international workshop on regional products & income accounts
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INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP ON REGIONAL PRODUCTS & INCOME ACCOUNTS. 13 – 17 MAC 2010. ESTIMATION OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT BY STATE IN MALAYSIA. DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, MALAYSIA. Contents. Background Scope & coverage Concepts Compilation methods Major findings Issues & challenges. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, M
ALAYSIAESTIMATION OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT BY STATE IN MALAYSIA
INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP ON REGIONAL PRODUCTS & INCOME ACCOUNTS
13 – 17 MAC 2010
DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, MALAYSIA1
DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, M
ALAYSIA DEPARTM
ENT OF STATISTICS, MALAYSIA
Contents
• Background• Scope & coverage• Concepts• Compilation methods• Major findings• Issues & challenges
2
DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, M
ALAYSIA DEPARTM
ENT OF STATISTICS, MALAYSIA
Background
• GDP by economic sectors has been produced for two states, Sabah & Sarawak since 1970
Since 1970
• Review international best practice• Evaluate potential data sources• Proposed methodology
End 2007
• Compilation begins for the years 2005 & 2006June 2008
• Consultant, Dr Viet Vu Quang, review and evaluate the methodology
July 2009
DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, M
ALAYSIA DEPARTM
ENT OF STATISTICS, MALAYSIA
Background (cont'd)
• First time released GDP by state for the years 2005 & 2006Nov. 2009
• Released data for the year 2007
Feb. 2010
• Expected to release data for the year 2009April 2010
• Plan to be compiled annually • Data released at constant 2000 price
2011 Onwards
DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, M
ALAYSIA DEPARTM
ENT OF STATISTICS, MALAYSIA
5
Scope & Coverage
Compiled by kind of activity
Malaysia Industrial
Classification 2000
Breakdown of industry only available to release at 9 industries
Industries
DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, M
ALAYSIA DEPARTM
ENT OF STATISTICS, MALAYSIA
6
SOUTH CHINA SEA
LABUAN
Scope & Coverage (cont’d)States
DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, M
ALAYSIA DEPARTM
ENT OF STATISTICS, MALAYSIA
7
Concepts
Based on 1993 System of National Accounts
Adopted concepts used for the national estimates
Measured by using the production approach
DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, M
ALAYSIA DEPARTM
ENT OF STATISTICS, MALAYSIA
Concepts (cont’d)
• Allocates value added to the region where the production unit is resident
Resident
• Allocates activity to the region where it takes place• Any geographic area administered by States Government.
Economic territory
• Production activities that beyond centre of predominant economic interest for any states in Malaysia.
Supra State
8
DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, M
ALAYSIA DEPARTM
ENT OF STATISTICS, MALAYSIA
9
COM
MO
DITY
INDUSTRY
Compilation Methods
OUTPUT MATRIX: INDUSTRY BY COMMODITY BY STATES
DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, M
ALAYSIA DEPARTM
ENT OF STATISTICS, MALAYSIA
10
COM
MO
DITY
INDUSTRY
INPUT MATRIX: INDUSTRY BY COMMODITY BY STATES
Compilation Methods (cont’d)
DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, M
ALAYSIA DEPARTM
ENT OF STATISTICS, MALAYSIA
Compilation Methods (cont’d)
11
• Detailed data at establishment level is required• Censuses/surveys data and individual company
accounts are used
Bottom-up
• Allocates national level GDP estimates to states by using indicators
• Applied to activities that operates across many states and the activities not reflected in the data by state available
Top-down
DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, M
ALAYSIA DEPARTM
ENT OF STATISTICS, MALAYSIA
12
Major findings GDP by State
2005-2007
DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, M
ALAYSIA DEPARTM
ENT OF STATISTICS, MALAYSIA
13
GDP & PERCENTAGE SHARE BY STATE YEAR 2005, 2006 & 2007
-
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0 96.0(21.4%)
58.7(13.1%) 44.3
(9.9%) 43.9
(9.8%) 37.8(8.4%) 30.3
(6.7%) 25.3(5.6%)
23.9(5.3%)
20.7(4.6%) 16.2
(3.6%) 15.5
(3.4%) 12.4
(2.8%) 12.1
(2.7%) 7.5(1.7%) 2.6
(0.6%) 2.1
(0.5%)
-
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0 100.9(21.2%)
63.9(13.4%)
46.5(9.8%)
45.6(9.6%) 41.5
(8.7%) 29.5(6.2%)
26.6(5.6%)
25.5(5.4%) 22.1
(4.6%) 17.7(3.7%)
16.6(3.5%) 13.3
(2.8%) 13.1
(2.7%) 8.0(1.7%) 2.6
(0.5%) 2.2
(0.5%)
Sela
ngor
WPK
L
Joho
r
Sara
wak
Pula
u Pi
nang
Supr
a
Saba
h
Pera
k
Paha
ng
Nege
ri Se
mbi
lan
Keda
h
Tere
ngga
nu
Mel
aka
Kela
ntan
Perli
s
WP
Labu
an -
30.0
60.0
90.0
120.0 108.5
(21.5%)
69.7(13.8%) 48.0
(9.5%) 48.5
(9.6%) 44.3
(8.8%) 29.9(5.9%)
27.8(5.5%)
27.0(5.3%)
22.6(4.5%)
18.7(3.7%)
18.1(3.6%)
14.1(2.8%)
13.9(2.8%) 8.6
(1.7%) 2.8(0.6%)
2.3(0.5%)
2005
2006
2007
RM B
illio
nRM
Bill
ion
RM B
illio
n
DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, M
ALAYSIA DEPARTM
ENT OF STATISTICS, MALAYSIA
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GDP GROWTH BY STATE YEAR 2006 & 2007
2006
2007
Pula
u Pi
nang
Nege
ri Se
mbi
lan
WPK
L
Mel
aka
Keda
h
Paha
ng
Tere
ngga
nu
Pera
k
Kela
ntan
Saba
h
Sela
ngor
Joho
r
Sara
wak
WP
Labu
an
Perli
s
Supr
a
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
6.6%5.6%
9.0%
6.3%
8.7%
2.4%
6.5%5.8%
7.5%
4.5%
7.6%
3.3%
6.5%
5.1%
6.5%
1.6%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
9.9%8.9% 8.9%
8.4%7.5%
6.8% 6.7% 6.6%5.9% 5.4% 5.1% 5.0%
3.8% 3.8%
2.1%
-2.8%
DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, M
ALAYSIA DEPARTM
ENT OF STATISTICS, MALAYSIA
Issues & Challenges
15
• Needs to enhance the expertise.
Expertise
• Most surveys focused at national level• Limited of states indicators
Data limitation
DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, M
ALAYSIA
THANK YOU
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