investor presentation april 2006 korea western power co., ltd
TRANSCRIPT
Investor PresentationInvestor Presentation
April 2006April 2006
Korea Western Power Co., Ltd.Korea Western Power Co., Ltd.
22
DisclaimerDisclaimer
This presentation material has been prepared by Korea Western Power Co., Ltd. (“KOWEPO” or the “Company”) solely for information use during its presentation. The information contained in these materials has not been independently verified. No representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein. It is not the intention to provide, and you may not rely on these materials as providing, a complete or comprehensive analysis of the Company’s financial or trading position or prospects. The information and opinions in these materials are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice. None of the Company nor any of its respective affiliates, advisors or representatives shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of these materials.
Financial data in this presentation is given on a non-consolidated basis and financial statement data (where applicable) is prepared under Korean generally accepted accounting principles.
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to the financial condition, results of operations and business of the Company and certain of the plans and objectives of the management of the Company. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results or performance of the Company to be materially different from any future results or performance expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements were based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company’s present and future business strategies and the political and economic environment in which the Company will operate in the future. We caution you not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements, which speak as of the date of this presentation. We are not under any obligation to update these forward-looking statements
33
Investment HighlightsInvestment Highlights
High correlation between electricity demand growth and Korean GDP growth
Cost Based Pool System expected to continue
Pricing structure allows Gencos to fully pass fuel cost to KEPCO
Six Gencos account for over 90% of Korean power consumption
Stable revenue and cash flows
Strong debt servicing ability
Solid capital structure to support capital expenditure
Maintaining sound credit worthiness
Additional capacity as required by the Basic Plan supports credit profile
Diversified and secured sources of key raw materials
Highly sophisticated and experienced management
Prospering Economy & Solid
Sovereign Credit
Favorable Industry
Conditions & Regulatory
Environment
Strong Operations & Experienced Management
Solid Financials &
Robust Capital Structure
Strong and sustainable economic growth
Strong external liquidity position, dynamic & diverse export sector
Sound financial markets & improving financial sector
Eased political tension with North Korea through diplomatic means
Positive credit rating momentum
KEPCO : Korea Electric Power Corp.GENCO : Generation Company
44
Strong Mitigating Factors to Credit Concerns Strong Mitigating Factors to Credit Concerns
Capex Capex requirement to requirement to fund capacity fund capacity
expansion expansion
Strong debt servicing ability due to stable, recurring revenue and cash flows
Strong balance sheet to support business expansion
Increasing revenue led by stable growth of electricity demand
Favorable terms of financing from the Government-funded loans
BBusiness risk usiness risk under the under the
deregulation plan deregulation plan
Delay of the privatization plan of Gencos
KOWEPO is one of the best performers among Korean thermal Gencos
Performance expected to be further enhanced once the new generating units at Taean
and Cheongsong become operational
Ability to fully pass fuel cost to KEPCO under the current cost based pool system Exposure to high Exposure to high
raw material raw material costscosts
Good operating track record of power plants with low historical incidents and diligent plant maintenance
