investor’s day 2007 - abertis · 2016. 2. 2. · 4 investor’s day, 1 october 2007 investment...
TRANSCRIPT
Investor’s Day, 1 October 2007 1 Investor’sDay, 1 October 2007
Investor’s Day 2007
INVESTMENT POLICY
David Díaz
Director of Corporate Development
Barcelona1 October 2007
Investor’s Day, 1 October 2007 2
IND
EX 1.1.-- Investment strategy and policiesInvestment strategy and policies
2.2.-- Other considerationsOther considerations
3.3.-- ConclusionConclusion
Investor’s Day, 1 October 2007 3
IND
EX 1.1.-- Investment strategy and policiesInvestment strategy and policies
2.2.-- Other considerationsOther considerations
3.3.-- ConclusionConclusion
1
Investor’s Day, 1 October 2007 4
1Investment Investment Investment strategystrategystrategy andandand policiespoliciespolicies
As a long-term investor, abertis has implemented a selective and sustainable acquisitions policy without shareholder contribution, in line with the Group's strategy:
1.- Focus on transport and telecommunications infrastructures
2.- Global operator, with a selective geographic focus
3.- Acquisitions with industrial logic
4.- abertis as leader of a solid and prestigious consortium
5.- Rigorous investment policy focused on value creation
6.- Specific optimum financing strategy for each operation
7.- Strong commitment to all “stakeholders”
Investor’s Day, 1 October 2007 5
1Investment Investment Investment strategystrategystrategy andandand policiespoliciespolicies
• Current presence in 5 sectors
1.- Focus on transport and telecommunications infrastructures
1967 1994 1997 2000 2004
• Other infrastructures (energy, water, social infrastructure…) donot form part of the abertis investment strategy
• Focus on true infrastructures opportunities (“not only with their financial characteristics”)
• Significant management expertise/track record shared between businesses
Investor’s Day, 1 October 2007 6
1Investment Investment Investment strategystrategystrategy andandand policiespoliciespolicies
2.- Selective geographic focus
• Selective geographic investment focus in countries that meet thefollowing characteristics
• Politically, economically and socially stable
• With a developed legal framework that protects the private investor
• With an efficient and agile legal system
• With developed and liquid financial markets
• With transparent, rigorous and non-bureaucratic privatisation or bidding processes
• Focus on Europe, North America and South America and Asia selectively
Investor’s Day, 1 October 2007 7
1Investment Investment Investment strategystrategystrategy andandand policiespoliciespolicies
3.- Industrial logic• Selective investment strategy with industrial logic
• Prioritisation in strategic operations where abertis provides a differential value, leveraging on existing capabilities:
• Increase in income
• Improvement in operating efficiency
• Leading technological capability
• Financial optimisation
• Experience in concessions/PPPs
• Add capabilities and skills in 2 directions (transfer of know-how and exchange of “Best practices”)
• Prioritisation in operations with no major construction risk (dobuilders have a competitive advantage?)
Investor’s Day, 1 October 2007 8
1Investment Investment Investment strategystrategystrategy andandand policiespoliciespolicies
4.- abertis as industrial leader of a consortium
• abertis as leader of a solid and prestigious long-term consortium
• Only industrial partner
• Majority or minority interest as major shareholder, which makes it possible to exercise significant influence over the running of the company
• Active management involvement
• Partners with similar values and business cultures
• Local partners that provide a differential factor
• Integration and support in local management as a growth platform
Investor’s Day, 1 October 2007 9
1Investment Investment Investment strategystrategystrategy andandand policiespoliciespolicies
5.- Focus on value creation
• Rigorous investment policy focused on profitability and value creation for the shareholder
• Carrying out exhaustive due diligence process
• Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and Net Present Value (NPV) as basic financial decision-making criteria: “value accretive”
• Determination of target IRR for each project
• The impact on the following will also be analysed:
• Income statement (EPS accretion/dilution) and cash-flow generation
• Dividend policy (sustainability)
• Debt and rating
Investor’s Day, 1 October 2007 10
• Determination of specific minimum IRR:
• By sector
• By project type
• By country
• Breakdown of specific risk based on bottom-up analysis.
• Approximate range for motorways (without considering country risk), from 10%-12%.
• Sensitivity analysis for critical variables
1Investment Investment Investment strategystrategystrategy andandand policiespoliciespolicies
5.- Focus on value creation (II)
Investor’s Day, 1 October 2007 11
1Investment Investment Investment strategystrategystrategy andandand policiespoliciespolicies
6.- Financing adapted to each operation
• Flexible, optimum financing strategy for each operation
• Without turning to the shareholder in consortium operations
• Long-term financing
• Balancing different factors:
• volume of debt (maximise leverage?)
