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Intelligent
Vehicles:
A Global
Perspective
Richard BishopBishop Consulting
www.IVsource.net
Intelligent Vehicle Technology Transfer
Conference
NIST, April 2009
www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting 2
Why? Safety.
• Last 20 years: reducing crash effects
– Crashworthiness
– Occupant protection
• Next 20 years:
– Crash Mitigation
– Crash Avoidance
www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting 3
Road Crashes: A World Epidemic
• 1.4M deaths per year worldwide
• USA: 40,000 road fatalities annually
– Europe essentially the same
– Similar rate in Japan
• Crashes cost society $230B a year (US alone)
– about $820 per person
www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting
Fatality Rates Are Dropping
• USA: 2008 rate of 1.28 deaths per 100 million vehicle miles traveled
– Down from 1.37 in 2007
• Rate coming down in Europe
• Similar situation in Japan
• Europe has set a goal of a 50% reduction in fatalities by 2010 (compared to 2000)
– 20,000 fewer deaths
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www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting 8
Beyond Safety:
Environment & Oil
• Reducing fuel use (and emissions) is THE topic
• Can intelligent vehicle technology contribute?
– Traffic jam assist
– Dynamic traffic micro-management
– Traffic-aware and slope-aware routing
– Predictive powertrain
– Supporting drivers in eco-driving
• Governments and car industry are starting to wake up
– Europe and Japan most active
www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting 10
On the Market….Trucks
• Adaptive Cruise Control
• Forward Collision Warning
• Blind Spot Monitoring
• Lane Departure Warning
• Night Vision
• Driver Alert (Fatigue)
• Emergency Braking
• Stability Systems (incl. Rollover
Prevention)
• Japanese government offers 50%
reimbursement of the cost of
emergency braking systems
www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting 11
On the Market: People Movers / Transit Buses
• Parking Shuttles
– Intelligent Multi-Modal Transit System (Japan)
– ParkShuttle (Netherlands)
www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting
On the Market: Guided Buses
• Guided bus systems
• operate in exclusive lanes
which are quite narrow
• automated steering
• driver handles throttle,
brakes
– CIVIS system (France,
US (Las Vegas))
– Phileas (Netherlands,
France)
– GPS Guidance:
Minnesota
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www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting
On the Market….Cars
• Electronic Stability Control
• Adaptive Cruise Control
• Forward Collision Warning
• Forward Collision
Mitigation (Emergency
Braking)
• Forward Collision
Avoidance (low speed)
• Blind Spot Monitoring
• Side Collision Prevention
• Lane Departure Warning
• Lane Departure Prevention
• Pedestrian Detection
• Night Vision
• Driver Alert (Fatigue)
• Backup Collision Avoidance
• Automated Parking
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Current Global Situation
• Autonomous Safety Systems
– On the market
– Strong momentum
– Gradually becoming more available
• moving from top-end to mid-range cars
– Regulations and safety ratings playing an increasing role
• Cooperative Safety Systems
– Strong momentum in research domain
• Automation
– “distant future”
www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting 17
Safety: High-Potential Areas
• How would the crash rate change if the IVSS systems now on
the market were on all new cars sold?
– ESC, ACC, FCW, LDW, BSW, CMBS
• Government role
– purchase incentives
– Regulation
– New Car Assessment Program (“star system” safety ratings)
• But are the systems selling?
www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting 18
What about Market Uptake?
• How popular are IV systems with the public?
• Does the average car-buyer know about these systems?
• If they know about them, do they understand what they do
and don’t do?
• Can the typical auto salesperson explain the systems
adequately?
www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting
“Thinking Cars:”
Raising Public Awareness
• A television documentary program about active safety
– funded by the European Commission
– produced by H3B Media
– Complete in 2009
– First broadcast expected in 2010
– www.thinkingcars.com
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Germany: AKTIV
• AKTIV (Adaptive and Cooperative Technologies for Intelligent Traffic)
• 2007 – 2010
• Funding: 60M euro
• “Sensitive Assistance”
– Active hazard braking
– Lateral monitoring and control system
– Intersection assistance
– Vulnerable Road Users
– Sensor baseline•
www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting 24
Car2Car
Communications
Consortium
• Mission:
– promote cooperative systems for safety
– establish an open European industry standard
– promote the allocation of a royalty-free European-wide frequency band
– enable the development of an open system supporting active safety applications and information services
– develop realistic deployment strategies and business models
www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting 25
Other European Projects
• Cooperative Vehicle-Infrastructure Systems (CVIS)
– 70M euro
– 60 partners
– Cooperative vehicle highway systems
• Both safety and non-safety applications
• SafeSpot
– 49M euro
– 20 partners
– Stronger focus on vehicle-vehicle communications for safety
• INTERSAFE2: Cooperative Intersection Safety
– 6.5 M€ / June 2008 – May 2011
• HAVE-IT
– 27 M€ / February 2008 – July 2011
www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting 26
CVIS
• Multi-media seamless connectivity
• Significant pre-deployment of roadside infrastructure
• Test sites are being established in
– France
– Germany
– Italy
– Netherlands/Belgium
– Sweden
– UK
• Sweden will sponsor a major CVIS demo at the 2009 ITS World
Congress in Stockholm.
