investor pres
DESCRIPTION
notesTRANSCRIPT
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Presentation
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2
Key Investment Highlights
Indias Engine for Growth of
International Trade
Strong Standalone Financial Strength and
Prudent Risk Management
India: An Emerging Economic Powerhouse
India: Sound External Sector
Policy Role in Indias Export Development
EXIM: Proxy to Sovereign
# 5
# 1
# 3 # 4
# 2
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3
India: An Emerging Economic Powerhouse
Worlds 10th largest economy based on nominal GDP in 2013 (1)
Nominal GDP for FY 14 (2) : ~USD 1.9 tn(3)
Favorable demographic profile: 64.8% of the population is between the age of 15 to 59 years (4)
Consumption demand which is driven by basic consumption remained strong despite of rising prices and interest rates (5)
Healthy forex reserves
Mood of optimism, positive sentiment
Resilient GDP Growth (1)
1,365
1,709 1,880 1,859 1,878
8.6%
8.9%
6.7%
4.5%4.7%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14
Rea
l GD
P G
row
th (%
)
No
min
al G
DP
(US$
bn
)
Nominal GDP (US$ Billion)
Source: (1) IMF World Economic Outlook Database (October 2014). (2) Central Statistical Organisation (CSO), RBI, Ministry of Finance, IIF. FY represents year ended 31 March (3) IIF Estimates (4) United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision (5) Government of India Press Note: Provisional Estimates of National Income, Consumption Expenditure, Saving and
Capital Formation, 2013-14.
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4
Indian Economy: Key Economic Indicators
Key Parameters FY2009 FY2014 Change
Nominal GDP (USD bn)1 1224.1 1877.5 53.4%
CPI-IW Inflation rate (annual avg. %)3 9.0 9.7 0.7%*
Exports (USD bn)4 185.3 314. 4 69.7%
General Government Debt (% of GDP)1 72.2 64.9 10.1%
Foreign exchange reserves (USD bn)5, 6 252.0 304.2 20.7%
Direct investment to India (USD bn)5 41.9 36.0 14.1%
Total External Debt (USD bn) 5 224.5 442. 2 97. 0%
Gross National Saving (% of GDP)1 32.0 28.2 11.9%
Gross Domestic Investment (% of GDP)1 34.3 30.0 12.5%
Equity Market Capitalization (USD bn) 602.4 1215.4 101.8%
Exchange Rate (`/US$, avg.)3 45.9 60.5 31.8%
* - difference SOURCE: 1. IIF 2. Office of the Economic Adviser (OEA), Ministry of Commerce and Industry 3. Economic Survey 2013-14 4. Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, Ministry of Commerce and Industry 5. Reserve Bank of India 6. Data as at End-March
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5
India: Sound External Sector
Trend of Merchandise Trade Increasing Forex Reserves Trend of Services Trade
Foreign trade (exports + imports) as percentage of GDP have increased from 34.2% in FY10 to 40.7% in FY14 India achieved the 6th rank in export of services worldwide and emerged as the 19th biggest merchandise
exporter in 2013, according to WTO Forex reserves increased in the last 5 years, with an import cover of over 8 months as on March 2014
Source: Ministry of Commerce and Industry, RBI, CSO, IIF, WTO
178.8
251.1
306 300.4 31 288.4
369.8
489.3 490.7450.
