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Investment Climate and FDI in Developing Countries: Firm-Level Evidence Tidiane KINDA* CERDI-CNRS, Université d’Auvergne This draft (February 2008) Abstract This paper shows that investment climate constraints jeopardize Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) using firm level data for 77 developing countries. Investment climate constraints are characterized firstly by physical and financial infrastructure problems and secondly by including human capital constraints and institutional problems. The main results are robust to alternative definition of FDI, introduction of additional explanatory variables, and some breakdown analyses (exporter versus non exporter firms, different sectors of activity and comparison between Sub-Saharan Africa and other developing countries). Keywords: FDI, Investment climate, Firm level data, Developing countries. E-mail : [email protected] *The author is grateful to Leandre Bassole, Jean Louis Combes, Alain de Janvry, Elisabeth Sadoulet, Luc Desire Omgba and participants at the Joint Doctoral Seminar organized by CERDI, Université d’Auvergne and CES Université de Paris I-Sorbonne.

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Page 1: Investment Climate and FDI in Developing Countries: Firm ...economics.ca/2008/papers/0339.pdf · Investment Climate and FDI in Developing Countries: Firm-Level Evidence Tidiane KINDA*

Investment Climate and FDI in Developing Countries: Firm-Level Evidence

Tidiane KINDA*

CERDI-CNRS, Université d’Auvergne

This draft (February 2008)

Abstract

This paper shows that investment climate constraints jeopardize Foreign Direct

Investment (FDI) using firm level data for 77 developing countries. Investment climate

constraints are characterized firstly by physical and financial infrastructure problems and secondly

by including human capital constraints and institutional problems. The main results are robust to

alternative definition of FDI, introduction of additional explanatory variables, and some

breakdown analyses (exporter versus non exporter firms, different sectors of activity and

comparison between Sub-Saharan Africa and other developing countries).

Keywords: FDI, Investment climate, Firm level data, Developing countries.

E-mail : [email protected] *The author is grateful to Leandre Bassole, Jean Louis Combes, Alain de Janvry, Elisabeth Sadoulet, Luc Desire Omgba and participants at the Joint Doctoral Seminar organized by CERDI, Université d’Auvergne and CES Université de Paris I-Sorbonne.

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Introduction

Although the last two decades have been marked by a surge of private capital flows to

developing countries, developed countries remain the first destination for Foreign Direct

Investment (FDI). In the developing world, some countries succeed in attracting foreign capital

while others are more marginalized. Even if there is some evidence of its negative effects, FDI is

recognized to have beneficial effects on local firms and the economy at large. For instance, FDI

gives more resources, facilitates technological and managerial knowledge transfers to the host

countries, develops their international import and export network, creates new job opportunities,

and promotes economic growth. Why are some countries more attractive to FDI than others?

This is an important issue in economics, business and politics for which it is important to analyze

and understand the forces driving FDI location.

A complete and often used conceptualization of FDI determinants is the Eclectic

paradigm (Dunning, 1980, 1993). This paradigm provides a framework that groups micro and

macro level determinants in order to analyze why and where Multinational Enterprises (MNEs)

invest abroad. This framework is based on Ownership, Location and Internalization advantages

known as OLI. Our study focus on the location aspect of OLI framework according to which

MNEs invest in a foreign country in order to get advantages based on location (lower factor cost,

lower trade cost, etc.). There are three major reasons why a firm invests abroad following the

location advantage of the OLI framework. The first one is to exploit and export natural resources

and resource-based products. The motivation of these resource-based investments is mainly

resource availability. The second reason is to supply the domestic market of the recipient country

through an affiliate: Horizontal FDI (HFDI). In this case of market-oriented investment, gains in

trade costs and strategic advantages (intangible assets) should be important compared to the cost

of setting up a new plant. The third reason of FDI is to delocalize all or a portion of the

production process (production of components, and increasingly service activities such as call

centers) in order to benefit from low cost: Vertical FDI (VFDI). This kind of FDI probably

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occurs when firms can break down their production process into different parts and different

locations according to factor costs in these locations. The determinants of vertical and horizontal

FDI thus differ, and the effects of the same variables can also be different according to the type

of FDI. A typical example is trade cost which positively affects HFDI and negatively VFDI.

Since it is very difficult to divide data into VFDI and HFDI, most studies use the aggregate FDI

with empirical analyses giving some average effects. Our study follows this pattern firstly and

then distinguishes the two types of FDI.

The question of what factors determine the location of FDI has received a much

attention in the literature. Most of the studies on FDI location using micro-level data focused on

variables such as R&D, factor cost differences, advertising expenditures, wages, trade cost,

market size or taxation (Disdier and Mayer 2004, Carr et al. 2001, Yeaple 2003, Hanson et al.

2001). These predictors are intuitive since these studies have focused on developed countries

(except China). For example, the availability of cheap labor or a large local market may be

important factors attracting foreign investment. However with the presence of deficient

infrastructure (road, electricity and telecommunication), high financing constraints, weak

institutions or lack of skilled labor as in some developing countries, these countries may not

necessarily exhibit the most attractive investment environment.

The role good institutions play in attracting FDI to developing countries is crucial. The

probability that foreign investors get return of their investments is fundamental in their decision

to invest in a country or not. Secure property rights, political stability and lack of corruption

allow markets to properly function, therefore attracting MNEs (Urata and Kawai 2000, Disdier

and Mayer 2004, Du et al. 2007). It is generally believed that the availability of skilled workers

positively affects developing countries’ attractiveness to foreign capital. In reality, according to

the type of FDI (Vertical FDI or Horizontal FDI), MNEs look for unskilled cheap labor or

skilled more expensive labor force. Yeaple (2003) finds that U.S. MNEs that invest in skilled

labor-abundant countries are skill-intensive industries while countries with a low-skilled labor

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force receive more non-skilled intensive MNEs. Urata and Kawai (2000) and Fung et al. (2002)

get similar results.

Most of FDI location studies using firm level data in developing countries have focused

on China. This paper introduces firm level data for a large sample of developing countries in

order to assess the determinants of FDI with a focus on infrastructure, institution and human

capital. Contrary to other studies (except studies on US affiliates), this paper considers foreign

affiliates located in developing countries. The main results show that physical infrastructure

problems, financing constraints, and institutional problems discourage FDI to developing

countries, and especially to Sub-Saharan African countries.

The remainder of the paper is structured as follows. The first part reviews the theoretical

relationship between physical infrastructure, financial development and FDI location. The second

part presents descriptive and statistical analyses. The third part is devoted to econometric

analyses and results. The last part offers conclusions.

I. Physical Infrastructure, Financial Development and FDI

Well-developed infrastructure is critical to attract capital and promote economic growth.

