investor presentation may 2012 - sbab
TRANSCRIPT
Contents
1. Kingdom of Sweden 4
2. Swedish Mortgage Market 9
3. SBAB 17
4. Appendix I: SCBC 34
5. Appendix II: Key economic data 45
Contact details 59
2
Executive Summary
Short Term Long Term
Moody’s P-1 A2
Standard & Poor’s A-1 A
SBAB Bank Ratings
SCBC Covered Bond Ratings
• 100% owned by the Kingdom of Sweden
• Business targets:
– Profitability: RoE 10%
– Capitalisation 18% – 20%
• Swedish mortgage portfolio, predominantly residential mortgages
• SBAB senior unsecured investors benefit from government change of ownership clause
• Increased focus on retail segment- loyalty volume
• Dedicated covered bond subsidiary – SCBC – with full access to the sophisticated
Swedish covered bond market
SBAB Jan – Sep 2013 (Jan – Sep 2012) • Net Interest Income SEK 1,520 mn (1,450 mn)
• Mortgage Portfolio SEK 258 bn (257 bn)
• Positive loan losses ( -0.02%)
• Tier 1 Capital Ratio under Basel II
25.8% (16.2%) Long Term
Moody’s Aaa
Standard & Poor’s AAA
3
Kingdom of Sweden AAA/Aaa/AAA (stable)
• Government debt is low and declining
– Public debt-to-GDP of 42% in 2013, 42% in 2014, 41% in 2015 (IMF)
• Budget currently very close to balance
– Average budget balance has been +0.8% of GDP over the last 15 years
• Average annual GDP-growth has been 2.7% over the last 15 years vs 1.5% in the Euro area
– GDP growth is expected to increase from 1.0% in 2013 to 2.6% in 2014 (Consensus Forecast, Oct-13)
• Average inflation has been 1.3% over the last 15 years, well below the target of 2%
– Inflation is expected to increase from 0.1% in 2013 to 1.3% in 2014 (Consensus, Oct-13)
Source : IMF World Economic Outlook
5
Interest Rates
• Interest rates have a high correlation with European (i.e. German) rates
– The ten year spread against Germany has on average been +13bp, over the last 15 years, correlation has been 0.98
• Sweden has gained safe haven status during the financial crisis
– Strong public finances, a stable financial system, low inflation, international flight to quality and the strong krona have
been holding down long term interest rates
• Very low interest rates
– Less stress in international markets and a stronger business cycle will put upward pressure on interest rates in the
future
– Market expectation is that the Riksbank will hike the repo rate in late 2014
Source : Macrobond
6
Households are doing quite well…
• Labour market efficiency and flexibility has increased since the mid-1990s
– Employment has increased by on average 1.0% and hours worked by 0.7% per year over the last 15 years
• The labour market has trengthened during 2013
– Expected to continue to gain strength during the course of 2014 and 2015
• Households have increased their savings ratio
– Savings stand above 10 percent of disposable income. Both income and consumption are expected to grow
at a rate above 2% in the years to come
7
Source : Macrobond, The Riksbank, National Institute of Economic Research
Mortgage lending in Sweden - A low risk business
- National computerized data base with information regarding
civil status, income and changes in income, assets, debt,
payment complaints and recent inquiries at the agency. Used in
every credit process regarding loans
- A Mortgage Deed for every house or apartment is registered
and controlled by the Swedish mapping, cadastral and land
registration authority (Lantmäteriet)
- Lender can initiate an enforcement order with this office to
enforce his claim, this process normally takes up to 90 days
Credit Information Agency
Enforcement Authority
Mortgage Deed System
10
Mortgage lending in Sweden - A low risk business
- No “originate to distribute” model
- Restricted buy-to-let market due to regulated rental market
and tenant owner subletting restrictions
- A borrower is personally liable even after a default and
foreclosure procedure, i.e. full and personal recourse
- Well developed welfare system raising households’ ability to
service debt even during times of unemployment
Personal Liability
No Buy-to-Let Market
“Originate and hold” model
Social Security
11
The Swedish Housing Market
• Most Swedes own their dwelling
– 65 % of the dwelling stock is owner occupied and 35 % is rented
• The rental market is highly regulated
