investing in bangsamoro for the development of mindanao the 52nd annual meeting of the philippine...
TRANSCRIPT
Investing in Bangsamoro for the
development of Mindanao
The 52nd Annual Meeting of the Philippine Economic Society14 November 2014
Hotel Intercontinental ManilaLegaspi Room
Investing in Bangsamoro for the development of Mindanao
MARITES DANGUILAN VITUGSession Chair
Editor at Large, Rappler
Investing in Bangsamoro for the development of Mindanao
MARIA LOURDES DAMASO LIM Main Presenter
Regional Director, NEDA Regional Office XI
Development Opportunities of Mindanao Regions Development Opportunities of Mindanao Regions in a Post-Comprehensive Agreement on the in a Post-Comprehensive Agreement on the Bangsamoro (CAB) ScenarioBangsamoro (CAB) Scenario14 November2014Philippine Economic Society (PES) 52nd Annual MeetingForging Ahead: The Philippines as DevelopedEconomy by 2050Intercontinental Hotel, Makati City
MINDANAO
DIRECTOR MARIA LOURDES D. LIM, CESO IIRegional Director, NEDA Regional Office XI
Davao Region, Philippines and Head Secretariat, NEDA Board-Regional Development Committee Mindanao
Category 1: Provinces with High Magnitude of Poor Households
Category 2: Provinces with Highest Poverty Incidence Based on Population
Category 3: Thirty Provinces Exposed to Multiple Hazards
Spatial Consideration for Inclusive Development
Source: Philippine Development Plan Midterm Update, 2011-2016
Selected Macroeconomic Indicators, Mindanao Regions vis-a-vis National Figures 2013
GDP/GRDP(in constant 2000 prices)
( in thousand pesos)
2010-2013 GDP/GRDP
AAGR (%)
2013 Per Capita
GDP/GRDP (in constant 2000
prices) (in pesos)
2012 Poverty
Incidence among
Families (%)
2000-2013 Average
Employment Rate (%)
2000-2013 Average Under-
employment Rate (%)
National Road Density (km
/sq. km) (As of October
2012)
Philippines 6,765,458,577 5.9 68,897 19.7 91.3 19.2 0.092
NCR 2,455,306,204 6.4 195,806 2.6 85.9 12.5 1.810
Luzon 2,491,009,666 5.3 57,428 17.5 92.3 19.1 0.094
Visayas 850,371,452 5.8 44,972 28.6 92.2 21.4 0.128
Mindanao 968,771,253 6.2 41,450 34.8 93.9 22.4 0.066
Zamboanga Peninsula
137,949,751 5.6 38,064 33.7 95.0 22.3 0.085
Northern Mindanao
252,645,030 6.2 55,060 32.8 94.0 30.0 0.093
Davao Region
258,485,862 6.0 54,359 25.0 92.5 21.3 0.082
SOCCSKSARGEN
186,407,600 7.2 41,996 37.1 93.5 23.8 0.068
Caraga 83,550,716 9.0 32,752 31.9 92.9 24.1 0.069
ARMM 49,732,294 1.5 14,566 48.7 95.6 13.0 0.030
Source: Philippine Statistics Authority
End-of-Plan (2016) Targets of Mindanao Regions
Indicator ZamPen NorMin Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN CARAGA ARMM
GRDP Targets
5.5- 7.5% 8.5%- 9.5% 8.7% 9.1- 10.1% 9.9- 10.8% 5.0%
Poverty Incidence (Families)
25- 30%20.7%
(MDG target for 2015)
22.3%20.4%
(MDG target for 2015)
18.8% (MDG target for 2015); 22.75% (RDP target 2016)*
40%
Employment Rate
No target rate 96% 96.2% 97% No target rate 97.58%
2015 Investment Reqts.
P 13.71 B** P90.05 B P33.95 B P50.4 B P25.63 B P41.68 B
2016 Investment Reqts.
P17.74 B** P162.41 B P31.13 B P31.76 B P26.83 B P55.33 B
2015 NEP P52.48 B P61.86 B P54.23 B P52.72 B P42.22 B P49.95 B
Source: Updated Regional Development Plan and Result Matrices and Reg’l Development Investment Program 2014-2016(Regions IX, X, XI, XII, XIII, ARMM); DBM 2015 National Expenditure Program •- Source: ZamPen RDIP, 2011-2016
* - Source: Caraga RDP, 2011-2016
Investment/Budget Priorities at the National, Mindanao, Regional and Bangsamoro levels should be outcomes-based as defined in the development plans at all levels.
