interim financial results presentation 2007 | unite group plc · unite yield vs uk commercial...
TRANSCRIPT
Key themes
� Strong progress against strategy
- Completion of USAF and strong fund performance over first six
months
- Deepened pipeline in London and high quality University markets
- Capital Cities JV fully invested
1
� Solid NAV growth
- 8.3% increase in adjusted, fully diluted NAV per share
- Driven by development activity, rental growth and yields
� Intention to complete move to Developer – Co-investing asset manager model
- Unwind of UFO and associated asset management programme
- Capital release to fund further development
� Stable valuation outlook
- 5.7% average stabilised yield at June 07
- Expect yields to be more resilient than other sectors in coming
months
Headline results
2
2
↑ 32%78%110%110%Adjusted gearing (net debt as % of adjusted NAV)
↑ 2%33,94434,65234,652Completed and managed beds at end of period
↑ 20%£1.09bn££1.31bn1.31bnPortfolio value (including share of JVs)
PortfolioPortfolioPortfolioPortfolio
↑↑↑↑ 17%17%17%17%££££2.3m2.3m2.3m2.3m££££££££2.7m2.7m2.7m2.7m2.7m2.7m2.7m2.7mAdjusted profit before taxAdjusted profit before taxAdjusted profit before taxAdjusted profit before tax
↓ 53%£61.5m££29.2m29.2mReported profit before tax
↓ 27%£49.5m££35.9m35.9mInvestment segment revenue
EarningsEarningsEarningsEarnings
↑↑↑↑ 8.38.38.38.3%%%%425p425p425p425p460p460p460p460p460p460p460p460pAdjusted NAV per share (fully diluted)Adjusted NAV per share (fully diluted)Adjusted NAV per share (fully diluted)Adjusted NAV per share (fully diluted)
↑ 8.2%428p463p463pAdjusted NAV per share
↑ 6.6%391p417p417pBasic NAV per share (IFRS)
Net Asset ValueNet Asset ValueNet Asset ValueNet Asset Value
ChangeChangeChangeChangeHI 2006HI 2006HI 2006HI 2006YE 2006YE 2006YE 2006YE 2006H1 2007H1 2007H1 2007H1 2007H1 2007H1 2007H1 2007H1 2007
Market update
3
Student MarketStudent MarketStudent MarketStudent Market
Demand Update
� Applications up 5.8% for 2007/08 academic
year
� Demographics continue favourable trend
� Government target maintained at 50% of all
18-30 year olds entering Higher Education
(current 43%)
� International students currently 14% of total
Competition and Supply
� General shortage of quality supply
� Universities upgrading or replacing existing
stock – not net suppliers
� Private landlords constrained by housing
shortage and Housing Act
� Competition remains regional/local
Investment MarketInvestment MarketInvestment MarketInvestment Market
UNITE yield vs UK Commercial Property
� Increasing investment in the sector
- £600m+ investment deals in last 12 months
- Increase in funds targeting sector
� Shortage of quality investment product
� Quasi-residential characteristics
� Yields remain well above property sector average
� Student rents resilient to economic cycles
4.00%4.20%4.40%4.60%4.80%5.00%5.20%5.40%5.60%5.80%6.00%6.20%6.40%6.60%6.80%
2004 H1 2005 2005 H1 2006 2006 H1 2007Initial Yield %
Uni te Completed Por tfol ioUni te Completed Por tfol ioUni te Completed Por tfol ioUni te Completed Por tfol io IPD Al l Proper tyIPD Al l Proper tyIPD Al l Proper tyIPD Al l Proper ty
Delivering our strategy -
USAF
Riverside Point, Nottingham
Beaumont Court, London
The Plaza, Leeds
The Bakery, Cardiff Central Quay, Sheffield 4
� USAF second closing April 2007
- Maximum £370m equity raised
- Oversubscribed
- Diversification benefits attractive
� Strong fund performance
- Total return of 14%
- £4.4m performance and management fees
accrued in H107
� Strategic benefits underlined
- £500m take-out capacity
- Next tranche of assets to be transferred Q4 07
- No redemptions until December 2009