– Rent controls are strong and a large part is owned by property companies controlled by municipalities. The share of rented
apartments has been declining due to rent regulations making it unprofitable to build new units where demand is high (large
cities)
• The number of tenant owned apartments has risen
– Price increases have made it highly profitable for private (and public) landlords to sell their properties to tenant owner
associations
Source : Statistics Sweden
12
House Price Performance
• House prices have increased by an average of 7% over the last 15 years
– Increases have been higher in cities and growth regions than in the countryside. Prices on flats have risen more than
prices on houses
– On average prices fell by 6% in 2011 and increased by 6% in 2012, , in the first three quarters of 2013 prices have
increased almost 10 percent
• The Swedish housing market contrasts with the “bubble markets” in a number of ways
– Strict regulations on buy-to-let
– No subprime mortgage market
– There has not been any speculative building activity
Source : Macrobond
13
The Swedish Mortgage Market • New Rules
– In October 2010 the Swedish FSA introduced new rules regarding mortgage lending, which means that new mortgage
loans shall not exceed 85 % of the market value of the property
– In December 2010 the Swedish Bankers Association issued a new set of principles regarding mortgage lending which
recommends banks to require amortization on new mortgage loans over 75 % loan-to-value
– In November 2012 the Swedish FSA proposed a risk weight floor of 15 % for Swedish mortgages, in May 2013 FSA
decided to implement it
– Although studies show that the measures have been effective discussions about further dampening measures continue
to be extensive
• During 2011 and 2012 the growth rate of the market has slowed down
Source : Macrobond
14
Housing Construction & Demography
• Low level of housing construction
– After the real estate crisis in the early 1990s construction has been low in comparison to both history and to other
countries.
• Building activity has not kept up with demography
– During the next ten years the population is expected to increase from 9.5 to 10.3 million people. The number of people
aged 20-35, the ”first time buyers”, has increased quite fast during the past ten years (25 000 per year on average) but
will not grow that fast going forward.
Source : Macrobond, National Institute of Economic Research
15
Low Credit Losses • A history of low Credit losses
– At the height of the 1990s crises yearly credit losses in Swedish banks were more than 6% of their lending. Mortgage
institutions lost 0.7% during the worst years.
– Over the last 10 years mortgage losses have been insignificant
Source : Statistics Sweden
16
SBAB
• SBAB was set up in 1985 by the Kingdom of Sweden
• 100% owned by the Kingdom of Sweden
• Government mandate
– promote competition in Swedish residential mortgage market
– evaluated using a profit target
• Successful and cost efficient origination through
– Call Centre
– Internet Platform
– Co-operation Partners
• New mandate to expand product offering
– SBAB became “SBAB Bank” in 2011
18
Highlighted numbers
(SEK million) Q3 2013 Q3 2012
NII 1 520 1 450
Total expenses 563 534
Net credit losses -0.02% 0.00%
Return on Equity 9.9% 2.6%
Operating profit 830 227
Deposits 35.9bn 24.6bn
Loan to deposit ratio 13.9% 9.6%
CI ratio 41% 46%
19
SBAB Group - Structural Overview
SBAB Unsecured
Funding
EMTCN Covered Programme
Covered Bonds
SCBC
Lending
CP Programmes
EMTN Programme
Principal and
Interest
Principal and
Interest
New lending Issuance proceeds
Lending
Bond
proceeds
Subordinated debt
Principal and
Interest
Call Centre
Internet
Co-operation Partners
Origination
The Kingdom of Sweden
100% Ownership
Samurai & Uridashi Programmes
AU$ Covered Programme
SEK Covered Programme
20
An ”everyday bank” with three clear
product areas
Loans
Launch in Q2 2014
Available today
Savings
Payments Transactions account
Card solutions
Savings accounts
Mutual funds
Residential mortgages
Consumer loans
21
SBAB Group Balance Sheet
Assets Liabilities and Equity
-Total balance sheet SEK 325 bn, September 30th 2013
22
SBAB’s loan losses
• In Sweden, there is a strong culture of timely payment of debt, especially, payment of
mortgages.
