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1 Internet Access by Satellite Internet Access by Satellite The AGORA Project The AGORA Project Joel Joel Hamelin Hamelin ICTP 2 ICTP 2 nd nd March 2005 March 2005 Joel. hamelin @ csti .pm. gouv . fr

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1ICTP 2/03/20051

Internet Access by Satellite

The AGORA Project

Internet Access by SatelliteInternet Access by Satellite

The AGORA ProjectThe AGORA Project

JoelJoel Hamelin Hamelin

ICTP 2ICTP 2ndnd March 2005 March 2005

[email protected]

2ICTP 2/03/20052

Overview of access solutionOverview of access solution

in low density areasin low density areas

RemoteDSLAM

Aggregation

BRAS

AAA

ADSL, ADSL2,... (> 100 subs. / site)

2 Way SAT(< 20 subs./site)

x< 5 km

WIP, WiMax,...(100>x>50 subs./site)

x

x

SAT + Wi- Fi,... (20<x< 50 subs./site)

WIP+WLAN,...

< 5 km

< 15 km

3ICTP 2/03/20053

Economics of FlyingEconomics of Flying

Ku Band Wide beam satellitesKu Band Wide beam satellites

CAPEX * per Mbit/s IP transmitted in

k€

120

100

80

60

30

10

DVB SSatellite size scale effect

40 Tr 60 Tr

Payload power

9 kW 12 kW

(*) satellite cost + launch & insurance

150 – 200 M€ / 1,5 – 2 Gbit/s IP

Lease price 1.5 to 3 M€ / year / 36 MHz

Corporate Market - ISP Business PlanCurrent price for bandwidth ($3950 MHz/Month)

-14000000

-12000000

-10000000

-8000000

-6000000

-4000000

-2000000

0

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19

$499 monthly servicefee

$399 monthly servicefee

$299 monthly servicefee

$199 monthly servicefee

$129 monthly servicefee

Low sustainability for satellite ISP under current pricing conditions

Shiftingniche market

Terminal cost range:

1000€-1500€

4ICTP 2/03/20054

History of the initiativeHistory of the initiative

Agora : Affordable and Guaranteed Offer for Rural Access

European political willingness to close the « digital divide »

2004 : Design studies done by CNES and rapidly confirmedand detailed by strong industrial involvement (Alcatel, EADSspace, Thomson, …)

Market studies and Benchmarking of the solution tounderstand the conditions of private investment.

Framework suitable for private investment in a sustainableapproach

5ICTP 2/03/20055

Aim of Agora initiative:Aim of Agora initiative:

initiate the virtuous circleinitiate the virtuous circle

of new servicesof new services

CAPEX * in k€ for

1 Mbit/s transmitted

100

80

60

40

20

Ku DVB S

DVB S2

Ka band multibeam

Launched satellite costs incl insurance

1500

1000

500

300

CurrentKu

Ku or Ka

150

100

50

Current

User Terminal costs / site

Gateway cost

standardisation integrationMass production

CAPEX * in €

per resid user€

adaptivityNet size

Economical objectives of Agora initiative

6ICTP 2/03/20056

MultispotMultispot Coverage Coverage

Baseline : 40 spots of 0.65°European union (25 countries)

Multispot coverageHigh gain antennas x10Reusing the same frequency by geographical discriminationBandwidth enlargement, 36MHz to 500MHz

7ICTP 2/03/20057

Gateways OverviewGateways Overview

2

9

3

8

4

7

51

6 10

1911

1217

18

13

16

14

15

20 29

21

22

27

28

23

24

25

30

39

31

32

37

38

34

35

40263633

Polarisation 1

Polarisation 2

Twelve single polarisation gateway beams Gateway selection: some freedom to select the locations Gateway beams close to centre of user beams.

Each Gateway: Adaptive DVB S2 1 GHZ FW & RTN 4 spots Single polar Single amplifier

8ICTP 2/03/20058

space segment overviewspace segment overview

Simple robust design

Wide channels

Narrow spot beams - high gain >>EIRP, G/T- low C/I frequency reuse

14 Gbit/s Forward IP capacity

Return / Forward ratio : 1/2

9ICTP 2/03/20059

Designed to fully controlDesigned to fully control

the technical riskthe technical risk

Fully transparent satellite

Flight proven Platform

Mature technologies

5,4 tons class – 11 kW solar Power

10ICTP 2/03/200510

Agora traffic DensityAgora traffic Density

Mbits Mbits/s -/s - Nb Nb of lines of lines

Data rate per spot AGORA

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

0 0,5 1 1,5 2 2,5 3 3,5

Nomber of channel amplifiers satellite 100W RF

Déb

it IP

en

Mb

it/s

Débit/spot canalisation 250 MHzDébit/spot canalisation 166 MHzDébit/spot canalisation 125 MHz

