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Interim Report January - September 2004 4 th November 2004 Stockholm

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Page 1: Interim Report - securitas.com · Interim Report January - September 2004 5 Key Financial Data Recovery in Cash Handling Services drives extra strong performance in Q3 MSEK Sales

Interim ReportJanuary - September 2004

4th November 2004Stockholm

Page 2: Interim Report - securitas.com · Interim Report January - September 2004 5 Key Financial Data Recovery in Cash Handling Services drives extra strong performance in Q3 MSEK Sales

Interim Report January - September 2004 2

Agenda

q Introduction Henrik Brehmer

q Group Summary Thomas Berglund

q Divisional Performance Thomas Berglundq Financial Review Håkan Winberg

q The Focus Thomas Berglundq Q&A Thomas Berglund

Håkan Winbergq Closing Henrik Brehmer

Information meeting

Page 3: Interim Report - securitas.com · Interim Report January - September 2004 5 Key Financial Data Recovery in Cash Handling Services drives extra strong performance in Q3 MSEK Sales

Group Summary

Page 4: Interim Report - securitas.com · Interim Report January - September 2004 5 Key Financial Data Recovery in Cash Handling Services drives extra strong performance in Q3 MSEK Sales

Interim Report January - September 2004 4

Q3 Highlights9M - 04

“Our previous forecast for 2004 of an increase in income before taxes of15- 20 %, adjusted for changes in exchange rates - maintained”

“Our previous forecast for 2004 of an increase in income before taxes of15- 20 %, adjusted for changes in exchange rates - maintained”

Q3 - 03

q Continued sales growth improvement 4% 3% -4%

q Increased operating margin 7.0% 6.5% 6.2%

q Services Europe speeding up

q Services USA stabilizing

q Strong improvement y-on-y in Cash Handling Services

Q3 - 04

Page 5: Interim Report - securitas.com · Interim Report January - September 2004 5 Key Financial Data Recovery in Cash Handling Services drives extra strong performance in Q3 MSEK Sales

Interim Report January - September 2004 5

Key Financial Data

Recovery in Cash Handling Services drives extrastrong performance in Q3

MSEK

Sales 15,182 14,774 3 44,465 44,174 1

Organic sales growth, % 1 4 -4 3 -4

Operating income 1,063 912 17 2,887 2,648 9

Real Change, % 20 -14 13 -13

Operating margin, % 7.0 6.2 6.5 6.0

Income before taxes 630 475 33 1,627 1,340 21

Real Change, % 35 -25 23 -23

Free cash flow 512 411 25 1,512 788 92

% of adjusted income 73 72 78 48

Return on capital employed, % - - - 19 18 -

¹ Adjusted for changes in exchange rates, acquisitions and divestitures

9M - 20039M - 2004Q3 - 2003Q3 - 2004

TotalChange

%

TotalChange

%

Page 6: Interim Report - securitas.com · Interim Report January - September 2004 5 Key Financial Data Recovery in Cash Handling Services drives extra strong performance in Q3 MSEK Sales

Divisional Performance

Page 7: Interim Report - securitas.com · Interim Report January - September 2004 5 Key Financial Data Recovery in Cash Handling Services drives extra strong performance in Q3 MSEK Sales

Interim Report January - September 2004 7

Security Services USA

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

22,000

9M-00 9M-01 9M-02 9M-03 9M-040%

2%

4%

6%

8%

Total sales, MSEK Op.Margin, %

Total sales &operating margin

Key Drivers: (annualized)

q Contract portfolio growth 0 %q Wages and prices up 1,5 %q Client retention 89 % (88)q Employee turnover 60 % (65)

q Increases in SUI and Medical costs not compensated byprice and efficiency - especially some large clients

q Revenue per day is nearly back to the beginning of theyear and increasing - but gross margin continues to beunder pressure

q Organization up to speed - better performance forcoming quarters expected

¹ Calculated after the reversal of the sale of account recevables of MSEK 1,655 (1,724)

Total sales 4,839 5,306 14,412 15,883Organic sales growth, % -2 -10 -2 -11

Operating income 244 305 727 882Operating margin, % 5.0 5.7 5.0 5.6

Op. cap employed as % of sales¹ - - 5 6Capital employed ¹ - - 7,082 8,068

ROCE, % - - 14 16

Q3 Q3 9M 9MMSEK 2004 2003 2004 2003

Page 8: Interim Report - securitas.com · Interim Report January - September 2004 5 Key Financial Data Recovery in Cash Handling Services drives extra strong performance in Q3 MSEK Sales

