investigating how the steel industry uses the lme to tackle · pdf file ·...
TRANSCRIPT
Robert Fig Senior Business Development Executive
October 2014
Investigating how the steel industry uses
the LME to tackle price volatility Platts 4th Annual Steel Supply Chain Conference
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Steel – why is this an important market?
Market size • Huge market potential largely untapped – c.17x larger than the non-ferrous
industry
Risk management • While some of the steel industry hedge risks for currency, energy, base metals,
emissions and shipping, it may be loathe to hedge steel prices
Transparent pricing • Consumers look for transparent pricing which can be provided by the LME
Few steel products • Few steel products on exchange currently available.
The most recyclable and versatile of all metals – widely-used in the physical market
Widely used in the automotive, construction, white goods, ship building and infrastructure industries Use
Non-ferrous market
Approximately 92 million metric tonnes produced per
year
Ferrous market
Approximately 1.6 billion metric tonnes produced per
year
Market potential
Why LME steel contracts?
Associated industry
Future potential to venture into other related markets
(e.g. minor metals, chemicals)
Source: World Steel Association 2012 world production figures
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LME product development process Market-led engagement to establish areas of real customer need
Market views on
development priorities
Detailed market
engagement
Full specifications
Delivery
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LME Steel Billet Cash Price As of Sep 12th, the difference between the LME price and the average of billet prices was of $69
Source:LME, Datastream
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LME Nickel Volumes Options volumes of 741,167 lots for Jan-Jun 2014, 154% higher than 2013 annual volume of
292,289 lots
Source: LME
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Annual production:
329 mmt
Annual production:
250 mmt
Annual production:
510 mmt
Annual production:
35 mmt
Annual production: 832 mmt
Annual production:
984 mmt
Steel production chain Key stages in the ferrous cycle
Annual production:
2,930 mmt
Iron Ore
Source: 2012 annual production figures from: World Steel Association, U.S. Geological Survey, International Agency CRU and International Stainless Forum
Billet
Coking Coal
HRC
CRC
Rebar
Stainless Steel Phase 0 product launch
Phase 1 product launch
Phase 2 product launch
Annual production: 570 mmt
Scrap
Slab
Blast furnace process
Electric arc furnace process
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Scrap, Billet and Rebar Prices
The Steel Index – Scrap Edition for the week ending July 11th 2014
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Proposed LME ferrous contracts Staggered launch approach – three phases
Phase 0
• Strongly support existing billet contract
• Scrap and Rebar the next primary focus
• Informed by phase 1 progress
Phase 1 Phase 2
Billet
(physically
settled)
Scrap
(cash settled)
Rebar (cash settled)
Cash settled: Iron ore, coking
coal, stainless
steel, HRC,
CRC
Path forwards
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Total commitment to a market-led solution Supporting the steel industry
Reacting to clear demand from
underlying participants
Enabling involvement of
active participants
Best-in-class compliance
Developing London as a global steel trading
centre