international workshop on energy statistics baku, azerbaijan, 27-30 september 2011

International Workshop on Energy Statistics Baku, Azerbaijan, 27-30 September 2011

Experience of Azerbaijan on compilation of the Energy

Balance

Rauf Gurbanov, Deputy Head of department of Fuel-energy

and material balances statistics of State Statistical Committee of the Republic of Azerbaijan

[email protected]

29 September 2011 1

Previous structure of Energy Balance

Item Balance items1. Resources 1.1 Extraction (production)1.2 Import1.3 Stock at the beginning of year2. Distribution2.1 Consumption inside of the country

including:2.1.1 conversion into other type of energy2.1.2 production–technological and

other needs2.2 Losses 2.3 Export 2.4 Stock at the end of year

29 September 2011

12 rows

2

Example previous Energy Balance with data

5.21 Fuel-energy balances in 2006 (thousand ton conditional fuel)

Fuel-energy

resources- total

Natural fuel Other kind of

fuel-energy

resources

total

including: crude oil, including

gas condensate

natural gas

other

Resources 76 643 60 733 46 981 13 720 32 15 910Stock to the beginning of the year 2 593 1 842 838 997 7 751Production (extraction) 68 483 53 745 46 143 7 583 19 14 738Import 5 567 5 146 - 5 140 6 421

Divided 76 643 60 733 46 981 13 720 32 15 910Domestic сonsumption 32 786 22 475 10 799 11 654 22 10 311conversion of energy (electricity and heating) 7 993 6 058 - 6 058 - 1 935as raw material 11 899 11 082 10 705 377 - 817other needs 12 894 5 335 94 5 219 22 7 559

Losses 1 413 934 219 715 - 479Export 40 054 35 568 35 493 75 - 4 486Stock to the end of the year 2 390 1 756 470 1 276 10 634

29 September 2011 3

Shortages of previous Energy Balance

Having no analog in the international sphere; Absent of transformation sector, re-accounting of data; Non-application of consumption principles on several

consumption groups; Non-coverage of all energy products Absent of commodity balance conversion factors (TOE)

applied in international practice; Non-calculation of “statistical difference” indicator

characterizing energy balance data quality; Data flows, but not energy flows.

29 September 2011 4

Learning of structure of balance of IEA and Eurostat

(2006-2007)

Creating of model of energy balance on the base of Eurostat

( February, 2007)

Agreement structure of balance with all relation government organization

(December, 2007)

Submitted to Cabinet Ministries(December, 2007)

Reference from IEA, seminars, discussion, creating of working group

(2007-2008)

Steps for creating structure of National Energy Balance

5

Methodological basis of Energy Balance:

İnternational: Energy Statistics Manual. OECD/IEA, 2004; Methodological documents attached to questionnaire received from Eurostat, IEA, JODI and other

international organizations; International Recommendations for Energy Statistics. UN New York, 2011; etc.

National: Methodological recommendation on energy statistics (2008); Methodological recommendation on indicators system and calculation of the indicators (2009,2010); Methodological explanations on compilation of energy and commodity balances (2008, 2010) National conversion factors (2008) Classification of energy products (2011) etc.

29 September 2011 6

Purpose of energy balance (1)

Main purposes on working out of energy balance:

To achieve more transparency and effectiveness of energy sector applying international statistics standards in the country;

To determine the development trends of energy sector to make statistical application and analysis of changes and inclinations taken place in production and consumption structure of energy products;

To provide the country government with essential statistical information on compilation of national Energy balance, making decisions on energy fields for the next years.

29 September 2011 7

Purpose of energy balance (2)

Moreover, the energy balance is a multipurpose tool to: Enhance the relevance of energy statistics by providing comprehensive and reconciled data on the energy

situation on a national territory basis; Provide comprehensive information on the energy supply and demand on the national territory in order to

understand the energy security situation, the effective functioning of energy markets and other relevant policy goals, as well as to formulate energy policies;

Serve as a quality tool to ensure completeness, consistency and comparability of basic statistics; Ensure comparability between different reference periods and between different countries; Provide data for estimation of CO2 emissions with respect to national territory; Provide the basis for indicators of the energy’s role in the country’s economy; Calculate efficiencies of transformation processes occurring in the country (e.g., refining, electricity

production by combustion of fuels, etc.); Calculate the relative shares of the supply/consumption of various products (including renewable versus

non-renewable) of the country’s total supply/consumption; Provide an input for modeling and forecasting.

29 September 2011 8

Structural divisions taken part in compilation of Energy balance in the State Statistical Committee

Working group of development of Energy Statistics in SSC

(methodological recomendations and quality control)

Department of Industry, transport and communication

statistics (Production and transfer of energy

products)

Department of Fuel-energy and material balances statistics

(Transformation and communication of energy products)

andCOMPILATION ENERGY BALANCE

Department of Trade statistics

(Import and export)

29 September 2011 9

National conversion factors

№ Kind of energy products Net Calorific Values (Gj/metric tons)

By Azerbaijan By world

Lower Upper Lower Upper 1. Crude oil 43,1 45,3 40,1 44,82. Gasoline 43,2 46,3 42,5 44,83. Aviation gasoline 43,4 46,5 42,5 44,84. Jet fuel 43,2 46,2 42,0 44,85. Diesel oil 42,7 45,5 41,4 43,36. Kerosene 43,1 46,1 42,4 45,07. Fuel oil (low-sulphur) 42,5 45,4 39,8 41,78. Fuel oil (high-sulphur) 41,2 43,8 39,8 41,79. Natural gas (cubic meter) 35,9 38,9 36,0 39,02

