www.sbi.co.in, MFI Explorer for data on all the Credit Risk Fund offered in the Industry, Internal Analysis. Investments in FDs are insured by Deposit Insurance and Credit Guarantee Corporation (DICGC) upto a maximum of Rs. 1,00,000 (Rupees one lakh) for both principal and interest amount.Fixed Income Funds are tax efficient on completion of 3 years holding period. Hence the comparable rates of 3 years FD has been taken into consideration. Principal MF does not guarantee any returns on investments in this fund. 6
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0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
-
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18
Gross YTM (Principal Credit Risk Fund) Traditional Fixed Income Investment
Avg Maturity (Principal Credit Risk Fund in years) [RHS] Avg Maturity (Industry Median in years) [RHS]
Data as on 31st Dec 2018. Source: MFI Explorer for data on all the Credit Risk Fund offered in the Industry, Internal Analysis.
Why Principal Credit Risk Fund?
*includes A-/(SO), BBB+, BBB-, BBB/(SO) and Unrated
This would lead to relatively robust credit composition at slightly lower YTM of our fund.
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Higher allocation to AAA/AA+:This would convert to AA and below on expected widening of spreads.
We would endeavor to have no exposure in unrated/below A-rated exposure.
AAA/AA+ A1+/A1 AA/AA- A/A+ Other Rated*/Unrated
27.56
0
40.69
18.64
0
20.49
4.06
42.8
17.83
7.83
Principal Credit Risk Fund Industry Average
How we evaluate Credits? Investments are structured with a view for over 1-2 years rather than taking bold calls with 3-5 years. This
is primarily because:1) Beyond a point even the Issuer’s management and market analysts have very hazy outlook.2) Many changes like Regulatory/Structural/Global/Demographic/Technological etc. are beyond
anyone’s control. Primary focus on:
1) Evaluating businesses over cycles.2) Financial analysis after making necessary adjustments3) Analyzing business vis-à-vis its sector.4) Face-to-face interactions with management and promoters before onboarding a new credit is a strict
mandate.5) Branch/Location visits for lower rated NBFC Credits.6) “Early entry and early exit” strategy.7) Deal structuring to minimize the risk
Utmost importance to Keyman risk and Liquidity Risk. No investments made in case of any opacity in granular data disclosure by the management.
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How we evaluate Credits?
“eliminate when in doubt rather than compulsive investing”
Since Jun 2012, there has been 11 credit stress /downgrade cases in the Indian MF namely, Deccan Chronicle Group(June-12), Amtek Auto (Aug-15), Jindal Steel and Power – Group (Dec-15), Ballarpur (BILT) (Oct-16) RelianceCommunication Group (Apr-17), IDBI Bank (May-17), Religare Group (Oct-17), Jana Small Finance Bank (Dec-17),Sintex Group (Jul-18), Reliance Infrastructure (Aug-18) and IL&FS Group (Sep-18).
Owing to our credit evaluation process, we didn’t have exposure to any of these barring IL&FS Group (IL&FS FinancialService) to the extent of Rs. 125 Crs. Of this amount, we have realized Rs. 50 Crs from the issuer.
We do not have thumb rules hence there are possibilities of contradictory calls.For example:If the group is strong, lending to smaller company with losses is possible, provided there is a visibleturnaround in its business.We avoid lending money to businesses where the intentions of group is unclear.
Our risk mitigate covenants:1) Promoters shareholding/management control/brand retention2) Financial ratios with defined terms.3) Escrow over cash flows/put-call structure.4) Step up of coupon on rating downgrades.5) credit enhancement with partial guarantee.
Historical indicators are no guarantee of future results. 9
About Principal Credit Risk Fund
Composition by Assets (% of NAV)Ratings Profile (% of NAV)
Fund Facts
Data as on Dec 31, 2018.