Interim Report January - September 2004 8

4%

5%

6%

7%

q1 q2 q3 q4 q1 q2 q3 q4 q1 q2 q3 q4 q1 q2 q3

Op.margin

600

625

650

675

700

725

750

q1 q2 q3 q4 q1 q2 q3 q4 q1 q2 q3 q4 q1 q2 q3

Sales

Security Services USA

September 11

2001 2002 2003 2004

Sales, MUSD Operating Margin, %

September 11

q Organic sales• Stable and slowly picking up• Positive trend expected to

continue in Q4

q Operating margin• Stable at a modest level• Expected to remain stable Q4

2001 2002 2003 2004

Page 9: Interim Report - securitas.com · Interim Report January - September 2004 5 Key Financial Data Recovery in Cash Handling Services drives extra strong performance in Q3 MSEK Sales

Interim Report January - September 2004 9

Security Services Europe

Key Drivers: (annualized)

q Contract portfolio growth 5 %q Wages and prices up 3 %q Client retention above 90 % (90)q Employee turnover 35 % (33)

q Organic sales growth driven by servicerefinement and a somewhat improved market

q Margin improvement driven by servicerefinement and cost control

q Full year organic sales growth expected to bejust below portfolio growth

0

2,500

5,000

7,500

10,000

12,500

15,000

17,500

20,000

9M-00 9M-01 9M-02 9M-03 9M-044%

5%

6%

7%

8%

Total sales, MSEK Op.Margin, %

Total sales &operating margin

Total sales 6,098 5,817 17,933 17,485Organic sales growth, % 6 1 4 3

Operating income 472 432 1,285 1,216Operating margin, % 7.7 7.4 7.2 7.0

Op. cap employed as % of sales - - 8 11Capital employed - - 6,029 7,109

ROCE, % - - 29 24

Q3 Q3 9M 9MMSEK 2004 2003 2004 2003

Page 10: Interim Report - securitas.com · Interim Report January - September 2004 5 Key Financial Data Recovery in Cash Handling Services drives extra strong performance in Q3 MSEK Sales

Interim Report January - September 2004 10

Security Systems

0

400

800

1,200

1,600

2,000

2,400

2,800

3,200

3,600

9M-00 9M-01 9M-02 9M-03 9M-040%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

Total sales, MSEK Op.Margin, %

Total sales &operating margin

q Overall strong performance

– Refinement of organization drives margin - 11.6% excl. Bell

– Acquisitions (Eurotelis & Bell) on track

q Organic sales growth negatively impacted by internal reorganization

following the acquisitions

Total sales 1,232 903 3,376 2,827Organic sales growth, % 3 6 2 6

Operating income 127 85 368 293Operating margin, % 10.3 9.4 10.9 10.4

Op. cap employed as % of sales - - 14 18Capital employed - - 3,001 1,317

ROCE, % - - 17 31

Q3 Q3 9M 9MMSEK 2004 2003 2004 2003

Page 11: Interim Report - securitas.com · Interim Report January - September 2004 5 Key Financial Data Recovery in Cash Handling Services drives extra strong performance in Q3 MSEK Sales

Interim Report January - September 2004 11

Direct

q New consumer concept developed in allcountries - current focus on Sweden, Franceand the Netherlands - will drive organic salesgrowth

q Third party monitoring drives marginimprovement

Key Drivers:

q 109,681 new alarms installed intraditional Direct - sales speedincreased 32%

q Portfolio growth in traditionalDirect 28% to 523,525 connectedalarms

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

9M-00 9M-01 9M-02 9M-03 9M-042%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

Total sales, MSEK Op.Margin, %

Total sales &operating margin

Total sales 669 554 1,925 1,600Organic sales growth, % 22 20 21 19

Operating income 79 60 193 136Operating margin, % 11.8 10.8 10.0 8.5

Op. cap employed as % of sales - - 31 30Capital employed - - 1,302 1,161

ROCE, % - - 19 17

Q3 Q3 9M 9MMSEK 2004 2003 2004 2003

Page 12: Interim Report - securitas.com · Interim Report January - September 2004 5 Key Financial Data Recovery in Cash Handling Services drives extra strong performance in Q3 MSEK Sales

Interim Report January - September 2004 12

Cash Handling Services

q Organic sales growth and operating margin back on track

q Successful bid for Valiance establishes Securitas as a market leader in France -consolidated from October 16, 2004

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

9M-00 9M-01 9M-02 9M-03 9M-040%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

