intelligent database systems lab presenter : bei-yi jiang authors : hai v. pham, eric w. cooper,...

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Intelligent Database Systems Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO, KATSUARI KAMEI 2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES Hybrid Kansei-SOM Model using Risk Management and Company Assessment for Stock Trading

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Page 1: Intelligent Database Systems Lab Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO, KATSUARI KAMEI 2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES Hybrid

Intelligent Database Systems Lab

Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG

Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO,

KATSUARI KAMEI

2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES

Hybrid Kansei-SOM Model using Risk Management andCompany Assessment for Stock Trading

Page 2: Intelligent Database Systems Lab Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO, KATSUARI KAMEI 2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES Hybrid

Intelligent Database Systems Lab

Outlines

MotivationObjectivesMethodologyExperimentsConclusionsComments

Page 3: Intelligent Database Systems Lab Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO, KATSUARI KAMEI 2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES Hybrid

Intelligent Database Systems Lab

Motivation

• Even using several commercial trading stock software applications and intelligent systems to make trading decisions, investors may face uncertain conditions in dynamic stock market environments.

Page 4: Intelligent Database Systems Lab Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO, KATSUARI KAMEI 2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES Hybrid

Intelligent Database Systems Lab

Objectives

• To evaluate companies, select potential companies (superior stocks) and eliminate risky stocks at the right trading time, using Group Decision Making (GDM), together with investment risks, reducing losses and achieving the greatest investment returns.

Page 5: Intelligent Database Systems Lab Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO, KATSUARI KAMEI 2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES Hybrid

Intelligent Database Systems Lab

Methodology

Page 6: Intelligent Database Systems Lab Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO, KATSUARI KAMEI 2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES Hybrid

Intelligent Database Systems Lab

Methodology

Page 7: Intelligent Database Systems Lab Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO, KATSUARI KAMEI 2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES Hybrid

Intelligent Database Systems Lab

Methodology• Hybrid Kansei-SOM model

Page 8: Intelligent Database Systems Lab Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO, KATSUARI KAMEI 2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES Hybrid

Intelligent Database Systems Lab

• Proposed model and mechanisms of data processMethodology

Screen out companies

Input data

Select potential companies

Calculate expert preference distances

Compare stock matrix & risk

matrix

2.1 Expert preferences2.2 In Kansei stock matrix2.3 In Kansei risk matrix

3.1 Visualizing Kansei stock matrix3.2 Visualizing Kansei stock matrix

4.1 Calculating weights4.2 Updating weights a. Risk decision matrix

b. Expert decision matrix

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Page 9: Intelligent Database Systems Lab Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO, KATSUARI KAMEI 2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES Hybrid

Intelligent Database Systems Lab

MethodologyScreen out companies

Input data

Select potential companies

Calculate expert preference distances

Compare stock matrix & risk

matrix

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Page 10: Intelligent Database Systems Lab Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO, KATSUARI KAMEI 2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES Hybrid

Intelligent Database Systems Lab

MethodologyScreen out companies

Input data

Select potential companies

Calculate expert preference distances

Compare stock matrix & risk

matrix

2.1 Expert preferences2.2 In Kansei stock matrix2.3 In Kansei risk matrix

3.1 Visualizing Kansei stock matrix3.2 Visualizing Kansei stock matrix

4.1 Calculating weights4.2 Updating weights

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

a. Risk decision matrixb. Expert decision matrix

Page 11: Intelligent Database Systems Lab Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO, KATSUARI KAMEI 2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES Hybrid

Intelligent Database Systems Lab

MethodologyScreen out companies

Input data

Select potential companies

Calculate expert preference distances

Compare stock matrix & risk

matrix

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Page 12: Intelligent Database Systems Lab Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO, KATSUARI KAMEI 2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES Hybrid

Intelligent Database Systems Lab

• Fuzzy evaluation model for company assessments and risk management– Kansei evaluation

– Quantitative factor for Data Normalization

Methodology

Page 13: Intelligent Database Systems Lab Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO, KATSUARI KAMEI 2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES Hybrid

Intelligent Database Systems Lab

• Fuzzy evaluation model for company assessments and risk management– Qualitative factor Evaluation using Fuzzy Expression

and Inference› Fuzzy Expression

Methodology

Page 14: Intelligent Database Systems Lab Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO, KATSUARI KAMEI 2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES Hybrid

Intelligent Database Systems Lab

• Fuzzy evaluation model for company assessments and risk management– Qualitative factor Evaluation using Fuzzy Expression

and Inference› Fuzzy Inference Process

Methodology

Page 15: Intelligent Database Systems Lab Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO, KATSUARI KAMEI 2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES Hybrid

Intelligent Database Systems Lab

• Fuzzy evaluation model for company assessments and risk management– Kansei risk matrix in an evaluation

Methodology

Page 16: Intelligent Database Systems Lab Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO, KATSUARI KAMEI 2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES Hybrid

Intelligent Database Systems Lab

• Fuzzy evaluation model for company assessments and risk management– Kansei stock matrix in an evaluation

Methodology

Page 17: Intelligent Database Systems Lab Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO, KATSUARI KAMEI 2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES Hybrid

Intelligent Database Systems Lab

Experiments

Page 18: Intelligent Database Systems Lab Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO, KATSUARI KAMEI 2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES Hybrid

Intelligent Database Systems Lab

Experiments

Page 19: Intelligent Database Systems Lab Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO, KATSUARI KAMEI 2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES Hybrid

Intelligent Database Systems Lab

Experiments

Page 20: Intelligent Database Systems Lab Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO, KATSUARI KAMEI 2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES Hybrid

Intelligent Database Systems Lab

Experiments

Page 21: Intelligent Database Systems Lab Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO, KATSUARI KAMEI 2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES Hybrid

Intelligent Database Systems Lab

Experiments

Page 22: Intelligent Database Systems Lab Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO, KATSUARI KAMEI 2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES Hybrid

Intelligent Database Systems Lab

Experiments

Page 23: Intelligent Database Systems Lab Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO, KATSUARI KAMEI 2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES Hybrid

Intelligent Database Systems Lab

Experiments

Page 24: Intelligent Database Systems Lab Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO, KATSUARI KAMEI 2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES Hybrid

Intelligent Database Systems Lab

Conclusions

• This approach of the proposed system using GDM focuses on applying Kansei evaluation integrated with SOM model to enhance investment capability of trading systems, reduce risky stocks and obtain the greatest investment returns.

Page 25: Intelligent Database Systems Lab Presenter : BEI-YI JIANG Authors : HAI V. PHAM, ERIC W. COOPER, THANG CAO, KATSUARI KAMEI 2014. INFORMATION SCIENCES Hybrid

Intelligent Database Systems Lab

Comments• Advantages

-reduce risky stocks-obtain the returns

• Applications-stock trading system-risk management