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
FY
10
FY
11
FY
12
FY
13
FY
14
(US
$b
n)
Exports Imports
279.1304.8 294.4 292.0
304.2
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
FY
10
FY
11
FY
12
FY
13
FY
14
(US
$b
n)
Total Forex Reserves (Year End)
96
124.6
142.3 145.7151.5
6080.6 78.2 80.8 78.5
0
50
100
150
200
FY
10
FY
11
FY
12
FY
13
FY
14
(US
$b
n)
Exports Imports
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6
India: Trade and Current Account Balance
Indias Import Pattern
Source: Ministry of Commerce and Industry
96.0 120.1
156.9 160.0 151. 7 6.8
7.1
11.4 9.1 6.5
13.8
14.6
20.2 22.8 20.9
16.3
34.6
28.2 22.7 24.0
29.8
42.6
61.6 55.8
33.2 87.1
106.0
155.0 164.0
164.8
38.6
44.8
56.0 56.3
49.1
0.0
100.0
200.0
300.0
400.0
500.0
600.0
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14
US$
bill
ion
Capital Goods Petroleum and crude products Gold & silver
Pearls, precious and semiprecious stones Agricultural commodities Fertilizers
Other commodities
288.4
369.8
489.3 490.7
450.2
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7
India: Trade and Current Account Balance
Source: MOSPI; RBI
INDICATORS (US$ bn) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014
Exports 185.3 178.8 251.1 306.0 300.4 314.4
% change 13.6 -3.5 40.5 21.8 -1.8 4.7
Imports 303.7 288.4 369.8 489.3 490.7 450.2
% change 20.7 -5.1 28.2 32.3 0.3 -8.3
Oil Imports 93.7 87.1 106.0 155.0 164.0 164.8
% change 17.4 -7.0 21.6 46.2 5.9 0.4
Non-oil Imports 210.0 201.2 263.8 334.3 326.7 285.4
% change 22.2 -4.2 31.1 26.7 -2.3 -12.6
Trade Balance -118.4 -109.6 -118.7 -183.3 -190.3 -135.8
Services Exports 106.0 96.0 124.6 142.3 145.7 151.5
Software Exports 46.3 49.7 53.1 62.2 65.9 69.5
Services Imports 52.0 60.0 80.6 78.2 80.8 78.5
Services Balance 54.0 36.0 44.0 64.1 64.9 73.0
Current Account Balance -28.7 -38.4 -47.9 -78.2 -87.8 -32.4
CAB as percentage of GDP (%) -2.3 -2.8 -2.8 -4.2 -4.8 -1.7
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8
India: External Debt vis--vis External Reserves
Year Ended March 31
Figures in US$ billion 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Category of External Debt
Multilateral 39.54 42.86 48.48 50.45 51.58 53.30
Bilateral 20.61 22.59 25.71 26.88 25.17 24.80
International Monetary Fund 1.02 6.04 6.31 6.16 5.96 6.20
Trade Credit 14.48 16.84 18.61 18.99 17.76 15.30
Commercial Borrowings 62.46 70.73 88.48 120.14 140.2 146.50
Non Resident 41.55 47.89 51.68 58.60 70.88 103.80
Other 1.53 1.66 1.60 1.35 1.25 1.50
Short Term 43.31 52.33 64.99 78.18 96.69 89.20
Total 224.50 260.93 305.86 360.76 409.40 440.60
Category of External Reserves
Foreign Currency Assets 241.43 254.69 274.33 260.07 259.73 276.36
Gold 9.58 17.99 22.97 27.02 25.69 21.56
SDRs / Reserve Tranche 0.98 6.38 7.52 7.31 6.63 6.96
Total 251.99 279.06 304.82 294.39 292.05 304.22
External Reserves : External Debt 112% 107% 100% 82% 71% 69%
FC Assets : External Debt 108% 98% 90% 72% 63% 63%
Source: Reserve Bank of India; Ministry of Finance, GOI
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9
Objectives & Vision
for providing financial assistance to exporters and importers, and for functioning as the principal financial
institution for coordinating the working of institutions engaged in financing export and import of goods and
services with a view to promoting the countrys international trade
shall act on business principles with due regard to public interest
(Export-Import Bank of India Act, 1981)
To develop commercially viable relationships with a target set of externally oriented companies by
offering them a comprehensive range of products and services, aimed at enhancing their
internationalisation efforts
Objectives
Vision
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10
Strong Quasi Sovereign
100% owned by Government of India (GoI);
Proxy to the India Sovereign in international debt markets
Cannot be liquidated without GoI approval
Board of Directors is appointed by GoI; comprises top officials from key GoI ministries (Commerce & Industry, Finance and External Affairs) and RBI
Absolute independence in its business and operational policies.
Guarantees provided by GOI for lines of credit extended by EXIM which are on behalf of and supported by the GOI.
A track record of GoI capital infusions.