Total sales, MSEK Op.Margin, %

Total sales &operating margin

Total sales 2,510 2,357 7,324 6,896Organic sales growth, % 6 -1 4 -5

Operating income 218 119 503 319Operating margin, % 8.7 5.0 6.9 4.6

Op. cap employed as % of sales - - 27 25Capital employed - - 5,157 5,119

ROCE, % - - 14 11

Q3 Q3 9M 9MMSEK 2004 2003 2004 2003

Page 13: Interim Report - securitas.com · Interim Report January - September 2004 5 Key Financial Data Recovery in Cash Handling Services drives extra strong performance in Q3 MSEK Sales

Financial Review

Page 14: Interim Report - securitas.com · Interim Report January - September 2004 5 Key Financial Data Recovery in Cash Handling Services drives extra strong performance in Q3 MSEK Sales

Interim Report January - September 2004 14

Rolling 12 Months Trend

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

q1 q2 q3 q4 q1 q2 q3 q4 q1 q2 q3 q4 q1 q2 q3 q4 q1 q2 q3 q4 q1 q2 q3 q4 q1 q2 q30

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Sales Income before taxes

1998 20001999 2001 20032002 2004

Page 15: Interim Report - securitas.com · Interim Report January - September 2004 5 Key Financial Data Recovery in Cash Handling Services drives extra strong performance in Q3 MSEK Sales

Interim Report January - September 2004 15

-40%

0%

40%

80%

120%

Q1-01 Q2-01 Q3-01 Q4-01 Q1-02 Q2-02 Q3-02 Q4-02 Q1-03 Q2-03 Q3-03 Q4-03 Q1-04 Q2-04 Q3-04

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

Q1-01 Q2-01 Q3-01 Q4-01 Q1-02 Q2-02 Q3-02 Q4-02 Q1-03 Q2-03 Q3-03 Q4-03 Q1-04 Q2-04 Q3-04

Quarterly Year-on-Year Trends

Organic sales growth, %, 2001-2004 Income before taxes, real change, %, 2001 - 2004

Page 16: Interim Report - securitas.com · Interim Report January - September 2004 5 Key Financial Data Recovery in Cash Handling Services drives extra strong performance in Q3 MSEK Sales

Interim Report January - September 2004 16

IncomeMSEK

Total Sales 15,182.1 14,773.7 44,464.6 44,173.9 58,850.3 65,685.3Organic sales growth, % 4 -4 3 -4 -3 8

Operating income 1,062.9 911.9 2,886.6 2,647.8 3,732.0 4,458.4Real Change, % 20 -14 13 -13 -9 20Operating margin, % 7.0 6.2 6.5 6.0 6.3 6.8

Net financial items -132.2 -148.6 -393.8 -459.8 -596.8 -782.3Operating income after financial items 930.7 763.3 2,492.8 2,188.0 3,135.2 3,676.1Real Change, % 24 -15 17 -13 -9 29

Amortization of goodwill -301.1 -288.8 -865.5 -848.4 -1,137.0 -1,164.5

Income before taxes 629.6 474.5 1,627.3 1,339.6 1,998.2 2,511.6Real Change, % 35 -25 23 -23 -17 38

Current taxes -229.9 -192.8 -559.5 -529.1 -675.2 -620.8Deferred taxes -6.3 13.1 -50.8 22.7 -78.9 -376.2Minority share in net income -0.1 -0.7 -0.4 -1.0 -1.8 -28.8Full tax rate, % 37.7 39.7Net income for the period 393.3 294.1 1,016.6 832.2 1,242.3 1,485.8Net income excluding goodwill 694.4 582.9 1,882.1 1,680.6 2,379.3 2,650.3

EPS before goodwill 1.86 1.57 5.06 4.55 6.43 7.23EPS after goodwill 1.07 0.81 2.78 2.33 3.45 4.14

9M - 2003Jan-Sept

9M - 2004Jan-Sept

Q3 - 2003Jul-Sept

Q3 - 2004Jul-Sept

FY - 2003Jan-Dec

FY - 2002Jan-Dec

Page 17: Interim Report - securitas.com · Interim Report January - September 2004 5 Key Financial Data Recovery in Cash Handling Services drives extra strong performance in Q3 MSEK Sales

