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    this intelligence provided Freyberg with the date, locations, strengths, and

    methods by which the Germans would invade.3 By contrast the Germans only

    had very sketchy intelligence available, much of which seems to have been

    based on wishful thinking rather than rigorous analysis. Allied strength on the

    island was severely underestimated, and in a spectacular display of naivet it

    was anticipated that the civilian population would be friendly to the invaders.4

    Freyberg used the intelligence available to him to develop a solid appreciation

    of the situation, and from it a sound concept of operations and defence plan.

    In outline, Freyberg recognised that holding the few airfields on Crete would

    cause the whole plan [to] fail, and commanders were enjoined to hold out on

    them. A threat of sea borne invasion was noted, but clearly identified as being

    of secondary importance. Forces were positioned and plans prepared for

    prompt counterattacks to recapture any key terrain lost at the airfields.5

    Freybergs simple plan of holding the airfields worked well, and by the end of

    the first day the German airborne invasion had suffered severe casualties and

    was in deep trouble.6 Greek forces had destroyed the German detachment

    landed at Kastelli in the far west.7 In the central and eastern sectors the

    3 Hinsley, F.H., Thomas, E.E., et al., British intelligence in the Second World War: its influenceon strategy and operations, vol 1. London: H.M.S.O., 1981, p.415-18. anon, OL-seriesmessages sent to Freyberg, Crete, Apr-May 1941, DEFE 3/894, The National Archives, OL2154 (30 Apr 41) OL 14/375 (19 May 41), in particular message OL 2/302.

    4Murray, W., & Millett, A. A war to be won: fighting the Second World War. Cambridge, Mass.:

    Belknap Press of Harvard University Press, 2000, p.106. Playfair, I.S.O., Molony, C.C., et al.The Mediterranean and Middle East, vol II, The Germans come to the Help of their Ally(1941). London: H. M. Stationery Office, 1956, p.130.

    5Stewart, K.L., BGS Appreciation German Plan for Attack on Crete, Force Headquarters,

    12 May 1941, Freyberg Papers, BGS File March-May 1941, WAII 8/16, Archives New Zealand

    6Playfair, The Mediterranean and Middle East, vol II, p.133-4

    7 Hellenic Army General Staff. The battle of Crete, May 1941. Athens: Army HistoryDirectorate, 2000, p.58-9.

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    British, Greek and Australian forces hadbottled up the German paratroopers

    away from the airfields at both Rethymno and Heraklion.8 The German plan at

    Maleme was also floundering. Landings around Galatas and Suda had been

    contained, and the airfield itself remained under fire from New Zealand troops

    in dominating positions on Hill 107.9 All that was required to complete the

    German defeat was for the anticipated counter attacks by the New Zealand

    brigade under Brigadier Hargest to occur. Inexplicably Hargest failed to grip

    up his command, the counter attacks were repeatedly postponed. Eventually

    Lieutenant Colonel Andrews voluntarily abandoned Hill 109, thus gifting use of

    the airfield to the Germans.10

    It was an opportunity that General Student seized with both hands, literally

    crashing his only operational reserve onto the airfield at Maleme. Student

    subsequently leveraged this slight advantage into a cascading success that

    ten days later saw the Royal Navy conducting the third emergency evacuation

    of the Army in less than a year.11

    Superior intelligence had allowed Freyberg to prepare a workable defensive

    plan, but the forces under his command werent capable of carrying it out. In

    this battle the Germans had the strength to off-set bad intelligence, [whereas]

    8Playfair, The Mediterranean and Middle East, vol II, p.133.

    9Davin, D.M., Crete. Wellington, N.Z.: War History Branch, Department of Internal Affairs,

    1953, p.172-3.

    10Davin, Crete, p.164-71.

    11 Hellenic Army General Staff. The battle of Crete, p.82-3. Playfair, The Mediterranean andMiddle East, vol II, p.142-6.

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    the British were not in a position to make better use of an intelligence

    service that was getting into its stride.12

    When Field Marshall Rommel moved east after his partial victory over the

    Americans at Kasserine Pass in February 1943, thought he would be able to

    catch General Montgomery off-balance and to defeat the forward elements of

    Eighth Army at Medenine.13 However, in a repeat of the Crete operation,

    German intentions were betrayed by Ultra decrypts of radio communications

    and photo reconnaissance (PR) showing the panzer divisions heading east.14

    With this advance warning Montgomery had the time he needed to rush

    additional forces, including the 2nd New Zealand Division, forward from Tripoli

    and set up a carefully prepared ambush.15

    The resulting battle on March 6th saw the largest commitment of German

    armour in any North African battle, yet the outcome was a rapid and decisive

    German defeat. Rommel lost over one-third of his engaged tanks in just a few

    hours, while inflicting only minor casualties on the British and New Zealanders.

