investor discussion pack - westpac · 2,559 2,539 3,492 (414) (3,940) 4,755 fy04 net interest...
TRANSCRIPT
Investor Discussion Pack
November 2004
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 20042
IndexSummary of results
Consistent growth and return 4Segment contributions 8Market share 10
Business and Consumer Banking 11Business markets strategy 12
Institutional Bank 15New Zealand 21BT Financial Group 23Net interest income analysis 30
Loan and deposit growth 31Margin analysis 33
Non-interest income 35Credit card interchange 36
Expenses 37Deferred expenditure 39Capitalised software 40
Risk management 42Credit quality and portfolio composition 43Bad debt analysis 45
Housing market 52Portfolio characteristics 56
Group Business Unit and Pacific Banking 60Dividends 62Capital 63Basel II and IFRS 65Structured finance 67Strategy 69Economic outlook 73Factors impacting 2005 earnings 772004 Outlook 79Investor Relations Contacts 80
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 20043
Maintaining consistent growth and return
• High quality result – maintaining the balance- Cash earnings $2,559m up 13%- Cash earnings per share of 139 cents up 11%- Cash return on average equity 21%- Full year dividend of 86 cents, fully franked up 10%- Expenses up 5%- Cost to income ratio 49.2% down 210 basis points
• Key drivers of growth- Solid growth in loans and acceptances up 14%- Disciplined pricing - margins down 9 bps- All businesses delivering double-digit growth in
cash earnings• Quality of earnings maintained
- Strong asset quality: net impaired assets to equity and general provisions down 40 bps
• Maintained leading sustainability position All comparatives on prior corresponding period
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 20044
Driving the gap between revenue and expenses
1,500
2,500
3,500
4,500
5,500
6,500
7,500
8,500
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Revenue 7.3%
Expenses 3.4%
Core earnings 12.1%
1. Underlying basis (excl. significant items but not adjusted for acquisitions and disposals)
2. Excluding goodwill amortisation
5 Year CAGR 1
2
5 year CAGR
20.1%ROE (5 year avg)
11.0%Cash EPS
10.6%Cash earnings
Revenue and expense performance ($m)
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 20045
A revenue driven result
Movement in cash earnings ($m)*
* Tax-effected and excluding outside equity interest
2,559
2,271
(44)
53
(133)
412
2,000
2,100
2,200
2,300
2,400
2,500
2,600
2,700
2,800
2003 Revenue Expenses Bad Debts Tax 2004
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 20046
Cash earnings – maintaining the growth
97,3308,010Operating income83,0043,255Non-interest income
2,5592,5393,492(414)
(3,940)
4,755
FY04
104,326Net interest income
132,271Cash earnings162,183Net profit after tax & OEI202,919Net profit before tax15(485)Bad debts
(5)(3,763)Operating expenses
% ChangeFY03 – FY04
FY03$m
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 20047
Consistently delivering strong growth and returns
Economic profit ($m)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
1999 2000 2001 2002^ 2003 2004* Assumes 2H99 dividend was fully franked^ Underlying EP excludes significant items in 2002
13% 5 year CAGR*
41Westpac
0NAB
21Commonwealth
36ANZ
TSR (%)Company
Total Shareholder Return (TSR) for period 1 Oct 01 - 30 Sep 04
Source: Mellon
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 20048
Sound contribution across all businesses
0 500 1000 1500
NZ
InstitutionalBank
BT
Business&
ConsumerBanking
2002
2003
2004
Cash earnings ($m)
$m
Growth 2003 – 2004 (%)
19
25
16
16
1. NZ % growth in AUD terms
1
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 20049
Composition of cash earnings and operating income
Other5%BT
8%
New Zealand16%
Institutional Bank19%
BCB - Business
25%
BCB - Consumer
27%
Other2%
BCB Business
27%
Institut-ional Bank
15%
New Zealand
15%
BT8%
BCB Consumer
33%
Composition of cash earnings Composition of operating income% of total group
operating incomeMortgages 13%S&I 14%Cards 6%Other 27%
Total Business and Consumer Banking
(BCB) 52.8%
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200410
Aggregate market share
• Westpac has consistently increased its market share in key segments over the last three years (to 30 Sep):
• Business lending up 220bps• Retail deposits up 130bps
• Cautious approach to housing and personal unsecured lending over the last three years (to 30 Sep):
• Household down 110bps
Australian financial system market share (%)
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Total credit Retail deposits
Source: RBA, Westpac
+20bps14.1%14.3%Retail deposits
Credit-80bps14.6%13.9%Household (housing & other personal)
13.4%12.5%
Sep 04%
-20bps13.6%Total credit+60bps11.9%Other (mainly business)
Change (bps) – full year
Sep 03%
Australian market share – RBA financial system aggregates
Note: Westpac’s ‘household’ and ‘other’ market share statistics have been adjusted following the RBA’s revision of its methodology for calculating credit data to better reflect the impact of securitisation, announced 31 May 2004.
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200411
BCB – profitable growth momentum
• The powerhouse of Westpac’s earnings with 16% growth in cash earnings from a business contributing 53% of Group earnings
• Substantially enhanced customer satisfaction due to:- Business banker roles - Extended opening hours- Additional Ask Once co-ordinators
• Solid margin performance in face of strong competition
• Non-interest income suppressed by change in interchange fees in 1H04
• Expenses incorporate continued investment in front-end capability
52.2%
1,350
(569)
1,919
(340)
2,259
(2,471)
4,730
2004
(6)(321)Bad debts
220bps54.4%Expense to income
161,165Cash earnings
(15)(494)Tax & OEI
161,659Operating profit
141,980Core earnings
(5)(2,361)Operating exp
94,341Operating income
% Change
2003$m
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200412
Consistent strategy since 1999 to capture business market
• Business lending (SME and Middle Market) up 15% against market growth of around 8%
• Strategy focused on better meeting the needs of small and medium businesses
8%
9%
10%
11%
12%
13%
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Australian business credit market share (%)
Source RBA, Westpac
Business Online revamped and updated
Selective return of business bankers back to the branches
Decision making process streamlined in 1999
Further process improvement being rolled-out under re-engineering project (Pinnacle)
Implementation of industry specialist teams
Roll-out of business CRM underway
Better relationshipsFast decision makingKnow my business
What small and medium businesses are asking …
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200413
Industry specialisation – a key differentiator
• Industry specialisation work started in 2000
• Ten industry sectors targeted including:• Packages represent unique solutions for
each sector• Supported by a nationwide network of
industry specialist managers and relationship managers
� 1%� 17%� 4%Industry G(2001)
� 2%� 17%� 8%Industry F(2002)
� 5%� 40%� 5%Industry E(2003)
� 5%� 7%� 2%Industry D(2003)
� 9%� 7%� 33%Industry C(2001)
� 4%� 14%� 29%Industry B (2002)
� 4%� 18%� 24%Industry A(2002)
Average product
penetration per
connection
Average footings per connection
Number of Connections
Improvement since package introduced*
Industry
* Improvement on existing customer base before solution launch, after runoff
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200414
Business strategy is delivering
SME satisfaction
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
Jun-02
Sep-02
Dec-02
Mar-03
Jun-03
Sep-03
Dec-03
Mar-04
Jun-04
Sep04
WBCPeer Average
363432
2927
23 22*
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2H01 1H02 2H02 1H03 2H03 1H04 2H04
Business loans and acceptances ($bn)
* Decline due predominantly to sale of AGC
Middle Market & Priority satisfaction
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
Jun-02
Sep-02
Dec-02
Mar-03
Jun-03
Sep-03
Dec-03
Mar-04
Jun-04
Sep04
WBCPeer Average
Business - TNS Business Finance Monitor is since June 2002.