Interim Report January - September 2004 17

2003 PBT adjusted for current exchange rates is MSEK 1,970- forecast +15% (MSEK 2,265) to +20% (MSEK 2,364)

7.00

7.50

8.00

8.50

9.00

9.50

10.00

10.50

11.00

11.50

dec

mar

jun

sep

dec

mar

jun

sep

dec

mar

jun

sep

dec

mar

jun

sep

dec

mar

jun

sep

dec

mar

jun

sep

SEK/USD exch. rate 1999 - 2004

$ 8.07

$ 10.58

$ 9.53

$ 8.52

SEK/USD

$ 8.82$ 7.27

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

$ 7.55

Average book rateExchange rate

$ 7.10

Page 18: Interim Report - securitas.com · Interim Report January - September 2004 5 Key Financial Data Recovery in Cash Handling Services drives extra strong performance in Q3 MSEK Sales

Interim Report January - September 2004 18

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow MSEK

Operating activities

Op. income before amortization of goodwill 1,062.9 911.9 2,886.6 2,647.8 3,732.0 4,458.4

Investments in fixed assets -395.9 -427.4 -1,259.6 -1,317.1 -1,718.6 -1,746.1

Depreciation (excl. amortization of goodwill) 413.9 393.7 1,203.1 1,153.7 1,564.1 1,493.5

Change in accounts receivable -186.9 -223.4 -166.2 -358.4 -368.1 808.6

Changes in other operating capital employed -37.8 97.5 -429.4 -540.5 -282.2 173.8

Cash flow from operating activities 856.2 752.3 2,234.5 1,585.5 2,927.2 5,188.2

Cash flow from operating activities % 81 82 77 60 78 116

Net financial items paid -199.2 -221.2 -390.9 -465.9 -615.0 -794.6

Income taxes paid -144.9 -120.4 -331.9 -331.6 -510.9 -678.2

Free cash flow 512.1 410.7 1,511.7 788.0 1,801.3 3,715.4

Free cash flow, % 73 72 78 48 73 122

Cash flow from investing activities, acquisitions -17.4 -75.1 -1,877.4 -1,282.1 -1,307.8 -1,709.7

Cash flow from financing activities, dividend - - -730.1 -730.1 -730.1 -542.0

Cash flow from financing activities, other 467.6 435.9 177.9 1,764.4 2,302.4 571.5

Cash flow for the period 962.3 771.5 -917.9 540.2 2,065.8 2,035.2

9M - 2003Jan-Sept

9M - 2004Jan-Sept

Q3 - 2003Jul-Sept

Q3 - 2004Jul-Sept

FY - 2003Jan-Dec

FY - 2002Jan-Dec

Page 19: Interim Report - securitas.com · Interim Report January - September 2004 5 Key Financial Data Recovery in Cash Handling Services drives extra strong performance in Q3 MSEK Sales

Interim Report January - September 2004 19

Capital Employed and Financing

MSEK

Operating capital employed 5,565.5 5,381.9 5,521.4 5,722.9 5,780.6 4,890.9

Return on op. cap. employed, % 72 70 72 72 76 83

Op. cap. employed as % of sales 9 9 9 10 10 7

Goodwill 15,633.2 16,203.8 14,777.8 15,351.7 16,143.3 16,672.2

Capital employed 21,198.7 21,585.7 20,299.2 21,074.6 21,923.9 21,563.1

Return on capital employed, % 19 18 18 18 19 21

Net debt -10,184.0 -10,795.0 -9,082.5 -10,094.4 -10,801.3 -9,886.8

Minority interest 16.4 12.6 15.6 14.8 14.4 13.2

Shareholders’ equity 10,998.3 10,778.1 11,201.1 10,965.4 11,108.2 11,663.1

Net debt equity ratio/multiple 0.93 1.00 0.81 0.92 0.97 0.85

Sep 30

2003

Dec 31Jun 30

2004

Sep 30 Jun 30

2002

Dec 31

Page 20: Interim Report - securitas.com · Interim Report January - September 2004 5 Key Financial Data Recovery in Cash Handling Services drives extra strong performance in Q3 MSEK Sales

The Focus

Page 21: Interim Report - securitas.com · Interim Report January - September 2004 5 Key Financial Data Recovery in Cash Handling Services drives extra strong performance in Q3 MSEK Sales

Interim Report January - September 2004 21

The Focus

q Continued improvements– Developed organization in

Services Europe and CashHandling Services

– Fast expansion in Direct– Ongoing segmentation in Systems

q Focus on growth andmargins in Security ServicesUSA

Share of operating result, MSEK

Stable

Improving

Full year forecast 2004maintained:15-20 % increase inPBT

Full year forecast 2004maintained:15-20 % increase inPBT0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Security Services USA

Security Systems

Security Services Europe

CHSDirect

Page 22: Interim Report - securitas.com · Interim Report January - September 2004 5 Key Financial Data Recovery in Cash Handling Services drives extra strong performance in Q3 MSEK Sales

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