Delivering our strategy –Deepening pipeline with focus on qualityDeepening pipeline with focus on qualityDeepening pipeline with focus on qualityDeepening pipeline with focus on quality
5
� Significant acquisition activity
- 3,143 beds secured for future delivery
� Focus on London and high quality markets
- Strongest and most resilient demand
- Largest proportion of international students
- Significant undersupply from specialist
providers
� Delivering valuable planning consents
- 11 achieved in period
- Remains a key strength
3543543543543,1433,1433,1433,143TotalTotalTotalTotal
775
1,608
760
BedsBedsBedsBeds
* Oxford, Cambridge, Reading
72New Cities
94Established cities
188London
Est Value Est Value Est Value Est Value ££££mmmm
Secured in the periodSecured in the periodSecured in the periodSecured in the period
3,2353,2353,2353,235
2,134
1,101
BedsBedsBedsBeds
339339339339TotalTotalTotalTotal
138Rest of UK
201London
Est Value Est Value Est Value Est Value ££££mmmm
Planning consents in the periodPlanning consents in the periodPlanning consents in the periodPlanning consents in the period
332332332332
28282828
220220220220
528528528528
LondonLondonLondonLondon
Varsity /Varsity /Varsity /Varsity /High GrowthHigh GrowthHigh GrowthHigh Growth
UniUniUniUniPartnershipPartnershipPartnershipPartnership
EstablishedEstablishedEstablishedEstablished
The Development
portfolio
Riverside Point -Completed September 2006
6
1,32614,464
86511,478Reported at Prelims
7257,8342009+
3843,370
1697292008 – JV
2152,6412008 – UNITE
2173,260
565582007 – JV
1612,7022007 UNITE
Completed Value Completed Value Completed Value Completed Value ££££mmmmBedsBedsBedsBeds
Secured Future DevelopmentsSecured Future DevelopmentsSecured Future DevelopmentsSecured Future Developments
131.6
(14.3)
20.6
125.2
££££mmmm
50131 December 2006
567Built-out adjusted NAV (↑ 13%)
107
(12)JV partner share
17NAV to recognise: JVs
102NAV to recognise: wholly owned
Fd ppsFd ppsFd ppsFd pps
BuiltBuiltBuiltBuilt----out adjusted NAVout adjusted NAVout adjusted NAVout adjusted NAV Secured Pipeline by value Secured Pipeline by value Secured Pipeline by value Secured Pipeline by value ££££m, 2008 +m, 2008 +m, 2008 +m, 2008 +
7
Operating update –Increasing Competitive AdvantageIncreasing Competitive AdvantageIncreasing Competitive AdvantageIncreasing Competitive Advantage
OperationsOperationsOperationsOperations
� Successful launch of on-line system
(www.unite-students.com)
- Back office efficiency improved
- Customer web experience
- CRM potential enhances marketing power
� ‘Customer Experience’ approach embedded
- Sophisticated research tools
- Dedicated brand standards team
- Internet offer improved
� Reservations at 92% for forthcoming academic year
Development and InvestmentDevelopment and InvestmentDevelopment and InvestmentDevelopment and Investment
� 3,260 new beds in 12 properties successfully opened
- target maintained at 20% profit on cost
� 2,267 modular beds delivered (70%)
� Base Limited acquisition completed and integrated
� Livocity pilot on track
FinancingFinancingFinancingFinancing
� Intention to unwind UFO
- enables proactive management of properties
- anticipated 2 year payback of exit costs
8
Net asset value growth
386359422NNNAV per share
111%154%141%See through gearing
78%145%110%Gearing (on adjusted NAV)
425425425425416416416416460460460460Fully dilutedFully dilutedFully dilutedFully diluted
428420463Adjusted NAV per share
(1)2(7)MTM of interest rate hedges
365339Provision for deferred tax
2-14NAV on development properties
held in current assets
391365417NAV per share (IFRS)
Dec 06Dec 06Dec 06Dec 06
ppsppsppspps