• Continued low level of credit losses. (Jan-Sep ‘13, SEK 36mn, negative 0.02%)
Source : SBAB Bank Annual reports
Total mortgage portfolio SEK 258bn, September 30th 2013
25
Credit Quality
136 156
171 179 178
185
230
253 253 257
0,18% 0,13%
0,08% 0,11%
0,06%
0,16% 0,16% 0,12%
0,17% 0,18%
0,02% 0,00% 0,02% 0,00% 0,01% 0,01%
0,05% 0,02% 0,00% 0,01%
0,0%
0,2%
0,4%
0,6%
0,8%
1,0%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
SEK Billion
Loan PortfolioNonperforming Loan Receivables as a % of Loan PortfolioLoan Losses as a % of Loan Portfolio
• ”SBAB Bank’s losses are among the lowest reported by rated European banks”
(S&Ps RatingDirect issued Dec 20th 2012)
Swedish 100% Secured 99%
Unsecured 1%
Residential mortgages 96%
Commercial mortgages 3%
Public sector guarantee 1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Assets Lending Mortgages
26
Capitalisation -Strong capital ratios, given low risk profile of business
• CRD4/CRR to be published
– Expected implementation 1st of Jan 2014
– SBAB well positioned to comply with expected capital requirements
• Swedish FSA
– Four largest Swedish banks currently viewed as SIFIs (extra capital requirements)
– Risk weight floor in at 15% (Implemented as a pillar 2 requirement, May 2013)
7%
11%
11%
10%
7%
12,0%
9,8%
17,9%
17,3%
16,5%
12,2%
16,2%
LänsB
Skand
SHB
SWE
SEB
NDA
SBAB
Peer Group CET 1 Ratio (Basel II) as of Q3 2013
Source : Q3 2013 reports
27
Estimated impact of Basel 3 and
current risk weight floor • The Basel 3 rules, implemented through CRD
4 /CRR, is expected to affect SBAB’s capital
adequacy primarily through the following
changes
– Credit risk, derivatives: Increased capital
charge for OTC-derivatives through a
credit value adjustment (CVA) add-on
– Minority interest: Bulk of minority interest
in FriSpar Bolån no longer included in
CET1
• Additionally, the Swedish FSA will require
higher risk weights (15%) for retail mortgages,
implemented under Pillar 2 – The requirement
will not affect SBAB capital adequacy under
Pillar 1
• It should be noted that the some changes will
be phased in gradually through transitional
arrangements – with the timeline being
unknown for a number of elements
Estimated impact of fully phased in Basel 3 and the risk weight floor defined by Swedish FSA
► SBAB’s current capitalisation exceeds capital adequacy metrics introduced in coming regulation by a wide margin
Basel 3 Risk weight floor
28
Effects of new risk weight proposal
15 % risk weight floor 25 % risk weight floor
Basel 3 Risk weight floor
29
1,9%
2,1% 0,1%
11,0%
25,8%
21,6%
10,6%
0,0%
5,0%
10,0%
15,0%
20,0%
25,0%
30,0%
Core tier 1 -Basel 2
Minorityinterest
CVA, OTC-derivatives
Otherchanges
CET 1 -Basel 3
Pillar 2 -RWA
retail mtgs
Pillar 2"CET1ratio"
Co
re t
ier
1 / C
ET
1 r
ati
o
Positive impact Negative impact
1,9%
2,1% 0,1%
7,2%
25,8%
21,6%
14,4%
0,0%
5,0%
10,0%
15,0%
20,0%
25,0%
30,0%
Core tier 1- Basel 2
Minorityinterest
CVA, OTC-derivatives
Otherchanges
CET 1 -Basel 3
Pillar 2 -RWA
retail mtgs
Pillar 2"CET1ratio"
Co
re t
ier
1 / C
ET
1 r
ati
o
Positive impact Negative impact
Basel 3 Risk weight floor
SBAB EMTN Programme - Government Ownership Clause
(i) OPTIONAL: Investors keep notes
MANDATORY:
Kingdom of Sweden Guarantee
(ii) OPTIONAL: Investors put back notes to
issuer, i.e. SBAB
30
Funding Sources and Currency
Breakdown - Total funding portfolio SEK 244bn, September 30th 2013
Currency Profile Wholesale Funding Sources
31
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013* 2014*
Senior and Covered Annual Issuance
Covered Bonds Senior Unsecured
