investor presentation q2 2011 results - trygtryg.com/sites/tryg.com/files/2019-01/2011.08.17... ·...
TRANSCRIPT
Investor presentation
Q2 2011 results
2
Contents
1.
Overview
Page
41.1 Headlines for Q2 2011
5
1.2 Key figures and recent development
6-7
1.3 Expenses
8
1.4 Investments
9-10
1.5 Provisions and discounting
11-12
1.6 Capital
13
1.7 Outlook
14
2.
Claims development
152.1 Claims ratio and frequency
16-18
2.2 Cloudburst and weather claims
19-20
3.
Segment performance
213.1 Performance overview
22-23
3.2 Segments overview
24-26
4.
Themes Q2
274.1 Average premium development
28
4.2 Customer retention
29
4.3 Claims initiatives
30
4.4 Macro development
31
5.
For new investors
32
6.
Appendix
41
3
Disclaimer
Certain statements in this presentation are based on the beliefs
of our management as well as assumptions made by
and information currently available to the management. Forward-looking statements (other than statements of
historical fact) regarding our future results of operations, financial condition, cash flows, business strategy, plans and
future objectives can generally be identified by terminology such as “targets”, “believes”, “expects”, “aims”, “intends”,
“plans”, “seeks”, “will”, “may”, ”anticipates”, “continues”
or similar expressions.
A number of different factors may cause the actual performance to deviate significantly from the forward-looking
statements in this presentation including but not limited to general economic developments, changes in the
competitive environment, developments in the financial markets, extraordinary events such as natural disasters or
terrorist attacks, changes in legislation or case law and reinsurance.
We urge you to read our annual report available on tryg.com
for a discussion of some of the factors that could affect
our future performance and the industry in which we operate.
Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialise or should any underlying assumptions prove to be
incorrect, our actual financial condition or results of operations could materially differ from that described herein as
anticipated, believed, estimated or expected.
We are not under any duty to update any of the forward-looking statements or to conform such statements to actual
results, except as may be required by law.
44
Overview
Q2 2011
5
Headlines
Q2 2011
Premium growthin local currency
2
3
4
5
6
Q108
Q208
Q308
Q408
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110 *
Q210
Q310**
Q410
Q111
Q211
%Combined ratio
80
90
100
110
120
Q108
Q208
Q308
Q408
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
Q410
Q111
Q211
• After tax result improved from DKK 128m to DKK 362m driven by price initiatives• Combined ratio of 91.5 vs 92.5 in Q2 2010• 3.5% premium growth driven by Private Nordic with 6.2% growth• Claims ratio net of 74.5 compared with 75.2 in Q2 2010• Cost ratio of 17.0 vs 17.3 in Q2 2010 impacted by redundancy payments• New organisation implemented in Q2 with unambiguous focus on profitability• Strong capital position with 13% buffer to ‘A-’ range
92.5
91.5
* Excl
acquisitions
** before
adjustment
for change
of ownership
insurance
6
Key
figures
Q2 2011
DKKm Q2 2010 Q2 2011 2010
Gross premiums earned 4,890 5,145 19,475
Gross claims ratio 73.1 72.9 80.2
Business ceded as % of gross premiums 2.1 1.6 1.6
Claims ratio, net of ceded business 75.2 74.5 81.8
Gross expense ratio 17.3 17.0 17.0
Combined ratio 92.5 91.5 98.8
Combined ratio before run-off 96.0 94.1 103.0
Technical result 394 496 375
Return on investments after technical interest -208 3 570
Profit/loss before tax 173 487 941
Profit/loss for the period 128 362 593
7
Group
4.000
4.300
4.600
4.900
5.200
Q1 08
Q2 08
Q3 08
Q4 08
Q1 09
Q2 09
Q3 09
Q4 09
Q1 10
Q2 10
Q3 10
Q4 10
Q1 11
Q2 11
15
16
17
18
19
20
Q1 08
Q2 08
Q3 08
Q4 08
Q1 09
Q2 09
Q3 09
Q4 09
Q1 10
Q2 10
Q3 10
Q4 10
Q1 11
Q2 11
60
65
70
75
80
85
Q1 08
Q2 08
Q3 08
Q4 08
Q1 09
Q2 09
Q3 09
Q4 09
Q1 10
Q2 10
Q3 10
Q4 10
Q1 11
Q2 11
85
90
95
100
105
Q1 08
Q2 08
Q3 08
Q4 08
Q1 09
Q2 09
Q3 09
Q4 09
Q1 10
Q2 10
Q3 10
Q4 10
Q1 11
Q2 11
Gross premium, DKKm Combined ratio (excl. winter 2010)
Claims ratio (excl. winter 2010) Expense ratio
8
Expenses
16.5 16.0 15.5 15.614.5 14.1 14.4 14.0
0.4 0.8 1.3 1.5 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.8
16.9 16.8 16.8 17.1 17.2 17.0 17.3 16.8
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 YTD 10 YTD 11
Denmark & Norway Finland & Sweden
Data before 2009 is not corrected for the sale of Marine Hull business.
