interpretation
TRANSCRIPT
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Calculation Of Average Return Of Selected Companies.
Portfolio Return:
The Expected Return on a Portfoliois computed as the weighted
average of the expected returns on the stocks which comprise the portfolio.
The weights reflect the proportion of the portfolio invested in the stocks.
This can be expressed as follows:
where,
E[Rp] = the expected return on the portfolio,
N = the number of stocks in the portfolio,
wi= the proportion of the portfolio invested in stock i, and
E[Ri] = the expected return on stock i.
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1.BHARTIA AIRTEL
YEAR P0 P1 d P1-P0 100*d+(P1-
P0)/PO
2008-09 343.30 348.60 1.543839 5.3 1.993545
2009-10 348.60 341.90 -1.92197 -6.7 -2.47331
2010-11 341.90 342.35 0.131617 0.45 0.170113
2011-12 342.35 354.00 3.40295 11.65 4.396948
2012-13 354.00 357.45 0.974576 3.45 1.24988
4.131012 5.337176
Average Return = Total Return/No.of years =1.067435
BHEL:
YEAR P0 P1 D P1-P0 100*d+(P1-
P0)/P0
2008-09 2303.55 2285.95 -0.76404 -17.6 -0.79721
2009-10 2285.95 2291.40 0.238413 5.45 0.248842
2010-11 2291.40 2296.95 0.24221 5.55 0.25278
2011-12 2296.95 2304.55 0.330874 7.6 0.345278
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2012-13 2304.55 2337.60 1.434119 33.05 1.496349
1.481576 1.546039
AVERAGE RETURN=TOTAL RETURN/NO.OF YEARS=0.309208
INFOSYS:
YEAR P0 P1 d P1-P0 100*d+(P1-
P0)/P0
2008-09 3367.9 3370.15 0.066807 2.25 0.068791
2009-10 3370.15 3376.90 0.200288 6.75 0.206231
2010-11 3376.90 3382.65 0.170275 5.75 0.175317
2011-12 3382.65 3404.90 0.657768 22.25 0.877214
2012-13 3404.90 3446.95 1.234985 42.05 1.271256
2.330123 2.598809
Average Return = Total Return/No.of years =0.519762
ITC:
YEAR P0 P1 d P1-P0 100*d+(P1-
P0)/P0
2008-09 166.90 169.90 1.797484 3 2.874466
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2009-10 169.90 169.75 -0.08829 -0.15 -0.14025
2010-11 169.75 171.20 0.854197 1.45 1.357406
2011-12 171.20 174.20 1.752336 3 2.775897
2012-13 174.20 174.55 0.200918 0.35 0.316256
4.516645 7.183775
Average Return = Total Return/No.of years =1.436755
NTPC:
YEAR P0 P1 d P1-P0 100*d(P1-
P0)/P0
2008-09 195.75 198.25 1.277139 2.5 1.929573
2009-10 198.25 197.00 -0.63052 -1.25 -0.94856
2010-11 197.00 196.50 -0.25381 -0.5 -0.38264
2011-12 196.50 197.90 0.712468 1.4 1.075047
2012-13 197.90 202.25 2.19808 4.35 3.308782
3.303357 4.982202
Average Return = Total Return/No.of years =0.99644
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ONGC:
YEAR P0 P1 D P1-P0 100*d+(P1-
P0)/P0
2008-09 1300.25 1294.75 -0.423 -5.5 0.45553
2009-10 1294.75 1299.55 0.370728 4.8 0.399361
2010-11 1299.55 1289.90 -0.74256 -9.65 -0.7997
2011-12 1289.90 1303.35 1.042716 13.45 1.123553
2012-13 1303.35 1294.60 -0.67135 -8.75 -0.72286
-0.42347 0.455884
Average Return = Total Return/No.of years =-0.091177
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RANBAXY:
YEAR P0 P1 d P1-P0 100*d+(P1-
P0)/PO
2008-09 570.70 573.25 0.44 2.55 0.523918
2009-10 573.25 574.85 0.27 1.6 0.32621
2010-11 574.85 589.95 2.62 15.1 3.082543
2011-12 589.95 589.25 -0.11 -0.7 -0.1373
2012-13 589.25 590.40 0.19 1.15 0.227408
03.41 4.022779
Average Return = Total Return/No.of years =0.804556
SAIL:
YEAR P0 P1 d P1-P0 100*d+(P1-
P0)/PO
2008-09 186.20 184.80 -0.75188 -1.4 -1.15568
2009-10 184.80 177.35 -4.03139 -7.45 -6.21287
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2010-11 177.35 176.70 -0.36651 -0.65 -0.57317
2011-12 176.70 180.15 1.952462 3.45 3.05742
2012-13 180.15 181.25 0.610602 1.1 0.949543
-2.58672 -3.93476
TOTAL RETURN=-0.78695
SBI:
YEAR P0 P1 d P1-P0 100*d+(P1-
P0)/PO
2008-09 2746.25 2755.35 0.331361 9.1 0.343427
2009-10 2755.35 2751.20 -0.15062 -4.15 -0.15608
2010-11 2751.20 2728.50 -0.82509 -22.7 -0.85508
2011-12 2728.50 2755.2 0.97856 26.7 1.014424
2012-13 2755.2 2749.65 -0.20144 -5.55 -0.20875
0.132771 0.137941
AVERAGE RETURN=TOTAL RETURN/NO.OF YEARS=0.027588
TATA MOTORS:
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YEAR P0 P1 d P1-P0 100*d+(P1-
P0)/PO
2008-09 1352.75 1306.1 -3.44853 -46.65 -3.70346
2009-10 1306.15 1301.1 -0.38663 -5.05 -0.41623
2010-11 1301.10 1268.9 -2.47483 -32.2 -2.66504
2011-12 1268.90 1273.8 0.386161 4.9 0.416594
2012-13 1273.85 1300.1 2.060682 26.25 2.22245
-3.86315 -4.14569
AVERAGE RETURN=TOTAL RETURN/NO.OF YEARS=-0.82914
*DIAGRAMATIC REPRESENTATION OF AVERAGE RETURN OF THE
COMPANIES:
S.NO COMPANY NAME AVERAGE RETURN
1 BHARATHI AIRTEL 1.067435
2 BHEL 0.309208
3 INFOSYS 0.519762
4 ITC 1.436755
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5 NTPC 0.99644
6 ONGC -0.091177
7 RANBAXY 0.804556
8 SAIL -0.78695
9 SBI 0.027588
10 TATA MOTORS -0.82914
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
AVERAGE RETURN
AVERAGE RETURN
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*CALULATION OF STANDARD DEVIATION:
1. The variance/standard deviation of a portfolio reflects not only the
variance/standard deviation of the stocks that make up the portfolio but also how
the returns on the stocks which comprise the portfolio vary together. Two measures
of how the returns on a pair of stocks vary together are the covariance and the
correlation coefficient.
The Covariancebetween the returns on two stocks can be calculated using the
following equation:
where
s12= the covariance between the returns on stocks 1 and 2,
N = the number of states,
pi= the probability of state i,
R1i= the return on stock 1 in state i,
E[R1] = the expected return on stock 1,
R2i= the return on stock 2 in state i, and
E[R2] = the expected return on stock 2.
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BHATRHIA AIRTEL:
YEAR RETURN AVERAGE
RETURN
(R-R_) (R-R_)2
2008-09 1.543839 1.067435 0.476404 0.226961
2009-10 -1.92197 1.067435 -2.98942 8.936542
2010-11 0.131617 1.067435 -0.93582 0.875755
2011-12 3.40295 1.067435 2.335515 5.45463
2012-13 0.974576 1.067435 -0.09286 0.008623
4.131012 15.50251
Variance=(R-R_)2/N=3.100502
STANDARD DEVIATION = SQUARE ROOT (VARIANCE)=1.76082
BHEL:
YEAR RETURN AVERAGE
RETURN
(R-R_) (R-R_)2
2008-09 -0.76404 0.309208 -1.07325 1.511861
2009-10 0.238413 0.309208 -0.0708 0.005012
2010-11 0.24221 0.309208 -0.067 0.004489
2011-12 0.330874 0.309208 0.021666 0.000469
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2012-13 1.434119 0.309208 1.124911 1.265425
1.481576 2.427256
Variance=(R-R_)2/N=0.485451
STANDARD DEVIATION = SQUARE ROOT (VARIANCE)=0.686743
INFOSYS:
YEAR RETURN AVERAGE
RETURN
(R-R_) (R-R_)2
2008-09 0.066807 0.519762 -0.45296 0.205168
2009-10 0.200288 0.519762 -0.31947 0.102064
2010-11 0.170275 0.519762 -0.34949 0.122141
2011-12 0.657768 0.519762 0.138006 0.019046
2012-13 1.234985 0.519762 0.715223 0.511544
2.330123 0.959963
Variance=(R-R_)2/N=0.191993
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STANDARD DEVIATION = SQUARE ROOT (VARIANCE)=0.438170
ITC:
YEAR RETURN AVERAGE
RETURN
(R-R_) (R-R_)2
2008-09 1.797484 1.436755 0.360729 0.130125
2009-10 -0.08829 1.436755 -1.52505 2.325762
2010-11 0.854197 1.436755 -0.58256 0.339374
2011-12 1.752336 1.436755 0.315581 0.099591
2012-13 0.200918 1.436755 -1.23584 1.527293
4.516645 4.422146
Variance=(R-R_)2/N=0.884429
STANDARD DEVIATION = SQUARE ROOT (VARIANCE)=0.940440.