Infrastructure availability is one of the key elements needed to run efficient business. In

manufacturing or services, good provision of infrastructure reduces transaction costs by allowing

entrepreneurs to easily connect with their suppliers and customers. A great number of studies in

developing countries have shown the importance of infrastructure for private capital

attractiveness using aggregated country level data (Asiedu, 2002; Ngowi, 2001). Most of the

studies that use disaggregated data to explore how infrastructure affects FDI location in

developing countries have focused on China and its provinces. (Cheng and Kwan 2000, Sun et al.

2002, World Bank 2006). A small number of studies include developing countries other than

China. Urata and Kawai (2000), based on Japanese Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs)

location find that infrastructure is particularly important for developing countries FDI

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attractiveness. Deichmann et al. (2003) in a study of 293 foreign firms location in Turkey find

that infrastructure development increases the probability of MNE location.

Do foreign firms need locally developed financial services? This question has not been

paid particular attention in the literature compared to other determinants of FDI location (wages,

market size, etc.). The importance of financial services for foreign firms is double. Like local

firms, foreign firms can use financial services for overdraft facilities, loans or payment to their

suppliers of intermediate goods. A developed financial market also facilitates financial

transactions between foreign firms and their customers and employees in the host country. In

general, financial development is also an engine of economic growth, providing better business

opportunities for customers and local and foreign firms. Few studies have linked FDI location to

financial development in developing countries and these studies in general find that financial

development encourages FDI (Jensink and Thomas 2002, Deichmann et al. 2003).

Dollar et al. (2006) analyze the importance of investment climate on export and FDI

probability for eight Latin American and Asian countries using firm level data. Their conclusions

are drawn for all investment climate variables together, which include physical and financial

infrastructure variables without giving specific effect of a particular variable. The authors

conclude that better investment climate in general encourages FDI.

II. Data and descriptive statistics

The data are drawn from enterprise surveys1 in developing countries conducted by the

World Bank. The surveys’ year ranges from 2000 to 2006 depending on the country. This analysis

includes 77 developing countries and 33,604 firms including 4,660 foreign firms. The dependent

variable (FDI) takes the value 1 if at least 10% of firm’s capital is foreign (following the IMF

standard of FDI definition) and 0 otherwise. The explanatory variables of first interest (physical

1 The enterprise surveys are the Investment Climate Analysis (ICA) and the Business Environment and Enterprise

Productivity Survey (BEEPS). For each country, the survey has been carried out between 2000 and 2006.

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and financial infrastructure) include firm’s judgement of transport, electricity, and access to

finance problems. They also account for financial development through the share of informal

sources of financing (money lender, family and friends) in firms’ working capital (accounts

receivable, inventories and cash). As physical infrastructure variables, we also retain firms’ use of

e-mail and internet in their interactions with clients and suppliers giving an idea of firms’ access

to telecommunication. In accordance with the theory, some control variables (institutional

problems; lack of skilled workers; agglomeration, age and size effects) are included2. Appendix 1

gives the name and definition of all variables.

The proportion of foreign investors varies according to the sector3 (figure 1). High values

sectors such as electronics, metal and machinery, chemicals and pharmaceutics may attract more

foreign investors compared to other sectors in developing countries. Beyond the expected profits

in these sectors, they require a large amount of investment during set-up and operation. In this

sample, 43% of firms in the electronics sector and 19% in the chemicals and pharmaceutics

sectors are partly or fully-owned by foreign investors. Other sectors have on average 13% of

foreign firms except the leather sector in which firms are 96% locally owned.

2 Explanatory variables have been chosen for their economic relevance but also according to their number of non

missing values.

3 The sectors include in this analysis are textile, leather, garment, agroindustry (including food and beverage), metal &

machinery (including automobile), electronics, chemicals & pharmaceutics, wood & furniture (including paper), non-

metallic & plastic materials, retails & wholesale trade and services (excluding retail).

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Figure 1: Share (%) of Foreign Firms by Sector

0

10

20

30

40

50

Leat

her

Wood

and

Fur

niture

Garm

ents

Textile

Servic

es (r

etail

exc

lude

d)

Agroi

ndus

try

Non-m

etall

ic & p

lastic

mat

.

Retail

and

who

lesale

trade

Met

al and

Mac

hiner

y

Chem

icals

and P

harm

aceu

tics

Electro

nics

Foreign and local firms in developing countries face many constraints when investing,

operating or expanding a business. According to firms perceptions in the enterprise surveys,

financing is ranked as the most important investment climate constraint for firms (local and

foreign), and foreign firms locate more where financing constraints are low (figure 2 and 3).

Figure 2: Ranking of Investment Climate Constraints

(all firms)

Figure 3: Foreign Ownership and Financing Constraint

0 0,5 1 1,5 2

Finance

Tax

Corruption

Crime and disorder

Skills of w orkers

Electricity

Trade regulation

Labor regulations

0 0,05 0,1 0,15 0,2

No obstacle

Minor obstacle

Moderateobstacle

Major obstacle

Very SevereObstacle

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The interest variables (physical infrastructure constraints approximated by

telecommunication problems and financing constraints approximated by the use of informal

finance) are more objective variables compared to enterprises perception of constraints used in

figure 2 and 3. Using these “more objective” variables, the following graphs (figure 4 and 5)

highlight the fact that foreign firms (FDI) locate less where telecommunication problems are

higher and also where firms rely more on informal source of financing (friends, family) for their

business.

Figure 4: Telecom Problems and FDI Figure 5 : Informal Finance and FDI

0,0

0,2

0,4

0,6

No Yes

FDI

Tel

ecom

pro

blem

s

0,0

2,0

4,0

6,0

No Yes

FDI

Info

rmal

fina

nce

A deeper analysis based on econometric estimations and including control variables is

needed to go beyond these basic findings.

III. Econometric analysis

III.1. Estimation

Contrary to classic FDI location studies which consider the different possible location of

affiliates for each MNE, our study takes the side of all affiliates in a country. In former studies,

the dependent variable takes the value of 1 if the MNE chose the country as location of its

affiliate and 0 for other alternative locations. Most of the time, alternative locations are restricted

to a group of countries because of data availability or aim of the study. This implies exclusion of

some alternative locations which can lead to bias. In this study, we take the entire sample of firms

in one country and compute the probability for each firm to be foreign, given the characteristics

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of different regions in the country. We expect that countries, and within a country, regions with a

better investment climate attract relatively more foreign firms given their better profit potential.