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200415
Institutional Bank – reclaiming lead bank status
• Solid revenue growth of 10% although Financial markets softer
• New income streams established (SCG)• Higher expenses from
- Restructuring charge $11m- Private equity performance fees $13m- Epic consolidation $22m
• Significant improvement in bad debts• Investment securities portfolio positively re-
valued by $17m• Write-off in New York FITB - $12m
Lead bank relationship1 (%)
1 Peter Lee & Associates – 2004* Rank within each category
05
10152025303540
Aust
lead
bank
NZ
lead
bank
Deb
t Cap
ital
Mar
kets
top
bank
Lead
Dom
Tran
sact
ion
bank
FX m
arke
tsh
are
20032004
=1*
2*1*
1*
1*
2*2* 2*
2*
1*
44.7%
481
(207)
688
5
683
(553)
1,236
2004
105(107)Bad debts
(260bps)42.1%Expense to income
25384Cash earnings
(31)(158)Tax & OEI
27542Operating profit
5649Core earnings
(17)(472)Operating exp
101,121Operating income
% Change
2003$m
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200416
Financial markets - enhancements underway
• Financial markets result consistent with expected volatility, although recent performance has been below average
• Measures to improve performance implemented:
- Changes to coverage of interbank markets
- Operational changes
• Higher return for risk taken evident in 2H04
Financial markets income ($m)
050
100150200250300
1H03 2H03 1H04 2H04FX Interest Rate Product FM Other
Distribution of Financial markets daily P&LDistribution of P/L outcomes
20
20
4
13 3 4
810
21
38
31
37
25
22
18
7 86
2 1 0 0 0 1 0 02
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
<-6
-6 to
-5.5
-5.5
to -5
-5 to
-4.5
-4.5
to -4
-4 to
-3.5
-3.5
to -3
-3 to
-2.5
-2.5
to -2
-2 to
-1.5
-1.5
to -1
-1 to
-0.5
-0.5
to 0
0 to
0.5
0.5
to 1
1 to
1.5
1.5
to 2
2 to
2.5
2.5
to 3
3 to
3.5
3.5
to 4
4 to
4.5
4.5
to 5
5 to
5.5
5.5
to 6
6 to
6.5
6.5
to 7
7 to
7.5
7.5
to 8 >8
P&L ($Am)
Freq
uenc
y (d
ays)
Monthly average VaR ($m)
0369
121518
Jun03 Sep03 Dec03 Mar04 Jun04 Sep04
Monthly average VaRBoard Limit
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200417
Investment securities
• Upward revaluation in portfolio of investment securities $17m – based on current quoted prices
• Continue to actively manage exposure however markets remain relatively illiquid
• Modelling suggests value to be had from retaining some investments until maturity
• Portfolio being managed down progressively
- 30 Sept 03 US$110m- 30 Sept 04 US$86m
S&P sub investment grade credit spread index
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
Dec-98
Aug-99Mar-
00Oct-
00Ju
n-01Ja
n-02Aug-02Apr-0
3Nov-0
3Ju
n-04
Bas
is P
oint
s
Source: www.standardandpoors.com
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200418
WIB - Structure and distribution of alternative assets
300
379
82
40
66
30
365
$m
�����Westpac Office Trust
�����Australian Energy Income Fund
�
�
�
Trust Structure
Single Asset
�����
Hastings Diversified Utilities Fund (Epic)
��FAL Property Trust
���Hastings Income Trust
���Halcyon Notes
����
Electranet(Hastings Infrastructure Fund)
Multi AssetIPOWhole-
saleRetailUnlistedListed
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200419
Epic
• On 2 June 2004, Hastings Funds Management (51% owned by Westpac) acquired a 100 per cent holding in three strategically placed natural gas transmission pipeline assets (“Epic”) via a trust structure including:
- The Moomba to Adelaide Pipeline System in South Australia;
- the South West Queensland Pipeline in Queensland; and
- the Pilbara Pipeline System in Western Australia
• Assets to be sold to investors via the Hastings Diversified Utilities Fund – IPO announced on 29 October 2004
-$297mDeduction to Total Regulatory Capital and ACE
+$360mRisk Weighted Assets
+$22mExpenses
Minor
Impact FY04
Cash Earnings
• Assets consolidated as 100% of seed equity provided by Westpac
• Assets remained on balance sheet as at 30 September 2004
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200420
Quadrant – Westpac’s private equity business
• Westpac operates a number of small private equity funds principally investing in a small number of unlisted companies – the Quadrant funds
• The funds have a 10 year life and source money from high net worth individuals along with seed capital from Westpac
• In 2004, one of those funds achieved a very high return from investments in Pumpkin Patch, Village Life, Law & Economics Consulting Group (LECG) and Tasman building products. This performance had the following financial consequences:
- an increase in reported revenues by around $43m, a combination of a direct return on funds investment and performance fees from the management of the funds; and
- an increase in reported expenses of around $13m related to performance fees payable to managers
• These results have been reported in the Institutional Bank
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200421
New Zealand – repositioning delivers growth
• Benefits from repositioning the business - Improved lending growth, particularly
housing- Increased brand awareness
• Momentum in all key segments• Effectively managing margins in a
competitive market• Higher expenses to support an increase in
customer facing staff• Dynamic provision factor changes, $9m
benefit
48.2%
451
(210)
661
(41)
702
(653)
1,355
FY04
24(54)Bad debts
100bps49.2%Expense to income
10409Cash earnings
(19)(177)Tax & OEI
13586Operating profit
10640Core earnings
(5)(620)Operating exp
81,260Operating income
% Change
FY03NZD$m
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200422
New Zealand – improving market share
• Total lending in New Zealand has increased 15% compared to total Private Sector Credit Growth of 12% for the same period.
• Growth in lending has occurred across the board.