SEK Bn
* Expected Issuance
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013* 2014*
Domestic and International Annual Issuance
Non-SEK funding SEK
* Expected Issuance
SEK Bn
SBAB Group Funding
• SBAB Group operates in a number of funding markets. A broad and efficiently diversified investor
base is an important part of the Group’s funding strategy
• In 2013 we have issued SEK 50bn of which approximately 28bn in senior unsecured format
• Lower annual funding requirements due to deposit growth, slowdown in lending and increased
duration
-Lower funding needs ahead
32
• Increasing covered bond redemptions over the coming three years. Liquidity risk is being
mitigated through buy-backs of maturing bonds
• Maturing SEK benchmark covered bonds are actively being bought back ahead of redemption
• Upcoming redemptions in Q1 2014 have been pre-funded
Maturity Profile - As of September 30th 2013
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020-
SEK Billions Covered Bonds
SEK Other
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020-
SEK Billions Senior Unsecured
33
Funding Programme in 2014
• Long term funding estimate for 2014 at SEK 75bn
– 3-5 public transactions in international funding markets
– 1-2 new SEK covered bond benchmarks
– Private placements in SEK
– Private placements in international funding markets
• Overall funding strategy is to maintain presence and
regularity in core funding markets (predominantly EUR)
• SBAB’s focus is to further extend its maturity profile
• Plan is to increase liquidity buffers
34
Trading levels of outstanding bonds
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
Aug-13 Dec-14 May-16 Sep-17 Feb-19 Jun-20 Oct-21S
pre
ad
to
sw
ap
s (
bp
) SHB Nordea SEB Swedbank SBAB
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Dec-14 May-16 Sep-17 Feb-19 Jun-20 Oct-21 Mar-23
Sp
read
to
sw
ap
s (
bp
)
SHB Nordea SEB Swedbank SBAB
EUR Covered Bond EUR Senior Unsecured
35
Source : Handelsbanken/ Bloomberg, 29th Oct 2013
Securities Portfolio
• LCR compliant since 1st January 2013
• New investment only AAA
• Maximum 10y maturity on new investmenst
• RMBS legacy portfolio, approx. 5% of the portfolio
– ”Loans and recievebles” classified (hold to maturity)
– Internal stresstests shows no expected losses
37
Key Highlights
• 100% owned by the Kingdom of Sweden
• SBAB senior unsecured investors benefit from government ownership clause
• Purely Swedish mortgage portfolio, predominantly residential mortgages
• Strong asset quality
– Extremely low loan losses
• Developing SBAB Bank
– Increased focus on retail customers
• Access to domestic market both in the Senior unsecured and Covered Bond market-
good access to variety of funding sources
• International funding diversification is strategically important
38
The SCBC Product -The Limited Activities of SCBC provide additional Benefits to Investors
Robust Structure
Strength of a regulated entity combined with a restricted activity vehicle reduces number of
other potential creditors
As a result, in addition to the eligible assets, investors also benefit from over-collateralisation
provided by:
– Non-eligible assets
– Regulatory capital held by SCBC (maintain 8% capital adequacy ratio)
Subordination of
SBAB Interests
Fees for services provided by SBAB are subordinated to SCBC’s senior creditors
Where a mortgage certificate serves as collateral for 2 different mortgage loans, SBAB has
subordinated its interest to SCBC
Loans in Arrears Loans 30 days in arrears are normally repurchased by SBAB