• margins and commissions
• covenants
• “dividend yield” requirements
• etc.
• Use of different financial instruments, as well as financial derivatives (interest rates, currency, inflation …)
Investor’s Day, 1 October 2007 12
1Investment Investment Investment strategystrategystrategy andandand policiespoliciespolicies
7.- Commitment to all “stakeholders”
• Cooperation with public administrations, i.e. "partners" over the long-term of the project
• Service efficiency and quality
• Growth strategy guided by ethical criteria and respect for the environment
• Investment policy based on values of dialogue and collaboration, trust in people, proactivity and responsibility
• Contribution to disseminating cultural values through diverse initiatives, with special attention to historic heritage
Investor’s Day, 1 October 2007 13
IND
EX 1.1.-- Investment strategy and policiesInvestment strategy and policies
2.2.-- Other considerationsOther considerations
3.3.-- ConclusionConclusion
2
Investor’s Day, 1 October 2007 14
• Every project is different, as a result of which specific approaches and strategies adapted to each project will be required
• Promotion of continuous innovation and learning skills
• Need to assume realistic but challenging assumptions
2OtherOtherOther considerationsconsiderationsconsiderations
Investor’s Day, 1 October 2007 15
2OtherOtherOther considerationsconsiderationsconsiderations
• T.A. Luherman (MIT’s Sloan School of Management)
“The power of valuation analyses is enhanced more by a deep understanding of the business than by general experience with
valuation”.
• Warren Buffett
“Valuing a business is part art and part science”
Investor’s Day, 1 October 2007 16
2OtherOtherOther considerationsconsiderationsconsiderations
• Are there really that many different valuation methodologies?
Project A - Summary Valuation
1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2,200 2,400 2,600
Trading Multiple Valuation
M& A Multiple Valuation
DCF Valuation
Dividend Valuation
LBO
Infrastructure financing
Analyst Research
Investor’s Day, 1 October 2007 17
2OtherOtherOther considerationsconsiderationsconsiderations
Which project is more attractive?Project A - IRR 12%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Project B - IRR 13%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Project C - IRR 13%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Project D - IRR 14%
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000
3.500
4.000
1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51 56 61 66 71 76 81 86 91 96
Investor’s Day, 1 October 2007 18
2OtherOtherOther considerationsconsiderationsconsiderations
Aswath Damodaran - “Twelve Myths in Valuation”
All valuations are biased. The only questions are how much and in which direction
The direction and magnitude of the bias in your valuation is directly proportional to who pays you and how much you are paid
Truth 1.1 Truth 1.2
Myth 1. Valuation is a science that yields precise answers…
Reality 1: Valuations are always biased…
Investor’s Day, 1 October 2007 19
IND
EX 1.1.-- Investment strategy and policiesInvestment strategy and policies
2.2.-- Other considerationsOther considerations
3.3.-- ConclusionConclusion
3
Investor’s Day, 1 October 2007 20
ConclusionConclusionConclusion 3
Investor’s Day, 1 October 2007 21
3ConclusionConclusionConclusion
• Existence of an experienced team,
• which is highly motivated,
• committed to the abertis strategy and
• focused on producing new investments that add value to the Group
Conclusion
Investor’s Day, 1 October 2007 22
3“An Infrastructure ‘Toro’ ”
“The Big Boy is fashionable again”. “Infrastructure Dinosaur”
“abertis… U Can Touch This!” … “A Safe Haven”
“Aiming for the Champions League”
“Good Fundamentals… and value adding acquisitions…”
“… una máquina de generar caja”
“The road to success is never easy”
“Diversification: active non-organic strategy execution”
“Good acquisitions track record… which may attract a premium rating going forward”
“An attractive infrastructure player… and a promising telecom
infrastructure business”
“Unique exposure to telecom infrastructure”“Telecom Business: the hidden pearl”
ConclusionConclusionConclusion
Investor’s Day, 1 October 2007 23 Investor’sDay, 1 October 2007
Investor’s Day 2007
INVESTMENT POLICY
David Díaz
Director of Corporate Development
Barcelona1 October 2007
Investor’s Day, 1 October 2007 24 Investor’s Day, 1 October 2007
Questions & Answers
Investor’sInvestor’sInvestor’s DayDayDay
Investor’s Day, 1 October 2007 25 Investor’s Day, 1st October 2007
Coffee Break
The presentation will resume at approximately
11:00 BST / 12:00 CEST
Investor’sInvestor’sInvestor’s DayDayDay