-10-505
1015202530
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Market share Share of new growthNZ Housing market share monthly (%)
NZ middle market market share1 (%)
05
1015202530
2003 Q204Westpac ASB National BNZ ANZ
1. TNS Business Finance Monitor Results
NZ SME market share1 (%)
10121416182022242628
2000 2001 2002 2003 Q204WBC ASB National BNZ ANZ
change in measure from ACN to TNS
1. TNS Business Finance Monitor Results
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200423
BT Financial Group – sustained improvement
• Integration virtually complete on time and ahead on synergies
• Sustained fund performance improvement and ratings upgrades
• Well linked into Westpac customer base- 28% rise in corporate super FUA- Wrap FUA up 44%, including $800m
rise in Wrap from internal planners• Good claims experience assisting life
insurance performance
60.2%
196
(54)
250
-
250
(378)
628
FY04
-Bad debts
180bps62.0%Expense to income
16169Cash earnings
(13)(48)Tax & OEI
15217Operating profit
15217Core earnings
(7)(354)Operating exp
10571Operating income
% Change
FY03$m
29Organic growth
4Review of bank owned planner channel (Sunrise)
3782004 Expenses
9Investments in integration6Increase in share of group allocated costs
(39)Integration synergies realisedDuring 2004
3692003 expenses1
2004 BTFG Expenses ($m)
1. Grossed up for 1 month of BTFM
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200424
BTFG integration largely complete
• Project delivered on time and ahead on synergies
• $96m in synergies achieved in 2004 -$48m more than originally estimated at acquisition
• Expected 2005 synergies remain at $116m
• Finalisation of acquisition accounts resulting in reduction to goodwill of $26m in Australia and $7m in New Zealand
Synergies (expense and revenue) ($m)
46 48
65
51 54
85
116
96
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2003 2004 2005
Synergies estimated at acquisitionUpdated estimated synergiesActual synergies achieved
Acquisition provisions
334Fair value provision
825Restructuring provision
Sep 04Sep 03$m
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200425
Performance turnaround: Australian equities
BT Core Fund1 vs S&P/ASX300 Accumulation Index
-2.0%
-1.6%
-1.2%
-0.8%
-0.4%
0.0%
0.4%
0.8%
1.2%
May-02
Sep-02
Jan-0
3May
-03Sep
-03Ja
n-04
May-04
Sep-04
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
Monthly portfolio excess return (LHS)One-Year Excess Return (RHS)
1. BT Institutional Core Australian Share Sector Trust. Benchmark: ASX300, Pre Fee / Pre Tax
0
5
10
15
1Mth 3mth 1yr 3yrs0
5
10
15
20
Fourth Quartile Third QuartileSecond Quartile First QuartileBT Performance
Source: Intech Interim Survey – periods to 31 August 2004
BT Balanced fund performance against market
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200426
Improved researcher ratings/net fund flows
Quarterly net funds flows ($m
-2,000
-1,500
-1,000
-500
0
500
1,000
1,500
Dec-02
Mar-03
Jun-0
3Sep
-03Dec
-03Mar-
04Ju
n-04
Sep-04
Retail flows Wrap FlowsInstitutional
Source: BTFG internal numbers
Large Cap Australian Equities – Flagship Retail Fund Ratings*
Rating
BuySellInvestorweb
2 Star1 StarMorningstar
Recommend
3 star
A
This year
1 starASSIRT
Sell and then Hold
B
Last yearResearcher
Lonsec
Van Eyk
*Retail flagship fund is the BT Australian Share fund
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200427
Growth in wealth products remains strong
9
n/an/a142.1Institutional310.4310.4Broking
4.058.0Retail
n/a4.8213.6Margin lending410.376.7Life and risk217.5310.7Wrap and master trust115.456.5Corporate super
RankMarket share(%)Rank
Market share (%)Product
Share of new businessCurrent Australian market share
Sources: Retail& Wrap & M’trust - ASSIRT Preliminary market share report August 2004, data as at 30 June 2004Corporate super - Dexx&r Employer Super League Table June 2004Life and risk - Dexx&r Life analysis, Quarterly Statistics ending 31 March 2004Margin lending - BT loan book verses RBA industry total – June 2004Broking - ASX market analysis August 2004Institutional - Investor Supermarket March 2004
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200428
Australian funds under management
40.53.7
8.1
10.0
3.1
2.8
5.2
7.6
Sept 03 Sept 04
Asset class $bn
63%27.643.5TOTAL12%0.54.2Other*
81%6.58.0International Equities
84%9.211.0Australian Equities
81%2.63.2Property
33%1.54.6International Fixed Interest
55%3.15.6Australian Fixed Interest
61%4.26.9Cash
Retail %RetailTotal
*Includes FX, currency & asset allocation
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200429
Insurance business
94347Australia
115
17
33
18
FY04
$m
109
14
32
20
FY03
$m
6Total
21Lenders mortgage insurance (Australia)
3General Insurance (Australia)
(10)NZ
Life insurance
% growth FY03 –FY04
Cash earnings• Insurance operations have continued to perform well
• Solid growth in risk in-force premiums, up 3%. Performance supported by positive claims experience
• General insurance focused on consumer insurances particularly home and contents insurance. Earnings supported:
- Strong housing growth - Good underwriting conditions
• Lenders mortgage insurance is an attractive business given synergies with home lending and low losses on mortgage loans. Continued growth given:
- Continued solid housing activity- Continued low levels of delinquencies
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200430
Net interest income analysis
• Net interest income up 10%
• Behind these movements has been
– Balance sheet growth up $565m
– Rising interest rates supporting deposit margins and earnings on free funds
– Additional hybrid capital contributing to reported spreads
– Business mix changes led to a decline in overall margins
4,326
4,755
222
197
9068
(182)
565
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
2003 BalanceSheet
Growth
Spread Hybrids FreeFunds
2004
Tax equivalent gross-up
Movement in net interest income ($m)
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200431
Loan growth robust
67
66
139057
1H04 -2H04
191175
2272333
78892
1H04
202188
2282636
79299
2H04
57Personal (loans & cards)1282Housing1189Consumer (Australia)
% Change1
1314
13151515
2H03-2H04
2BT Financial Group
Business Unit
32Business (incl. equip. finance)22Westpac Institutional Bank25New Zealand ($NZ)
Group
185164
2H03
Avg. interest earning assetsNet loans and acceptances
$bn
1. % changes have been calculated before rounding of numbers
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200432
Deposit growth
% Change1
1414
21
828
78
2H04 –2H03
172136
35
1812
2449
1H04
131114Westpac Institutional Bank
22324Business (Australia)34750Consumer (Australia)
88
16
3
2H04 –1H04
129147Total deposits
Business Unit
1719New Zealand ($NZ)
3441Other 2
Group
157179Ave interest bearing liabilities
2H032H04$bn
1. % changes have been calculated before rounding of numbers2. Other include Treasury and Pacific Banking
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200433
Analysis of group margin movements
2.62% (6bps)
(3bps) 1bps (6bps)3bps (1bps) 3bps 2.53%
2.4
2.5
2.6
2.7
2.56% 0bps 1bps 0bps 0bps 1bps (7bps)
2.50%
2.4
2.5
2.6
2.7
1H04 Assetspread
Asset mix Liabilityspread/mix
Fundingmix
Hybrids Other Free funds 2H04
(1bps)
Margins movement 1H04 – 2H04
Margin movement 2003 – 2004
2003 2004
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200434
Margin and spread trends
• Impacting Australian spreads in 1H04: - Transitory change in the cash/bills
spread - Funding portfolio composition as strong
lending not matched by deposit growth - Mortgage spreads lower from product
mix changes- Cards spreads lower due to launch of a
low rate card(Virgin) and reduced revolver rates
2.022.162.332.26Equipment Finance
Australian product spreads
2.812.762.602.51Business Deposits
1.621.661.561.52Consumer Deposits
1.791.781.811.76Business
6.946.777.767.50Cards
1.181.181.221.22Mortgages
2H041H042H031H03Product
Indicative
1.8
2.3
2.8
3.3
3.8
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
1H02
2H02
1H03
2H03
2H04
MarginsSpreads
Long term Group margins and spreads
• Margins down 9 basis points over the year in line with long term expectations
• Spread down 12 basis points over year but flat over second half. 1H decline due to normal trend and some cyclical factors including the change in the monetary policy cycle
• Most of the easing in margins can be traced back to lower Australian spreads in the first half
Series break due to reclassifications
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200435
Non-interest income analysis
1,71627(14)18311,6544114726271,539
1,400
1,500
1,600
1,700
1,800
1H04
Financia
l Mark
ets
Specia
lised C
apita
l Grou
pBTFG Aus
t
Cards
Other c
ore
Norm non
-int in
come
Unit trus
t con
solid
ation
Policy
holde
r tax r
ecov
eries
2004
TPS reva
l
Epic
2H04
Non-interest movement 1H04 – 2H04 ($m)
Non-interest movement 2003 – 2004 ($m)
2003
3,004 (15)36
60 (39)
13033
3,17633 (14) 27
3,255
2,950
3,050
3,150
3,250
3,350
2004
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200436
Credit cards – fee impact of recent changes
• Net impact of interchange reforms and our strategic response will be broadly earnings neutral by 2005 and beyond.