10. LPG 47,4 52,4 44,8 52,2

Net Calorific Values for some energy products

29 September 2011 10

Questionnaires for formation of Energy Balance:

1. 06-extraction Data on extraction of crude oil and natural gas

2. 6-TG hydro Report on work of hydro electric station

3. 19-refinery Data on production refinery oil products

4. 35-production Data on production refinery qas products

5. 5-energy Data on input and transfer of oil and refinery oil products

6. 1-balance (oil) Data on balance of crude oil

7. 1-oil products Data on balance of oil products

8. 4-energy Data on consumption and transformation of oil products

9. 9-energy Data on resource of hydro and electrical energy

10. 2-gas Receiving and distribution of natural gas

11. 1-energy (household) Fuel and energy consumption of housholds


Questionnaires for formation of Energy Balance:


Production primary production petroleum and other secondary energy pro.

06-extraction; 6-TG hydro19-refinery; 35-refinery

Import-export State Custom Committee4-energy; 1-oil products

International bunkers 4-energyStock changes 4-energy, 1-refineryTransfers 5-energy, 4-energyTransformation processes crude oil other energy products

1-balance (oil)4-energy (II section)

Energy industry own use 4-enerji (III section)Losses crude oil natural gas electricity other energy products

1-balance (oil)2-gas9-energy4-energy

Final consumption* energy porposes non-energy porposes

4-energy (II section), 1-energy (household)4-energy (II section)

Formation of Energy Balance

Commodity balances

Conversion factors

Energy balance


Structure of Energy Balance

International standards – UNSD (previous Eurostat model)

Coverage of basic energy products (23 types and 5 groups of products) – 28 columns

Motion of products from energy formation to final consumption (50 rows)

– “Top block” Energy supply (8 rows)– “Middle block” Transfers, energy transformation, energy industry own use – and losses (12 rows)– “Bottom block” Final consumption (29 rows)– “Statistical differences” (in 2 row)


Energy Balance of Azerbaijan (flows)

“Top block”- Energy supply B C

Primary production 1.1 Imports 1.2 Exports 1.3 International Bunkers 1.4

International marine bunkers 1.4.1 International aviation bunkers 1.4.2

Stock changes (closing-opening stocks) 1.5Total energy supply 1

8 rows


Energy balance of Azerbaijan (flows)

“The middle block”. Transfers 3 Transformation processes 4 Electricity plants 4.1 CHP plants 4.2 Heat plants 4.3 Gas works 4.4 Blast furnaces 4.5 Oil refineries 4.6 Petrochemical plants 4.7 Other transformation processes 4.8 Energy industries own use 5 Losses 6

12 rows



“The bottom block”. Final consumption Final consumption 7Final energy consumption 7.1 Manufacturing, const. and non-fuel mining industries, Total 7.1.1 Iron and steel 7.1.1.1 Chemical and petrochemical 7.1.1.2 Non-ferrous metal 7.1.1.3 Non-metallic minerals 7.1.1.4 Transport equipment 7.1.1.5 Machinery 7.1.1.6 Mining and quarrying 7.1.1.7 Food and tobacco 7.1.1.8 Paper, pulp and print 7.1.1.9 Wood and wood products (Other than pulp and paper) 7.1.1.10 Textile and leather 7.1.1.11 Construction 7.1.1.12 Industries not elsewhere specified 7.1.1.13 Transport, total 7.1.2 Road 7.1.2.1 Rail 7.1.2.2 Domestic aviation 7.1.2.3 Domestic navigation 7.1.2.4 Pipeline transport 7.1.2.5 Transport not elsewhere specified 7.1.2.6 Other, total 7.1.3

Agriculture, forestry and fishing 7.1.3.1Commerce and public services 7.1.3.2Households 7.1.3.3Not elsewhere –specified 7.1.3.4

Non-energy use 7.2

29 rows

17


“Statistical differences”In the energy balance, the statistical difference is the numerical difference between the total supply of a energy product and the total use of it. It is presented in line 2 of the energy balance.

29 September 2011

Total energy supply 1 Statistical differences 2 Transfers 3

18

Products of Energy balance (columns)

№Energy

products, total

Crude oil

Natural bitumen

and asphalt

Refinery feedstock

Oil products,

total

Natural gas

Derived gas

Total renew. Energy

other fuels

Derived heat

Electrical energy (termal power stat.)

B C 1 2 3 4 5-17 18 19 20-25 26 27 28

Primary production 1.1

19

Further steps on improvement of Energy Balance:

– To accept the new recommendations on the basis of International Recommendations for Energy Statistics which is considered as unique methodology on energy statistics;

– To conduct the “sample survey on Energy consumption of natural persons (private owners)” for the purpose of indication of energy products consumed by natural persons by the sectors in final consumption sector of energy;

– To prepare the methodological explanations on estimation of unobserved part in the sector of energy balance final consumption, as well as data on households and private owners;

– To prepare new indicators by training of advanced experiences in energy statistics;– To prepare the methodological conception on the system of statistical processes management

regarding to energy statistics and energy balance compilation;– To prepare the metadata system on reports applied in energy statistics;– To continue the constant improvement of data quality;– Etc.

20

International Workshop on Energy Statistics Baku, Azerbaijan, 27-30 September 2011

Thank you for attention!


international workshop on energy statistics baku, azerbaijan, 27-30 september 2011

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