The equation to be estimated can be written as:

1 2 3 4ijk ijk ijk i j ijkFDI X Z V Uβ β β β ε= + + + +

FDIijk indicated if firm k in country i and sector j is foreign owned or local. Xijk is a

matrix including structural problems (physical and financial infrastructure problems, lack of

human capital and low quality of institutions). Zijk is a matrix of other determinants of firm

location (agglomeration effects, taxes, trade regulations or firms’ specific factors such as size or

age). By including Vi and Uj that are respectively country and sector fixed-effects, we explain the

regional variation.

The explanatory variables of the probability that a given firm is foreign or local are firm

level information or firms’ perception of investment climate constraints. More productive or

efficient firms (in general, foreign firms) can have a smaller feeling of investment climate

constraints compared to less productive firms (in general, local firms). The “same” investment

climate can then be assessed differently according to firms’ performances and resources. The

perception data can also be sources of measurement errors. These can lead to endogeneity, so we

define instruments that are the sector-region averages for each endogenous variable4. We also

consider the sector-region average of the fact that the firms’ annual financial statements are

reviewed or not by an external auditor as an instrument for the financial infrastructure variable.

Enterprise surveys include many variables explaining the same phenomena. One example

are variables related to financing constraints that include access to financing as collateral

requirement and, access to financing as the share of firms’ working capital from friends and

informal sources. All of these variables introduced together in one regression can lead to

colinearity problems and lower significance of some variables. One possible solution is the

4 We make sure to get a sufficient number of firms for each region in each sector.

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generation of aggregated indices or choosing just one variable per phenomena. We use Principal

Component Analysis (PCA) and standardization methods to generate the aggregated indices5.

III.2. Results

First, we estimate the impact of an index of physical and financial infrastructure on the

probability for a country to receive FDI (1). We then consider physical infrastructure index

separately from financial infrastructure index (2) and after one variable for each type of

infrastructure (3).

5 Standardization method is similar to PCA but it gives the same weight to all components of the index. Physical

infrastructure index includes firms’ perception of transport and electricity problems as well as telecommunication

opportunities (expressed by firms’ use of e-mail and website in their interaction with their clients and suppliers).

Financial development index includes firms’ perception of access to financing problems and the share of financing

from informal sources (money lender, family and friends) in firms’ working capital.

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Table 1: Basic model with infrastructure variables

Dependant variable : FDI

(1) (2) (3)

2SLS IV FE Logit 2SLS IV FE Logit 2SLS IV FE Logit

Age -0.002 -0.002 [0.98] -0.002 -0.002 [0.98] -0.002 -0.002 [0.98] (8.09)*** (12.83)*** (8.33)*** (13.55)*** (7.42)*** (11.04)***

Size (20-99 employees) 0.043 0.047 [1.63] 0.044 0.049 [1.66] 0.028 0.033 [1.43] (5.53)*** (9.16)*** (5.11)*** (9.75)*** (3.30)*** (6.05)***

Size (>=100 employees) 0.153 0.140 [3.33] 0.163 0.156 [3.73] 0.129 0.110 [2.69] (9.57)*** (18.75)*** (9.41)*** (20.87)*** (7.74)*** (12.93)***

Agglomeration 0.000 0.000 [1.00] -0.000 0.000 [1.00] 0.000 0.000 [1.00] (0.34) (1.53) (0.04) (0.31) (0.27) (1.95)*

Infrastructure problems -0.136 -0.123 [0.25] (11.10)*** (18.79)***

Physical Infrast. problems -0.265 -0.235 [0.07] (9.91)*** (16.38)***

Financial Infrast. problems -0.026 -0.026 [0.74] (2.60)*** (3.81)***

Telecom problems -0.246 -0.218 [0.09] (9.68)*** (18.37)***

Informal finance -0.001 -0.001 [0.98] (3.15)*** (3.85)***

Observations 33604 33604 33604 33604 33604 33604 Number of countries 77 77 77 77 77 77 R²/Pseudo R² 0.05 0.10 0.05 0.11 0.05 0.10 % of correct prediction 70.63 70.71 70.62

Weak instrument diagnostic Infrastructure/Physical Infrast. Partial R² 0.10 0.03 0.11 Shea partial R² 0.10 0.03 0.11 Partial F 3247.4 190.4 2822.65 [p-value] [0.000] [0.000] [0.000]

Financial Infrast. Partial R² 0.08 0.08 Shea partial R² 0.08 0.08 Partial F 1672.8 61309.5 [p-value] [0.000] [0.000]

Cragg-Donald Stat. 1972.6 374.0 987.6 Critical value (10%) 19.93 13.43 13.43 Clustered z statistics (absolute value) at country level in parentheses All regressions include country and sector fixed effects. The reference for size dummies is small size (less than 20 employees) For logit regression, bootstrapped (with 100 replications) z statistics clustered at country level in parentheses Coefficients reported for logit regression are marginal effects. Next to marginal effects, odds ratios are reported in brackets. * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1% First-stage regressions (not reported for conciseness) are available upon request.

The instrumental logit fixed effect (IV FE logit) estimations imply two stages procedures

leading to consistent parameters but incorrect estimated variances. Through resampling based on

the sample data, we approximate the standard errors by the bootstrap method to obtain proper

standard errors which are reported. Attention is also given to linear probability models which

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despite some disadvantages approximate well logit specification and allow more flexible handling

of the unobservable heterogeneity and weak instruments diagnostic. Since the explanatory

variables include firms’ perceptions or based on firms’ answers, endogenous issues are serious as

discussed above. The validity of the results depends on the quality of instruments used to address

endogeneity. As instruments diagnostic tests, we rely on some statistics of the first stage estimates

(partial R², Shea partial R², partial F statistic and Cragg-Donald weak instrument test). The

correlations between endogenous variables and excluded instruments are confirmed by the partial

R², which are above zero. Since we have more than one endogenous variable in some cases,

comparison between the standard partial R² and Shea partial R² which take into account the

correlation between instruments can be relevant. These two measures are similar in our case,

indicating low correlation between instruments and therefore no concern as indicated by Baum,

Schaffer and Stillman (2003). In addition, we obtain large and significant F statistics in the first

stage regressions6. A growing weak instrument test in the literature is the comparison of Cragg-

Donald statistics to critical values computed by Stock and Yogo (2004). Our computed Cragg-

Donald statistics are far higher than the Sotck and Yogo critical values, indicating the absence of

the weak instruments problem.

Including only firm level determinants (age and size) and agglomeration effect variable,

basic regressions linking infrastructure problems variables (aggregated indices as well as individual

variables) to FDI show a strong negative relation. These regressions include only the first interest

variables but the theoretical background underlined the importance of other structural factors

such as institutional quality and skilled worker availability. The following estimations take these

additional factors into account and then assess the validity of the preceding results.