• Repricing implemented in 1H03
• Interchange reforms Oct 03
• Reward point changes to impact in 2H04
– Airline point changes
– Reward point adjustments
44
21
30
(80)
73
1H04
(71)(80)(74)Rewards costs
58
29
-
103
1H03
5883Cards non-interest income
2427Other fee income
3030Fee repricing
75
2H04
106Interchange income
2H03$m
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200437
Expense to income – comfortably under 50%
49495052
30354045505560
2H02 1H03 2H03 1H04 2H04
Banking – expense to income %
47.8%
5050
5351
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
2H02 1H03 2H03 1H04 2H04
Group - expense to income %
48.8%
5863 6162
3035404550556065
2H02 1H03 2H03 1H04 2H04
Total Wealth – expense to income % 58.6%
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200438
Expenses – continued tight managment
• Strong revenue growth enabled an increase in investment spend leading cost growth to top of target range
• What we absorbed:- Compliance spend $12m- Project costs expensed $214m- Restructuring charges $24m271
42
156
44
20
9
2006(f)
38Productivity Improvement Programme
41
122
14
20
9
2005(f)
Cumulative total
Wealth integration
Other efficiency initiatives
Lending processes
Outsourcing
Cost Efficiency Pipeline $m
15-Gross up – 1 mth BTFM6$NZ impact
(3)Unit Trusts(22)Epic
(13)Private equity performance fees
4.7%3,7633,940Operating expenses
3,778
2003
3.4%3,908Adjust operating exp.
% Change2004$m
3.010.07.0Basel II
1.9
5.0
4.5-
11.0
2005 Expected
4.3Other (incl revised code of banking practice)
20.0 - 25.02.1Anti-Money Laundering
0.9Sarbanes Oxley1.0FSR
4.06.4IFRS
Expected spend after
FY05
Spend to 2004
Major compliance spending - $m
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200439
Deferred expenditure trends
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2H03 1H04 2H04Deferred acquistion costsOther deferred expenditure
Deferred expenditure – ($m) • Deferred expenditure increased 15% over year - Higher mortgage broker fees from
increased volumes- Capitalisation of 3rd party credit card
acquisition costs• Deferred acquisition costs incurred in
wealth business• Deferred expenditure is largely amortised
against income• $269m of deferred expenditure is an
APRA deduction from capital
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200440
Movements in capitalised software
• Major investments in Reach, Pinnacle and the One Bank Platform are the major contributors to the increase
• Growth in capitalised software expected to ease in 2005
300
66
19
61
29
13
11
26
31
45
Sep 2003
3
5
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
Amort-isationperiod (years)
64Other - New Zealand
58Standardised platform (One Bank)
36Institutional Bank (incl. Financial markets systems)
76Loan process re-engineering (Pinnacle)
45Customer relationship management (Reach)
12Product enhancement
21Channel development and distribution
377
29
36
Sep 2004
Total
Teller platform, New Zealand
Other - Australia
Capitalised software -major projects $m
89
300
2003 Actual
160104Annual amortisation
390377Capitalised software
2004 Actual
2005Forecast$m
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200441
Superannuation expense
• Westpac adopted IAS 19 in 2002, with a one-off after tax adjustment of $160m
• We have absorbed the lift to more ‘normal’superannuation expense within our normal expense growth
• Total expense has the potential to go above 9% as the full economic cost of defined benefit obligations are recognised
• Defined Benefit scheme closed to new members in 1999
• Carrying value at 30 Sep 04, $284m
• Actuarial surplus at 30 Jun 04, $142m0
20406080
100120140160180
2001 2002 2003 2004F 2005P0123456789
Expense Expense to Total payroll
Superannuation Expense
$m %
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200442
Risk management framework
Board Social Responsibility CommitteeAssists the Board in fulfilling its oversight responsibilities for corporate responsibility and sustainability including matters relating to the monitoring and management of reputation risk.
Board Audit CommitteeAssists the Board in fulfilling its oversight responsibilities for integrity of financial reporting, internal and external audit .
Managing risks inherent in their business including the development of business specific policies, controls, procedures and reporting for relevant risk classes, including reputation risk, within Group Framework and in consultation with Group Risk
Business units
Enterprise wide view of risk and its impact on performanceDevelopment of Group wide strategy, framework and policies for all major risk classes Responsible for consistency, standardisation and control across the GroupDefine and promote Group wide risk management culture
Corporate Core - Group Risk
Group Market Risk CommitteeOptimisation of market risk / reward for traded and non traded market risk. Oversight of portfolio performance, determination of limits with Board approved parameters
Group Operational Risk & Compliance CommitteeRisk decisions and governance of operational risk and compliance including framework and Group policies as well as oversight of the Group’s operational & reputation risk profile
Group Credit Risk CommitteeOptimisation of credit risk / reward and oversight of portfolio performance, determination of limits and authority levels within Board approved parameters
Executive risk committees
Membership CEO (Chair), Group Executives and Group General ManagersSets and leads the risk optimisation agenda for the GroupRecommends to Board appropriate risk reward positioning and links this to decisions on overall capital levels and compositionInitiates and oversees strategies that alter the Group’s risk reward profile and sets boundaries for risk appetite and earnings volatilityOversees the performance, role and membership of the Group Credit Risk, Group Market Risk & Group Operational Risk and Compliance committees
Group Risk Reward Committee
Group AssuranceIndependent reviews and evaluation of the adequacy and effectiveness of management’s control of operational riskIndependent evaluation of credit portfolio quality and performance
Board Risk Management CommitteeAssists Board fulfil oversight responsibilities for matters relating to the management of credit, market and operational risks and compliance with legal and regulatory requirements. Approves credit and other transactions beyond executive management authority.
Independent internal review
Board Committees
Considers and approves the risk / reward strategy of the GroupApproves key risk parameters and monitor the effectiveness of risk management by WestpacReview and approve Westpac’s Group risk management policies relating to credit risk, market risk, operational risk and complianceEnsure appropriate internal control mechanisms are in place and are being implementedMaintain a direct and ongoing dialogue with Westpac’s auditors and, where appropriate, principal regulators
Board
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200443
Forward credit indicators in good shape
Housing Portfolio - 90 day delinquencies (%)
1.04
0.64
0.160.150.38
0.150.230.250.26
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
1.40
0.900.50
1.271.47
0.75
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Aust. Business Banking - 90 day delinquencies (3 month moving average) (%)
WIB - impaired assets to committed exposure(%)
0.480.51
0.14
0.530.63
0.290.37
0.25
0.34
0.00.10.20.30.40.50.60.7
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
0.820.63
0.901.140.96
1.98
1.021.07
0.96
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Consumer Unsecured - 90 day delinquencies (%)
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200444
Stressed exposures continue to decline
Categories of stressed exposuresas a % of total commitments (%)
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
1.4%
1.6%
Sep 99 Sep 00 Sep 01 Sep 02 Sep 03 Sep-04
Watchlist & substandard
90 days past due well secured
Impaired
2,727*3,601*
2,598*2,623*
2,667*
2,401*
Specific provisions / impaired assets (%)
0102030405060
FY98 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 1H04 FY04
General provisions / non-housing performing loans & acceptances (%)
1.0
1.5
2.0
FY98 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY 03 1H04 FY 04
WBC ANZ CBA NAB
• FY 04 coverage ratio is 2.5x.