Continuing investment on maintenance to improve reliability of generation facilities
Exposure to Exposure to potential potential
generation unit generation unit breakdown breakdown
55
1. Company Overview
2. Prospering Economy and Solid Sovereign Credit
3. Power Industry and Regulatory Environment
4. Operations
5. Financial Management
6. Concluding Remarks
66
Introduction to KOWEPOIntroduction to KOWEPO
Inception April 2, 2001 (Spun off from KEPCO)
Credit Ratings A2 (stable) / A- (stable) vs. Korea sovereign A3 / A
Generation Capacity 8,880 MW (Operation: 7,280 MW, Construction: 1,600 MW)
Total Assets 2005: KRW 3,262 bn (USD 3.22 bn) 2004: KRW 2,976 bn (USD 2.85 bn)
Ownership 100% owned by KEPCO (54% owned by Korean Gov’t)
Total Revenue 2005: KRW 2,227 bn (USD 2.20 bn) 2004: KRW 2,058 bn (USD 1.97 bn)
Net Income 2005: KRW 180.6 bn (USD 178.3 mln)2004: KRW 161.0 bn (USD 154.2 mln)
(KRW/USD FX rate : 1013.00 as of 30th Dec. 2005, 1043.80 as of 31st Dec. 2004)
77
Power Generation PortfolioPower Generation Portfolio
Classification Taean Pyeongtaek T/P Pyeongtaek C/C Seoincheon Samrangjin (Cheongsong)
Generation Units 6 (2) 4 5 16 2 (2)
Fuel type Bituminous BC Oil LNG LNG Pumped Storage (Pumped Storage)
Capacity (MW) 3,000 (1,000) 1,400 480 1,800 600 (600)
Total Capacity (MW) 7,280 (1,600)
Location of Power PlantsLocation of Power Plants
With our nationwide footprint, KOWEPO has unique strategic importance to KoreaWith our nationwide footprint, KOWEPO has unique strategic importance to Korea
Generation PortfolioGeneration Portfolio
SeoincheonLNG
PyeongtaekBC Oil / LNG
TaeanCoal
SamrangjinPumped Storage
Metropolitan area Major industrial / chemical complex
Cheongsong(Under construction)
Seoincheon Samrangjin
Taean Plant Pyeongtaek Plant Cheongsong Plant
( ) under construction
88
Management PhilosophyManagement Philosophy
Vision
2007 Goals
Management Policy (3C)
7 Key Strategies
Great Work Place
Employees
The Leader of Generation Companies in 21st century
Brand No. 1 Clean Genco
Business
Revenue: 2.5 trillion
Growth
Top 5 Most Preferred Company
Corp. Image
Realization of ethical management
Reinforcement of core competencies
Implementation of harmonious management
• Aim for Value-oriented management
• Maximize core competencies
• Create future growth engine
• Enhance organization dynamics
• Satisfy employees’ needs
• Establish clean brand image
• Enhance social contribution
CLEAN COMPETITIVE COMPANION
Well respected company preferred by the young generation
99
1. Company Overview
2. Prospering Economy and Solid Sovereign Credit
3. Power Industry and Regulatory Environment
4. Operations
5. Financial Management
6. Investment Summary
1010
Strong External Liquidity PositionStrong External Liquidity Position
Continuing Current Account Surplus
Falling External Debt (as a % of GDP)
Increasing Foreign Reserves
FX Reserves / Short-Term Debt
Source : GEIC
96.2 102.8121.4
155.4
199.1 210.4
0
50
100
150
200
250
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
12.3
8.05.4
12.0
28.2
16.6
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
2.52.6
1.9
3.1
3.5
3.2
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
3127
25 2623 23
0
10
20
30
40
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
USD billion USD billion
Times (%)
Source : MOFE
1111
Dynamic & Diverse Export SectorDynamic & Diverse Export Sector
Export Breakdown by Country 2005
Increasing Exports & Imports
Export Breakdown by Commodity 2005
Source: CEIC
Source: MOFE
USD billion
176151 163
197
258289
159138 149
175
220
256
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Export Import
1212
Solid Economy with Positive Rating Momentum Solid Economy with Positive Rating Momentum
Potential for Further Upgrades Recent Rating Agency Actions
Moody’s S&P Fitch
Effective Mar ’02 Jul ’05 Oct ’05
Rating A3 A A+
Outlook Stable Stable Stable
•Strong external liquidity position
•Dynamic export sector, resilient growth,
strong medium-term growth prospects
Korea Ratings History by Major Rating Agencies
AA+
AA-
A
BBB+
BBB-
BB
B+
B-
Aa1
Aa3
A2
Baa1
Baa3
Ba2
B1
B3
S&P (LHS) Moody's (RHS) Fitch (LHS)
1313
1. Company Overview