Jun 06Jun 06Jun 06Jun 06
ppsppsppspps
Jun 07Jun 07Jun 07Jun 07
ppsppsppspps
Note: includes share of JVs
202102248
826789� JVs
12035159� UNITE
£m£m£mCapital Programme:
8.3%3545
4.3%1924Development surpluses
2.1%811- Yield compression
1.9%810- Net rental growth
Investment portfolio
% NAVPS % NAVPS % NAVPS % NAVPS
fdfdfdfd
ppsppsppspps££££mmmm
Jun 07Jun 07Jun 07Jun 07 Jun 06Jun 06Jun 06Jun 06 Dec 06Dec 06Dec 06Dec 06
The investment portfolio
9
Stabil ising
Properties
Stabil ised
Properties
USAF Properties Annualised
USAF Dividend
Yield
Average Cost of DebtAverage Cost of DebtAverage Cost of DebtAverage Cost of Debt
UNITE wholly owned 6.7%
UCC 5.6%
USV 6.0%
USAF 5.2%
Average portfolio initial yieldsAverage portfolio initial yieldsAverage portfolio initial yieldsAverage portfolio initial yields 2006 FY
2007 HY
390390390390(612)(612)(612)(612)1,0021,0021,0021,00275275275275225025025025034,65234,65234,65234,652
370(587)95768027733,94431 December 2006
14(37)5125262,12650%USV Share
23(35)5858-1,95830%UCC share
73(81)154154-11,75929%USAF share
-----3,015Leased
280(459)73951522415,794Wholly owned
NAVNAVNAVNAVDebtDebtDebtDebtGAVGAVGAVGAVStabilisedStabilisedStabilisedStabilisedStabilisingStabilisingStabilisingStabilisingBedsBedsBedsBedsStakeStakeStakeStake
Investment AssetsInvestment AssetsInvestment AssetsInvestment Assets
4.0%4.0%4.0%4.0% 4.0%4.0%4.0%4.0%
5.7%5.7%5.7%5.7% 5.6%5.6%5.6%5.6%5.9%5.9%5.9%5.9%
5.7%5.7%5.7%5.7%5.0%5.0%5.0%5.0%
USAF / joint venture
performance
10
USAF UCC
USV
� Successful second closing completes £370m third party
investment commitment
� Half year total investor return of 14%
� UNITE performance and management fees of £4.4m, accrued
at half year
� £80m - £120m of asset transfers expected in Q4 2007
� UNITE stake of 29.3% will be diluted through transfers.
Expected long-term hold of c. 20%
� Restricted redemption rules give protection to investors
� Investment fully allocated. JV will operate 2,932
properties worth £394m on completion from Q4 2008
� Half year total return was 29%
� UNITE management fees of £0.7m accrued in the half
year
� Promote payable at end of JV life in 2013
� Plaza site in Leeds now stabilised and to be transferred
to USAF in 2007
� UNITE promote on Leeds exit of £0.8m
� Final phase of Sheffield property now open
Portfolio performance
11
5.8%5.8%5.8%5.8%6.2%6.2%6.2%6.2%Like-for-like revenue growth
6,4286,4286,4286,4287,2187,2187,2187,21850+ week tenancies
91%91%91%91%92%92%92%92%Reservations (% available rooms)
33,94433,94433,94433,94437,68237,68237,68237,682Total beds in operation
06 / 0706 / 0706 / 0706 / 0707 / 0807 / 0807 / 0807 / 08
2007 / 08 Academic Year2007 / 08 Academic Year2007 / 08 Academic Year2007 / 08 Academic Year
(3.4)(3.4)(3.4)(3.4)(3.5)(3.5)(3.5)(3.5)Rentals under sale & leaseback
assets
37.737.737.737.729.229.229.229.2
29.829.829.829.825.225.225.225.2Investment result before interest
(4.9)(4.9)(4.9)(4.9)(5.6)(5.6)(5.6)(5.6)Portfolio overhead
----3.43.43.43.4- Performance
0.40.40.40.41.71.71.71.7JV fees – Management
(13.5)(13.5)(13.5)(13.5)(12.4)(12.4)(12.4)(12.4)Direct operating costs
51.251.251.251.241.641.641.641.6Gross rental income
H1 06 H1 06 H1 06 H1 06
££££mmmm
H1 07 H1 07 H1 07 H1 07
££££mmmm
H1 2007 Performance (including share of JVs)H1 2007 Performance (including share of JVs)H1 2007 Performance (including share of JVs)H1 2007 Performance (including share of JVs)
Adjusted profit before tax
12
61.529.2Profit before tax per income statementProfit before tax per income statementProfit before tax per income statementProfit before tax per income statement
4.12.9Ineffective hedge charge
55.123.6Revaluation of investment portfolio/JVs