* Total $ amount of Watchlist, substandard, 90 Days past due but well secured and impaired loans
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200445
Bad debt analysis
$m 2H04 1H04 2H03
Write-offs (146) (128) (133)
Net transfer (to)/from specific provisions (58) (73) (70)
Recoveries of debts previously W/O 38 35 27
Bad debt charge (166) (166) (176)
Increase in general provision (41) (41) (95)
Net bad debt expense (207) (207) (271)
General provision 1,487 1,432 1,393
General provision to non-housing loans & acceptances 1.6% 1.7% 1.7%
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200446
Bad debt analysis
2004 Bad debts by business unit
414Total
2New specific
Other1Write-offs
(2)W’backs/Recoveries4241Dynamic provision
NZ
WIB
BCB
34Write-offs
3Write-offs
236Write-offs
3716Dynamic provision(24)W’backs/Recoveries
11New specific
79New specific
(22)W’backs/Recoveries(5)(65)Dynamic provision
90(68)
82
340Dynamic provisionW’backs/Recoveries
New specific
43
14
8
16 16 17
32 3331
23
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Long run expectation 25-35 basis points
Total bad & doubtful debt charge to average loans and acceptances (basis points)
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200447
Composition of portfolio
57% 55% 54% 51% 49% 50% 50%
34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 42% 42%
8% 8%9%9%8%9%9%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Sep-01 Mar-02 Sep-02 Mar-03 Sep-03 Mar-04 Sep-04
Business / Corporate Consumer Mortgages Other Consumer
Total Committed Exposure1 by customer segment• Mortgages represent 42% of total commitments and 57% of funded lending
• 64% business / corporate exposure exceed investment grade
• Other consumer includes credit cards, personal lending and margin lending
Personal Loans
CardsMargin LendingOther
consumer5%
Mortgages57%
Business / Corporate
38%
On balance sheet lending - September 2004
17% 17% 18% 14% 13% 15% 14%
11% 8%
12% 12% 11%12% 12% 11%
16% 17% 15% 16% 16% 16% 17%0.7% 0.6%
7%7%8% 7%9%
11%
0.9%0.9%0.9%1.2%1.3%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Sep-01 Mar-02 Sep-02 Mar-03 Sep-03 Mar-04 Sep-04AAA to AA- A+ to A- BBB+ to BBB- BB+ to B+ <B+
Total Committed1 Business / Corporate exposure
1. Total committed exposures include outstanding facilities and un-drawn commitments that may give rise to lending risk or pre-settlement risk
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200448
Total exposure by region
• Exposures outside core markets represent less than 3% of total committed exposures – sub investment grade represent less than 0.3% of total exposures (excluding core markets of Australia and New Zealand)
$m Australia NZ/ Pacific Americas Europe Asia ex
Japan Japan Group
AAA to AA- 35,950 6,631 777 367 127 113 43,965
A+ to A- 14,195 2,649 1,284 1,717 - - 19,845 BBB+ to BBB- 25,419 5,374 686 1,198 59 - 32,736
BB+ to B+ 42,715 8,295 32 327 4 30 51,402
<B+ 1,362 521 49 231 3 - 2,165 Secured consumer 110,128 20,946 - - - - 131,075 Unsecuredconsumer 18,268 3,199 - - - - 21,467
248,037 47,614 2,828 3,841 192 143 302,654
1. Total committed exposures by booking office at 30 September 2004
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200449
Reduced single name concentrations
0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200
A+
A
BBB+
A+
A+
A
BBB+
BBB
AA+
BBB+
Top 10 exposures to corporations and NBFIs – September 04
S&P Rating or equivalent
$m
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Top 10 exposures as a % of total committed exposure – September 04
Total exposure of Top 10 = $6.0bn -September 2004
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200450
Industry concentrations
Note: Excludes governments
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10%
Non-Metal Product Manufacturing
Oil and Gas
Insurance
Mining
IT and Telecommunication
Healthcare
Metal Products
Forestry and Paper
Chemicals
Media and Publishing
Personal and Household Goods
Hospitality
Personal and Other Services
Personal and Household Goods Retailing
Transport and Postal Services
Utilities
Construction
Machinery and Equipment
Business Services
Food and Beverage
Agriculture and Fishing
Financial Institutions
Property
Banks
% of Total Committed Exposure - September 04
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200451
Key portfolio exposures - Energy
Global energy portfolio
179116
195
815
2,926
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
4,231
AAA to BBB+
BBB to BBB-
BB+ to BB
BB-
<BB-
$m
89%
2%4%5%
Australia/NZ (89% Investment grade)
Asia (75% Investment grade)
Europe (100% Investment grade)
Nth America (79% Investment grade)
0.74.5CBA*
na9.7ANZ*
2.311.4NAB*
0.54.2WBC
Total non-investment
grade
Energy$m
*Source: Most recently available company reports
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200452
Housing market cools, but still healthy
• Housing has cooled following a strong run-up and after the RBA lifted rates late in 2003.
• Total finance, after an initial fall, has stabilised, with monthly new lending of $12bn.
• That is still about 50% above the previous peak of 1999.
• Lending to owner-occupiers is now moving higher.
• First home-buyers are coming back into the market, suggesting that affordability is not prohibitive.
Housing finance remaining at high levels
0
3
6
9
12
15
18
Aug-92 Aug-94 Aug-96 Aug-98 Aug-00 Aug-02 Aug-04
AUDbn/mth
0
3
6
9
12
15
18AUDbn/mth
'total' finance
investor finance, ex-construction
owner-occupier finance, ex refinancing
Source: ABS, Westpac
paths diverge
First home buyers returning
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Aug-92 Aug-94 Aug-96 Aug-98 Aug-00 Aug-02 Aug-04
'000
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40First home buyers 'Upgraders' ex-refinancing
'000
Source: RBA, ABS, Westpac
first home buyer interest in housing on the rise
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200453
Housing demand
• The housing construction downturn is set to be mild compared with past cycles.
• Net overseas migration numbers are up a third from the second half of the 1990s.
• This has boosted housing requirements by almost 15% from that of the late 1990s.
• Dwelling approvals are 17% lower so far ~ a moderate fall compared with 30% to 40% declines in past downturns
Immigration impacts housing needs
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
1990s H2 2003 1990s H2 2003
'000 pa
0
50
100
150
200
250
300'000 pa
Source: ABS, Westpac
Population change Housing requirements
immigration
natural increase
smaller households
rising population
demolitions, unoccupied
145
160 / 165
Approvals only modestly off 2003 highs
0
5
10
15
20
25
Sep-89 Sep-92 Sep-95 Sep-98 Sep-01 Sep-04
'000
0
50
100
150
200
250'000
houses, priv . (lhs) units, priv . (lhs) total annualised (rhs)
underlying demand
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200454
Household debt - a ‘catch-up’ phase
Household debt• Australian household debt levels lifted higher over the last decade.
