investor protection and education going forward what does ... · investor protection and education...
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Investor Protection andEducation Going Forward
What does it take to change behaviour?
IOSCO RIO 2014
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
ECONOMIC
PSYCHOLOGY
AND
INVESTOR
EDUCATION
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[some of] THE CHALLENGING
PROBLEMS
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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1. We don’t have stable preferences –rather, we’re context dependent
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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1. We don’t have stable preferences –rather, we’re context dependent
=
higher life satisfaction!
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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2. We’re BLIND
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
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2. We’re BLIND to our OWN blindness
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
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3. We want to be fooled!
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
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3. We want to be fooled!
If you don’t fool me… …I’ll do it myself!
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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4. THERE IS A LARGE GAP BETWEEN
INTENTIONS... AND ACTIONS!
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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4. THERE IS A LARGE GAP BETWEEN
INTENTIONS... AND ACTIONS!
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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TROUBLE!!!
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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On one hand,
Financial markets are rough…
- a complex world where complexchoices must be made
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
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On the other hand,
human abilities are limited
? ? ? ?
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
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So:ECONOMIC PSYCHOLOGY /
BEHAVIOURAL ECONOMICS +
FINANCIAL EDUCATION=
COMPLEMENTARY WITH GREATER EFFICACY
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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ECONOMIC PSYCHOLOGY – 1881 [more recently Behavioural Economics, Behavioural Finance, Neuroeconomics, Applied Behavioural Science]
- interdisciplinary field – economic behaviour and decision-making � anomalies, distortions in perception, memory and judgment
of data
- 3 Nobel Prizes in Economics: - 1978 – H. Simon � bounded rationality
- 2002 – D. Kahneman � prospect theory
- 2013 – R. Shiller � financial markets and bubbles
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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EMOTIONS and IMPULSES
are VERY powerful
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
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Not only
GREED and FEAR...
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
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EMOTIONS and IMPULSES
are FAR MORE powerful
than REASON is
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
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THINKING IS A RECENT ACHIEVEMENT!
AND STILL RATHER UNSTABLE!
IT MAY ‘COLLAPSE’ ANY TIME...
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
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Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
It is as if there were 2 of us in our mind!
hot self cold self impulses – fast vs. ponderation – slow
automatic vs. reflexive
action vs. intention
doer vs. planner
short range vs. long range
PSYCHOLOGY EDUCATION
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THIS IS WHY IT IS RELEVANT TO UNDERSTAND
THE INVESTORS’ MIND
THUS, DESIGN [MORE] EFFICIENT
FINANCIAL EDUCATION PROGRAMS FOR THEM
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
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Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
btw, that includes protecting theinvestor against HIM/HERSELFas well!!!
fraud, scams, Ponzi schemes are not the only threats to be addressed...
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www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
The Homer Simpson* living [more
or less] secretly inside us is always lurking...
*[or the chimp, or the baby – unfortunately, less often the Einstein...]
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It’s a tough struggle!
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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we need all the help we can get! the fantastic quartet
psychological insights+
financial education+
consumer protection+
regulation
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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- investors are driven by major
psychological forces
- and there are several
implications resulting
from these tendencies…
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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- investors are driven by some major psychological forces:
- constant search for comfort and relief[from tension,
distress, anxiety]
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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- investors are driven by some major psychological forces
IMPLICATIONS
- constant search for comfort and relief[from tension, distress, anxiety]
- If no immediate solution is to be found in reality � resort to illusions
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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- investors are driven by some major psychological forces:
- enormous loss and
frustration aversion
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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- investors are driven by some major psychological forcesIMPLICATIONS
- enormous loss and frustration aversion
- In order to try and avoid losses � run more risks in the name of ‘attempting to recover what’s been lost’ [or is in danger of being lost] – while unaware of it…
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
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- investors are driven by some major psychological forces:
- uncertainty and ambiguity
are equally hated
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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- investors are driven by some major psychological forces
IMPLICATIONS
- uncertainty and ambiguity are equally hated
- so simple perspectives and alternatives will
be preferred – even when what they may
yield does not amount to much
– or worse, when they involve risk
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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- investors are driven by some major psychological forces:
- also hated � the very
act of making decisions!
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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- investors are driven by some major psychological forces
IMPLICATIONS
- also hated � the very act of making decisions!
- then procrastinate, do nothing, push the final
decision to others [later on, to be blamed if it doesn’t work
out...], or choose just about anything, only to get rid of [the distress caused by] the situation
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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AS A RESULT...
bounded rationality
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
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AS A RESULT...
and emotions riding again!
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
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human abilities are limited
we’re VERY suggestible…and gullible
…and vulnerable
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
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human abilities are limited
selective attention
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
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human abilities are limited
social pressure /herding behaviour
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
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human abilities are limited
EXCESSIVEpessimism…
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
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human abilities are limited
EXCESSIVEpessimism…optimism…
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
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human abilities are limited
EXCESSIVEpessimism…optimism… self-confidence…
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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human abilities are limited
EXCESSIVEpessimism…optimism… self-confidence…
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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human abilities are limited
euphoria
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
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human abilities are limited
panic
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
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human abilities are limited
problems perceivingand assessing data
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
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And we don’t have only optical illusions!
We also have cognitive and emotionalillusions � they interfere with the
ability to judge data
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
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HOW DO INVESTORS HANDLE
ALL THAT?
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
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HOW DO INVESTORS HANDLE ALL THAT?
- they simplify – all they can – and some more too, while perceiving and assessing data, perspectives, options
� but… over the process of simplifying,
precision is lost!� and inadequate choices may follow…
though their single wish is to always haveeverything work out as fine as possible!