2. Prospering Economy and Solid Sovereign Credit
3. Power Industry and Regulatory Environment
4. Operations
5. Financial Management
6. Concluding Remarks
1414
Constant Growth in Power ConsumptionConstant Growth in Power Consumption
Source: “Statistics of Electric Power in Korea”, KEPCO / Bank of Korea
10.80%
14.72%
-3.64%
-6.90%
10.04%
6.50%6.30%
11.82%10.72%11.42%
7.60%8.04%
5.44%
11.76%
4.00%4.70%3.80%
9.20%7.00%
4.70%
8.50%
6.10%
9.50%8.50%
7.00%
3.10%
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Pow
er
cons
um
ptio
n (
GW
h)
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
Gro
wth
ra
te
Pow er consumption Pow er Consumption Grow th Rate (Gross) GDP grow th rate
CAGR of 8.3% (1993-2005)
Historical Domestic Power Consumption vs. GDP/Power Consumption Growth RateHistorical Domestic Power Consumption vs. GDP/Power Consumption Growth Rate
Power consumption has continued to rise on the back of strong economic growthPower consumption has continued to rise on the back of strong economic growth
1515
10.4%
2.8%
7.0%6.2%
7.3%
14.9%
16.4%
12.4%12.9%
13.9%
17.1%
12.2%11.3%
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
Total Supply Peak demand Reserve margin
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Reserve Margin AnalysisReserve Margin Analysis
Source: Statistics of Electric Power in Korea, KEPCO, 2005
Adequate Reserve Margins are Required to Sustain Economic Growth in the FutureAdequate Reserve Margins are Required to Sustain Economic Growth in the Future
MW
1616
Power Industry Restructuring ProcessPower Industry Restructuring Process
19991999 20002000 2002200220012001 20032003 20042004 20052005 20072007 2008200820062006 20092009
MOCIE is reconsidering its planned industry restructuring and has decided to MOCIE is reconsidering its planned industry restructuring and has decided to halt the distribution sector’s separation planhalt the distribution sector’s separation plan
• MOCIE announces restructuring plan for power industry
• Incorporation of generation companies
• Cost based pool bidding mechanism
• Expiration of vesting contracts
• Retail competition
• Introduction of vesting contracts for gencos
• Spin off distribution sector from KEPCO
• Wholesale competition
• Initiation of KOSEP privatization • Plan to separate KEPCO’s
distribution sector is halted
• Determined that discos will operate as independent divisions within KEPCO
• IPO of KOSEP is delayed
• Implementation of TWBP(Two Way Bidding Pool) is suspended HOLD
HOLD
HOLD
HOLD
The power industry restructuring plan has faced some obstacles, The power industry restructuring plan has faced some obstacles, and the implementation of future plans has been suspended and the implementation of future plans has been suspended
MOCIE : Ministry of Commerce, Industry and EnergyKOSEP : Korea South East Power Company
1717
Power Price Determination SystemPower Price Determination System
Price determination process for each market is different :
Base load market : CP(Capacity Payment) + BLMP(Base Load Marginal Price)
Non-base load market : CP + SMP(System Marginal Price)
Korea generation market is adopting CBP(Cost Based Pool) system Electric power market is divided into two different segments : Base load market and
Non-base load market
Base Load Market Non-Base Load Market
Nuclear and Coal Power Plant
CBP system secures KOWEPO’s profits from rises in raw material and generation costs
LNG, Oil and Hydro Power Plant
1818
Cost Based Pool SystemCost Based Pool System
Base Load Price : CP + BLMP
Capacity Payment BLMP• CP includes construction cost
and operation cost of standard coal-fired power plants
• CP is reimbursed to Gencos by KEPCO regardless of the operation
Nuclear
Coal
Oil / LNG
Base Load
Power Demand
Price Capacity
Non-BaseLoad
• In case fuel price/kWh is at or above KRW 18.95
- Fuel costs incurred by each generators are fully compensated
• In case fuel price/kWh is below KRW 18.95
- Fuel cost is set at the highest fuel cost among generators which is to be dispatched
Capacity Payment SMP• CP includes construction cost
and operation cost of peak-load power plants