6 These statistics are more relevant for the two first estimations in which only one variable is endogenous.

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Table 2: Basic model including other structural factors

Dependant variable : FDI

(1) (2) (3)

2SLS IV FE Logit 2SLS IV FE Logit 2SLS IV FE Logit

Age -0.002 -0.002 [0.98] -0.002 -0.002 [0.98] -0.002 -0.001 [0.98] (7.92)*** (13.00)*** (8.03)*** (12.5)*** (7.48)*** (11.33)***

Size (20-99 employees) 0.040 0.044 [1.59] 0.038 0.043 [1.57] 0.028 0.033 [1.42] (4.91)*** (7.89)*** (4.44)*** (7.64)*** (3.25)*** (5.90)***

Size (>=100 employees) 0.147 0.133 [3.18] 0.150 0.138 [3.31] 0.128 0.109 [2.69] (9.08)*** (14.64)*** (8.95)*** (17.28)*** (7.78)*** (12.96)***

Agglomeration 0.000 0.000 [1.00] -0.000 -0.000 [1.00] 0.000 0.000 [1.00] (0.31) (1.04) (0.10) (0.83) (0.33) (2.05)**

Infrastructure problems -0.138 -0.125 [0.25] (11.15)*** (17.51)***

Physical Infrast. problems -0.254 -0.225 [0.08] (10.13)*** (19.52)***

Financial Infrast. problems

-0.038 -0.036 [0.67]

(3.88)*** (5.65)***

Telecom problems -0.251 -0.223 [0.08] (9.62)*** (15.80)***

Informal finance -0.001 -0.001 [0.99] (3.21)*** (3.30)***

Skilled labor problems 0.019 0.013 [1.16] 0.043 0.036 [1.49] -0.002 -0.006 [0.94] (1.76)* (2.64)*** (3.30)*** (6.37)*** (0.23) (1.11)

Crime and disorder 0.000 0.001 [1.01] 0.031 0.027 [1.36] -0.022 -0.019 [0.80] (0.05) (0.11) (2.88)*** (4.88)*** (2.48)** (3.96)***

Observations 33604 33604 33604 33604 33604 33604 Number of countries 77 77 77 77 77 77 R²/Pseudo R² 0.05 0.10 0.05 0.11 0.05 0.11 % of correct prediction 70.60 70.78 70.75

Weak instruments diagnostic†

Infrastructure/Physical Infrast. Partial R² 0.11 0.05 0.12 Shea partial R² 0.11 0.04 0.11 Partial F 1610 163 1687 [p-value] [0.000] [0.000] [0.000]

Financial Infrast. Partial R² 0.08 0.08 Shea partial R² 0.08 0.08 Partial F 1099 38206 [p-value] [0.000] [0.000]

Cragg-Donald Stat. 790.9 271.8 590.1 Clustered z statistics (absolute value) at country level in parentheses. All regressions include country and sector fixed effects. The reference for size dummies is small size (less than 20 employees). For logit regression, bootstrapped (with 100 replications) z statistics clustered at country level in parentheses. Coefficients reported for logit regression are marginal effects. Next to marginal effects, odds ratios are reported in brackets. * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1%. † The weak instruments diagnostic tests of other variables (skilled worker problems and crime or disorder) not reported here give partial and Shea partial R² between 0.08 and 0.10 and large F-statistics (far above 10) even if the latter statistics in our cases may not be very relevant for weak instrument diagnostic. Stock and Yogo critical values are available for up to three endogenous regressors. First-stage regressions (not reported for conciseness) are available upon request.

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Taking into account institutional problems and human capital constraints lead to similar

results for the variables of interest (physical and financial infrastructure). We consider firms’

perception of crime, theft and disorder as a variable for institutional quality and for human capital

variable, we retain firms’ perception of skills and education of available workers. The endogeneity

problem explained above for the interest variables also hold here. Hence, each variable is

instrumented by its sector-region average.

The results show that on average, larger and younger firms are more likely to be foreign.

The agglomeration effect which captures the positive or negative externalities of the number of

foreign firms in one area in the same sector has no effect. Focusing on the interest variables, we

find that the index of physical and financial infrastructure problems negatively and significantly

affects FDI. These results hold using one index by type of infrastructure (physical and financial)

or individual variables. The results are also similar in terms of sign and significance for the two

estimation methods (instrumental variables with fixed-effect logit and simple instrumental

variables approach). Regions with better access to telecommunications, or better access to formal

credit (through the banking system) attract more foreign investments. Indeed, additional

infrastructure problem reduces the odds of receiving FDI by 75%. A breakdown of the general

infrastructure index shows that an additional physical infrastructure problem decreases the

chance of receiving FDI by 92% while the same marginal increase in financial infrastructure

problems reduces the chance of attracting FDI by 33%. Similar conclusions are found with

individual variables for both types of infrastructure. Availability of good roads and transport

facilities, secure provision of electricity and a well-functioning telecommunications system thus

allow and encourage economic activities, especially industrial activities, attracting foreign firms.

Financing opportunities for firms and consumers in local credit markets also encourage foreign

firms to take advantage of these credit possibilities when setting up, operating, or expanding their

business.

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The additional structural factors (availability of skilled workers and institutional problems)

seem to have a role in FDI attractiveness. Problems regarding the availability of skilled workers

have a positive effect on FDI using aggregated infrastructure indices. Even if this finding is not

robust to different specifications (with non aggregated infrastructure variables), the vertical FDI

theory which states that firms look for cheap low-skilled workers in developing countries support

this result. The effect of institutional problems (crime, theft and disorder) is unstable across the

specifications. We will be back to these two variables (human capital and institution) in the

robustness check.

III.3. Deeper Analyses and Robustness Checks7

FDI theory defines two major types of FDI (vertical and horizontal) with different

motives and therefore different determinants. Using the share of exports in firms’ sales, a

breakdown analysis between exporting and non-exporting firms helps to get a deeper

understanding of the importance of infrastructure for each type of FDI. According to the

structure of ownership, foreign firms’ criteria to invest in a country could differ. Foreign firms

may prefer a joint venture with local partners in order to reduce risk when investing in a foreign

country. Even with the inclusion of sector fixed effects in all regressions, a breakdown analysis by

sector gives a more complete picture of the importance of infrastructure for manufacturing

sector compared to services or the effect of infrastructure across the heterogeneous

manufacturing sector. Another robustness check assesses the validity of the results after inclusion

of additional explanatory variables reflecting institutions, taxes, regulation policies and market

size. The last robustness check compares the poorest group of countries (Sub Saharan Africa) to

the rest of the developing countries and analyzes heterogeneity in the impact of structural

variables across countries.

7 Only 2SLS regressions results which are similar (sign and significance) to those obtained with logit specification are

reported for these deeper analyses and robustness checks.