• This was from below average levels by international standards.
• This catch-up reflected Australia’s delayed shift to a low inflation, low interest rate environment.
• Household debt servicing costs are up, but may be at a peak ~ with a slight fall in Q2.
An international comparison
01
23
45
67
8
9
10
Jun-76 Jun-80 Jun-84 Jun-88 Jun-92 Jun-96 Jun-00 Jun-04
%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160%
Interest cost to household income (lhs)
Household debt to household income (rhs)
Source: RBA
0
50
100
150
200
250
1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003
%
0
50
100
150
200
250%
Australia US Netherlands
Japan UK Germany
Source: RBA
Australian debt levels 'unusually' low in the 1980s
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200455
Households are still feeling good
• Consumer confidence is the best in a decade.
• Households feel a sense of job security, with the unemployment rate the lowest in 23 years.
• Families judge their finances to be in a healthy position ~ in part boosted by payments in the May Federal budget.
• Sentiment towards buying a dwelling has bounced back from a sharp fall in 2003.
Consumer confidence at a decade high
Household stress not apparent
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Sep-86 Sep-89 Sep-92 Sep-95 Sep-98 Sep-01 Sep-04
index
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140index
Sentiment: good time to buy a dwelling*Consumer sentiment index (rhs)
Source: Westpac, Melbourne Institute
2
4
6
8
10
12
Sep-86 Sep-89 Sep-92 Sep-95 Sep-98 Sep-01 Sep-04
%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120index
Unemployment rate (lhs)Family finances vs year ago (rhs)
Source: ABS, Westpac-MI
* Family finances –Westpac Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment Index Aug- 04
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200456
Mortgage portfolio – characteristics
40 41 43 45 46 47
2123
2528
31 33
1211
107
54
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
1H02 2H02 1H03 2H03 1H04 2H04
Australian Mortgage Portfolio$ bn
Owner occupiedInvestmentEquity Access CAGR = 14%
13%
36%
51%
Proportion of total
• Housing growth has remained solid - Owner occupied up 4%- Investment up 18%- Equity Access up 20%
• Funding for alterations and additions has boosted equity access lending
• Average LVR of new loans 65%—up from 63% in 2003
• Total bad debts (excluding dynamic provisioning) are less than 1 basis point
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200457
Mortgage – delivering profitable growth
5
10
15
20
25
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Australian housing market share (%)
Source RBA
• Mortgages lending up 12% • Mortgages margins down 4 basis points • Mortgage growth below system (with market
share easing) due to:- Holding the proportion of lending via
brokers constant- Not aggressively pursuing low-doc
lending- Avoiding higher risk investment lending
• Opportunity to improve sales force effectiveness remains
• Third party introduced loans represent 30% of new loans in 2H04 by value
• 26% of outstanding mortgage portfolio is broker originated 31
3031 31
32 33
3132 32
30
3433
31 31
33
3130
2930
20
25
30
35
Mar
-03
Apr-0
3M
ay-0
3Ju
n-03
Jul-0
3Au
g-03
Sep-
03Oc
t-03
Nov-
03De
c-03
Jan-
04Fe
b-04
Mar
-04
Apr-0
4M
ay-0
4Ju
n-04
Jul-0
4Au
g-04
Sep-
04
%
Third party introduced loans(Proportion of total by value)
2.00.2
$bn
CBD ApartmentsLow Doc Portfolio
CBD and Low-Doc
< 1%2%
% of portfolio
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200458
Mortgage Insurance
Mortgage insurance structure• 100% mortgage insurance where loan to value (LVR) ratio > 80%. Some exceptions include LVR 80-80.99, short-term /bridging loans and some employee loans – this represents approx. $2b in exposure.
• Stop loss reinsurance cover over all retained Lenders Mortgage Insurance underwriting risk in place with a "AA" rated reinsurer. Stop loss reinsurer assumes abnormally high claim costs incurred in any year above a 1 in 25 years loss event through to a 1 in 70 years loss event
• From 1 July 2005, Australian Lenders Mortgage insurers, including captive insurers, will be required to meet revised APRA capital requirements. Westpac intends maintaining its current captive mortgage insurance model under the new capital framework
18%Westpac Lenders
Mortgage Insurance
100%
AA Insurer
30% - Reinsured
82%
Proportion of portfolio with initial LVR > 80%
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200459
Housing portfolio quality
• Nominal changes in sensitivities since last year • Changes due to portfolio growth and levelling out of house prices• Capacity to absorb interest rate rises strong with 75% of amortising
borrowers repaying in excess of required minimum
Westpac 2003 stress testing results
Scenario BScenario ABase case
112.712.5
20.02.2
0.00.0
Combined effect $mCombined effect - bps
7.66.8
6.62.3
5.60.0
Unemployment rate - % Individual effect $m
2024.6
107.2
00.0
Housing prices fall - % Individual effect $m
11.19.3
9.13.7
7.10.0
Interest rates - % paIndividual effect $m
Westpac 2004 Stress Test Results
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200460
Group business unit and Pacific Banking
Pacific Banking Group business unit
98881Core earnings
56
(30)
(2)
(51)
67
72
2004
171Net interest income
(Large)2Bad debts
(3)58Cash earnings
(20)(25)Tax & OEI
-(51)Operating exp.
1061Non-interest income
% Change
2003$m
(Large)(154)(75)Other equity dist
na10na2004 TPS
70
95
(40)
159
101
58
2004
(48)111Operating income
(Large)(14)Bad debts
(54)153Cash earnings
(31)137Tax
51105Core earnings
Large(6)Operating exp.
% Change
2003$m
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200461
Group business unit
Other Includes Group Treasury and Corporate Office activities
Most group costs allocated to business units. Unallocated corporate centre costs
Generally since late 1990’s we have sought to minimise reliance on one-off items. Increase in general tax provision of $35m. Bad debts increased from provision against a group level counterparty exposure
Centrally held one-off gains/provisions
Includes policy holder tax recoveries (no cash earnings impact) and elimination of tax effective gross-up.
Financial/management accounting adjustments
Surplus equity over that required by business. 2H04 buy-back reduced level of earnings on centrally held equity.
Earnings on unallocated equity
Management of centralised funding and asset and liability management. Cash earnings down $9m on prior period.
