intelligent database systems lab presenter : bei-yi jiang authors : hai v. pham, eric w. cooper,...
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Intelligent Database Systems Lab
Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG
Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO,
KATSUARI KAMEI
2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES
Hybrid Kansei-SOM Model using Risk Management andCompany Assessment for Stock Trading
Intelligent Database Systems Lab
Outlines
MotivationObjectivesMethodologyExperimentsConclusionsComments
Intelligent Database Systems Lab
Motivation
• Even using several commercial trading stock software applications and intelligent systems to make trading decisions, investors may face uncertain conditions in dynamic stock market environments.
Intelligent Database Systems Lab
Objectives
• To evaluate companies, select potential companies (superior stocks) and eliminate risky stocks at the right trading time, using Group Decision Making (GDM), together with investment risks, reducing losses and achieving the greatest investment returns.
Intelligent Database Systems Lab
Methodology
Intelligent Database Systems Lab
Methodology
Intelligent Database Systems Lab
Methodology• Hybrid Kansei-SOM model
Intelligent Database Systems Lab
• Proposed model and mechanisms of data processMethodology
Screen out companies
Input data
Select potential companies
Calculate expert preference distances
Compare stock matrix & risk
matrix
2.1 Expert preferences2.2 In Kansei stock matrix2.3 In Kansei risk matrix
3.1 Visualizing Kansei stock matrix3.2 Visualizing Kansei stock matrix
4.1 Calculating weights4.2 Updating weights a. Risk decision matrix
b. Expert decision matrix
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Intelligent Database Systems Lab
MethodologyScreen out companies
Input data
Select potential companies
Calculate expert preference distances
Compare stock matrix & risk
matrix
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Intelligent Database Systems Lab
MethodologyScreen out companies
Input data
Select potential companies
Calculate expert preference distances
Compare stock matrix & risk
matrix
2.1 Expert preferences2.2 In Kansei stock matrix2.3 In Kansei risk matrix
3.1 Visualizing Kansei stock matrix3.2 Visualizing Kansei stock matrix
4.1 Calculating weights4.2 Updating weights
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
a. Risk decision matrixb. Expert decision matrix
Intelligent Database Systems Lab
MethodologyScreen out companies
Input data
Select potential companies
Calculate expert preference distances
Compare stock matrix & risk
matrix
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Intelligent Database Systems Lab
• Fuzzy evaluation model for company assessments and risk management– Kansei evaluation
– Quantitative factor for Data Normalization
Methodology
Intelligent Database Systems Lab
• Fuzzy evaluation model for company assessments and risk management– Qualitative factor Evaluation using Fuzzy Expression
and Inference› Fuzzy Expression
Methodology
Intelligent Database Systems Lab
• Fuzzy evaluation model for company assessments and risk management– Qualitative factor Evaluation using Fuzzy Expression
and Inference› Fuzzy Inference Process
Methodology
Intelligent Database Systems Lab
• Fuzzy evaluation model for company assessments and risk management– Kansei risk matrix in an evaluation
Methodology
Intelligent Database Systems Lab
• Fuzzy evaluation model for company assessments and risk management– Kansei stock matrix in an evaluation
Methodology
Intelligent Database Systems Lab
Experiments
Intelligent Database Systems Lab
Experiments
Intelligent Database Systems Lab
Experiments
Intelligent Database Systems Lab
Experiments
Intelligent Database Systems Lab
Experiments
Intelligent Database Systems Lab
Experiments
Intelligent Database Systems Lab
Experiments
Intelligent Database Systems Lab
Conclusions
• This approach of the proposed system using GDM focuses on applying Kansei evaluation integrated with SOM model to enhance investment capability of trading systems, reduce risky stocks and obtain the greatest investment returns.
Intelligent Database Systems Lab
Comments• Advantages
-reduce risky stocks-obtain the returns
• Applications-stock trading system-risk management