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16

Breakdown by export status: Exporter versus non exporter firms

This breakdown allows testing for the difference between local market-oriented FDI

(horizontal FDI) and export-oriented FDI (vertical FDI) and assessing how investment climate

affects horizontal FDI versus vertical FDI8. As suggested by the theory, horizontal FDI is more

affected by market potential and vertical FDI by factor costs (mainly unit labor cost or wage).

Considering the breakdown by FDI type, the results show that physical infrastructure and

financial development are important, both for the attractiveness of exporter foreign firms or

foreign firms which sale their production locally. Foreign firms exporting their production are

more affected by telecommunication problems compared to firms supplying the local market

(appendix 3). These results indicate that infrastructure problems are serious obstacles. For

example, telecommunication problems may impede interactions between suppliers and their

customers. Lack of financial development affects firms and the economy in general as explained

in the theoretical section. Foreign firms selling their productions locally are therefore more

affected by financing constraints compared to firms exporting their production as shown by the

results. Indeed, exporter and non-exporter foreign firms support the financing constraints during

the production process but non-exporter firms also support the financing constraints of the

economy in general which affect their clients. Exporter firms are also more affected by skilled

worker shortage compared to firms supplying the local market when institutional problems

(disorder, crime and theft) affect both groups of firms. These results are similar with exporter

firms defined as firms exporting at least 10% of their production or as firms exporting any part of

their production.

8 This paper has the strength to address this issue even if some aspects of the breakdown (direction of affiliate sales

which are not available in our data) should also be considered.

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Analysis across ownership degree: from local to joint-venture and foreign fully-owned firms

Foreign firms’ location factors may vary with ownership degree. All of the analyses above

were based on a dichotomous variable which takes into account only the fact that the firm is local

or foreign regardless of the degree of foreign ownership which can range from fully local firm to

joint venture and fully foreign firm. This section takes this variability into account and assesses

how investment climate, especially physical and financial infrastructure can affect the degree of

foreign ownership. The hypothesis is that the impact of infrastructure varies and is greater with

ownership degree. Foreign firms may look for a local partner in a joint venture when they plan to

invest in a country with important infrastructure constraints or political instability. Firms’

investments through a joint venture partnership aim to reduce information costs of local market

(in the special case of new firms). To analyze this question, we use 2SLS and two limits tobit with

instrumentation9.

The results show that physical and financial infrastructure problems negatively and

significantly affect foreign ownership. In regions with infrastructure and financing problems,

foreign investors participate less in firms’ capital. The results also highlight that institutional

problems (crime, theft and disorder) reduce the share of foreign participation in firms’ capital

(appendix 3).

Breakdown by sector

Factors influencing firms’ location may vary across sectors. Firms in service sector could

be more attracted by human capital (high skilled workers) availability when manufacturing firms

could be more attracted by good infrastructure provision. The manufacturing sector is also

heterogeneous so that different industries in this aggregated sector could be differently affected

9 This method is more relevant because of the great number of firms which are fully owned by local investors or by

foreign investors leading to an important number of observations in upper and lower limit of the distribution of

foreign ownership variable. Standard OLS would lead to downward bias in the predicted ownership degree.

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18

by the same factors (especially physical and financial infrastructure). All the regressions included

sector fixed-effects in order to take into account this heterogeneity. This section helps to check if

the aggregated (all sectors combined) impact of infrastructure is driven by one or two sectors, or

if all of the sectors show the same pattern in the importance of infrastructure for foreign firms

attractiveness (appendix 4). In most of the sectors, availability of well functioning infrastructure

increases the probability of receiving FDI. Physical and financial infrastructure problems decrease

the probability of receiving FDI in four sectors: textile, garment, metal and machinery and retails.

Foreign firms’ location in agro-industry, electronics, wood & furniture, non metallic & plastic

materials and services sectors are negatively and significantly affected by physical infrastructure

when financial development affects firm location in the leather sector. Only FDI in chemical

sector is not affected by physical infrastructure and financial development. These results show

that infrastructure problems are important constraints regardless of the sectors, and they

highlight the crucial role of physical infrastructure for FDI attractiveness in developing countries.

Additional control variables

As mentioned in previous section of the paper, explanatory variables have been chosen

according to their economic relevance and also considering their number of non missing values.

This robustness check includes a greater number of control variables leading to more missing

values. Firms’ perception of crime, theft and disorder in the preceding regressions (baseline

regression including more structural factors) is replaced by a variable closer to the quality of

institution in line with economic activity: the property right protection10. The additional control

variables are firms’ perceptions of some investment climate constraints. These variables are

consecutively: labor regulation, corruption, customs and trade regulations, tax rates and wages

10 Introduction of property right protection variable leads to bigger missing values compared to the variable of theft,

disorder and crime. This is not a concern in this section since the additional control variables lead to approximately

the same number of missing values.

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19

(appendix 5). The last variable (wages) takes into account the labor cost and is measured by

sector-region averages of wage per employee. The endogeneity problems explained above still

hold for the new control variables. Each variable is then instrumented by its sector-region

average. Additional explanatory variables help also to overcome endogeneity problems due to

omitted variables bias. Including the additional variables cumulatively, physical and financial

infrastructure problems remain significant and negatively affect FDI attractiveness. When

included, corruption and tax rate problems negatively and significantly affect FDI. However

customs and trade regulation problems increase FDI attractiveness. This result is supported by

the horizontal FDI theory. Since horizontal FDI aims to supply the local market, the theory

suggests that trade barriers may be indirect protections for firms located in the country giving

them price advantages.

Sub-Saharan Africa specificity

As mentioned in the literature review, most analyses have focused on either an Asian or

Latin American developing country. The enterprise surveys allow us to perform an analysis

including an important number of African countries, the least developed and the ones with the

highest investment climate constraints. This study thus gives the first picture of FDI location in

Africa using firm level data. Physical infrastructure problems negatively and significantly affect

FDI in Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries and in other developing countries (appendix 6). The

size of this negative impact is very close across the two groups (SSA countries and other

developing countries). Availability of well-functioning telecommunications systems increases the

probability of receiving FDI in SSA and other developing countries. However, lack of financial

development discourages FDI in SSA countries and other developing countries but the size of

the negative effect is bigger for SSA. Thus, an improvement in investment climate with better

access to finance increases more FDI in SSA relatively to other developing countries. Social

instability captured by theft, disorder and crime problems are more relevant for SSA countries in

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20

FDI attractiveness compared to other developing countries even if this factor discourages FDI in

all regions. These results are consistent with expectations, since compared to other developing

countries, many SSA countries are engaged in civil war and violent protests leading sometimes to

crimes and murders. As indicated in previous sections, trade and customs regulations encourage

FDI following horizontal FDI theory. Except in SSA countries, tax rate is an investment climate

constraint that discourages FDI in other developing countries. This finding supports the

theoretical hypothesis according to which tax incentives should have lower impact in developing

countries (compared to developed countries), given their structural problems (infrastructure,

institution, etc.). Since SSA is the less developed of developing countries, tax incentives then have

lower effect in this region compared to other developing countries.