Breakdown of group expense ratio
16.015.6 16.016.6
16.215.5
16.415.9
26.130.1 24.1
45.8
64.560.450.0
21.6
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 YTD2010
YTD2011
Danmark & Norway Sweden & Finland
Expense ratio Highlights
•
Expense ratio improved from 17.3 in Q2 2010 to 17 in Q2 2011
•
Expenses Q2 impacted by redundancy payments
•
Number of employees grew in Sweden and Finland and number of claims handlers in DK/NO
9
Investment
result
Q2
Assets Return Q1 2011
32.2 mia.
DKK
9.4 mia.
DKK
Free investment
Result DKK 116mReturn 1.0%
(≈
4% p.a.)
Assets Return Q2 2011
32.4bn
9.2bn
Gross investment return(DKKm)
Bonds 424
Equities -29
Real estate 61
Total 456
Match
Mismatch 0.08%
10
Assets allocation
Total assets
6
23
57
92 5
4EquitiesReal estateCov. BondsGovt.DepositsHigh yieldOther
Percentage
Match portfolio
5
28
67
Cov. BondsGovt.Deposits
Percentage
Free portfolio (exposure)
619
44
24
7
EquitiesReal estateCov. BondsGovt.High yield
Percentage
•
Equity
exposure
reduced
in Q2 2011 by DKK 200m
•
No
exposure
to sovereign
bonds
in Italy, Spain, Greece
or
US26% in Q1 2011
11
Provisions and run-off
327824683800792561283 315
0
400
800
1,200
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 1H2010
1H2011
Insurance provision, DKKm
1.8%
3.0%
4.2% 4.1%3.6%
3.9%
3.1%2.7%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 1H2010
1H2011
annualised
21,261 20,410 21,104 19,715 22,470 24,883 25,007
5,183 5,173 5,403 5,1006,208
6,819 8,820
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Q2 2011
Claims provisions Premium provisions
Run-off net, DKKm
Relative run-off
Q2
Q1Q1
Q2
12
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
%
Discount rates
Interest rates are increasing after dive in 2010 but had a
set back in Q2 2011
Discounting effect Q2 2011 only slightly higher than Q2 2010
1% increase in interest level will:
-
increase pre-tax profit by around DKK 300m
-
improve combined ratio by approx. 1 % point
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
3M 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29
%
Denmark Norway Sweden
Interest movements from Q1 to Q2 2011
13
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
Q1 08
Q2 08
Q3 08
2008
bef
ore
payo
utQ1
09Q2
09Q3
09
2009
bef
ore
payo
utQ1
2010
Q2 20
10Q3
2010
2010
bef
ore
payo
utQ1
2011
Q2 20
11D KKm
Capital requirement Buffer (5%) Surplus capital
Capitalisation
13%
14
Outlook
Mid-term
•
Mid-term target is return on equity of more than 20% after tax.
•
This implies a combined ratio level of 90% including potential run-off and at current interest rate level.
Annual impact fromprice increases
2011 2012
Before DKK 1bn DKK 0.6bn
New DKK 1bn DKK 1.0bn
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
1H 2
011
2012
2013
2014
Mid-term target
•
Q2 result as expected according to mid-term target.
•
Normal maintenance called for additional and selective initiatives of DKK 400m.
