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  • 5/21/2018 Interpretation

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    Calculation Of Average Return Of Selected Companies.

    Portfolio Return:

    The Expected Return on a Portfoliois computed as the weighted

    average of the expected returns on the stocks which comprise the portfolio.

    The weights reflect the proportion of the portfolio invested in the stocks.

    This can be expressed as follows:

    where,

    E[Rp] = the expected return on the portfolio,

    N = the number of stocks in the portfolio,

    wi= the proportion of the portfolio invested in stock i, and

    E[Ri] = the expected return on stock i.

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    1.BHARTIA AIRTEL

    YEAR P0 P1 d P1-P0 100*d+(P1-

    P0)/PO

    2008-09 343.30 348.60 1.543839 5.3 1.993545

    2009-10 348.60 341.90 -1.92197 -6.7 -2.47331

    2010-11 341.90 342.35 0.131617 0.45 0.170113

    2011-12 342.35 354.00 3.40295 11.65 4.396948

    2012-13 354.00 357.45 0.974576 3.45 1.24988

    4.131012 5.337176

    Average Return = Total Return/No.of years =1.067435

    BHEL:

    YEAR P0 P1 D P1-P0 100*d+(P1-

    P0)/P0

    2008-09 2303.55 2285.95 -0.76404 -17.6 -0.79721

    2009-10 2285.95 2291.40 0.238413 5.45 0.248842

    2010-11 2291.40 2296.95 0.24221 5.55 0.25278

    2011-12 2296.95 2304.55 0.330874 7.6 0.345278

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    2012-13 2304.55 2337.60 1.434119 33.05 1.496349

    1.481576 1.546039

    AVERAGE RETURN=TOTAL RETURN/NO.OF YEARS=0.309208

    INFOSYS:

    YEAR P0 P1 d P1-P0 100*d+(P1-

    P0)/P0

    2008-09 3367.9 3370.15 0.066807 2.25 0.068791

    2009-10 3370.15 3376.90 0.200288 6.75 0.206231

    2010-11 3376.90 3382.65 0.170275 5.75 0.175317

    2011-12 3382.65 3404.90 0.657768 22.25 0.877214

    2012-13 3404.90 3446.95 1.234985 42.05 1.271256

    2.330123 2.598809

    Average Return = Total Return/No.of years =0.519762

    ITC:

    YEAR P0 P1 d P1-P0 100*d+(P1-

    P0)/P0

    2008-09 166.90 169.90 1.797484 3 2.874466

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    2009-10 169.90 169.75 -0.08829 -0.15 -0.14025

    2010-11 169.75 171.20 0.854197 1.45 1.357406

    2011-12 171.20 174.20 1.752336 3 2.775897

    2012-13 174.20 174.55 0.200918 0.35 0.316256

    4.516645 7.183775

    Average Return = Total Return/No.of years =1.436755

    NTPC:

    YEAR P0 P1 d P1-P0 100*d(P1-

    P0)/P0

    2008-09 195.75 198.25 1.277139 2.5 1.929573

    2009-10 198.25 197.00 -0.63052 -1.25 -0.94856

    2010-11 197.00 196.50 -0.25381 -0.5 -0.38264

    2011-12 196.50 197.90 0.712468 1.4 1.075047

    2012-13 197.90 202.25 2.19808 4.35 3.308782

    3.303357 4.982202

    Average Return = Total Return/No.of years =0.99644

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    ONGC:

    YEAR P0 P1 D P1-P0 100*d+(P1-

    P0)/P0

    2008-09 1300.25 1294.75 -0.423 -5.5 0.45553

    2009-10 1294.75 1299.55 0.370728 4.8 0.399361

    2010-11 1299.55 1289.90 -0.74256 -9.65 -0.7997

    2011-12 1289.90 1303.35 1.042716 13.45 1.123553

    2012-13 1303.35 1294.60 -0.67135 -8.75 -0.72286

    -0.42347 0.455884

    Average Return = Total Return/No.of years =-0.091177

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    RANBAXY:

    YEAR P0 P1 d P1-P0 100*d+(P1-

    P0)/PO

    2008-09 570.70 573.25 0.44 2.55 0.523918

    2009-10 573.25 574.85 0.27 1.6 0.32621

    2010-11 574.85 589.95 2.62 15.1 3.082543

    2011-12 589.95 589.25 -0.11 -0.7 -0.1373

    2012-13 589.25 590.40 0.19 1.15 0.227408

    03.41 4.022779

    Average Return = Total Return/No.of years =0.804556

    SAIL:

    YEAR P0 P1 d P1-P0 100*d+(P1-

    P0)/PO

    2008-09 186.20 184.80 -0.75188 -1.4 -1.15568

    2009-10 184.80 177.35 -4.03139 -7.45 -6.21287

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    2010-11 177.35 176.70 -0.36651 -0.65 -0.57317