Other Features
Dynamic O C in compliance with AAA/Aaa requirements
UCITS Compliant
Swedish covered bonds are eligible for repo at Riksbank
Following the ECBS’s labelling initiative
40
SCBC Cover Pool - Key characteristics as of September 30th 2013
Collateral
Weighted average LTV 58.2%
Loans in arrears Arrears below 0.01% (SBAB buys back loans in arrears > 30 days)
Number of loans 347,552
Geographical location Spread throughout Sweden; concentrated in economic hubs
Pool type Dynamic
Originator SBAB Bank Group
100% Swedish residential mortgages*
Weighted average seasoning 59.6 months
* Occasionally, minor volumes of substitute collateral consisting of AAA rated securities, can be included in the cover pool
Interest rate type 44.4% floating, 55.6% fixed
Loans in arrears
Number of loans
Geographical location
Pool type
Originator
Weighted average seasoning
Interest rate type
41
SCBC Cover Pool -Breakdown by Seasoning as of September 30th 2013
Weighted average seasoning of 59.6 months Weighted average LTV of 58.2%
LTV ratio by borrower type Breakdown by Seasoning
42
SCBC Cover Pool -Regional Distribution as of September 30th 2013
Regional Distribution
Over 85% of the cover pool assets are located in Sweden’s economic hubs
(incl. Göteborg) (incl. Malmö)
43
SCBC Cover Pool -Distribution by Collateral and Owner as of September 30th 2013
Predominantly residential mortgages
Breakdown by Owner Breakdown by Collateral
(Occasionally, minor volumes of substitute collateral consisting of AAA rated
securities, can be included in the cover pool)
44
SCBC Funding - Total covered bonds outstanding: SEK 148bn as of September 30th 2013
Currency profile Maturity profile
45
SCBC Ratings - Current AAA/Aaa ratings are robust
ALMM risk: “Low”
Sweden is classified as a category 1 jurisdiction
Sponsor Bank rating (A) with 7 notches uplift =>
SCBC rating = AAA with 2 notches cushion
•TPI for SCBC is “Probable-High ”
•Sponsor Bank rating (A2) =>
•SCBC rating = Aaa with 1 notch cushion
S&P Moody´s
46
Swedish Covered Bond Market - One of the best functioning bond markets in the world.
The bond market has been open and well functioning throughout the crisis, providing
reliability and liquidity.
Source: ASCB, Association of Swedish Covered Bond Issuers
Key distinction of the market is the tap issuance format via contracted market makers.
Tap issuances can be made on a daily basis in small to medium sizes.
Typically issuers start reducing their outstanding debt about 6-9 months before maturity
via successive buy-backs and switches
Market is supported by market makers with separate market making agreements and
repo functionality providing issuers with enhanced liability management options.
The total value of the Swedish covered bond market was
EUR 220 billion as of December 2012
49
Kingdom of Sweden
• Area : 450 295 km2
• Population : 9 616 429 (Aug 2013)
• Urban population: 85% of total population
• Capital : Stockholm
• Constitutional monarchy
• Unicameral Parliament (Riksdag) with 349 seats
• Elections: last held on 19 September 2010 (next
to be held in September 2014)
• Government : Coalition of Conservatives, Liberal
People’s Party, Center Party and Christian
Democrats
• The Swedish economy rests on a capitalist
system mixed with public-private partnership,
centralized wage negotiations and substantial
welfare elements
• Sweden has the world's eighth highest income
per capita (IMF)
51
Kingdom of Sweden
• Approx. 45% of GDP is exported . Largest
goods trading partners are the Scandinavian
countries, Germany and UK.
