introduction
TRANSCRIPT
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Introduction
ANDREA BERARDI - FRANCESCO ROSSI�
In recent years, risk management technology has undergone a dramatic
process of innovation. Every day, new sophisticated methods for measuring
and controlling market and credit risk are created, allowing ®nancial institu-
tions to put into practice mark-to-market risk management and deal with
adverse events, such as defaults and market losses.
The widespread use of ®nancial engineering techniques in risk manage-
ment has also given banks several new instruments to enhance internal models
and determine the adequate level of capital needed against market and credit
risk, so as to satisfy the requirements imposed by bank regulators.
Measuring credit risk is intrinsically more complicated than measuring
market risk, as data on credit events are much more limited than market data.
In fact, estimating and validating default risk models requires many years of
observations, whereas a vast amount of market data is available every day.
For this reason, market risk and default risk have usually been modelled
separately and many credit risk models ignore the strong intersection between
them assuming that current market variables are either constant or known with
certainty. However, as shown by Jarrow and Turnbull (2000), this simplifying
assumption implies that standard approaches to risk management, such as
CreditMetrics, CreditRisk� and KMV, fail in measuring market and credit risk
of portfolios of interest rate sensitive instruments.
Recent experiences, such as the 1998 Russia's default, have pointed out
that short-term market-driven variables can have a signi®cant impact on default
risk. Introducing marking to market in credit risk management can be an
important step towards an integrated and more ef®cient method built on the
close relationship between market and default risk.
The need for an integrated risk management system has recently become
crucial for some large banks, which are allowed to calculate capital require-
ments for their market and credit risk exposures using internal models rather
than the BIS regulatory model. (Recently, the Basle Committee on Banking
Supervision (BIS, 2001) has released a proposal for a new Capital Accord
which should replace the 1988 Accord.)
The Department of Financial Studies of the University of Verona hosted
on 25±26 May 2000 the ®rst international conference on `Managing Credit
and Market Risk. New Techniques for New Sources of Risk' to provide a
# Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, 2001. Published by Blackwell Publishers,108 Cowley Road, Oxford OX4 1JF, UK and 350 Main Street, Malden, MA 02148, USA.
Economic Notes by Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 30, no. 2-2001, pp. 163±166
� UniversitaÁ di Verona, Dipartimento Studi Finanziari, Nia Giardino Guisti 2-37129 Verona.
E-mail: [email protected] and [email protected]
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comprehensive view of recent developments in managing both market and
credit risk.
The conference looked at risk management from a variety of perspectives
and was designed to focus on all the important issues facing industry profes-
sionals in this ®eld. It brought together a panel of leading academics and
practitioners giving in-depth insights into the latest techniques for implement-
ing value-at-risk (VaR) systems, measuring default risk and pricing credit
derivatives.
The papers published in this special issue were all presented at the
conference and illustrate a number of new techniques for evaluating and
managing market and credit risk more ef®ciently.
Giovanni Barone-Adesi and Kostas Giannopoulos (pp. 167±81) present a
clear description of the `®rst generation' techniques for VaR applying back-
testing procedures to the most popular models. The article proposes a `second-
generation' volatility ®ltering method, which provides a low-cost improvement
in the VaR assessments.
The articles by Fulvio Corsi, Gilles Zumbach, Ulrich MuÈller and Michel
Dacorogna (pp. 183±204) and Andrea Beltratti and Claudio Morana (pp. 205±
33) show the progresses in volatility measurement which can be obtained using
high-frequency data. Their ®ndings indicate a drastic improvement towards a
consistent statistical estimation of volatility.
Umberto Cherubini and Elisa Luciano (pp. 235±56) illustrate an innova-
tive non-parametric description of the correlation among extreme losses. The
theory of dependence using copulas is shown to provide an elegant and
ef®cient alternative to the standard linear correlations approach, which usually
fails under stress testing.
Claudio Tebaldi (pp. 257±79) investigates a simulation approach to the
hedging of derivative portfolios which takes full advantage of the recent
progresses in consistent volatility estimation and bridges the gap between
scenario simulation and analytic computation of portfolio sensitivities.
Lane Hughston and Stuart Turnbull (pp. 281±92) address in their article
several relevant issues in credit risk. In particular, they consider: the valuation
of corporate bonds when the claim in the event of default is limited to the
bond's principal; the pricing of revolver loans; the implied correlation of
default probabilities; and the valuation of the collateral option.
Umberto Cherubini and Giovanni Della Lunga (pp. 293±312) propose a
VaR measure which takes into account market liquidity through the decoupling
of the discount factors for long and short positions, and their volatilities. The
method is shown to be well suited to price options when the distribution of the
underlying asset is not known precisely.
Conference participants also listened to presentations by Stephen Schaefer
(London Business School), Oldrich Vasicek (KMV Corporation) and Zahra El-
Mekkawy (BIS). Stephen Schaefer and Oldrich Vasicek gave keynote lectures
on recent developments in modelling and implementing credit risk models and
164 Economic Notes 2-2001: Review of Banking, Finance and Monetary Economics
# Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, 2001.
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in measuring and managing default risk, respectively. Zahra El-Mekkawy
presented the view of the Basle Committee on Banking Supervision on the
internal ratings-based approach for credit risk capital charges. Their remarks
are not reproduced in this volume.
Most of the papers were explicitly written for the conference. For this
reason, and for the enthusiasm shown in accepting our invitation, we express
our deepest gratitude to all the speakers.
165A. Berardi and F. Rossi: Introduction
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REFERENCES
BIS (BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS) (2001), The New Basel Capital Accord,
BIS, Basle.
R. A. JARROW ± S. M. TURNBULL (2000), `The Intersection of Market and Credit Risk',
Journal of Banking and Finance, 24, pp. 271±99.
166 Economic Notes 2-2001: Review of Banking, Finance and Monetary Economics
# Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, 2001.