    2011-12 176.70 180.15 1.952462 3.45 3.05742

    2012-13 180.15 181.25 0.610602 1.1 0.949543

    -2.58672 -3.93476

    TOTAL RETURN=-0.78695

    SBI:

    YEAR P0 P1 d P1-P0 100*d+(P1-

    P0)/PO

    2008-09 2746.25 2755.35 0.331361 9.1 0.343427

    2009-10 2755.35 2751.20 -0.15062 -4.15 -0.15608

    2010-11 2751.20 2728.50 -0.82509 -22.7 -0.85508

    2011-12 2728.50 2755.2 0.97856 26.7 1.014424

    2012-13 2755.2 2749.65 -0.20144 -5.55 -0.20875

    0.132771 0.137941

    AVERAGE RETURN=TOTAL RETURN/NO.OF YEARS=0.027588

    TATA MOTORS:

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    YEAR P0 P1 d P1-P0 100*d+(P1-

    P0)/PO

    2008-09 1352.75 1306.1 -3.44853 -46.65 -3.70346

    2009-10 1306.15 1301.1 -0.38663 -5.05 -0.41623

    2010-11 1301.10 1268.9 -2.47483 -32.2 -2.66504

    2011-12 1268.90 1273.8 0.386161 4.9 0.416594

    2012-13 1273.85 1300.1 2.060682 26.25 2.22245

    -3.86315 -4.14569

    AVERAGE RETURN=TOTAL RETURN/NO.OF YEARS=-0.82914

    *DIAGRAMATIC REPRESENTATION OF AVERAGE RETURN OF THE

    COMPANIES:

    S.NO COMPANY NAME AVERAGE RETURN

    1 BHARATHI AIRTEL 1.067435

    2 BHEL 0.309208

    3 INFOSYS 0.519762

    4 ITC 1.436755

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    5 NTPC 0.99644

    6 ONGC -0.091177

    7 RANBAXY 0.804556

    8 SAIL -0.78695

    9 SBI 0.027588

    10 TATA MOTORS -0.82914

    -1

    -0.5

    0

    0.5

    1

    1.5

    2

    AVERAGE RETURN

    AVERAGE RETURN

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    *CALULATION OF STANDARD DEVIATION:

    1. The variance/standard deviation of a portfolio reflects not only the

    variance/standard deviation of the stocks that make up the portfolio but also how

    the returns on the stocks which comprise the portfolio vary together. Two measures

    of how the returns on a pair of stocks vary together are the covariance and the

    correlation coefficient.

    The Covariancebetween the returns on two stocks can be calculated using the

    following equation:

    where

    s12= the covariance between the returns on stocks 1 and 2,

    N = the number of states,

    pi= the probability of state i,

    R1i= the return on stock 1 in state i,

    E[R1] = the expected return on stock 1,

    R2i= the return on stock 2 in state i, and

    E[R2] = the expected return on stock 2.

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    BHATRHIA AIRTEL:

    YEAR RETURN AVERAGE

    RETURN

    (R-R_) (R-R_)2

    2008-09 1.543839 1.067435 0.476404 0.226961

    2009-10 -1.92197 1.067435 -2.98942 8.936542

    2010-11 0.131617 1.067435 -0.93582 0.875755

    2011-12 3.40295 1.067435 2.335515 5.45463

    2012-13 0.974576 1.067435 -0.09286 0.008623

    4.131012 15.50251

    Variance=(R-R_)2/N=3.100502

    STANDARD DEVIATION = SQUARE ROOT (VARIANCE)=1.76082

    BHEL:

    YEAR RETURN AVERAGE

    RETURN

    (R-R_) (R-R_)2

    2008-09 -0.76404 0.309208 -1.07325 1.511861

    2009-10 0.238413 0.309208 -0.0708 0.005012

    2010-11 0.24221 0.309208 -0.067 0.004489

    2011-12 0.330874 0.309208 0.021666 0.000469

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    2012-13 1.434119 0.309208 1.124911 1.265425

    1.481576 2.427256

    Variance=(R-R_)2/N=0.485451

    STANDARD DEVIATION = SQUARE ROOT (VARIANCE)=0.686743

    INFOSYS:

    YEAR RETURN AVERAGE

    RETURN

    (R-R_) (R-R_)2

    2008-09 0.066807 0.519762 -0.45296 0.205168

    2009-10 0.200288 0.519762 -0.31947 0.102064

    2010-11 0.170275 0.519762 -0.34949 0.122141

    2011-12 0.657768 0.519762 0.138006 0.019046

    2012-13 1.234985 0.519762 0.715223 0.511544

    2.330123 0.959963

    Variance=(R-R_)2/N=0.191993

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    STANDARD DEVIATION = SQUARE ROOT (VARIANCE)=0.438170

    ITC:

    YEAR RETURN AVERAGE

    RETURN

    (R-R_) (R-R_)2

    2008-09 1.797484 1.436755 0.360729 0.130125

    2009-10 -0.08829 1.436755 -1.52505 2.325762

    2010-11 0.854197 1.436755 -0.58256 0.339374

    2011-12 1.752336 1.436755 0.315581 0.099591

    2012-13 0.200918 1.436755 -1.23584 1.527293

    4.516645 4.422146

    Variance=(R-R_)2/N=0.884429

    STANDARD DEVIATION = SQUARE ROOT (VARIANCE)=0.940440.