Group Treasury
CommentComponents
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200462
Strong dividend – sustainable pay-out ratio
61%
64%66%
69%
72%
75%
Derived maximum payout ratio
RWA Growth Scenarios
11%10%
9%
12%
8%
7%
1 Assumptions:– Return on equity 20%, ACE Ratio of 4.75%– Maximum payout ratio assumes Wealth business
continues to grow at current levels – Includes no buffer for volatility in earnings and
deductions (FITB/FCTR)– DRP dilution neutralised through stock
repurchases– Strong franking capacity current balance $571m
62
5859 59
62 6163 62 63
61
50
55
60
65
1H00
2H00
1H01
2H01
1H02
2H02
1H03
2H03
1H04
2H04
Payout ratio (%)
Dividends per share (cents)
26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44
05
101520253035404550
1H00
2H00
1H01
2H01
1H02
2H02
1H03
2H03
1H04
2H04
Illustrative pay-out ratio analysis1
Presented July 2004
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200463
Capital - target ranges
• Capital levels at or above target ranges
• ACE ratio calculated on consistent basis ie. APRA deduction of deferred expenses ($269m) not removed
• Westpac will review its target capital ranges once impact of IFRS and Basel II becomes clear 4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
6.5%
7.0%
30 S
ept
2003
Cas
hEa
rnin
gs
Div
iden
ds
DR
P/O
ptio
ns
Buy
back
s
RW
A
Oth
er
30 S
ept
2004
5.05%
162 bps (100 bps)
(36 bps)(50 bps)
(22 bps)4.82%
23 bps
Adjusted common equity movement (%)
Capital ratios and target ranges (%)
3 .0%
3 .5%
4 .0%
4 .5%
5.0%
5.5%
6 .0%
6 .5%
7.0%
7.5%
8 .0%
Mar-00
Sep-00
Mar-01
Sep-01
Mar-02
Sep-02
Mar-03
Sep-03
Mar-04
Sep-04
ACE Tier 1
Buybacks completed ($m)
505
1,682
407559
$0$200$400$600$800
$1,000$1,200$1,400$1,600$1,800
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200464
2004 hybrid issue complicates reporting
Post IFRS implementation the instrument will be debt and swap will be effective hedge
Hedge achieved through offsetting USD capital invested in UK/US
Swap put in place for risk management but not given hedge treatment
Typically swapped into NZD
Mark to market of swap will impact NPAT until 1 Oct 2005 (IFRS transition date) but we will isolate from cash earnings. Revaluation of the hedge taken through the non-interest income line.
Issued in USD (525m) and funds used in NZ (NZD)
2004 Trust Preferred Securities
USD issues accounted for as equity, no hedge accounting available
Sufficient capital deployed to offshore branches for commercial and regulatory purposes providing natural hedge
Historical practice
2,559Cash earnings10MTM TPS Hedge
(154)Preference Dividends164Goodwill amortisation
2,539Net profit after tax
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200465
Basel II progress
• Basel II developments:
- Final accord released end June 2004 –recalibration of factors could still occur
- Start date delayed to 2008
• Westpac will be capable of Basel II reporting by end 2006
• Repeated quantitative impact studies show Westpac’s risk weighted assets falling by at least 25%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Corporate Mortgage Other Retail SME OtherExposure
Group 1 banksWestpac
Proportion of assets across classes
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
Corporate Mortgage Other Retail SME OtherExposure
Group 1 banks
Westpac
Change in RWA under Advanced IRB
Group 1 banks are large, diversified with Tier 1 capital in excess of Euro 3bn
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200466
IFRS – key issues
Significant increase - volatility as mark to market of fund surplus subject to market movements
Moderate increase - volatility moves with economic cycle
High impact - significant volatility if hedge accounting not achieved.
Comments
Bad debt charges
Superannuation
Hedge Accounting
Key areas of impact
• IFRS project costs are within normal compliance spend and arise over 3 years
• Start date for comparatives may be delayed to 1 October 2004 following SEC ruling
• Planning to run the general ledger in parallel for 2005 (and potentially 2006) with only a summarised reconciliation on how pre IFRS reporting matches post IFRS reporting
• Ability to provide multi-year trend information is limited as no comparatives for IAS 32 & 39
• Short to medium term earnings volatility clearly the biggest issue
• We have yet to reach a conclusion on acceptable degrees of earnings volatility
• Preliminary assessment of potential volatility conducted
• Assessing viability and cost/benefit of volatility-mitigating actions e.g. externalising hedges and the investment mix of super fund. 0
51015202530354045
FY 97
1H 98
2H98
1H 99
2H99
1H 00
2H00
1H 01
2H01
1H 02
2H02
1H 03
2H03
1H04
2H04
Bad Debt charge before DPBad Debt charge including DP
Net bad and doubtful debt charges pre and post DP
Basi
s po
ints
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200467
Structured Finance – portfolio
• Westpac conducts certain structured finance transactions with exposure primarily to global financial institutions
• Total portfolio size approx $10.6bn with a mix of asset and liability transactions
• Structured Finance transactions currently under review by the New Zealand Inland Revenue Department (IRD) since late 2003
• Westpac initially sought multiple layers of advice to ensure the transactions conformed with New Zealand tax law and this was confirmed by the IRD in a binding ruling on one transaction Other transactions were modelled on this ruling, and new recent advice confirms earlier view
• On 30 September 2004 Westpac received amended assessments relating to transactions in the 1999 year from the IRD. The maximum tax liability reassessed for the 1999 year is NZ$25m (including interest)
• Should the NZIRD take the same position across all of these transactions for the periods up to and including the year ended 30 September 2004, Westpac has calculated that the maximum potential overall primary tax liability in dispute would be approximately NZ$647m (tax effected) including interest
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200468
Structured Finance – portfolio
• On 21 September 2004 the NZ government announced a change in taxation rules with the introduction of a thin capitalisation regime
• New rules specific to banks will deny interest deductions if the Bank does not hold a level of capital equivalent to four percent of New Zealand risk weighted assets
• Change will make current structured finance activities in New Zealand uneconomic (no new transaction done in NZ in over 2 years)
• New rules apply from 1 July 2005
• Impact on Westpac:
-Reduction in NZ Structured Finance revenue going forward, reducing from ~$85m 30 September 04, ~$39m to 30 June 05 and nil in 2006
-Total Structured Finance portfolio revenue $173m at 30 September 04
-Alternate transaction structures in other jurisdictions may see loss of NZ revenue offset by around half by 2006
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200469
Clear and simple strategy
Service – Profit Chain
Customer Focus
Internal Service Quality
Employee Commitment
Employee Retention
Employee Productivity
Superior Customer
Experience
Customer Satisfaction
Customer Loyalty
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Shareholder Value
Strategy Outcomes
Medium termObjectives
� Best practice employee commitment
� Service leadership in our industry
� Top quartile shareholder returns
� Leader in corporate responsibility
Employee Customer Shareholder
How?Differentiator: Superior
ExecutionOur high performanceculture:�Quality people�Effective people &
performance mgt processes
�Values
Vision
“To be a great Australian and NZ Company”
� A great place to work� A superior customer
experience� 1st quartile shareholder
returns� A good corporate citizen
Mission“To be at the forefront for service in our industry by
September 2005”
ValuesTeamwork
IntegrityPerformance
‘Ask Once’
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200470
Improving sustainability – staff, customers, community
Number 1 In the global banking sector 2004/2005 – for third consecutive year
Australia - Number 1 company overall – only company to receive a AAA rating.