• CP is reimbursed to Gencos by KEPCO regardless of the operation
• Fuel cost is set at the highest fuel cost among generators which is to be dispatched
Non-Base Load Price : CP + SMP
1919
1. Company Overview
2. Prospering Economy and Solid Sovereign Credit
3. Power Industry and Regulatory Environment
4. Operations
5. Financial Management
6. Concluding Remarks
2020
Operation OverviewOperation Overview Base load, intermediate load and peak load account for 41%, 19% and 40%
respectively in terms of generation capacity 90% of capacity is located in or near the Seoul and Gyeonggi metropolitan areas
Seoul and Gyunggi metropolitan areas comprises approx. 40% of total national demand
TaeanPyeongtaek
Gunsan
Cheongsong(Under Construction)
CoalLNGBC Oil
Pumped Storage
Seoincheon
Samrangjin
Seoul & Gyunggi Metropolitan Areas
Generation Capacity by Type of Plant (2005) Location of Plant Complex
PyeongtaekC/C (480 MW)
Seoincheon C/C(1,800 MW)
Samrangjin P/S (600 MW)
CheongsongP/S (600 MW)
3,480MW
Pyeongtaek T/P(1,400 MW)
1,400MW Taean T/P(3,000 MW)
4,000MW
Taean T/P (1,000 MW)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
Base Load Intermediate Load Peak Load
In Operation Under Construction
Note: T/P denotes “Thermal Power Plant”, C/C denotes “Combined Cycle”, P/S denotes “Pumped Storage”
2121
KHNP 40.6%
KOWEPO 10.4%
EWP 9.9%KOSPO 12.8%
KOMIPO 10.4%
KOSEP 11.7%Others 4.2%
Market Share (FY 2005)Market Share (FY 2005)
Others 10.4%
KOWEPO11.7%
KOSEP 11.6%
KOMIPO12.0%
KOSPO 12.2%EWP 12.8%
KHNP 29.3%
Generation Capacity Electricity Sales
Total Generation Capacity62,257 MW
Total Electricity Sales349,276 GWh
2222
40.2 40.2
40.8 40.8
35
37
39
41
43
2002 2003 2004 2005
%
Strong Operational Efficiency (FY 2005)Strong Operational Efficiency (FY 2005)
59.0 59.7 59.1 59.2
40
45
50
55
60
65
2002 2003 2004 2005
%
Thermal Efficiency Utilization Rate
Thermal Efficiency Utilization Rate
40.8
38.9
40.8
43.1
39.4
35
37
39
41
43
45
KOWEPO KOSEP KOMIPO KOSPO EWP
%
59.2
68.3
59.4
70.1
53.3
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
KOWEPO KOSEP KOMIPO KOSPO EWP
%
2323
Long-Term Supply ContractsLong-Term Supply ContractsBituminous
Supplier Country Contract Amount (1,000 ton/year)
Terms
BHP-Billiton -Bayswater
Australia 500 ‘ 95.1 - ‘ 07.12
Centennial Australia 500 ‘ 04.6 - ‘ 07.6
Xstrata-NCA Australia 1,100 ‘ 01.4 - ‘ 06.3
RIO Tinto – Blair Athol Australia 500 ‘ 02.9 - ‘ 06.3
Ensham Australia 500 ‘ 04.1 - ‘ 08.12
Peabody Australia 240 ‘ 05.1 - ‘ 07.12
Australia - Sub-total 3,340 (48%)
SCIEGC China 1,000 ‘ 99.4 - ‘ 06.3
CCIEC China 500 ’ 96.1 - ‘ 06.3
SHENHUA China 960 ‘ 01.7 - ‘ 07.6
China - Sub-total 2,460 (35%)
Indominco Indonesia 500 ‘ 03.10 - ‘ 06.12
Kideco Indonesia 300 ‘ 04.1 - ‘ 05.12
ABK Indonesia 200 ‘ 04.10 - ‘ 07.12
Tanito Harum Indonesia 200 ‘ 05.1 - ‘ 07.12
Indonesia - Sub-total 1,200 (17%)
7,000 (100%)
Fuel Oil
Type Supplier Contract amount Terms
B.C oil (Sulfa 2.5%) GS Caltex 187,000 ㎘ ‘ 06. 1 – 6
Kerosene for boiler GS Caltex 2,837 ㎘ ‘ 06. 1 – 6
LNG
Supplier Contract amount (1,000 ton/year)
Terms
LNG KOGAS 1,267‘ 86 ~ ‘ 06
(20year)
KOWEPO enters into long-term supply contracts to:
Control the costs of bituminous coal, oil and LNG amid the rising prices
Assure an adequate supply of the raw materials for a smooth operation
Short- term, 20%
Long- term, 80%
Note: Long-Term Supply Contracts as of YE2005
Bituminous Coal Contracts
2424
1. Company Overview
2. Prospering Economy and Solid Sovereign Credit
3. Power Industry and Regulatory Environment
4. Operations
5. Financial Management
6. Concluding Remarks
2525
Capital Structure (FY 2005) Capital Structure (FY 2005)
Assets
KRW 3,262 billion – Fixed Assets/Total Assets Ratio : 88.6%
KRW 1,064 billion– Liability-to-Equity Ratio : 48.4%
KRW 2,198 billion– Stake is Wholly Owned by KEPCO
EBIT : KRW 256 billion - Net Income : KRW 181 billion
Liabilities
Shareholders’ Equity
Profitability
KRW 2,227 billion
Revenue
Capital Structure
3,1823,038 2,976
3,262
2,1982,0601,988
1,730
1,064916
1,050
1,452
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
2002 2003 2004 2005
Total assets Total shareholders' equity Total liabilities
KRW billion
2626