    NTPC:

    YEAR RETURN AVERAGE

    RETURN

    (R-R_) (R-R_)2

    2008-09 1.277139 0.99644 0.280699 0.078792

    2009-10 -0.63052 0.99644 -1.62696 2.646999

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    2010-11 -0.25381 0.99644 -1.25025 1.563125

    2011-12 0.712468 0.99644 -0.28397 0.08064

    2012-13 2.19808 0.99644 1.20164 1.443939

    3.303357 5.813495

    Variance=(R-R_)2/N=1.162699

    STANDARD DEVIATION = SQUARE ROOT (VARIANCE)=1.078285.

    ONGC:

    Average Return = Total Return/No.of years =-0.091177

    YEAR RETURN AVERAGE

    RETURN

    (R-R_) (R-R_)2

    2008-09 -0.423 0.091177 -0.51418 0.264378

    2009-10 0.370728 0.091177 0.279551 0.078149

    2010-11 -0.74256 0.091177 -0.83374 0.695117

    2011-12 1.042716 0.091177 0.951539 0.905426

    2012-13 -0.67135 0.091177 -0.76253 0.581447

    - 2.524518

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    0.42347

    Variance=(R-R_)2/N=0.504518

    STANDARD DEVIATION = SQUARE ROOT (VARIANCE)=0.7710499.

    RANBAXY:

    YEAR RETURN AVERAGE

    RETURN

    (R-R_) (R-R_)2

    2008-09 0.44 0.804556 -0.36456 0/132901

    2009-10 0.27 0.804556 -0.53456 0.28575

    2010-11 2.62 0.804556 1.815444 3.295837

    2011-12 -0.11 0.804556 -0/91456 0.836413

    2012-13 0.19 0.804556 -0.61456 0.377679

    3.41 4.92858

    Variance=(R-R_)2/N=0.985716

    STANDARD DEVIATION = SQUARE ROOT (VARIANCE)=0.99283.

    SAIL:

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    YEAR RETURN AVERAGE

    RETURN

    (R-R_) (R-R_)2

    2008-09 -0.75188 -0.78695 0.03507 0.00123

    2009-10 -4.03139 -0.78695 -3.24444 10.52639

    2010-11 -0.36651 -0.78695 0.42044 0.17677

    2011-12 1.952462 -0.78695 2.739412 7.504378

    2012-13 0.610602 -0.78695 1.397552 1.953152

    -2.58672 20.16192

    Variance=(R-R_)2/N=4.032384

    STANDARD DEVIATION = SQUARE ROOT (VARIANCE)=2.00807.

    SBI:

    YEAR RETURN AVERAGE

    RETURN

    (R-R_) (R-R_)2

    2008-09 0.331361 0.027588 0.303773 0.092278

    2009-10 -0.15062 0.027588 -0.17821 0.031758

    2010-11 -0.82509 0.027588 -0.85268 0.72706

    2011-12 0.97856 0.027588 0.950972 0.904348

    2012-13 -0.20144 0.027588 -0.22903 0.052454

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    0.132771 1.807897

    Variance=(R-R_)2/N=0.361579

    STANDARD DEVIATION = SQUARE ROOT (VARIANCE)=0.601314.

    TATA MOTORS:

    YEAR RETURN AVERAGE

    RETURN

    (R-R_) (R-R_)2

    2008-09 -3.44853 -0.82914 -2.61939 6.861204

    2009-10 -0.38663 -0.82914 0.44251 0.195815

    2010-11 -2.47483 -0.82914 -1.64569 2.708296

    2011-12 0.386161 -0.82914 1.215301 1.476957

    2012-13 2.060682 -0.82914 2.889822 8.531071

    -3.86315 19.59334

    Variance=(R-R_)2/N=3.918668

    STANDARD DEVIATION = SQUARE ROOT (VARIANCE)=1.979562.

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    *DIAGRAMATIC REPRESENTATION OF STANDARD DEVIATIONOF THE

    COMPANIES:

    S.NO COMPANY NAME STANDARD

    DEVIATION

    1 BHARATHI AIRTEL 1.76082

    2 BHEL 0.686743

    3 INFOSYS 0.438170

    4 ITC 0.940440.

    5 NTPC 1.078285

    6 ONGC 0.7710499.

    7 RANBAXY 0.99283.

    8 SAIL 2.00807

    9 SBI 0.601314.

    10 TATA MOTORS 1.979562.