250 MHz per spot standard

500 MHz per hot spot

Number de lines1 Mbit/s cont 50

30 000

20 000

10 000

5 000

Max

A European country is covered by 1 – 5 spots beamsTraffic density can be increased trough additional satellites

11ICTP 2/03/200511

Economical results of Agora spaceEconomical results of Agora space

segmentsegment

100

80

60

40

20

Ku DVB S

DVB S2

Capex : Launched satellite costs incl insurance per Mbit / s IP FWD + RTN

< 15 k€

10 15 20 G Bit/s210 240 275 M€

Launched Satellite 260/290 M€( depending on final sizing)48 channels Forward >> 14 Gbit/sIP12 channels return >> 7 Gbit/s IP10 TV channels (optional) >> 1 Gbit/s 3 carriers of 100 Mbit/s IP ( 250Mhz) /Spot

12ICTP 2/03/200512

What does it mean for theWhat does it mean for the

transmission cost ?transmission cost ?

Ku Wide beam >> renting 3 channels 1,5 M€ each ‘ 2 FW + 1 RTN for a total72 + 18 : 90 Mbit/s IP

Agora >> ISP may rent for 2 M€ 1 FWD channel ( 300 Mbit/s ) + 1/2 of returnchannel ( 150 Mbit/s)

Forward IPCapacity

Return IPCapacity

Average lease CostM € per year

2 M€ 4,5 M€

Agora

Ku DTH

13ICTP 2/03/200513

Economical resultsEconomical results

of Agora ground segmentof Agora ground segment

1500

1000

500

300

CurrentKu

Ku or Ka

150

100

50

Current

User Terminal costs / site

Gateway cost

Gain factor 3/5 : integrationMass production

CAPEX * in €

per resid user 20 k

Bit/s

Gain 2 / 3: adaptivitysize

< 300 €

75 €

Hub cost : 4-4,5 M€ for 1 Ghz, address 4spot beams, 1200 Gbit/s forward, 600Mbit/s return ( 75 € / Sub)

14ICTP 2/03/200514

Accessible Range of service &Accessible Range of service &

costscoststechnical costs onlytechnical costs only

2048

1024

512

256

1 10 25 50 100

28 € / mois

Minimum cost per monthbased on 2M€ / FWD channel1M€ / RTN channel

User terminal excluded

14 € / mois

7 € / mois

3.5 € / mois

141

€ / m

ois

56 €

/ m

ois21 € / m

ois

Peak rateMbit/s

Contention

residentialSoHo

SME

Ref Line

15ICTP 2/03/200515

A new era in SpaceA new era in Space

communication is startingcommunication is starting

IP star : Ku band over Asia Anik F2: Ka band in North America SES /Echostar: AMC 15 ….1: Ka band access &

TV over US Rainbow : full Ka band HD TV

Agora initiative

16ICTP 2/03/200516

Project statusProject status

Outputs :

Firm committing C/D proposal from Industry: end December 2004

Running development on adaptive DVB S 2 Gateways availability : beginning of 2006

Terminals under development availability : beginning 2006 for field trials & mid 2006 for mass production

Payload equipments EQM finalisation

Phase B close to termination, end January 2005

17ICTP 2/03/200517

Frequency planFrequency plan

– 250 MHz total bandwidth - 225 MHz useful bandwidth for European beams inexclusive band

– Capacity to add up to 250 MHz – non exclusive bandwith per spot ( hot spot)– 7 orbital slots full Ka band in coordination process

18ICTP 2/03/200518

Satellite TV platforms$32 billion

Hardware & middleware$6.7 billion

Thematic TV channels$15.5 billion

Transponder leasefor sat. TV platforms

$1.4 billion

Distributorsand final users

Transponder leasefor Internet access

$0.3 billion

Hardware & middleware$0.3 billion

Hardware & middleware$0.6 billion

Distributorsand final users

Two symmetrical modelsTwo symmetrical modelsDTH : mass market successDTH : mass market success

Sat BB : still an emerging niche marketSat BB : still an emerging niche market

Source: Euroconsult

Italics denotes estimates.Estimated revenues are for

satellite activity only

19ICTP 2/03/200519

Copyright NoteCopyright Note

All rights reserved ©2005 CSTI. (Conseil Stratégique desTechnologies de l’Information / Strategic Advisory Board onInformation Technologies)

These materials and any part of them may not be published,without the author's written permission.

These materials may be used freely for individual study,research, and education in not-for-profit applications.

you may contact the author at [email protected]

Acknowledgment: Part of the material is based on CNES studies(All rights reserved ©2004 CNES).