Ongoing Government Support
100% owned by GoI
Directors Appointed by
GoI
Proxy to India Sovereign in International Debt Markets
Regular Equity Capital
Infusion
Guarantees on GoI Routed
Lines of Credit
Source: Preliminary Offering Circular
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11
EXIMs Major Programmes
Export Credit Finance for Export Capability Creation
Products
Services
Suppliers/Buyers Credit
Pre-Shipment Credit
Post-Shipment Credit
Lines of Credit
Guarantees & L/Cs
Buyers Credit under NEIA
Term Loans
Export Facilitation
Guarantees & L/Cs
Working Capital
Export Marketing
Overseas Investment Finance
Import Finance
Projects
Export Finance 52%
Overseas Investment
Finance 19%
Term Loan to Exporters
21%
Export Facilitation
1%
Working Capital Loan for
Exporters 2%
Import Finance 5%
Others 0.3%
Funded Portfolio as on March 31, 2014
Advance Payment Guarantee
12%
Financial Guarantee 19%
Performance Guarantee
24% Retention Money
Guarantee 2%
Bid Bond Guarantee 0.1%
Stand By Letters of Credit 39%
Letters of Credit 4%
Non-Funded Portfolio as on March 31, 2014
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12
Financial Highlights
(Figures in million) 2012 [`] 2013 [`] 2014 [`]
Total Assets 636,730 761,182 871,490
Loans and Advances(1) 538,898 643,530 745,983
Equity 60,003 72,390 83,097
Net Income before Provisions and Taxes 14,926 17,038 24,099
Net Income 6,751 7,423 7,098
Gross NPA 1.46% 2.31% 2.10%
Net NPA 0.29% 0.47% 0.43%
ROAA 1.14% 1.05% 0.86%
ROAE 12.02% 11.21% 9.13%
Net Interest Margin 2.17% 2.14% 2.28%(2)
CRAR 16.44% 15.28% 14.32%
Equity / Assets 9.42% 9.51% 9.54%
Year ended March 31
Note:(1)Includes loans and advances to industrial concerns, scheduled banks foreign governments and other financial institutions and bills of exchange and promissory notes discounted/rediscounted. Amounts stated are net of provisions for non-performing loans (NPLs).
(2) Excluding prior period income
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13
Exim Banks sovereign status allows the Bank to raise wholesale funds at benchmark rates
Variety of Borrowing instruments, Market timing and active liability management
Asset Liability Gaps Total Resources/ Loan Assets as on March 2014
Asset Liability Management
Total Liabilities
Share Capital and Reserves
10%
FC Lendable Resources
65%
INR Lendable Resources
25%
Total Lendable Resources
Total Assets
Rupee Assets 35% Foreign
Currency Assets 65%
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14
Strong Financial and Capital Position
Steady Profitability Strong Capital Position
5135 5836
6751 7423
7097
1.78%
2.01%
2.17% 2.14%
2.28%
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14
Net PROFIT NIM
Rs.
Mn
*NIM for FY14 is excluding prior period income
47,438 53,464
60,213 66,313
73,531
5,734 6,859 7,709 7,597 8,863
18.99%
17.04% 16.44%
15.28% 14.32%
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
16.00%
18.00%
20.00%
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
Tier I Capital
Tier II Capital
CRAR %
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15
Growth Coupled with Diversification
Aggregate Country Exposure as of Mar 2014
Note: (1) Total credit exposure refers to outstanding loans and guarantees plus unutilised loans & guarantee sanctions to customers (excluding banks / institutions)
Industry exposure limit set at 15%
Total Credit Exposure by Industry as of Mar 2014 (1)
Ferrous metals & Metal
processing 11%
EPC Services 9%
Textiles and Garments
8%
Oil and Gas 7%
Drugs & Pharmaceuticals
6%
Petroleum products 5%
Auto & auto components
5%
Renewable energy 4%
Chemicals and Dyes 4%
Miscellaneous 4%
Non-ferrous Metals & Metal processing
3%
Ship building 3%
Mining and Minerals 3%
Construction 3%
Shipping Services 2%
Agro & Food Processing
2%
Others 23%
Americas 6% Europe
8% SEA FE & PAC
8%
East Asia 0.15%
West Asia 5%
South Asia 24%
East & Southern Africa 25%
North Africa 6%
West Africa 18%
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16
Efficiency and Stable Asset Quality Position
Gross Non Performing Loans (1)
Loan Loss Coverage
Note: (1) Excludes restructured standard assets
Net Non Performing Loans (1)
Equity at Risk
782 923
1,558
3,0 7 3,210
0.20% 0.20% 0.29% 0.47% 0.43%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14
(Rs.
mm
)
Net NPLs Net NPL ratio
4,132 4,780
7,958
15,147 15,960
1.05% 1.04%
1.46%
2.31% 2.10%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14
(Rs.
mm
)
Gross NPLs Gross NPL ratio
81.07% 80.55% 80.42% 79.87% 79.88%
75%
77%
79%
81%
83%
85%
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14
Pr
ov
isio
ns
fo
r
NP
Ls
/G
ro
ss
NP
Ls
(%
)
1.73% 1.78%2.60%
4.21% 3.86%
0%1%2%3%4%5%6%7%8%
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14
Ne
t N
PL
s/
Eq
uit
y
Ca
pit
al
& R
es
er
ve
s
NP
Ls
(%
)
-
17
Key Investment Highlights
Indias Engine for Growth of
International Trade
Strong Standalone Financial Strength and
Prudent Risk Management
India: An Emerging Economic Powerhouse
India: Sound External Sector
Policy Role in Indias Export Development
EXIM: Proxy to Sovereign
# 5
# 1
# 3 # 4
# 2
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18
Thank You