    The outcome was so one-sided that the Germans suspected a leak. This

    suspicion was noted by the British and resulted in the flow of special

    12Hinsley, British intelligence, vol 1, p.421.

    13Behrendt, H. Rommels intelligence in the Desert Campaign. London: William Kimber & Co.,

    1985, p.218. Liddell Hart, B.H. (ed.). The Rommel papers. London: Collins, 1953, p.412-13.Stevens, W. Bardia to Enfidaville. Wellington, N.Z.: War History Branch, Department of InternalAffairs, 1962, p.131-2. Hamilton, N., Monty: master of the battlefield, 1942-1944. Sevenoaks:Coronet, 1985, p.152-3.

    14Hinsley, F.H., Thomas, E.E., et al., British intelligence in the Second World War: its influence

    on strategy and operations, vol 2. London: H.M.S.O., 1981, p.593.

    15Kippenberger, Infantry brigadier, p.270-272. Stevens, Bardia to Enfidaville, p.136-45.

    Pemberton, A.L., The development of artillery tactics and equipment. London: British WarOffice, 1951, p.151.

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    intelligence from England to Montgomery being restricted for the remainder of

    the North African campaign.16

    The Battle of Medenine appears to be a clear case of decisive intelligence

    advantage translating into decisive victory. However it should be remembered

    that it was less than a year since Rommel had run roughshod over a

    thoroughly demoralised British army from Gazala, through Tobruk, and all the

    way up to El Alamein, in the summer of 1942.17 Intelligence certainly helped

    Montgomery prepare his forces at Medenine, but crucially the British had

    learned how to beat the Germans in battle and had gained the confidence to

    do so. An Eighth Army report on the battle noted that

    This action proved conclusively that if infantry are well dug in withtheir anti-tank guns properly concealed, and if they are wellsupported by artillery fire, they have nothing to fear from a tankattack18

    Lt. General Leese, commander of XXX Corps, remarked that the Battle of

    Medenine was a magnificent story ... [which] indicate[d] the will to win that

    was so evident everywhere in the Eighth Army. Without the skill and will to

    win the outcome would likely have been much less favourable to

    Montgomerys forces, despite the intelligence advantage.19

    Operation Overlord formed the centrepiece of Western Allied strategy for 1944.

    A successful invasion of France would see the British and American armies

    16Kippenberger, Infantry brigadier, p.274. Stevens, Bardia to Enfidaville, p.153. Liddell Hart,

    Rommel papers, p.415-16. Hinsley, British intelligence vol 2, p.595.

    17Latimer, J. Alamein. London: John Murray, 2003, p.43-72.

    18

    Pemberton, Artillery tactics and equipment, p.152.19

    Hamilton, Monty, p.170.

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    grappling with a major part of the German army for the first time, and was

    expected to lead to the liberation of Western Europe and ultimately to the

    defeat of Nazi Germany.20

    In order toensure that the invasion would be a success a great deal of effort

    went in to ensuring that the invaders were well informed about all aspects of

    their impending task. The collection of this information depended on the

    employment of a variety of intelligence resources. Signals traffic analysis

    determined locations and command hierarchies, while decrypts of radio

    messages revealed strengths and intentions. Hundreds of PR flights revealed

    tanks, artillery, fortifications, obstacles, and supply dumps in the coastal

    regions. These missions were repeated at regular intervals so that trends

    could be discerned. The French resistance collected intelligence which

    required close observation, such as whether coastal fortifications contained

    real guns.21 Small commando raids captured prisoners to identify units and try

    and understand their morale. This effort revealed the locations, identities,

    strengths, quality, the nature of any fortifications, and the intentions of

    practically all German army, naval, and air forces in Western Europe.22

    20Ellis, L. (1993). Victory in the West. Vol.1. The battle of Normandy. London: H.M.S.O., 1962,

    p.9-10.