Appendix 7 analyzes the heterogeneity in the impact of major structural factors on FDI

attractiveness at country level. In almost all of the countries, investment climate constraints

(especially physical and financial infrastructure problems) reduce the probability to host foreign

firms. These findings highlight the fact that the results are not driven by particular country or

group of countries.

Conclusions

Foreign direct investment attractiveness is a key issue in economics and business in the

developing and developed world. This paper analyzes how investment climate constraints

jeopardize FDI attractiveness in developing countries. Using firm level data for 77 developing

countries, this paper provides the first empirical analysis of the importance of investment climate

in FDI attractiveness with a large sample of developing countries. For investment climate

constraints, we focused on physical and financial infrastructure problems in addition to human

capital and institutional constraints. The main results show that improving physical and financial

infrastructure increases the probability of receiving a foreign firm (FDI).

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21

A breakdown analysis between exporter and non-exporter firms shows that firms

supplying foreign markets are more affected by physical infrastructure problems but financing

constraints affect more foreign firms supplying local markets. Infrastructure problems remain a

key constraint with alternative definition of foreign ownership, analysis by sector and after

inclusion of additional explanatory variables. Physical infrastructure problems are revealed to be a

major constraint for foreign firms in SSA and other developing countries when financing

constraints are more serious obstacles for foreign firms in African countries. The results also

highlight the importance of institutional quality in attracting FDI to developing countries

especially to Sub Saharan African countries.

When designing their policies to attract foreign investment, developing countries should

pay particular attention to infrastructure (physical and financial) and institutions given the major

role of these factors in FDI attractiveness. These policies should also take into account the

potential negative impacts of FDI on local firms and local economy.

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Appendices

Appendix 1: List of variables

Variable Definitions

FDI Dummy equal 1 if at least 10% of firm capital is foreign Age Firm age Size Firm Size: 3 categories based on permanent & temporary workers Agglomeration Number of foreign firms in same sector and same region Telecom problems 1 Use of e-mail for business with clients & suppliers (dummy variable) Telecom problems 2 Use of website for business with clients & suppliers (dummy variable) Electricity problems Business constraint: electricity Transport problems Business constraint: transport Informal finance problems Informal sources of financing in firms’ working capital Access to finance problems Business constraint: access to finance (e.g. collateral) External auditor Annual financial statement reviewed by external auditor (dummy variable) Skilled labor problems Business constraint: skills of available workers Crime and disorder Business constraint: crime, theft, disorder Property right Confident judicial system will uphold property rights Labor regulation Business constraint: labor regulations Corruption Business constraint: corruption Custom and trade Business constraint: customs and trade regulations Tax rates Business constraint: tax rates Wage Sector-region average wage per employee

Appendix 2: Descriptive statistics

Variable Mean Std. Dev. Minimum Maximum Observation

FDI 0,14 0,35 0 1 33604

Telecom problems 1 1,36 0,48 1 2 33604

Telecom problems 2 1,55 0,50 1 2 33604

Electricity problems 0,87 1,24 0 4 33604

Transport problems 0,62 1,05 0 4 33604

Informal finance problems 5,03 16,72 0 100 33604

Access to finance problems 1,13 1,34 0 4 33604

External auditor 1,49 0,50 1 2 33085

Skilled labor problems 0,92 1,18 0 4 33604

Property right 3,55 1,45 1 6 23500

Labor regulation 0,82 1,15 0 4 32226

Corruption 1,18 1,42 0 4 33145

Custom and trade 0,85 1,22 0 4 31698

Tax rates 1,40 1,39 0 4 33491

Age 17,08 17,50 0 202 33604

Agglomeration 27,04 28,36 0 144 33604

Wage 179,65 4554,57 0 400691 15685

Number of permanent workers 138,26 495,48 0 19047 33471

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26

Appendix 3: Breakdown by export status and foreign ownership

Dependant variable: FDI

Dependant variable: foreign ownership

2SLS 2SLS 2SLS 2SLS 2SLS IV Tobit

(1) (2) (3)

Non-exporter* Exporter Non-exporter Exporter

Telecom problems -0.191 -0.281 -0.187 -0.280 -0.204 -2.843 (7.26)*** (4.59)*** (7.25)*** (4.86)*** (8.51)*** (17.70)***

Informal finance -0.001 -0.003 -0.001 -0.003 -0.001 -0.017 (1.73)* (1.24) (1.58) (1.48) (2.71)*** (3.67)***

Skilled labor problems 0.004 -0.048 0.006 -0.037 -0.003 -0.083 (0.46) (2.50)** (0.78) (1.95)* (0.33) (1.18)

Crime and disorder -0.020 -0.030 -0.018 -0.041 -0.017 -0.222 (2.86)*** (1.27) (2.47)** (2.09)** (2.29)** (3.28)***

Age -0.001 -0.004 -0.001 -0.003 -0.002 -0.018 (5.05)*** (7.87)*** (5.89)*** (6.80)*** (7.63)*** (13.66)***

Size (20-99 employees) 0.020 0.084 0.019 0.070 0.018 0.392 (2.71)*** (4.45)*** (2.57)** (4.34)*** (2.41)** (6.33)***

Size (>=100 employees) 0.078 0.199 0.068 0.178 0.100 1.171 (4.87)*** (9.19)*** (4.14)*** (9.27)*** (6.68)*** (13.51)***

Agglomeration 0.000 -0.000 0.000 -0.000 0.000 0.003 (1.59) (0.50) (1.37) (0.22) (0.39) (3.09)***

Observations 26460 7031 24543 9061 33604 33604 Number of countries 77 77 77 77 77 77

Weak instrument diagnostic+ Telecom problems Partial R² Shea partial R² Partial F p-value

0.11 0.10 1039 [0.000]

0.08 0.08 36 [0.000]

0.10 0.10 884 [0.000]

0.08 0.08 39 [0.000]

0.12 0.11 1687 [0.000]

0.12 0.11 1687 [0.000]

Informal finance Partial R² Shea partial R² Partial F p-value

0.08 0.08 912 [0.000]

0.06 0.06 27 [0.000]

0.08 0.08 771 [0.000]

0.07 0.07 35 [0.000]

0.08 0.08 38206 [0.000]

0.08 0.08 38206 [0.000]

Cragg-Donald Stat. 475.9 77.9 441.6 122.7 590.1 Clustered z statistics (absolute value) at country level in parentheses All regressions include country and sector fixed effects For tobit regression, bootstrapped (with 100 replications) z statistics clustered at country level in parentheses. The tobit regression include countries and sector dummies The reference for size dummies is small size (less than 20 employees) * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1% * Exporter are defined as firms exporting at least 10% of their sales in (1) and as firms exporting any part of their sales in (2). + The weak instruments diagnostic tests of other control variables (additional structural factor: skilled worker problems and crime or disorder) not reported here give partial and Shea partial R² between 0.08 and 0.10 and large F-statistics. First-stage regressions (not reported for conciseness) are available upon request.