Sectoral Allocation (% of NAV)
10
13.00
8.54
3.72
6.39
9.59
31.09
27.57
0.10
Cash & Cash Equivalent
A
A(SO)
A+
AA(SO)
AA
AAA
Sovereign
86.90 0.10
13.00
BONDS & NCD Treasury Bills Cash and Other Assets
23.21
15.4 14.8812.26
7.97 7.925.26
Housing Finance Energy Metals Financial Services Telecom Pharma Public FinanceInstitution
About Principal Credit Risk Fund
Portfolio Quants
Asset Under ManagementExpense Ratios^
Fund Manager
Fund Facts
Benchmark
Load Structure
Data as on Dec 31, 2018. ̂ Ratio includes GST on management fees
Mr. Gurvinder Singh Wasan has over 15 years of experience in Fixed Income Markets
NIFTY Credit Risk Bond Index
Entry Load: NilExit Load: 1% if redeemed within 365 days from the date of allotment
Direct Plan0.86%
Regular Plan1.63%
As on month endRs. 77.77Crs
Monthly averageRs. 76.90 Crs
Modified Duration1.12 Years
Gross Yield to Maturity9.30%
Average Maturity1.39 Years
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Our Investment Philosophy
Focused Fund Management
Disciplined Risk Management
Rigorous Credit and Economic Research
Superior returns are best achieved for our investors through the integration of:
Investment Philosophy
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Investment Process
SEBI Guidelines, KIM, SID, Investment Manual, Scheme
specific investment objective, risk profile
Investment Committee, FI team discussions and
communication/exchange of views, Asset allocation
matrix, liquidity forecasting
Credit Process: IC Approved issuer universe/monitoring
and addition/deletion of companies
Trading/Deal execution/Deal
entry/limits checking by system/Deal settlement
Compliance checks/monitoring
Risk Management/performance
monitoring/Peer analysis
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Investment Process & Risk Management
Research Fund Management Risk Management
• Macro economic analysis
• Credit risk management
• Liquidity forecasting
• Asset allocation matrix
• Portfolio Construction
• Trading and Duration management
• Dealing: Trade Placement and Execution
• Limit monitoring/compliance
• Volatility management, stress testing for various risks
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a. Macro-economic Analysis • Access to PGI (Principal Global Investors) economic research• Track a whole range of economists’ views including foreign banks, PDs, private banks, brokers etc.
b. Credit Research/Risk Management• “Credit Tracker” list of approved Credits: long term and short term.• Inclusion and sustainability of a credit in the record/list is determined by the established credit process, which includes two broad areas :
• Approval for new credits (through credit note)• Review and monitoring of existing credits
• Long Term and short Term ratings are approved by the Credit Committee in India. The investment team maintains a record/list of approved Credits, and exposure to any credit.
c. Liquidity forecasting• Monthly forecast of banking system liquidity• Assists fund managers in taking view on short term rates and anticipate RBI actions
d. Asset allocation Matrix• Matrix devised with fundamental and market factors with weightages• Assists fund managers in taking view on various asset classes in fixed income: mainly Gilts, corporate bonds and money market• Helps to decide on whether positioning should be neutral, underweight or overweight and on duration
Research Fund Management Risk Management
Investment Process & Risk Management
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Research Fund Management Risk Management
The portfolios are managed as per the framework laid down by the investment mandate. Every product has an investment mandate which is a derivative of the scheme information document.
Constructing a fixed income portfolio comprises of the following:• Target duration is arrived by weighing the factors effecting Bond market on a particular scale and then arriving at
Bullish/Neutral/Bearish stance, which is then implemented in the portfolio from a medium term view point.• Curve positioning is decided based on relative value and expectations of curve steepening/flattening.• Credit component is decided based on attractiveness of spreads and liquidity.
Investment Process & Risk Management
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Research Fund Management Risk Management
Apart from credit risk monitoring, the following key risks have been identified and tracked:
Regulatory Risk• Regulatory risk has increased over the years with new regulations coming steadily• Limits captured in system by Compliance• Daily reports generated wherever required• Reporting to IC Meeting chaired by CEO
Interest Rate/duration Risk
Liquidity Risk (Relevant for cash funds)
Volatility Risk• Various tools used to measure volatility like standard deviation, etc• Peer set analysis
Concentration Risk
Operational Risk
Investment Process & Risk Management
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Investment Team
Rajat has an experience of over 29 years in the capital markets. He has earlier worked with SBI MutualFund in various capacities and lastly as the CIO.