•
Continued focus on claims initiatives will give further comfort in reaching planned mid-term target
•
Increasing interest rates will support lower combined ratio
ROE after tax
Claims development
16
Underlying
claims ratio Group
72.9
74.6
65
70
75
80
85
Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11
Claims ratio is adjusted for items that fluctuate and distorts quarterly results •
weather claims, incl. extraordinary winter in Q1 and Q4 as reported in annual report 2010•
large claims, •
run-off •
discounting 1.7 %-point improvement primarily driven by price increases
17
Average claims and frequency
80
90
100
110
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2010H1
2011H1
80
100
120
140
160
180
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2010H1
2011H1
80
100
120
140
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2010H1
2011H1
Frequency, private cars NO
Average claims, private cars NO
Frequency, private house NO
Average claims, private house NO
80
100
120
140
160
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2010H1
2011H1
18
Average claims and frequency
80
90
100
110
120
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2010H1
2011H1
80
90
100
110
120
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2010H1
2011H1
80
90
100
110
120
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2010H1
2011H1
Frequency, private cars DK
Average claims, private cars DK
Frequency, private house DK**
Average claims, private house DK**
80
100
120
140
160
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2010H1
2011H1
** excl. storm, cloudburst
19
Weather claims, gross DKKm
1005290121112202 332
0
100
200
300
400
500
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010* H12010*
H12011
Large and weather
claims development
350373813491466 597 537
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 H12010
H12011
•
Large claims gross amounted to DKK 300m in Q2 2011 against DKK 236m in Q2 2010.
•
Large claims net amounted to DKK 123m in Q2 2011 against DKK 180m in Q2 2010.
•
Difference between gross and net caused by large claim on captive arrangement in Norway.
•
Weather claims especially related to heavy flooding and landslides in Norway in June.
•
Q3 hit by heavy rain in Copenhagen will impact Q3 net earnings by DKK 180-200m.
Expected full year level based on history Expected full year level based on history
Large claims, gross DKKm
Q2
Q1Q2
Q1
Q2
Q1
*Excluding
extraordinary
winter
claims
20
Status on
Copenhagen cloudburst
in July•
18,500 claims reported mid August
•
Reinsurance will limit net claims to DKK 100m + reinstatement of around DKK 90m
•
New reinsurance feature established from 1 July to protect from multiple events (> DKK 400m)
•
Claims prevention is key focus
•
Claims assessors advises customers on claims prevention
•
Requirement of anti-flood device based on indvidual
assessment
•
Reduced max coverage in basements
•
Changed requirements regarding use of water resistent
materials in basements
Segment performance
22
Premiums and technical result
Gross earned premiumsDKKm
2,562 2,774
1,046
1,286 1,317
1,060
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
Q2 2010 Q2 2011
Private Nordic Commercial Nordic Corporate Nordic
excl. elimination
•
Top line grew
3.5% in local
currency
(5.2% in DKK)
•
Positive impact from price
increases. Private DK up 6.2%
•
Growth
in Finland and Sweden
contributed
with
approx. 9 % growth
•
Corporate
Denmark still facing
tough competition
•
Technical
result
grew
DKK 102m to DKK 496m
Technical result DKKm
240 273
204175
-47
48
-200
0
200
400
600
Q2 2010 Q2 2011
Private Nordic Commercial Nordic Corporate Nordic
23
Segment performance in Q2 2011
91.2 91.492.1
70
80
90
100
Q2 2009 Q2 2010 Q2 2011
99.8105.2
96.5
80
90
100
110
Q2 2009 Q2 2010 Q2 2011
Private Nordic - CR Commercial Nordic - CR Corporate Nordic - CR
•
6.2% premium growth in local currency (8.3% in DKK)
•
Average premium per customer increased 7% in Denmark and 3% in Norway
•
Claims ratio net improved from 75.7 to 75.4
•
CR unchanged but impacted by fluctuations in cost ratio
•
Higher level of weather claims in Norway
•
0.6% premium growth in local currency (1.3% in DKK)
•
Initiatives progresses as planned but customer retention impacted in DK
•
Lower level of large claim in Q2 2011
•
Positive influence from premium hikes made in autumn 2010
•
0.8% growth in premiums (DK: -1.8%, NO: 3% SE: 3.9%)
•
Still tough market conditions in all markets
•
Decrease in portfolio on workers’
comp.