Major IFRS items:
2.32.32.32.32.72.72.72.7Adjusted profit before taxAdjusted profit before taxAdjusted profit before taxAdjusted profit before tax
(3.0)(3.3)Corporate costs
(2.5)(1.2)Non rental activities (including pre contract costs)
7.87.87.87.87.27.27.27.2Portfolio ProfitPortfolio ProfitPortfolio ProfitPortfolio Profit
(22.0)(18.0)Net interest charge (inc. share of JVs)
29.825.2Investment result before interest
H1 2006H1 2006H1 2006H1 2006
££££mmmm
HI 2007HI 2007HI 2007HI 2007
££££mmmm
13
Unite finance one plc bond
Strategy behind redeeming UFO Bond :Strategy behind redeeming UFO Bond :Strategy behind redeeming UFO Bond :Strategy behind redeeming UFO Bond :
� Free up properties to allow proactive asset management strategies
� Release of capital through external sale and transfer to USAF that can be redeployed to higher value activities
� Conclude move to Development – Stabilising – Co-investing asset management model
� Reduction in gearing post asset sales
Outline of the UFO PortfolioOutline of the UFO PortfolioOutline of the UFO PortfolioOutline of the UFO Portfolio
� 46 properties with a mix of leased, direct let and university nominations agreements
� Market value of assets of £452m as at 30 June 2007
� Market value of debt at 13 September 2007 of £285m
� Market value of debt of £280m as at 30 June 2007 disclosed in NNNAV (nominal value of £265m)
� Average interest rate on debt of 6.7% escalating over time as higher rated bonds amortise
14
UNITE FINANCE ONE PLC BOND –Status of TransactionStatus of TransactionStatus of TransactionStatus of Transaction
� Consent solicitation setting out redemption proposals issued to bond
holders 17 September 2007
� Proposals have been approved by a special committee of the Association
of British Insurers representing approximately 57% of the principal
amount of the Bonds
� The proposed transaction is expected to complete in November 2007
� Redemption to be financed by a bridge facility provided by Morgan
Stanley
–––– approved 12 September
UFO redemption – Estimated Financial ImpactsEstimated Financial ImpactsEstimated Financial ImpactsEstimated Financial Impacts
16.721.033.041.4
(12.6)(15.7)(12.6)(15.7)Future tax benefitFuture tax benefitFuture tax benefitFuture tax benefit
57.1
4.6
6.3
20.4
25.8
£m
Adjusted NAVAdjusted NAVAdjusted NAVAdjusted NAV
30 June30 June30 June30 June
45.6
3.7
5.0
16.3
20.6
pps
29.336.7Estimated NAV impactEstimated NAV impactEstimated NAV impactEstimated NAV impact
3.74.6Transaction and other costsTransaction and other costsTransaction and other costsTransaction and other costs
5.06.3Unamortised UFO costs write offUnamortised UFO costs write offUnamortised UFO costs write offUnamortised UFO costs write off
Current market value adjustmentCurrent market value adjustmentCurrent market value adjustmentCurrent market value adjustment
20.625.8Redemption cost to current market valueRedemption cost to current market valueRedemption cost to current market valueRedemption cost to current market value
pps£m
Market ValueMarket ValueMarket ValueMarket Value
13 September13 September13 September13 September
15
� Initial impact to raise gearing from 110% to 133%
Summary and outlook
16
� Strong progress against strategy in HI 07
� Valuable, secured pipeline for delivery over next 3
years
� IIIIntention to unwind UNITE Finance One
- Completes transition to new business model
- Releases capital for investment into
development activities
� Expect student accommodation yields to be resilient
over remainder of 2007
- Possible further opportunities in current
development market
appendice
s
17