    21Hinsley, F.H. and Thomas, E.E, British intelligence in the Second World War: its influence

    on strategy and operations, vol 3, part 2. London: H.M.S.O., 1990, p.778. Jones,R.V., MostSecret War, London: Penguin, 2009, p.361

    22, Hinsley, British Intelligence, vol. 3, pt 2, p.69-87. Williams, Bill, Enemy reaction to Overlord:

    Allied intelligence assessment, 6 May 1944, WO 219/1837, Operation Overlord: disposition ofenemy forces, appreciations of possible reactions etc. The National Archives. Holmes, R., TheD-Day experience. London: Carlton, 2004, facsimile dossier of German beach defence works.Fenris, J., Intelligence and OVERLORD; a snapshot from 6 June 1944, in J. Buckley (ed.),The Normandy campaign 1944: sixty years on. London; New York: Routledge, 2006, p.188-94,195-6. Hargest, James, The Anticipated Scale of German Air Force Effort AgainstOVERLORD in Notes from Normandy, WAII 1 DA 491.5/3, Archives New Zealand.

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    This massive effort ensured there would be few surprises for the invaders, and

    meant that assault forces could be prepared for the tasks they would face.

    Inevitably there were omissions. The two most significant were the

    unexpected presence of elements of the 352nd Infantry Division on Omaha

    Beach, and the 21st Panzer Division around Caen. While these two divisions

    were able to slow the tempo of the initial assault, they couldnt unhinge the

    invasion.23

    Amphibious invasions are risky operations, primarily because their success

    ultimately depends on the so-called race to the foreshore, with success going

    to the side which can get the most force to the invasion site first. The

    Germans held a major initial advantage since they already had over fifty

    divisions in France and the Low Countries, while the Allies starting from zero

    had to transport everything across the English Channel. Operation Bodyguard

    was the overarching Allied counter intelligence and security effort that sought

    to negate that advantage by concealing the location and strength of the actual

    invasion, and deflecting German interest onto locations well away from

    Normandy.24

    Bodyguard consisted of 16 main deception operations of vary complexity and

    importance, coordinated by the London Controlling Section. The two main

    elements were Fortitude North and Fortitude South.25

    23Fenris, Intelligence and OVERLORD, p.196-7.

    24Kershaw, R., D-Day; piercing the Atlantic Wall. Surrey: Ian Allan 2010, p.409. Barbier, M.K.,

    Deceptions and the planning of D-Day, in J. Buckley (ed.), The Normandy campaign 1944:sixty years on. London; New York: Routledge, 2006, p.170-1.

    25 Hughes-Wilson, John, Military Intelligence blunders. London: Robinson, 1999, p.19, 25.Barbier, Deceptions and the planning of D-Day, p.170.

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    Fortitude North sought to convince the Germans that Norway was under

    imminent threat of invasion. The aim was to draw additional German forces to

    that peripheral location, and ensure the ones already there remained. It is not

    clear that the Germans ever accepted Fortitude North as a genuine threat.

    Even so, Fortitude North still served a purpose. German intelligence expected

    the Allies would attempt to deceive them and penetrating the deception around

    Fortitude North supported their belief that Fortitude South was genuine.26

    Fortitude South portrayed an invasion of France along the Pas de Calais by

    the fictional First US Army Group (FUSAG), from the south-east of England.

    This deception relied on a number of interrelated factors to be convincing.

    This part of the English Channel is the narrowest and therefore required the

    least time at sea, enabled aircraft operating from England to provide the

    maximum cover, and provided the shortest route to the Third Reichs industrial

    heartland in the Ruhr. The Pas de Calais was also the launching point for the

    planned V-weapon campaign against England. Taken together, this made it

    seem to be the obvious place to mount an invasion.

    Commanding FUSAG was General Patton, who the Germans held in high

    regard and it was assumed he would be at the forefront of the invasion. A

    theatrical flourish was added when Patton hosted a sick officer being

    repatriated to Germany to dinner. Every stage-managed thing General Cramer

    26Hughes-Wilson, Military Intelligence blunders. p.24. Hastings, Max, Overlord: D-Day and the

    battle for Normandy, 1944. London: Pan Books Ltd., 1985, p.75. Latimer, J. Deception in war.New York: Overlook Press, 2001, p.214, 222.