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Appendix 4: Estim

ations by sector

Dependant variable : FDI

Textile

Leather

Garm

ent

Agro

Metal & M

ac

Electronics

Chemical

Wood

Non-m

etal.

Retails

Services

Telecom problems

-0.284

0.097

-0.211

-0.241

-0.224

-0.711

-0.066

-0.132

-0.212

-0.245

-0.363

(3.82)***

(1.02)

(2.64)***

(5.92)***

(3.88)***

(2.64)***

(0.78)

(2.21)**

(3.24)***

(6.10)***

(7.11)***

Informal finance

-0.004

0.004

-0.004

0.000

-0.003

-0.005

0.003

0.001

-0.002

-0.002

0.001

(3.92)***

(2.58)***

(5.09)***

(0.14)

(2.17)**

(0.99)

(1.29)

(1.19)

(0.86)

(2.27)**

(0.48)

Skilled labor prob.

-0.047

-0.014

-0.009

-0.015

0.026

0.026

0.069

-0.011

-0.016

0.018

-0.039

(1.20)

(0.41)

(0.34)

(0.73)

(0.83)

(0.19)

(1.72)*

(0.43)

(0.53)

(0.59)

(1.30)

Crime and disorder

0.039

-0.045

-0.067

0.004

-0.025

0.040

-0.019

-0.020

-0.055

-0.002

-0.039

(1.63)

(1.71)*

(1.98)**

(0.29)

(0.85)

(0.65)

(0.41)

(1.32)

(1.56)

(0.08)

(1.38)

Age

-0.002

-0.001

-0.002

-0.001

-0.002

-0.002

0.000

-0.001

0.000

-0.002

-0.002

(2.23)**

(0.92)

(3.55)***

(3.19)***

(5.41)***

(1.17)

(0.38)

(2.37)**

(0.34)

(10.13)***

(5.52)***

Size (20-99 empl.)

0.025

0.089

0.010

0.022

0.046

-0.033

0.055

0.061

0.003

0.034

0.032

(1.29)

(2.84)***

(0.46)

(1.21)

(2.54)**

(0.38)

(2.12)**

(2.60)***

(0.10)

(2.43)**

(1.83)*

Size (>=100 empl.)

0.078

0.125

0.164

0.110

0.187

0.222

0.239

0.147

0.062

0.059

0.059

(1.57)

(2.27)**

(3.89)***

(3.26)***

(6.65)***

(1.62)

(4.87)***

(3.62)***

(1.25)

(2.52)**

(1.87)*

Agglomeration

-0.001

0.004

-0.000

0.000

-0.001

-0.002

0.000

0.000

-0.001

0.001

0.001

(1.43)

(2.69)***

(0.30)

(1.84)*

(1.24)

(3.48)***

(0.19)

(0.15)

(2.49)**

(2.84)***

(1.72)*

Weak instrument

diagnostic+

Cragg-Donald Stat. 16.3

3.0

24.0

74.7

38.3

1.5

15.3

37.3

11.5

44.7

50.1

Observations

1928

494

3702

5638

3642

500

1661

2870

1474

5702

5988

Number of countries

52

28

62

76

69

9 53

67

54

49

50

Clustered z statistics (absolute value) at country level in parentheses

All regressions include country and sector fixed effects

The reference for size dummies is small size (less than 20 employees)

* significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1%

+ The weak instruments diagnostic tests give partial and Shea partial R² between 0.04 and 0.10 and large F-statistics.

First-stage regressions (not reported for conciseness) are available upon request.

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Appendix 5: Estimation with additional variables

Dependant variable : FDI

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)

Telecom problems -0.251 -0.278 -0.281 -0.284 -0.273 -0.270 -0.231 (9.62)*** (9.80)*** (10.19)*** (10.22)*** (9.60)*** (9.62)*** (6.59)***

Informal finance -0.001 -0.002 -0.002 -0.001 -0.002 -0.002 -0.002 (3.21)*** (3.03)*** (2.96)*** (2.81)*** (3.08)*** (2.85)*** (4.98)***

Skilled labor problems -0.002 -0.018 -0.021 -0.017 -0.026 -0.025 -0.024 (0.23) (1.69)* (1.94)* (1.56) (2.25)** (2.16)** (1.81)*

Crime and disorder -0.022 (2.48)**

Property right 0.005 0.005 0.004 0.006 0.005 0.009 (0.64) (0.66) (0.59) (0.76) (0.70) (0.85)

Age -0.002 -0.002 -0.002 -0.002 -0.002 -0.002 -0.001 (7.48)*** (6.45)*** (6.83)*** (6.84)*** (6.91)*** (6.85)*** (4.24)***

Size (20-99 empl.) 0.028 0.027 0.026 0.027 0.025 0.023 0.019 (3.25)*** (2.72)*** (2.57)** (2.66)*** (2.70)*** (2.44)** (1.71)*

Size (>=100 empl.) 0.128 0.119 0.120 0.119 0.113 0.108 0.130 (7.78)*** (6.42)*** (6.64)*** (6.84)*** (6.48)*** (6.37)*** (6.02)***

Agglomeration 0.000 -0.000 -0.000 -0.000 -0.000 -0.000 -0.000 (0.33) (0.20) (0.24) (0.22) (0.19) (0.19) (0.80)

Labor regulation 0.005 0.012 0.003 0.006 0.010 (0.44) (0.90) (0.20) (0.41) (0.54)

Corruption -0.021 -0.031 -0.027 -0.031 (2.24)** (3.28)*** (2.76)*** (3.21)***

Custom and trade 0.042 0.048 0.035 (4.72)*** (4.95)*** (3.28)***

Tax rates -0.021 -0.015 (2.19)** (1.34)

Wage -0.002 (0.23)

Weak instrument diagnostic+

Cragg-Donald Stat. 590.1 426.0 329.1 273.9 224.4 198.2 10.8

Observations 33604 23500 23130 22749 21170 21105 13576 Number of countries 77 55 55 55 55 55 51 Clustered z statistics (absolute value) at country level in parentheses All regressions include country and sector fixed effects The reference for size dummies is small size (less than 20 employees) * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1% +The weak instruments diagnostic tests give partial and Shea partial R² between 0.08 and 0.12 and large F-statistics. First-stage regressions (not reported for conciseness) are available upon request.