• Sweden joined the EU in 1995, but the public
rejected the introduction of the euro in a 2003
referendum.
• The currency, the krona, has been floating
since 1992 when the fixed exchange rate
regime was abandoned.
• The Centralbank, Sveriges Riksbank, operates
monetary policy under an inflation target of 2
percent.
• Fiscal discipline over the past several years
has allowed Sweden to weather economic
difficulties.
• Sweden ranked second in the world in The
Economist's Democracy Index 2012, seventh
in the United Nations' Human Development
Index 2013, sixth in the World Economic
Forum Global Competitiveness Index 2013-14
and second in the Global innovation Index
2013
52
Foreign Trade and the Krona
• Very strong current account
– Exports make up about 45% of GDP. Foreign trade has shown a surplus since the mid-1990s
• The Krona has been floating since 1992
– As a fairly small currency it is rather sensitive to changes in international risk appetite and business flows. It has
however historically been highly correlated with the Euro
• The Krona is at its strongest level for nearly 20 years..
– ..if compared to a trade weighted basket. Factors contributing to a continued strong krona are a strong current
account, high relative growth, solid public finances and high relative policy rates
Source : Macrobond
53
Lower Costs of Owning a Dwelling • Mortgage rates have been on a downward trend for almost 25 years
– Mortgage rates and house prices have been highly correlated
– Interest costs are deductible to 30% (20% on amounts above 100 000 SEK)
• No increase in debt service costs
– Interest rate cost of acquiring an average house have been quite stable around 25% of average disposable income over
the last 15 years
• Relaxation of taxes connected to housing
– Inheritance & gift tax abolished in 2005, wealth tax abolished in 2007
– Residential real estate tax lowered 2008
Source : Macrobond
54
High savings ratio, high net wealth
• High savings ratio
– Swedish households have a savings ratio around 10% which is high compared to other countries
• High net wealth
– Both financial assets and housing assets have been rising faster than debt. Average net wealth stands at over 300 % of
disposable income
• Assets and incomes cover debt and interest costs
– Research by both the Riksbank and FSA show that the households with the highest debt levels also are the households
with the most assets and the highest incomes
Source : OECD Economic Outlook 92, Statistics Sweden
55
High Relative House Prices
• Price metrics are near historic highs
– House prices compared to CPI, to rents or to household income have increased markedly since the mid 1990s
• Price increases have been concentrated to big cities and growth regions
– The average house prices in Stockholm is SEK 4mn, in Norrbotten it is SEK 1.1mn
• Most of the price rise can however be explained by higher income, lower interest rates and slow
housing construction
– e.g. Riksbank Economic Review 2010:3, The Riksbanks commission of inquiry into risks on the Swedish housing market
2011
Source : Macrobond 56
Household Debt has Increased
• High debt to income but low interest costs
– The household debt to income ratio has increased from around 90 % in 1995 to over 170 % in 2012. The rise in the debt
ratio is strongly connected to the decline in interest rates. The interest ratio is still hovering around 4 %
• Exposed to interest rate risk
– Rising interest rate levels will eventually push up the interest ratio in the coming years. This effect will be reinforced by a
higher use of floating rate interests than before