www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting 27
SAFESPOT
• Applications
– Safe Lane Change Maneuvers
– Frontal Collision Warning
– Cooperative Situation Awareness
– Cooperative Tunnel Safety
– Cooperative Vulnerable Road User Detection
– Cooperative Anti-Rollover in a dangerous curve
– Cooperative Obstacle Detection in tunnel
– Predictive Speed Reduction in black spots
• Evaluation will be performed at test sites in Italy, Germany,
France, Sweden, and the Netherlands.
www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting
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Intersection Collision Avoidance:
INTERSAFE2
• 3 Demonstrators and a Driving Simulator
– 2 passenger cars (VW, BMW) and
– 1 heavy good vehicle (VTEC truck)
– dynamic driving simulator
• Bidirectional V2X communication and cooperative sensor data fusion
• Relative intersection localisation
• Intersection object tracking and classification
• Cooperative intersection scenario interpretation, risk assessment and warning/ intervention strategies
www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting
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Volkswagen Demonstrator
Stereo-
Camera
(UT Cluj)
77 GHz Radar
(VW)
Lidar Scanner
(Hella)
24GHz Radar
(VW-SMS)
Car2X
(VW-NEC)
GPS+ADAS-Map
(VW-Navteq)
Laserscanner
(IBEO)
24GHz Radar
(SMS)
Left Turn Assistance Right Turn Assistance
Traffic Light /
Right-of-Way AssistanceCrossing Assistance
Warning and Intervention!
www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting
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BMW Demonstrator
Vehicle requirements:
- supports active braking
- individually configurable displays +HUD for information and warning
Vehicle equipment:
- on-board sensors
- wireless communication
- rapid prototyping
platform Laserscanner
video camera
car2x-
communication
Left turn assistance
www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting
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VTEC Demonstrator
Technologies applied:• Sensors and sensor data fusion:
– Detection and classification of VRU
• I2V communication:
– with traffic signal
Protection of vulnerable road usersat intersections while truck is turning right
Warning and Intervention!
www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting
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Test Site Germany
• Test intersection on VW
proving ground
• Urban intersection in the city
of Wolfsburg
• Infrastructure-to-vehicle
communication
• Infrastructure sensing
• Demonstration activities
Testing on real intersection
www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting
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Test Site Sweden
• Urban intersection in the
city of Gothenburg
• Infrastructure-to-vehicle
communication
• Traffic safety function for
trucks
• Local demonstration
activities for trucks
Urban test intersection
www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting Courtesy HAVEit Consortium
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European HAVE-IT Project:
Optimum Driver Support for safety and energy
consumption Use of a virtual co-
pilot to manage the situations when the driver could be underloaded or overloaded
Use of driver state assessment --bringing assistance only when the driver needs it
www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting 36
Japan:
Pioneering Research in Cooperative
Systems
• Early work in Intersection Collision Avoidance
• Blind curves
– Successful program using roadside sensors/signs
– 70% reduction in crashes demonstrated at test locations
www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting 37
One-way com
Two-way com
Japan Intersection Collision
Avoidance
• Advanced Safety Vehicle
program
• Inter-vehicle
Communications
Source: S. Tsugawa, Meijo University
www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting 38
Forward obstacle
Forward Curve
Forward obstacle
Forward Curve
Forward Curve
Forward obstacle
Road surface
conditions
Forward obstacle
Forward Curve
Forward Curve
Route 246
Higashi-Meihan Expressway
Route 25
Tomei Expressway
Metropolitan Expressway
Forward Curve
Higashi-Meihan Expressway
Route 45
Road
Management
Japan: Field Operation Tests
www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting 39
Japanese Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, and
Transport: Smartway Project
Graphic courtesy of MLIT
www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting
It’s All About Fuel Economy
• Global interest increasing due to fuel economy benefits of
close-headway following
• Truck Platooning Activity
– USA (California PATH)
– Japan (Energy ITS)
– Europe (French INNOFRET)
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www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting
Japan: Energy ITS
• Funded by Japanese Ministry of Economy, Trade, and
Industry
– 2008-2012
• Objective: reduce CO2 emissions via automated vehicle
control
• System Integrator: Japan Automobile Research Institute
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www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting
Japan: Energy ITS
• 1. Development of Autonomous Driving System
– Safety and reduced emissions
• 2. Development of a Platooning system
– efficient logistics on main expressway
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www.IVsource.netBishop Consulting 48
Summary Points
• Safety paradigm has moved from crash protection to crash avoidance
• Increased public awareness essential to spur uptake
• Cooperative systems are the “next wave”
• New momentum in truck automation synergizes with military work
• Key technical challenges
– Intersection collision avoidance
– Driver-aware systems
– Increasing levels of automation
• Final word… make sure your next new car includes active safety!