PROPOSED NETWORK OF GROWTH CENTERS, Mindanao, 2015-2045
Growth targets of the Bangsamoro
Source: BDP,2015-2022
Development Themes and Financing Requirements
Economy and Livelihood
Infrastructure
Social Services
Environment and Natural Resources
Culture and Identity & Governance and Justice
Security and Normalization
P225 Billion for 2014-2016
“transition from conflict to peace in an affected country through the rebuilding of the socioeconomic framework of the society.”
1.1. Socio-economicSocio-economic
2.2. Good GovernanceGood Governance
3.3. InstitutionalInstitutional
Post-Conflict Development of the Bangsamoro
Elements of post-conflict recoveryElements of post-conflict recovery
“transition from conflict to peace in an affected country through the rebuilding of the socioeconomic framework of the society.”
1.1. Socio-economicSocio-economic
2.2. Good Governance Good Governance
3.3. InstitutionalInstitutional
4.4. Geographic/SpatialGeographic/Spatial
5.5. Security/ Security/ NormalizationNormalization
Post-Conflict Development of the Bangsamoro
Elements of post-conflict recoveryElements of post-conflict recovery
Financing Financing post-post-conflict conflict developmedevelopmentnt•Taxes, fees and charges•Annual Block Grants•Loans, grants, ODA•Economic Agreements•Revenue shares in natural resources•GOCCs & GFIs
Potential Impacts of the Bangsamoro on Mindanao Regions
• Bangsamoro growth at 6-8 percent in 2016;
• Regional economic growth improves to double digits;
• Economic spillover to Mindanao Regions.
Growth and Investment Drivers
• Agriculture, Fishery, & Forestry Industry
• Micro , Small and Medium Enterprises
• Transition from grey economies to formal markets
• Tourism and eco-tourism
• Mining• Renewable Energy• Palm Oil Production• Halal Industry• Islamic Banking and
Finance
1. Increase contribution to the national output;
2. Intra- and inter-regional trade enhanced and boosted;
3. Correct socio-economic disparities.
BANGSAMORO: 3 Major Scenarios
Source: dzrhnews.com
Thank you
Investing in Bangsamoro for the development of Mindanao
PANEL DISCUSSION
Investing in Bangsamoro for the development of Mindanao
LUISITO MONTALBOPanelist
Undersecretary, Office of the Presidential Adviser on the Peace Process
Investing in Bangsamoro for the development of Mindanao
PANEL DISCUSSION
Investing in Bangsamoro for the development of Mindanao
AMINA RASUL-BERNARDOPanelist
President, Philippine Center for Islam and Democracy
Investing in Bangsamoro for the development of Mindanao
PANEL DISCUSSION
Investing in Bangsamoro for the development of Mindanao
AMINA RASUL-BERNARDOPanelist
President, Philippine Center for Islam and Democracy
Investing in Bangsamoro for the development of Mindanao
PANEL DISCUSSION
Investing in Bangsamoro for the development of Mindanao
STEVEN ROODPanelist
Country Representative for the Philippines and Pacific Island Nations, The Asia Foundation
Investing in Bangsamoro for the development of Mindanao
OPEN FORUM
Investing in Bangsamoro for the development of Mindanao
CONCLUDING REMARKS
Investing in Bangsamoro for the
development of Mindanao
The 52nd Annual Meeting of the Philippine Economic Society14 November 2014
Hotel Intercontinental ManilaLegaspi Room