He holds a degree in Mechanical Engineering and has a Diploma in Management from the IndianInstitute of Management, Lucknow.
Bekxy has over 18 years of experience in dealing, research and fund management. In her previousassignments she has worked with L&T Mutual Fund as AVP (Fixed Income) handling all fixed incomefunds, Reliance Life Insurance as Fund Manager (Fixed Income) and SBI Mutual as Fund Manager for somedebt schemes.
She has completed her PGDM from IIM Bangalore and holds a B.A.(Hons) degree in Economics from LadyShri Ram College, Delhi University.
Pankaj has over 16 years of experience in dealing, research and fund management. In his previousassignments he has worked as Fund Manager with Taurus Mutual Fund and Edelweiss Mutual Fundmanaging debt schemes including Liquid, Short-term, Dynamic and other schemes. He has also workedwith Edelweiss Capital handling their Forex and debt portfolios. He has also been associated with StateBank of India (Treasury) and Thermax ltd.
He holds a Post Graduate Diploma in Management from The Indian Institute of Management, Bangaloreand degree in Mechanical Engineering from REC Nagpur.
Gurvinder has over 15 years of experience in Fixed Income Markets, Credit Analysis and StructuredFinance. Prior to joining Principal, he has worked with CRISIL Ltd and ICICI Bank Ltd.
He holds a Masters of Commerce degree and is qualified Chartered Accountant and CFA.
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Investment Insights
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Coastal Gujrat Power Ltd.
Rating: AA (SO) by India Ratings and CARE
Sector: Power
About: Incorporated in 2006, Coastal Gujrat Power Ltd. (CGPL) is afully owned subsidiary of Tata Power. It is operating a 4000 MWcoal-based UMPP in Mundra, Gujarat. The project has been fullyoperational since March 2013. The project has PPAs with statedistribution utilities of Gujarat, Rajasthan, Maharashtra, Punjaband Haryana. The fuel requirement for the power plant is sourcedunder long-term arrangements from Indonesia.
The exposure has an unconditional, irrevocable, continuingcorporate guarantee from The Tata Power Company ltd (rated AA-by CRISIL and ICRA and AA by CARE and India Ratings)
Investment Insights
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IIFL Home Finance Ltd.
Rating: Crisil AA (stable) and ICRA AA (stable) and CARE AA(positive)
Sector: Financial Services
About: IIHFL, a subsidiary of India Infoline Finance Ltd. (IIFL), is National
Housing Bank (NHB) registered Housing Finance Company (HFC). IIHFL
caters to a vast segment of retail and corporate customers through its
loan offering - this includes home loans, construction finance and loans
against property, with the key focus area being housing loans to
individuals against the security of residential collaterals. The company
has built its portfolio only in the past few years and asset under
management (AUM) of the company stood at app. 10kcr as on March
31, 2018
Investment Insights
Suryoday Small Finance Bank
Rating: ICRA A- (stable) and CARE A-(stable)
Sector: Financial Services
About: Suryoday Microfinance was NBFC- MFI and offeredmicrofinance services to customers in select pockets. On 23rd Jan2017, it launched its 1st Bank branch and started its operations asSFB. The total Gross loan portfolio grew 54% CAGR in last 5 years. Itwill offer various financial products to bottom of Pyramidpopulation – MFI loans, Individual Loans, LAP/ Housing Loans andMSME loans. Suryoday SFB has 0.75mn of customers as on FY17which grew at CAGR of 28.64% in last 4 years. R Baskar babu is MD& CEO with 24 years of experience in financial services. He has heldleadership roles in Chola, HDFC Bank and GE Capital.
Ess Kay Fincorp
Rating: India ratings A(S0) (stable)
Sector: Financial Services
About: Ess Kay is a NBFC operating in Rajasthan and incorporated
in 1994. Ess Kay operates with total 208 branches of which 131
branches are in the state of Rajasthan, 61 branches in the state of
Gujarat, 6, in the state of Madhya Pradesh, 5 in the state of Punjab
and 5 in the state of Maharashtra as on March 31, 2017. The
company is promoted by Mr. Rajendra Setia and his family
members. Ess Kay is primarily engaged in the used vehicle financing
which includes commercial vehicle, car, multi utility vehicle, three-
wheeler etc. and SME loans.