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Appendix 6: African specificity Dependant variable : FDI

Sub-Saharan Africa Other developing countries

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)

Telecom problems -0.238 -0.239 -0.224 -0.248 -0.248 -0.229 (3.22)*** (3.26)*** (2.53)** (8.54)*** (8.63)*** (7.86)***

Informal finance -0.000 -0.001 (0.51) (3.09)***

Skilled labor problems -0.019 -0.013 -0.014 0.001 0.006 -0.009 (0.73) (0.54) (0.60) (0.10) (0.53) (0.69)

Crime and disorder -0.038 -0.034 -0.049 -0.020 -0.014 -0.018 (1.71)* (1.62) (2.57)** (2.11)** (1.26) (1.34)

Age -0.001 -0.001 -0.001 -0.002 -0.002 -0.002 (1.00) (1.30) (1.14) (7.78)*** (7.82)*** (8.11)***

Size (20-99 employees) 0.065 0.064 0.058 0.022 0.023 0.022 (2.12)** (2.12)** (1.55) (2.57)** (2.71)*** (2.58)***

Size (>=100 employees) 0.221 0.203 0.194 0.118 0.118 0.110 (5.31)*** (4.93)*** (3.96)*** (6.58)*** (6.90)*** (6.68)***

Agglomeration -0.000 -0.000 -0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 (0.57) (0.61) (0.51) (0.40) (0.37) (0.33)

Access to finance probl. -0.042 -0.053 -0.027 -0.032 (2.00)** (2.23)** (2.68)*** (3.03)***

Labor regulation -0.039 0.014 (1.02) (0.92)

Corruption 0.028 -0.012 (1.35) (1.04)

Custom and trade 0.042 0.058 (2.62)*** (5.22)***

Tax rates 0.001 -0.020 (0.08) (1.87)*

Weak instrument diagnostic+

Cragg-Donald Stat. 73.4 75.3 28.5 497.0 489.6 220.2

Observations 5366 5366 4150 28238 28238 25861 Number of countries 23 23 22 54 54 54 Clustered z statistics (absolute value) at country level in parentheses All regressions include country and sector fixed effects The reference for size dummies is small size (less than 20 employees) * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1% +The weak instruments diagnostic tests give partial and Shea partial R² between 0.07 and 0.12 and large F-statistics. First-stage regressions (not reported for conciseness) are available upon request.

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Appendix 7: Heterogeneity in the impact of major structural problems Telecom problems and FDI location Informal finance and FDI Location

ALB

ARM AZE

BGR

BIH

BLR

BRA

CHL

CRI

CZE

ECU

GEO

HND

HRVHUN

IDN

KAZ

KEN

KGZ

KHM

LKA

MDA

MDG

MKD

MUS

MWI

NICPAK

PHL

POL

ROM

RUS

SLVTHA

TJK

TUR

UGAUKR

UZB

VNM

YUGZAF

ZMB

02

46

81

0A

bsol

ute

t-s

tatis

tic

-4 -2 0 2 4Coefficient

ARM

AZE

BEN

BGD

BGR

BIH

BLRBRA

CHLCRI

CZEECU EST

GEO

GTMGUY

HND

HRV

HUN

IDNKAZ

KEN

KGZ

KHM

LKALVA

MDA

MDG

MUSMWI

NIC

PAKPHL

POL

ROM

RUS

SLV

SVKSVN

THA

TJK TUR UGA

UKR

UZB

VNMYUG ZAF

ZMB

02

46

81

01

2A

bsol

ute

t-s

tatis

tic

-2 0 2Coefficient

Corruption problems and FDI Location

Skilled labor problems and FDI location

ALB

ARM

AZE

BEN

BGD

BGRBIH

BLR

BRA

CHL

CRICZE

ECU

EST

GEO

GTM

GUY

HND

HRV

HUN

IDN

KAZ

KEN

KGZ KHM

LKA

LTU

LVA

MDA

MDGMUS

MWI

NICPAK

PHL

POL

ROM

RUSSLV

SVK

SVN

THA

TJK

TUR

UGA

UKR

UZB

VNM

YUG

ZAF

02

46

8A

bsol

ute

t-s

tatis

tic

-4 -2 0 2 4Coefficient

ARM

AZE

BGD

BGR

BIH BLRBRACHLCRI

CZEECUEST

GEO

GUY

HND

HRV

HUN

IDN

KAZ

KEN

KGZ

KHM

LKA

LVA

MDAMDGMKD

MUSMWI

NIC

PAKPHL

POL

ROM

RUS

SLV

SVK

SVN

THA

TJK

TURUGA

UKR

UZBVNMYUG

ZAF

ZMB

05

10

15

20

Abs

olu

te t

-sta

tistic

-1.5 -1 -.5 0 .5Coefficient

These graphs resume coefficients and t-statistics of country level estimations. Each point represents the effect of the structural factors (telecom problems, informal finance, corruption problems and skilled labor problems) on FDI for one country. Coefficients are reported on the horizontal axis and the absolute value of t-statistics on the vertical axis. All regressions have FDI variable as dependant variable and structural factors as explanatory variables. The regressions also include firm characteristics and other control variables and deal with endogeneity issue as regressions (3) and (6) of appendix 6 (graphics are country-level illustration of regression (3) and (6) of appendix 6). The red line t=1.64 indicates 10% significance level. The bleu line indicates the null value of coefficient. The upper-left side of all graphs indicates countries for which structural factor constraints reduce significantly FDI attractiveness.

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Appendix 8: List of countries

Asia Eastern and Central Europe Latin America and Carribean Sub-Saharan Africa

Bangladesh Albania Argentina Angola Cambodia Armenia Bolivia Benin Indonesia Azerbaijan Brazil Botswana Lebanon Belarus Chile Burundi Mongolia Bosnia and Herzegovina Colombia Congo. Dem. Rep. Pakistan Bulgaria Costa Rica Eritrea Philippines Croatia Ecuador Ethiopia Sri Lanka Czech Republic El Salvador Gambia Thailand Estonia Guatemala Guinea-Bissau Vietnam Georgia Guyana Kenya Hungary Honduras Lesotho Kazakhstan Mexico Madagascar Kyrgyz Republic Nicaragua Malawi Latvia Panama Mali Lithuania Paraguay Mauritania Macedonia. FYR Peru Mauritius Moldova Uruguay Namibia Poland Senegal Romania South Africa Russian Federation Swaziland Serbia and Montenegro Tanzania Slovak Republic Uganda Slovenia Zambia Tajikistan Turkey Ukraine Uzbekistan