investor presentation - sek.se · pdf fileinvestor presentation december 2017. sek’s...
TRANSCRIPT
Investor PresentationDecember 2017
SEK’s mission and vision
SEK’s mission is to ensure access to sustainable financial solutions for the Swedish export industry on commercial terms.
SEK’s vision is to strengthen the competitiveness of Swedish exporters and help create employment and sustainable growth in Sweden.
100% owned by the Swedish government
2
3
Kingdom of Sweden
Population 10 million
Surface 450 000 km2
Capital Stockholm
Language Swedish, English widely spoken
Political system Parliamentary democracy
European status Inside EU, outside Euro
Currency Swedish Krona
4
Economy of Sweden
Rating AAA/Aaa/Aaa
GDP growth Q2 2017 (QoQ/YoY) 1.3% / 3.1%
GDP growth 2016 3.3%
GDP 2016 USD 511.6bn*
GDP per capita 2016 USD 51 554*
Unemployment Oct 2017 6.7%**
CPI / CPIF*** Oct 2017 (YoY) 1.7% / 1.8%
Repo Rate Sep 2017 -0.50%
*USD/SEK average 2016, 8.56
** seasonally adjusted, % of labour force
*** CPIF = CPI with fixed mortgage rates
5 year CDS spreads
Public debt to GDP
Source: SCB, IMF, Macrobond, Bloomberg
Swedish Exports – large part of GDP and well diversified
5
Key export goods
Materials 17%
Machinery 15%
Consumer goods 15%
Auto 13%
IT & telecom 12%
Pulp & paper 10%
Health care 8%
Energy 6%
Construction 4%
Source: SCB, IMFAs of December 31 2016
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
Exports and importsShare of GDP %
Import Export
Well-known Swedish exporters
6
SEK has a complementary role in the market
Our offering provides a complement to bank and capital market finance for exporters that want a range of different financing sources.
SEK creates client value on market terms through its strong international network, extensive experience and expertise in export finance.
7
Bank and capital market Customer SEK
Our offering
• Export Finance
• Project Finance
• Trade Finance
• Customer Finance
• Small Ticket Finance
• On-lending
• Corporate Lending and Capital Market Products
Our offer is available in all major and selected emerging market currencies
8
The Swedish Export Credit System
9
SEKfinances
EKNguarantees
Bankarranges
Exporternegotiates with buyer
Ratings
10
"...there is an extremely high likelihood of timely support to SEK from the Swedish government..."
"SEK's capital ratios reflect its high-quality loan book and associated guarantees, highly rated exposures in its liquidity portfolio, and superior capital base."
"SEK is an important pillar of Swedish exporters' success andit has strong relationships with Sweden's largest and most creditworthy corporations."October 2, 2017
"SEK's debt instruments continue to benefit from high government support given its strong linkages with the sovereign."
"Adequate Capital and Stronger-Than-Peers Leverage”
"This [leverage ratio] places SEK in a stronger position compared to Nordic public sector peers..."June 21, 2017
AA+ (stable)
Aa1 (stable)
SEK’s sustainability framework
11
• Owner instruction• Sustainability reporting• Sustainability targets and strategies
• OECD Common Approaches• OECD Convention on Combating Bribery
• UN Global Compact• UN Guidelines on Business and Human Rights
• IFC Performance Standards
• Equator Principles
Funding and liquidity: No refinancing risk
12As of September 30 2017
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
USD bnBorrowing total,including shareholder's funds
Loan facility with the SwedishNational Debt Office
Lending with first possiblepre-payment, including theCIRR-system
13As of September 30 2017
Asse
tsLiabilities &
equity
Total USD 34.8 bnDerivatives and other assets
Liquidity Placements
Agreed but indisbursed credits
Credit Portfolio
Derivatives and other liabilities
Senior securities issued
Equity
Subordinated capital
14As of September 30 2017
Credit portfolio
• Demand for financing from the Swedish export industry increased dramatically during the financial crisis
• The Swedish government heavily increased SEK´s lending capacity during the financial crisis
• SEK secured access to financing for the Swedish exporters
0
5
10
15
20
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3
USD bn New credits accepted
15As of September 30 2017
Counterparty exposures & risk mitigation
• Export credit agency guarantees• Bank guarantees• Credit derivatives• Collateral agreements• Insurance company guarantees
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Corporates Financial institutions incl.ABS and covered bonds
Sovereigns (incl. localgovernments)
Gross exposureNet exposure
Financial institutions including covered bonds
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
M ≤ 1 year 1 year < M ≤ 3 years M > 3 years
30 Sep 2017 31 Dec 2016
Liquidity portfolio
Investment profile• Average duration of new investments: 5 months• Maximum maturity: Generally 18 months, with some exceptions• Minimum rating: Generally A-, with some exceptions
16As of September 30 2017
17As of September 30 2017
Funding: flexible and diversified
• Multiple funding programmes in all major currencies
• Funding in local currencies• Responsive to investor needs• An experienced benchmark issuer
Risk Management policy• No currency risk • Very limited interest rate risk• All structured notes are hedged
New funding by structure, as of September 30, 2017(2016, whole year)
Plain Vanilla 65,3% (64,8%)
Equity linked 26,6% (24,5%)
FX linked 7,5% (5,3%)
Commodity linked 0,5% (1,5%)
PRDC 0,1 % (0,0%)
IR linked 0,0% (3,9%)
New funding by region, as of September 30, 2017 (2016, whole year)
Japan 39,2% (28,6%)
North America 23,5% (25,6%)
Europe excl. Nordic countries 18,8% (23,0%)
Non-Japan Asia 11,1% (14,6%)
Nordic countries 3,2% (1,0%)
Middle East/Africa 3,0% (4,2%)
Latin America 1,1% (2,7%)
Oceania 0,2% (0,3%)
Diversified funding, by region
18As of September 30 2017
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
2011 2012 2013 2104 2015 2016 2017 Q3
USD bn
North America Non-Japan Asia Europe Nordic Countries Middle East/Affrica Latin America Oceania Japan
Diversified funding, by structure
19
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3
USD bn
Commodity linked Equity linked FX linked Plain Vanilla IR linked PRDC
As of September 30 2017
20
Most impressive MTN borrower 2014Most impressive sovereign, supranational or agency borrower 2014
Global Issuer of the Year
Capitalization and Profitability
21As of September 30 2017
• Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio of 18.9%as of September 30, 2017
• Leverage ratio of 5.4%as of September 30, 2017
• Dividend policy: 30% of profit after tax to our owner
• Return on equity: 3.9%as of September 30, 2017 (target: 6%)
Return on equity (IFRS)
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Q1-Q32017
22As of September 30 2017
About SEK
Owner: Swedish government, 100%
Mission: To ensure access to financial solutions forthe Swedish export industry on commercial terms
Primary task: Financing of export credits
Credit rating: S&P: AA+ /Stable/A-1+ Moody’s: Aa1/Stable/P-1
Established: 1962
Financial information at September 30, 2017
Total assets USD 34.8 bn
Lending USD 23.8 bn
Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio 18.9%
After-tax return on equity 3.9%