The exposure has an unconditional, irrevocable partial credit
enhancement by Northern Arc Capital ltd. (rated A+ by ICRA)
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Aspire Home Finance
Rating: Crisil A+ (stable) and ICRA A+ (stable)
Sector: Financial Services
About: Aspire is the housing finance arm of MOFSL,. The company
started its lending operations from May 22, 2014, primarily offering
housing loans to individuals. It is in its early stage of operations and
had a loan portfolio of Rs 4863 crore as on March 31, 2018. The
focus is on individual housing loans, targeting customers in the low
and middle income groups, with average ticket size of around Rs 9
lakh. Lending to the affordable housing segment accounts for
almost its entire existing loan book. Aspire has presence in nine
states, through a network of 130 branches.
Recent changes strengthening the case for investment:MD & CEO with career Risk & Credit background onboarded, Disbursements are likely to pick up in coming quarters.Legacy loan book clean up will result into lower incremental creditcost, Provisioning including write offs stands at 69% , Strongsupport from parent with further capital infusion of Rs 2 bn inQ3FY19, Positive trends in collection efficiency from Dec-18
Investment Insights
Piramal Enterprises.
Rating: Rating ICRA AA (stable) and CARE AA(stable)
Sector: Pharma
About: Piramal Enterprises Limited (PEL) is one of India’s large diversified
companies, with a presence in Pharmaceuticals (CRAMS, Critical Care, OTC),
Healthcare Insights & Analytics and Financial Services. PEL’s consolidated
revenues were over Rs. 85 billion in FY2017, with 51% of revenues generated
from outside India. In Pharma, through an end-to-end manufacturing
capabilities across 13 global facilities and a large global distribution network
to over 100 countries, PEL sells a portfolio of niche differentiated pharma
products and provides an entire pool of pharma services (including in the
areas of injectable, HPAPI etc.). The Company is also strengthening its
presence in the Consumer Product segment in India. PEL’s Healthcare
Insights & Analytics business, Decision Resources Group, provides healthcare
analytics, data & insight products and services to the world’s leading
pharma, biotech and medical technology companies. In Financial Services,
PEL provides financing solutions primarily to real estate companies through
its own funds as well as through private equity route.
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Returns as on 31st Dec 2018
*Inception Date: 14-Sep-2004
Performance of other funds managed by Mr. Gurvinder Singh Wasan
*Inception Date: 30-Dec-2003
*Inception Date: 09-May-2003
Different plans shall have a different expense structure. The performance details provided herein are of Regular Plan - Growth option.Past performance may or may not be sustained in future. Returns (in %) are calculated on Compounded Annualised Basis (CAGR). Performance of the dividend option for the investors would be net of dividend distribution tax, as applicable.Mr. Gurvinder Singh Wasan manages Principal Short Term Debt Fund (w.e.f. April 2011), Principal Credit Risk Fund and Principal Corporate Bond Fund (w.e.f. January 01, 2018).$PTP (Point to Point) Returns are based on standard investment of 10,000/- made at the beginning of relevant period.
PeriodsPrincipal Credit Risk Fund NIFTY Credit Risk Bond Index CRISIL 1 Year T-Bill Index
Returns (%) $PTP Returns Returns (%) $PTP Returns Returns (%) $PTP Returns
1 Year
3 Year
5 Year
Since Inception *
PeriodsPrincipal Corporate Bond Fund CRISIL Short-Term Bond Fund Index 10 Year GOI
Returns (%) $PTP Returns Returns (%) $PTP Returns Returns (%) $PTP Returns
1 Year
3 Year
5 Year
Since Inception *
PeriodPrincipal Short Term Debt Fund CRISIL Short-Term Bond Fund Index 10 Year GOI
Returns (%) $PTP Returns Returns (%) $PTP Returns Returns (%) $PTP Returns
1 Year
3 Year
5 Year
Since Inception*
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Mutual Fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.
For Distributor only and not for further circulation.