•
Q2 2011 hit by higher level of large claims
•
Underlying claims development improved
11.4
3.3 9.3
78.181.2
69.4
50
60
70
80
90
100
Q2 2009 Q2 2010 Q2 2011
83.9 84.6 87.4
Large claims
24
Private Nordic
1,900
2,150
2,400
2,650
2,900
Q1 08
Q2 08
Q3 08
Q4 08
Q1 09
Q2 09
Q3 09
Q4 09
Q1 10
Q2 10
Q3 10
Q4 10
Q1 11
Q2 11
14
16
18
20
22
Q1 08
Q2 08
Q3 08
Q4 08
Q1 09
Q2 09
Q3 09
Q4 09
Q1 10
Q2 10
Q3 10
Q4 10
Q1 11
Q2 11
60
65
70
75
80
85
Q1 08
Q2 08
Q3 08
Q4 08
Q1 09
Q2 09
Q3 09
Q4 09
Q1 10
Q2 10
Q3 10
Q4 10
Q1 11
Q2 11
85
90
95
100
105
Q1 08
Q2 08
Q3 08
Q4 08
Q1 09
Q2 09
Q3 09
Q4 09
Q1 10
Q2 10
Q3 10
Q4 10
Q1 11
Q2 11
Gross premium, DKKm Combined ratio (excl. winter 2010)
Claims ratio (excl. winter 2010) Expense ratio
25
Commercial Nordic
800
900
1,000
1,100
Q1 08
Q2 08
Q3 08
Q4 08
Q1 09
Q2 09
Q3 09
Q4 09
Q1 10
Q2 10
Q3 10
Q4 10
Q1 11
Q2 11
20
22
24
26
28
Q1 08
Q2 08
Q3 08
Q4 08
Q1 09
Q2 09
Q3 09
Q4 09
Q1 10
Q2 10
Q3 10
Q4 10
Q1 11
Q2 11
50
60
70
80
90
100
Q1 08
Q2 08
Q3 08
Q4 08
Q1 09
Q2 09
Q3 09
Q4 09
Q1 10
Q2 10
Q3 10
Q4 10
Q1 11
Q2 11
80
90
100
110
120
Q1 08
Q2 08
Q3 08
Q4 08
Q1 09
Q2 09
Q3 09
Q4 09
Q1 10
Q2 10
Q3 10
Q4 10
Q1 11
Q2 11
Gross premium, DKKm Combined ratio (excl. winter 2010)
Claims ratio (excl. winter 2010) Expense ratio
26
Corporate
1,100
1,200
1,300
1,400
Q1 08
Q2 08
Q3 08
Q4 08
Q1 09
Q2 09
Q3 09
Q4 09
Q1 10
Q2 10
Q3 10
Q4 10
Q1 11
Q2 11
8
10
12
14
16
Q1 08
Q2 08
Q3 08
Q4 08
Q1 09
Q2 09
Q3 09
Q4 09
Q1 10
Q2 10
Q3 10
Q4 10
Q1 11
Q2 11
50
60
70
80
90
Q1 08
Q2 08
Q3 08
Q4 08
Q1 09
Q2 09
Q3 09
Q4 09
Q1 10
Q2 10
Q3 10
Q4 10
Q1 11
Q2 11
70
80
90
100
110
Q1 08
Q2 08
Q3 08
Q4 08
Q1 09
Q2 09
Q3 09
Q4 09
Q1 10
Q2 10
Q3 10
Q4 10
Q1 11
Q2 11
Gross premium, DKKm Combined ratio (excl. winter 2010)
Claims ratio (excl. winter 2010) Expense ratio
Themes Q2
28
Development
in average
premiums
80
90
100
110
120
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
90
100
110
120
130
140
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Average price has declined for a number of years.
Increase past 12 months:
2.4%
3.9%
Pricing in house lagging claims development.
Increase past 12 months:
13.5%
7.6%
House insurance – average premium (index 2005 = 100)
Motor insurance – average premium (index 2005 = 100)
29
Customer
retention Private and Commercial
82%
84%
86%
88%
90%
92%
Q305
Q106
Q306
Q107
Q307
Q108
Q308
Q109
Q309
Q110
Q310
Q111
Private
•
Retention rate in Denmark is gradually improving
•
Retention rate stable in Norway
•
Retention primarily decreasing among customers with only one product
Commercial
•
Retention rate stable and strong
•
Danish retention rate marginally impacted by announced premium hikes by 1 October 2010
•
High retention support competitive strength and cost ratio
Private - retention rate
84.0
85.0
86.0
87.0
88.0
89.0
90.0
Q108
Q208
Q308
Q408
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
Q410
Q111
Q211
Commercial - retention rate
30
Major claims initiatives
and Next
Level
Sourcing
Claims Process initiatives
Specialised organisation
Recourse
Reduce fraud – personal lines
DKK 100m
Procurement initiatives
E-auction
Emergency assistance agreement
Road assistance
Windscreen claims
Reduce loaner car costs
DKK 100m
Next Level Sourcing
Strengthen capabilities of sourcing
Review internal processes and procedures
Establish and further develop supplier relationships
31
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Change
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Change
Macro development and inflation
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Change
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
2011 and 2012 are Tryg estimates
GDP Building costs
CPI Motor repair costs
3232
For new investors
33
Tryg –
at a glance
NorwayMarket position #3
Market share 16.9%CR 2010 95.5
DenmarkMarket position #1
Market share 20.8%CR 2010 98.8
SwedenMarket position #5Market share 3.9%
CR 2010 107.8
FinlandMarket share 2.4%
CR 2010 111.0
•
The history of Tryg goes
back to the 18th century.