� H1 07 impact of USAFH1 07 impact of USAFH1 07 impact of USAFH1 07 impact of USAF
� UNITE top 10 MarketsUNITE top 10 MarketsUNITE top 10 MarketsUNITE top 10 Markets
� Our property portfolioOur property portfolioOur property portfolioOur property portfolio
� NNNAV calculationNNNAV calculationNNNAV calculationNNNAV calculation
� DebtDebtDebtDebt
� Completed Properties 2007Completed Properties 2007Completed Properties 2007Completed Properties 2007
H1 impact of USAF
18
7.50.37.2Portfolio profit
(23.4)(5.4)(18.0)Net interest charge
30.95.725.2Investment result before interest
(5.6)-(5.6)Portfolio overhead
-(3.4)3.4- Performance
0.7(1.0)1.7JV fees – Management
(3.5)-(3.5)Rentals under sale & leaseback assets
(16.6)(4.2)(12.4)Direct operating costs
55.914.341.6Gross rental income
Proforma H1 07Proforma H1 07Proforma H1 07Proforma H1 07
££££mmmm
Estimated USAF Estimated USAF Estimated USAF Estimated USAF
impactimpactimpactimpact
Reported H1 07 Reported H1 07 Reported H1 07 Reported H1 07
££££mmmm
H1 2007 performance (including share of JVs)H1 2007 performance (including share of JVs)H1 2007 performance (including share of JVs)H1 2007 performance (including share of JVs)
Unite top 10 markets
4%
7%
10%
3%
6%
4%
5%
8%
1%
10%
9%
Projected Projected Projected Projected
Market Market Market Market
ShareShareShareShare
22,289
1,301
1,402
1,582
1,610
2,345
2,213
2,833
2,791
3,080
3,132
Completed Completed Completed Completed
Beds Beds Beds Beds
(06/07)(06/07)(06/07)(06/07)
23,035
1,301
1,402
1,582
1,610
2,083
2,213
2,833
3,133
3,357
3,521
Completed Completed Completed Completed
Beds Beds Beds Beds
(07/08)(07/08)(07/08)(07/08)
540,122
18,590
14,525
46,470
26,477
56,785
47,535
37,080
218,405
33,865
40,390
FT FT FT FT
Student Student Student Student
Numbers Numbers Numbers Numbers
(05/06)(05/06)(05/06)(05/06)
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
2007 2007 2007 2007
RankRankRankRank
5%Cardiff7
3%Glasgow8
4%Portsmouth9
6%Leeds6
9%Manchester5
3%Aberdeen10
8%Liverpool3
14%London4
10%Bristol2
6%Sheffield1
3Yr Growth 3Yr Growth 3Yr Growth 3Yr Growth
in FT in FT in FT in FT
Student Student Student Student
NumbersNumbersNumbersNumbers
CityCityCityCity2006 2006 2006 2006
RankRankRankRank
19
20
Our property portfolio
2,87817249,149
1,3265114,464
725247,8342009+
16947292008 – JV
214112,6412008 – UNITE
5645582007 – JV
16182,7022007 – UNITE
Development Portfolio:Development Portfolio:Development Portfolio:Development Portfolio:
-83,015Beds under management
1,55211331,670
5253311,759USAF Properties
283123,992Joint venture properties
8261,6272007 acquisitions
6636214,2922006 and prior
Completed Portfolio:Completed Portfolio:Completed Portfolio:Completed Portfolio:
Completed Value Completed Value Completed Value Completed Value ££££mmmmPropertiesPropertiesPropertiesPropertiesBedsBedsBedsBeds
nnnav
21
2.217.9Valuation gains not recognised on
properties held at cost
386p422pNNNAV per share
475.5520.0NNNAssets
2.5(2.1)Deferred tax
(10.4)(10.2)Fair value of fixed rate debt
481.2514.4Net assets
31 Dec 200631 Dec 200631 Dec 200631 Dec 2006
££££mmmm
30 June 200730 June 200730 June 200730 June 2007
££££mmmm
DEBT
22
30 Jun30 Jun30 Jun30 Jun 31 Dec 31 Dec 31 Dec 31 Dec
2007 2007 2007 2007 2006200620062006
Net Debt £627m £411m
Adjusted gearing 110% 78%
Adjusted see through gearing 141% 111%
Average life of investment debt 7.6 yrs 8.0 yrs
Average cost of investment debt 6.7% 6.7%
%hedged/fixed 87% 72%
Callice Court, coventry
Panmure Court, Edinburgh
William Morris halls, Loughborough
Charles Morton court, London
Phoenix Court, Bristol
Completed properties 2007
Corfe House, Poole
THE ANVIL, Sheffield
Piccadilly Point, Manchester