interiors forecast trends & demand - aviation...
TRANSCRIPT
Interiors Forecast
Trends & Demand
Source: Aviation Week 2016 Fleet & MRO Forecasts, Copyright 2016
Brian R. Kough | Director, Forecasts & Aerospace Insights | Arlington, VA
Source: Aviation Week 2016 Fleet & MRO Forecasts, Copyright 2016
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
2016 2019 2022 2025
U.S
. $
Millio
ns
IFE Modifications
Interiors Modifications
2016 – 2025 World IFE & Interior Modifications Demand
IFE Modifications Regional MRO Demand
Source: Aviation Week 2016 Fleet & MRO Forecasts, Copyright 2016
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
2016 2019 2022 2025
US $
Millio
n
Unknown
India
Africa
Eastern Europe
Latin America
China
North America
Western Europe
Middle East
Asia Pacific
Asia Pacific leads IFE modifications demand, $2.4 billion growing at 5.1%
IFE Airbus & Boeing aircraft are responsible
for 82% of the 10-year market demand
Airbus A330
Source: Aviation Week 2016 Fleet & MRO Forecasts, Copyright 2016
Boeing 777
Source: Aviation Week 2016 Fleet & MRO Forecasts, Copyright 2016
Interior Modifications Regional MRO Demand
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2016 2019 2022 2025
US $
Millio
n
Unknown
India
Eastern Europe
Africa
China
Latin America
North America
Western Europe
Asia Pacific
Middle East
The Middle East leads in Interiors Modifications at $4.3 billion
Source: Aviation Week 2016 Fleet & MRO Forecasts, Copyright 2016
Asia Pacific Middle East Western Europe Top IFE Regions
Top 3 IFEC $
Demand Rankings
2016-2025 26% 21% 18%
China Eastern Europe Asia Pacific Top Aircraft IFE
Region’s Demand
per Aircraft
2016-2025 $69.2k/AC $69.0k/AC $65.8k/AC
North America Western Europe Asia Pacific* Top Fleet Size
Regions by Average
In-Service Fleet
2016-2025 23% 18% 17%
Asia Pacific leads in IFE components & mods, China on spend per aircraft
*China ranks 4th with 14%
Over 9,900 Commercial Aircraft
Retiring by 2025;
4,280 Aircraft from North America Alone
Over 24,300 New
Commercial Aircraft
Delivered by 2026
8,000 - Asia Pacific*
5,450 - North America
A320neo 737 MAX
787s A350s *Asia Pacific aircraft #s include China
Deliveries
Source: Aviation Week 2016 Fleet & MRO Forecasts, Copyright 2016
24%
20%
12%
12%
11%
8%
5%
5% 3%
0% 0%
0%
0% 0% 0%
B777 A330
B787 B737
A380 A320
A350 B747
B767 B757
DC9 ERJ170
CRJ B717
A300
2016 – 2025 IFE 10-Year Demand by Aircraft Family
Source: Aviation Week 2016 Fleet & MRO Forecasts, Copyright 2016
12%
11%
9%
4%
4%
3% 3%
3% 3% 3%
3%
44%
USA
UNITED ARAB EMIRATES
CHINA
UNITED KINGDOM
JAPAN
GERMANY
SINGAPORE
SOUTH KOREA
QATAR
FRANCE
HONG KONG
Others
2016 – 2025 World IFE MRO Demand Share
Source: Aviation Week 2016 Fleet & MRO Forecasts, Copyright 2016
25%
11%
10%
8%
7%
5%
5%
5%
4%
4%
15%
CHINA
JAPAN
SINGAPORE
SOUTH KOREA
HONG KONG
AUSTRALIA
THAILAND
TAIWAN
MALAYSIA
INDONESIA
OTHERS
2016 – 2025
Top Countries Asia Pacific IFE MRO Demand Share
Source: Aviation Week 2016 Fleet & MRO Forecasts, Copyright 2016
MRO
Demand Growth
In-Service
Aircraft Growth
IFE
MRO Growth
Interiors Growth
4.1%
3.3%
4.8%
4.8%
High Growth Rate in both IFE & Interiors Demand 2016-2025 Worldwide
Source: Aviation Week 2016 Fleet & MRO Forecasts, Copyright 2016
MRO
Demand Growth
In-Service
Aircraft Growth
IFE
MRO Growth
Interiors Growth
5.8%
5.5%
5.4%
5.6%
High Growth Rate in both IFE & Interiors Demand 2016-2025 Asia Pacific
FOR MORE INFORMATION, VISIT:
www.aviationweek.com/2016forecasts
CONTACT:
Brian Kough at [email protected]
Source: Aviation Week 2016 Fleet & MRO Forecasts, Copyright 2016