•
The current Tryg was
formed in 2002 by sale of
Nordea’s
non-life
activities –
with a
continuing strategic
partnership
•
Only Non-life insurance in
the Nordic area
•
Listed Oct. 2005 on
Nasdaq
OMX Copenhagen
•
Majority owner :
TryghedsGruppen
(60%)
a mutual foundation
rooted in Denmark
•
Turnover 2010: DKK
19.5bn (~EUR 2.6bn)
•
CEO: Morten
Hübbe
•
4.308 employees
34
34
Mission, vision and corporate values
We want to be perceived as the leading peace-of-mindprovider in the Nordic region
VisionOur customers should experience that we are:
· Compassionate· Dynamic ·
Innovative
Our handshake
Our mission is to secure a stable, high-quality supply ofproducts and services offering peace of mind to private
households and businesses
Mission
We provide peace of mind, because · We meet people with respect, openness and trust· We show initiative, share knowledge and take responsibility· We deliver solutions based on quality and simplicity· We create sustainable results
Corporate Values
35
Shareholder breakdown
Facts about Tryg
2.99.1
38.5
49.5
Denmark
Norway
Sweden
Finland
13
17
10
60
Danish institutional
Non-Danishinstitutional
Smallershareholders
TryghedsGruppen
6
15
11
7 19
24
14
4
Motor - TPL
Motor - casco
Workers comp.
Health & accident
Liability
Fire & property - private
Fire & property - comm.
Other
Gross premium split by geography - 2010
Percentage Percentage
Share performance since IPOGross premium split by segments - 2010
Percentage
20
60
100
140
180
220
okt05
apr06
okt06
apr07
okt07
apr08
okt08
apr09
okt09
apr10
okt10
apr11
Tryg Euro Insurance index
36
Organisational structure
37
Structure
of the Nordic insurance markets
Gjensdige 5.8 Tryg 20.8
If 5.3
Topdanmark 18.0Codan 13.2
Alm. Brand 10.0
Other 26.9
Sparebank1: 10.9
Gjensidige 27.2
If 25.3
Tryg 16.9Other 19.7
Other 17.3
Codan 15.5
If 18.7
Läns-forsäkringar
28.4
Gjensidige 1.3
Moderna 3.9
Folksam 14.9
Fennia 9.5
Tryg 2.4Other 17.8
If 24.2
Pohjola 27.6
Tapiola 18.5
Denmark
DKK 47.0bn/ EUR 6.3bn (as at Q2-10)
Norway
NOK 43.0bn/ EUR 5.5bn (as at Q1-11)
Sweden
SEK 60.4bn/ EUR 6.5bn (as at Q1-11)
Finland
EUR 3.5bn (as at Q4-10) incl. Tryg (EUR 84m)
Percentage Percentage
Percentage Percentage
Läns-försäkringar
8,5Tryg 11.8
Topdanmark 5.2
If 17.5Codan 9.6
Gjensidige 9.1
Other 38.3
Nordic
EUR 21.6bn (as at Q4-10)
Percentage
38
Distribution of new sales in 2010
Denmark
67%
23%
10%
Own sales Affinity Nordea
Finland
16%
49%
3%
10%
22%
Call center Car dealers Netbank Nordea Tied agents
Sweden
52%47%
1%
Call center Nordea Netbank
Corporate
53%47%
Direct sales Brokers
Norway
54%
14%
28%
4%
Own sales Car dealers Franchise Nordea
39
Premium hikes and combined ratio
Combined ratio
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2004
*20
0520
0620
0720
0820
0920
10Q1
2011
Q2 20
1120
1220
13
•
2002-2004 premium increases of DKK 2.1bn implemented. Reduced combined ratio from 107 to 94 (DK GAAP)
•
2009-2012 premium increases will improve combined ratio going forward
New ruling workers’ comp.
