International Space 2013

Douglas MessierParabolicarc.com

International Investments & Partnerships

Virgin Galactic SpaceShipTwo & LauncherOne Virgin Group (UK) Aabar Investments (Abu Dhabi) – $490 Million Abu Dhabi spaceport Spaceport Sweden

XCOR Lynx Space Expedition Corporation (Netherlands) Curacao spaceport Lynx campaign closed PR gap w/ VG

Russia

Angara Modular LV family from light to heavy-lift Replaces Proton, Zenit, Dnepr First flight October/November 2013 Possible LV for Soyuz replacement (c. 2018)

Soyuz 2.1v Domestic light launch vehicle NK-33 engine First flight second half of 2013

Russia

Vostochny Major construction underway First launch 2015 Human missions in 2018 (Soyuz or PPTS)

Baikonur Kazahkstan wants to renegotiate lease (2050) Russians run spaceport and city Russia reaffirmed lease

Russia

Announced 2010 Energia, Roscosmos 7 crew members Tourism, research Launch: 2015-16 No funding identified No recent news

Orbital Technologies Commercial Space Station

Russia

Announced Years Ago 1 Pilot, 2 billionauts $150 million apiece 1 passenger signed Test flight needed Commercial flight NLT January 2017 No recent news

Space Adventures Circum-lunar Trip

Russia

Leads in launches (25 in '12) – but nothing else New strategic plan to improve across-the-board US $52 billion in spending through 2020 Restore Soviet-era capabilities by 2015 New technological breakthroughs 2015-2020 Raise global market share from 10 to 16% PPTS Soyuz replacement circa 2018 (6 seats)

Russia

Reorganize entire space sector Sector operating at 30-40% capacity Effective bankruptcy of certain firms Roscosmos very small, supervision difficult Solution – consolidation under Roscosmos Potential problems

Destroy competitiveness Extreme disruption

Russia

Space czar – Deputy PM Dmitry Rogozin Improve quality control system Worker training and education consortium Increased industry salaries Corruption crackdown

1 in 5 rubles lost through waste, fraud Russian Space Systems – GLONASS fraud Skolkovo Foundation – fraud investigation

China

Second in launches with 19 in 2012 2 commercial launches last year New Long March 5 delayed to 2015 Tiangong-1 mission set for June First lunar lander with rover this summer ISS-style space station in 2020 Plan for manned lunar missions uncertain

China

Cooperation with U.S. blocked by Congress Even scientific cooperation difficult Investigations into espionage Widespread hacking of U.S. servers (JPL)

Cooperation with ESA & others growing Possible European astronauts on Shenzhou Cooperation with Italy on space modules Possibly alternative to ISS continuation

India

Privatize PSLV and comsats – 2018 PSLV is only reliable launch vehicle (21-1-1) GSLV-II highly unreliable (2-4-1) Only 7 launches in 12 years Limited payload – 2.5 metric tons to GTO GSLV-II with domestic cryogenic stage in July GSLV-II cryogenic stage failure in April 2010

India

GSLV-III Under Development Larger rocket: 10 tons (LEO), 4 tons (GTO) Different design and technology from GSLV-II Scheduled test launch in 2014

Human Spaceflight Program Overly ambitious – on hold until 2020s Initial studies underway but not much Rejected idea of foreign collaboration

India

Foreign Cooperation U.S. lifted sanctions against country Trade mission last year Boeing, other companies interested Outcome of commercial cooperation uncertain New NASA cooperative agreement SBSP satellite cooperation with NSS Possible SBSP cooperation with China

Brazil

Cyclone 4 – Medium launch vehicle Upgraded version of Soviet-era

Cyclone 3 Joint Brazilian-Ukrainian project Alcantara Launch Center –

equatorial First launch NET 2015

Brazil

Scaled back launcher plan Formerly based on Russian

Angara Smaller launch vehicles,

more domestic involvement Smallsat launcher (VLM-1)

with Germany Sufficient government funding? SpaceX visit to AEB in January

Backup Slides

India

PSLV remains workhorse Only reliable Indian satellite launcher (21-1-1) 3,250 kg/7,200 lbs. (LEO); 1,410 kg/3,100 lbs.

(GTO) 4 stages – 3 solid, 1 liquid Marketing arrangement w/ Arianespace Mars spacecraft set for launch in late 2013

Japan

Epsilon light launcher Solid fuel stages 1.2 metric tons to LEO Highly automated, cheaper Replaces M-V rocket First launch in August or

September 2013

Japan

Basic Space Law – 2008 Support commercial space through:

– Procurement of goods and services

– Cutting edge R&D and tech transfer

– Taxation and fnancial policies

– Maintenance of launch sites and infrastructure Simplified complex space policy structure “Non-military” to “non-aggressive” use of space

Ukraine

Coasting on Soviet era technology Cyclone 4 project with Brazil Zenit Sea Launch & Land Launch

– reliability & financial issues Dnepr – negotiations with Russia Orbital Antares first stage Dim ESA membership prospects

South Korea

Naro-1 project completed Successful launch in January Russian first stage prototype for

Angara South Korean upper stage and

satellite Domestic launcher by 2021 – 1.5

metric tons to LEO

Israel

Internationally competitive space sector Optical and radar surveillance satellites Advanced components and technologies Small launch vehicles Cooperation agreement with ESA Not on path for full ESA membership