NTPC:
YEAR RETURN AVERAGE
RETURN
(R-R_) (R-R_)2
2008-09 1.277139 0.99644 0.280699 0.078792
2009-10 -0.63052 0.99644 -1.62696 2.646999
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2010-11 -0.25381 0.99644 -1.25025 1.563125
2011-12 0.712468 0.99644 -0.28397 0.08064
2012-13 2.19808 0.99644 1.20164 1.443939
3.303357 5.813495
Variance=(R-R_)2/N=1.162699
STANDARD DEVIATION = SQUARE ROOT (VARIANCE)=1.078285.
ONGC:
Average Return = Total Return/No.of years =-0.091177
YEAR RETURN AVERAGE
RETURN
(R-R_) (R-R_)2
2008-09 -0.423 0.091177 -0.51418 0.264378
2009-10 0.370728 0.091177 0.279551 0.078149
2010-11 -0.74256 0.091177 -0.83374 0.695117
2011-12 1.042716 0.091177 0.951539 0.905426
2012-13 -0.67135 0.091177 -0.76253 0.581447
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0.42347
Variance=(R-R_)2/N=0.504518
STANDARD DEVIATION = SQUARE ROOT (VARIANCE)=0.7710499.
RANBAXY:
YEAR RETURN AVERAGE
RETURN
(R-R_) (R-R_)2
2008-09 0.44 0.804556 -0.36456 0/132901
2009-10 0.27 0.804556 -0.53456 0.28575
2010-11 2.62 0.804556 1.815444 3.295837
2011-12 -0.11 0.804556 -0/91456 0.836413
2012-13 0.19 0.804556 -0.61456 0.377679
3.41 4.92858
Variance=(R-R_)2/N=0.985716
STANDARD DEVIATION = SQUARE ROOT (VARIANCE)=0.99283.
SAIL:
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YEAR RETURN AVERAGE
RETURN
(R-R_) (R-R_)2
2008-09 -0.75188 -0.78695 0.03507 0.00123
2009-10 -4.03139 -0.78695 -3.24444 10.52639
2010-11 -0.36651 -0.78695 0.42044 0.17677
2011-12 1.952462 -0.78695 2.739412 7.504378
2012-13 0.610602 -0.78695 1.397552 1.953152
-2.58672 20.16192
Variance=(R-R_)2/N=4.032384
STANDARD DEVIATION = SQUARE ROOT (VARIANCE)=2.00807.
SBI:
YEAR RETURN AVERAGE
RETURN
(R-R_) (R-R_)2
2008-09 0.331361 0.027588 0.303773 0.092278
2009-10 -0.15062 0.027588 -0.17821 0.031758
2010-11 -0.82509 0.027588 -0.85268 0.72706
2011-12 0.97856 0.027588 0.950972 0.904348
2012-13 -0.20144 0.027588 -0.22903 0.052454
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0.132771 1.807897
Variance=(R-R_)2/N=0.361579
STANDARD DEVIATION = SQUARE ROOT (VARIANCE)=0.601314.
TATA MOTORS:
YEAR RETURN AVERAGE
RETURN
(R-R_) (R-R_)2
2008-09 -3.44853 -0.82914 -2.61939 6.861204
2009-10 -0.38663 -0.82914 0.44251 0.195815
2010-11 -2.47483 -0.82914 -1.64569 2.708296
2011-12 0.386161 -0.82914 1.215301 1.476957
2012-13 2.060682 -0.82914 2.889822 8.531071
-3.86315 19.59334
Variance=(R-R_)2/N=3.918668
STANDARD DEVIATION = SQUARE ROOT (VARIANCE)=1.979562.
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*DIAGRAMATIC REPRESENTATION OF STANDARD DEVIATIONOF THE
COMPANIES:
S.NO COMPANY NAME STANDARD
DEVIATION
1 BHARATHI AIRTEL 1.76082
2 BHEL 0.686743
3 INFOSYS 0.438170
4 ITC 0.940440.
5 NTPC 1.078285
6 ONGC 0.7710499.
7 RANBAXY 0.99283.
8 SAIL 2.00807
9 SBI 0.601314.
10 TATA MOTORS 1.979562.