Financial Performance (FY 2005) Financial Performance (FY 2005)
2,012.62,134.4 2,057.7
2,227.0
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2002 2003 2004 2005
230.7252.9
161.0180.6
0
100
200
300
2002 2003 2004 2005
83.9
52.8
44.548.4
39.5
28.224.2 25.2
0
30
60
90
2002 2003 2004 2005
Liability/equity Debt/capital
5.8
9.2 9.6
14.6
7.4
11.6 11.1
16.4
0
5
10
15
20
2002 2003 2004 2005
EBITDA/interest Funds from operation / interest
Revenue
KRW billion
Net Income
Times
CoverageLeverage
KRW billionKRW billion
2727
73.5
25.2
39.0
19.0
29.9
37.4
61.2
78.7
48.4
40.8
0
30
60
90
KOWEPO KOSEP KOMIPO KOSPO EWP
Liability/equity Debt/capital
2,175.32,244.62,227.02,095.4
2,847.1
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
KOWEPO KOSEP KOMIPO KOSPO EWP
KRW billion
138.5
185.9
221.3
255.7
291.7
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
KOWEPO KOSEP KOMIPO KOSPO EWP
102.4
216.8
180.6
105.8 107.2
0
50
100
150
200
250
KOWEPO KOSEP KOMIPO KOSPO EWP
Strong Competitive Position (FY 2005)Strong Competitive Position (FY 2005)Revenue EBIT Net Income
KRW billion KRW billion
6.4
13.0
11.510.6
6.5
0
5
10
15
KOWEPO KOSEP KOMIPO KOSPO EWP
7.8
15.916.4
9.610.5
0
5
10
15
20
KOWEPO KOSEP KOMIPO KOSPO EWP
EBIT Margin EBITDA Int. Coverage LeverageTimes% %
2828
CAPEX RequirementsCAPEX Requirements
Capital Expenditure ScheduleCapital Expenditure Schedule
59
407
105
7
106
102
105 94
3 27
86
388
101
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2006E 2007E 2008E 2009E
Cheongsong Pumped Storage #1,2 Taean Thermal Power #7,8 Facility Improvement
Taean CCT #1 Gunsan Combined Cycle (Planned)
KRW billion
574
293
503
222
2929
KRW75%
USD25%
KRW75%
USD25%
199.9
117.2
185.0
1.3
0
50
100
150
200
250
2006(E) 2007(E) 2008(E) 2009(E)
199.9
117.2
185.0
1.3
0
50
100
150
200
250
2006(E) 2007(E) 2008(E) 2009(E)
Eurobond25%
Long TermBorrowing
7%
KDBPrivate
PlacementBond11%Corporate
Bond57%
Eurobond25%
Long TermBorrowing
7%
KDBPrivate
PlacementBond11%Corporate
Bond57%
Debt Repayment Schedule
Currency DistributionType of Instrument
Total LT Debt : KRW 711.1 billion
Debt Profile and Strategy (FY 2005)Debt Profile and Strategy (FY 2005)
KRW billion
Fixed82%
FRN18%
Fixed82%
FRN18%
Floating vs Fixed
3030
Financial Management Financial Management
Adequate Adequate Committed Committed Credit LinesCredit Lines
Credit lines
• Overdraft Commitment from NACF total KRW 50 billion
• KRW credit lines provided : KRW 100 billion from Citibank, KRW 100 billion from KEB, KRW 50 billion from Woori bank
• USD credit lines provided : US$ 40 million from BNP Paribas, US$ 20 million from SC First Bank
Guarantees for letter of credit payment totaling USD 326 million from various banks
Guarantee for a credit payment related to customs duties totaling KRW 4 billion from KEB
Loans for the construction and capacity expansion of electricity facilities of KRW 13 billion at an interest rate of 4% (as of FY 2005)
Loans to support the purchase of overseas mineral resources of KRW 37 billion at an interest rate of 2.25% (as of FY 2005)
Low Interest Low Interest Loans from the Loans from the
Government Government
KOWEPO operates two committees dedicated to risk management: Risk Management Committee and FX Risk Management Committee
• Risk Management Committee oversees four areas : finance, fuel, electricity bidding and generation facilities
• FX Risk Management Committee manages FX risk exposure and determines internal FX guidelines
The committees meet on a quarterly basis to make key decisions on the issues discussed
Risk Risk ManagementManagement
3131
1. Company Overview
2. Prospering Economy and Solid Sovereign Credit
3. Power Industry and Regulatory Environment
4. Operations
5. Financial Management
6. Concluding Remarks
3232
Concluding RemarksConcluding Remarks
Favorable Favorable Industry Industry
Conditions & Conditions & Regulatory Regulatory
EnvironmentEnvironment
Strong Strong Operations & Operations & Experienced Experienced ManagementManagement
Solid Financials Solid Financials & Robust & Robust Capital Capital
StructureStructure
Prospering Prospering Economy & Solid Economy & Solid
Sovereign Sovereign CreditCredit