GovernanceMetrics International – One of 22 (out of 2,100) companies globally to achieve a top 10.0 score for corporate governance
Leadership (%)Westpac senior leadership provides a clear sense of direction - % favourable
Consumer satisfaction% of main financial institution customers very or fairly satisfied quarterly moving average
55
60
65
70
75
2000 2001 2002 2003
WBC Peer Avg
30
40
50
60
70
80
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200471
Strategic options
Keep open mind but low probability
• No compelling offshore competitive advantage• Low synergies• Learn from other’s mistakes
International expansion
Maintain watching brief• No major capability gaps• Very limited opportunity to generate value at
current prices• Disciplined adherence to criteria has served us
well-Aligned with strategic direction -Strict valuation criteria-Not unduly diverting
Acquisition
StatusCommentsOption
• Aust/NZ lowest risk and highest value available• Significant opportunities still remain within
existing customer franchise• No diversion risk
Aggressively pursueOrganic growth
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200472
An experienced executive team
Joined Westpac 1982, Appointed CFO in Feb 2001. Previously Deputy CFO and has held CFO roles in both retail and institutional banking
Jan 2001Chief Financial OfficerPhilip Chronican
BiographyDate joined Group
Executive
TitleName
Mar 1999
Apr 2002
Jan 2002
May 2002
Jul 2000
Nov 2002
Oct 1990
Group Executive New Zealand & Pacific Banking
Group Executive Business and Consumer Banking
Group Executive Business & Technology Solutions & Services
Group Executive Westpac Institutional Bank
Chief Executive Officer BT Financial Group
Group Executive People and Performance
Chief Executive Officer
Joined Westpac in 1994, in current role since October 2002. Ann has headed People and Performance for the Group and was CEO Bank of Melbourne following the Merger in 1997
Ann Sherry
Joined Westpac in April 2002 as Group Executive New Zealand & Pacific Banking. Appointed to current role in August 2002. Extensive experience in retail banking including CEO Australian Financial Services for National Australia Bank and CEO Bank of New Zealand
Mike Pratt
Joined Westpac to current role in January 2002. Michael has 30 years experience in Information Technology covering a broad range of industries
Michael Coomer
Joined Westpac 1996, in current role since 2002. Previously with AIDC, Citicorp Global Asset Management and Citigroup
Philip Coffey
Joined Westpac 2000, and appointed to current role September 2000. Prior to that headed the Australian Business & Consumer Bank. Before joining Westpac was an Executive Director of Lend Lease and CEO of MLC Ltd
David Clarke1
Joined Westpac 2000, as Group Secretary and General Counsel. Previously Partner of a Major Law firm, Mallesons Stephen Jaques. In current role since 2002
Ilana Atlas
Joined 1990, CEO since 1999. Headed all major business units in Westpac prior to CEO appointment in March 1999. Extensive prior experience in financial sector including in the IMF and the Australian Federal Treasury
David Morgan
1. David Clarke will be leaving Westpac in Feb 2005 and Rob Coombe has been appointed to take over as CEO BT
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200473
Australian and New Zealand economic outlook
Key economic indicators
2.84.7GDP3.84.2Unemployment
Australia3.33.7GDP5.75.7Unemployment
New Zealand
World (Calendar year)4.04.5GDP
Jun 05%Financial year ended Jun 04
%
• Australia and New Zealand economic fundamentals sound:
- Solid domestic demand- Low unemployment
• Business surveys continue to paint a positive outlook
• Further slight rise in interest rates not expected in Australia until 2005
Source: Westpac
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
Private demand Net Exports GDP
Perc
enta
ge p
oint
con
tribu
tion
2002 2003
2004f 2005f
Key contributors to Australian GDP (%)
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200474
Credit growth expected to ease as housing cools
-8
-4
0
4
8
12
16
20
24
Sep-90 Sep-92 Sep-94 Sep-96 Sep-98 Sep-00 Sep-02 Sep-04-8
-4
0
4
8
12
16
20
24
Housing Business Total (Aust)Total credit average Total Housing average
Forecasts (To Sep 2005)
Source: RBA, Westpac
Australian credit growth (%)
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200475
Credit growth and nominal non-farm GDP
• Credit growth has historically tracked the direction of nominal GDP growth but with a multiplier of around 1.5 times
• Currently credit growth is tracking above this long term trend at twice nominal GDP
• Looking forward, credit growth is expected to remain higher than nominal GDP but moderate to be more in line with this longer term trend
-4
0
4
8
12
16
20
Jun-
80
Jun-
84
Jun-
88
Jun-
92
Jun-
96
Jun-
00
Jun-
04
% ann
-6
0
6
12
18
24
30% ann
nominal non-farmGDP (lhs)credit (rhs)
Source: ABS, RBA
Credit growth and nominal GDP
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200476
Supportive credit quality environment
• Forward indicators of credit quality remain strong
- Unemployment at generational low
- Consumer confidence is at a decade high, households positive about their finances
- Robust corporate profits
- Comfortable levels of business gearing
- No major corporate defaults
- Low delinquency rates across portfolio
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Sep-86 Sep-89 Sep-92 Sep-95 Sep-98 Sep-01 Sep-04
% index
Unemployment rate (lhs)Source: ABS, Westpac-MI
Households ‘stress’ not apparent
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
Mar-89 Mar-92 Mar-95 Mar-98 Mar-01 Mar-04
%
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8%
Source: ABS
Corporate balance sheets in good shapeDebt to equity ratio
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200477
Known influences on 2005 earnings
• Lower credit growth• Income loss from NZ structured finance. Impact expected to be $20m
to $40 in 2005 depending on alternative transactions• Continuing competition – particularly in deposits
5-8Interest Income
29-31
25-35 bps
2-4
5-9
Medium term ranges
(%)
• Nothing to suggest would be outside current range
• Current environment suggests we will continue to be at the bottom of the range
• Compliance project spend increasing• Higher superannuation charges• Increased amortisation of capitalised software• Sticking to 2-4% target, although likely to be at top of range
• Cards impact will not be repeated• Financial markets environment more stable
Specific influences in 2005
Bad Debts
Tax Rate
Expenses
Non-Interest Income
Conversion to IFRS likely to alter the treatment of key drivers and broaden the range of outcomes in any one yearNB: This is not earnings guidance
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200478
Where are the risks?
Risk Probability of occurrence
• Further intensified competition Medium
• Impact of new entrants Medium
• Housing market collapse Low
• Blow-out in bad debts Low
• Greater than expected funds outflows Low
• Re-regulation Low
• New wave of corporate collapses Low
• Global economic recession Low
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200479
Positive outlook
• More challenging environment
• Asset quality remaining pristine
• Good earnings momentum across all businesses
• Continue to deliver strong results at the upper end of the sector
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200480
Investor relations contacts
Westpac’s Investor Relations Team
Andrew Bowden 61 2 9226 [email protected]
Hugh Devine 61 2 9226 [email protected]
Suzanne Evans 61 2 9226 [email protected]
Natasha O’Reilly 61 2 9226 [email protected]
AddressLevel 2560 Martin PlaceSydney NSW 2000AustraliaFax 61 2 9226 1539
For further information on Westpac including:
• Annual reports• Financial result announcements• Presentations and webcasts• Corporate history• Key policies
Please visit our dedicated investor website
www.westpac.com.au/investorcentre
Presentation Title & Date Investor Discussion Pack November 200481
Disclaimer
The material contained in this presentation is intended to be general background information on Westpac Banking Corporation and its activities.
The information is supplied in summary form and is therefore not necessarily complete. Also, it is not intended that it be relied upon as advice to investors or potential investors, who should consider seeking independent professional advice depending upon their specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs.
The financial information contained in this presentation includes
non-GAAP financial measures. For a reconciliation of these measures to the most comparable GAAP measure, please refer to financial statements filed with the Securities Exchange Commission and Australian Stock Exchange.