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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And the root of all simplification is…
emotional!
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
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because this is the first step to judge all kinds of data: an EMOTIONAL stoplight!
if seems unpleasant = good-bye![disregarding consequences]
if seems pleasant = welcome!
[even when only an illusion...]
And this automatic, unconscious and rudimentary
‘assessment’ considers only the short range!
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
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So, all these actual features of the investor’s mind ought to be
considered when the goal isto change behaviour towards
enhanced decision-making skillsand better choices
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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AND HOW CAN EFFECTIVE BEHAVIOURAL CHANGE BE ACHIEVED?
√ psychological limitations must be considered
√ accuracy in mental operations can’t be taken for granted- but emotions should, because they’re always present!- preferences are not consistent
√ the hot self and groups [herding is powerful!] are thetargets
- since they’re the actual doers most of the time
- however, they’re not too good as far as learning goes…
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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FINANCIAL EDUCATION + ECONOMIC PSYCHOLOGY:
‘DO’S’
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
1. clear language √√√√2. examples and narratives √√√√
3. different delivery channels √√√√
4. relevant, tailor-made and timely info on the psychology of economicbehaviour and decision-making √√√√5. warnings against fraud √√√√
6. careful maintenance and constant updating √√√√
7. checklists √√√√
8. multidisciplinary approach √√√√
9. exchange experience √√√√
10. specific formatting for different segments √√√√
11. good timing – learningopportunities √√√√
12. coherence √√√√
13. crowdsourcing – investors √√√√
14. internet and social media √√√√15. choice architecture √√√√
16. ‘MANTRA’: KEEP IT SIMPLE √√√√[a.k.a., the HUGE challenge here…]
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FINANCIAL EDUCATION + ECONOMIC PSYCHOLOGY:
‘DON’T’S’
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
1. getting carried away with jargons and abstractions ⊗⊗⊗⊗
2. too much information ⊗⊗⊗⊗
3. too many options ⊗⊗⊗⊗
4. excessive complexity ⊗⊗⊗⊗ � HUGE challenge here…
5. ‘loose’ – i.e., out of context – recommendations & warnings ⊗⊗⊗⊗
6. solely logical explanations ⊗⊗⊗⊗
7. ‘one size fits all’ ⊗⊗⊗⊗
8. obsolescence ⊗⊗⊗⊗
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BUT ONE THING IS FOR SURE:IN ORDER TO ACHIEVE EFFECTIVEBEHAVIOURAL CHANGE…
…different strategies mustbe devised to move beyond thesimple presentation of technicalinformation and advice
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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CHOICE ARCHITECTURE ���� NUDGE
- recent research line
- designing policies to help make those choices
more successful ���� NUDGES � fool proof contexts
- strategies to encourage better decision-making by turninglimitations into advantages – not compulsory! – with opt-out
- to qualify as NUDGE- low cost
- simple
- mass scale
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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famous NUDGE to keep male publicbathrooms more decent...
[Schiphol airport, Amsterdam]
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
CHOICE ARCHITECTURE ���� NUDGE
What would your meal be like if it started
like this?
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
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www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
CHOICE ARCHITECTURE ���� NUDGE
And what if it started this way?
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
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www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
CHOICE ARCHITECTURE ���� NUDGE
Or this??
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
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www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
CHOICE ARCHITECTURE ���� NUDGE
If the goal is to stay healthy and/or lose weight...
the nudge, here, has been to start with healthy options – though one could always skip them, and go straight to the greasy fattening stuff!
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
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CHOICE ARCHITECTURE ���� NUDGE
Choice architecture is everywhere – and hasbeen around forever...
- novelty:
CAN IT BE USED TO BENEFIT THE DECISION-MAKER?
i.e., investors
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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CHOICE ARCHITECTURE AND INVESTOR EDUCATION
For instance:
- In light of behavioural findings, start by analyzing the currentchoice architecture used by the industry and regulators
- what have investors been ‘nudged’ towards doing regarding practices, norms etc.?
- then, afterwards, discuss, test and consider what and howthings could be changed wherever necessary
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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CVM – Behavioural Studies Center – new![NEC-Núcleo de Estudos Comportamentais]
- team of behaviour specialists: economic psychology,behavioural economics, neuroscience, cognitive andsocial psychology, education
- in light of behavioural studies, provide insights, suggestions, criticism, recommendations and technical
support towards enhancing efficiency and efficacy of educational policies, as well as information and guidance
for investors
Economic Psychology and Investor EducationVera Rita de Mello Ferreira
www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
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www.verticepsi.com.br
IOSCO RIO 2014
THANK YOU!• Ph.D. in social psychology (PUC-SP), Economic Psychology independent consultant (policy-making: Behavioural Studies Center-NEC, at CVM, ENEF-National Strategy for Financial Education, NUMIP-Economic Psychology and Financial
Education Interactive Center at the Brazilian Central Bank Money Museum, and
other organizations), Lecturer (FIPECAFI), Psychoanalyst (Inst. Sedes Sapientiae)• Speaker; Coordinator of economic psychology study and work groups• Member of ICABEEP-The International Confederation for the Advancement of Behavioral Economics and Economic Psychology Executive Committee and IAREP-International Association for Research in Economic Psychology Representative in Brazil• Author of articles published in Brazil and abroad, and the books:
VERA RITA DE MELLO FERREIRAVÉRTICE PSI Psicologia Econômica – um vértice psicológico para pensar
perspectivas, decisões, arquitetura de escolha e políticasVERTICE PSI Economic Psychology – a psychological outlook for perspectives,
decision-making, choice architecture and policy