Source : The Riksbank, Macrobondtackt
57
Debt compared to other countries
• Household debt to income rather high compared to some other countries
– The general conclusion from authorities is that household debt is not a threat to financial stability but future growth should
be contained
• Total debt (household, company and public) around average in an international comparison
– Strong public finances puts Sweden in a favorable position
Source : The Riksbank, Eurostat
58
Key Economic Figures
Swedish EconomyYearly change in per cent 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013f 2014f 2015f
GDP 4,6 3,4 -0,8 -4,9 6,3 3,0 1,3 1,1 2,4 2,5
Private Consumption 2,7 3,7 0,1 -0,3 4,0 1,7 1,6 1,8 2,1 2,4
Public Consumption 1,7 0,6 1,1 2,1 2,0 0,9 0,7 1,1 3,0 1,4
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 9,1 9,0 1,5 -15,5 7,0 8,4 3,4 -2,2 4,5 4,1
Stockbuilding (contr. to GDP) 0,3 0,7 -0,5 -1,7 2,3 0,6 -1,2 0,3 0,0 0,0
Exports 9,0 5,8 1,9 -13,7 11,3 6,3 0,7 -1,1 3,6 4,6
Imports 9,0 9,1 3,7 -14,1 12,0 7,4 -0,5 -0,7 4,5 4,8
Current Account, % of GDP 8,7 9,4 9,0 6,3 6,3 6,4 6,0 5,8 6,0 5,5
Industrial Production 5,2 4,1 -3,3 -19,5 8,8 6,8 -3,2 -3,5 3,5 5,0
Unemployment, % 7,1 6,2 6,2 8,3 8,6 7,8 8,0 8,0 7,4 7,4
Employment 1,8 2,6 1,1 -2,1 0,5 2,3 0,6 0,8 1,0 1,0
Consumer Prices 1,4 2,2 3,4 -0,5 1,2 3,0 0,9 0,1 1,3 1,9
Underlying Inflation, CPIF 1,4 1,5 2,7 1,7 1,9 1,4 0,9 0,9 1,2 1,3
Wage Costs 3,1 3,3 4,3 3,4 2,6 2,4 3,1 2,8 2,5 2,5
Real Disposable Household Income 3,6 5,5 2,3 2,0 1,6 3,3 3,3 3,0 2,0 2,0
Households Savings Ratio, % 4,9 7,2 9,0 11,0 8,3 10,4 12,1 12,0 11,0 10,0
Central Government Budget, SEK bn 18 103 132 -176 -1 68 -24 -120 -70 -50
Central Government Debt, % of GDP 43 37 35 38 34 32 32 34 33 33
Public Sector Financial Balance, SEK bn 16 28 17 -8 0 0 -4 -15 -10 -5
Public Sector Debt, % of GDP 45 40 39 43 39 39 38 38 38 37
59
Key Economic Figures (cont’d)
Financial indicators (end of period) 4th Nov 2013 2013f 2014f 2015f
Repo rate 1,00 1,00 1,50 2,50
STIBOR, 3-month 1,21 1,30 2,00 2,75
10-year Bond Yield 2,29 2,60 3,50 4,50
10-year spread to German, bp 52 60 50 25
USD/SEK 6,50 6,88 7,20 7,20
EUR/SEK 8,78 8,80 9,00 9,00
TCW 118,2 121,9 124,6 125,0
Source : Statistics Sweden and SBAB Bank Forecast
60
Important Notice The presentation was prepared by SBAB Bank AB (publ) for use in relation to the SBAB Bonds (the “Bonds”). This presentation contains forward-looking statements, which are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions. This presentation is being presented solely for your information and is subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made and no reliance should be placed on the accuracy, actuality, fairness, or completeness of the information presented. This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe for any shares of the Company, and no part of this presentation shall form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with any contract or commitment. The contents of this presentation may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose.
61
SBAB – Contacts
For further information, please contact: EMTN number +46 8 614 4398 [email protected] Per Tunestam, Treasurer +46 8 614 4369 [email protected] Fredrik Jönsson, Head of Funding +46 8 614 3822 [email protected] Johan Paulsson, Funding Manager +46 8 614 3814 [email protected] Louise Bergström, Head of Investor Relations +46 8 614 4311 [email protected]
www.sbab.com www.scbc.se www.ascb.se - Association of Swedish Covered Bond issuers
SBAB Corp- this is a joint code both for SBAB and SCBC
Information on the Internet
Bloomberg codes
62