Extraordinary winter
*IFRS from 2004. Previous years are Danish GAAP
Data before 2009 is not corrected for the sale of Marine Hull business
Premium hikes
Premium hikes
Smalleradjustments
Annual impact from price increases
2010
DKK ~0.9bn
2011
DKK ~1.0bn
2012
DKK ~1.0bn
Mid-term target
40
Key figures 2004-10 and consensus for 2011-12Consensus
In DKKm 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Gross premium income 15,266 15,705 15,715 16,262 16,976 17,862 19,475 20,531 21,494Gross
claims incurred -10,425 -11,159 -10,292 -10,448 -11,473 -12,882 -15,617Operating expenses -2,611 -2,662 -2,662 -2,730 -2,964 -3,056 -3,304Ceeded
business -708 -7 -554 -553 -598 -520 -313Technical
interest, net 185 170 337 494 491 158 134Technical result 1,707 2,047 2,544 3,025 2,432 1,562 375 1,581 2,113Investment
income, net 371 894 1,228 340 -988 1,086 570 148 292Pre-tax profit 2,052 2,913 3,741 3,314 1,395 2,610 941 1,682 2,366Tax -556 -788 -632 -893 -513 -625 -265Net income 1,421 2,097 3,211 2,266 846 2,008 593 1,251 1,772
Total insurance provision 25,212 26,757 25,957 26,916 25,193 29,042 32,031Shareholders' equity 6,802 8,215 9,951 10,010 8,244 9,631 8,458
Earnings per share 22.0 31.3 45.5 33.5 12.8 31.2 10.8 20.6 29.6Cash dividend per share 10.0 21.0 33.0 17.0 6.5 15.5 4.0 10.51 15.21Stock buy back per hare 21.0 12.5 0.0
Combined ratio 90.0 88.2 85.9 84.4 88.2 92.2 98.8 93.4 91.3
4141
Appendix
42
Denmark SwedenDkkm Q2 2010 Q2 2011 Dkkm Q2 2010 Q2 2011
Gross premiums 2,413 2,477 Gross premiums 441 523
Technical result 223 305 Technical result -22 -4
Key ratios Key ratiosGross claims ratio 73.4 68.9 Gross claims ratio 80.7 80.5Business ceded as % 1.3 3.6 Business ceded as % 4.8 4.0Gross expense ratio 16.4 16.1 Gross expense ratio 20.4 18.4Combined ratio 91.1 88.6 Combined ratio 105.9 102.9
Norway FinlandDkkm Q2 2010 Q2 2011 Dkkm Q2 2010 Q2 2011
Gross premiums 1,890 1,986 Gross premiums 149 165
Technical result 210 203 Technical result -14 -8
Key ratios Key ratiosGross claims ratio 70.4 76.4 Gross claims ratio 76.5 78.8Business ceded as % 2.6 -2.5 Business ceded as % 1.3 1.8Gross expense ratio 16.7 16.7 Gross expense ratio 32.2 26.7Combined ratio 89.7 90.6 Combined ratio 110.0 107.3
Geographical
segments
43
Denmark Sweden% 2011 2012 % 2011 2012
GDP Growth 2.0 1.8 GDP Growth 4.7 2.3
Inflation 2.7 2.0 Inflation 3.2 3.0
Unemployment 4.0 3.8 Unemployment 7.3 6.8
Current account balance in % of GDP
5.9 5.4Current account balance in % of GDP
5.6 5.8
Budget balance in % of GDP
-3.8 -3.0Budget balance in % of GDP
1.0 1.7
Norway Finland% 2011 2012 % 2011 2012
GDP Growth 3.3 3.1 GDP Growth 3.7 3.0
Inflation 1.8 2.2 Inflation 3.5 2.5
Unemployment 3.0 2.8 Unemployment 7.7 6.9
Current account balance in % of GDP
16.8 17.2Current account balance in % of GDP
2.9 3.1
Budget balance in % of GDP
14.6 15.8Budget balance in % of GDP
-1.2 -0.3
Economic
key figures in the Nordics
Source: ECONOMIC OUTLOOK, Nordea
Markets, May 2011
44
Nordic peers
Premium growth in local currency (%)
-4
-1
2
5
8
11
14
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Q1 11 Q2 11
If Tryg Gjensidige Tryg excl. Moderna
Combined ratio
82
86
90
94
98
102
106
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Q111
Q211
If… Tryg Gjensidige
Gjensidige excl.Nykredit