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    observed was duly reported when he arrived in Berlin, all of it designed to

    reinforce existing German fears and preconceptions.27

    The Allies knew that German intelligence collection capabilities in England

    were limited to PR, signals intelligence, and secret agent reports. Poor

    procedures, coupled with Allied air supremacy, ensured that German PR

    coverage of England was poor to non-existent.28 This was exploited by

    denying any opportunity to observe the locations Overlord was actually being

    mounted from, whilst allowing some limited coverage of the FUSAG area and

    its concentrations of dummy tanks, installations, and landing craft.29

    Supporting this visual deception were fictitious radio transmissions between

    non-existent headquarters. This gave German radio intelligence an active

    target to operate against, leading them to believe their own skill and cunning

    was revealing Allied capabilities and intentions.30

    Shortly after the outbreak of World War II the British had imprisoned all

    German spies based in the United Kingdom, and a combination of good luck

    and good counter-intelligence captured every spy sent later. Most of these

    spies were convicted and executed or imprisoned, but a select few were

    turned to work as double-cross agents for the British. Controlled by the XX

    Committee, these men were used to feed scripted information to the Germans.

    This consisted of false information to deceive the Germans, mixed with true but

    unimportant and easily obtainable information build the agents credibility.

    27Hughes-Wilson, Military Intelligence blunders. p.31-2.

    28Jones, Most secret war, p.422-3.

    29Reit, S. The hidden war: the amazing camouflage deceptions of World War II. London:

    Corgi, 1980, p.20-1, 22-3, 31-2, 37.30

    Hughes-Wilson, Military Intelligence blunders. p.25. Latimer, Deception in war, p.224-5.

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    Bodyguard made use of this group to feed corroborating information about

    Fortitudes North and South directly into heart of German intelligence, adding a

    third layer of apparently independent evidence to the overall picture.31

    As the overall commander, General Eisenhower wasnt prepared to rely on

    only passive counter-intelligence measures to hold German forces away from

    Normandy. Allied strategic and tactical bombers were actively used to isolate

    Normandy by ruining the railway infrastructure in northern France. However,

    even this authentic effort was integrated into Fortitude South. By happy

    coincidence, rail lines that fed Normandy also ran through the Pas de Calais

    so attacks that seemed to be isolating the latter were actually isolating the

    former. Additionally, any missions that were necessary to fully isolate

    Normandy were masked in intelligence noise created by a policy of

    conducting at least two bombing missions in the Channel area for each one

    conducted in Normandy.32

    In these ways the Allies completely subverted German intelligence collection to

    tell a coherent but false story. Since the Germans believed their various

    sources to be independent, and since all were telling the same story, they

    deduced that the true Allied plan involved a main invasion along the Pas de

    Calais, led by Pattons FUSAG.

    As icing on their deceptive cake, the British used Ultra to monitor how the

    various components of their deception plans were succeeding. This insight

    31Hughes-Wilson, Military Intelligence blunders. p.24. Hinsley, F.H., Simkins C., et al, British

    intelligence in the Second World War: security and counter intelligence, vol 4. London:

    H.M.S.O., 1990, p.237-43. Latimer, Deception in war, p.227-9.

    32Ellis, Victory in the West, vol I, p.103

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    allowed them to fine tune their efforts by leaking additional information when

    necessary.33

    The success of this grand deception effort can be seen in a German

    operational map dated 3 July 1944, almost a month after the D-Day landings.

    This map identifies Allied forces in Normandy with reasonable accuracy.

    However, it still shows the fictitious Fortitude North and South forces located in

    England, and documents the retention of over seventeen German divisions in

    the Pas de Calais area defending against a non-existent threat.34

    On the eve of D-Day Allied intelligence had produced an excellent picture of

    the strength of German forces in Normandy, while Allied counter-intelligence

    had blinded the Germans tactically and operationally. This dual advantage

    provided the confidence to carry out the invasion.

    Despite this, grave concerns remained about the invasion. Alan Brooke

    confessed to his diary the day before the invasion that he was very uneasy

    about the whole operation, and feared that it may turn into the most ghastly

    disaster of the whole war, which says a lot given some of the disasters Brooke

    had presided over earlier in the war.35 On the same day General Eisenhower

    prepared a dispatch, which was fortunately never used, to inform the public

    that

    Our landings in the Cherbourg-Havre area have failed to gain asatisfactory foothold and I have withdrawn the troops. My decisionto attack at this time and place was based on the best information

    33Hughes-Wilson, Military Intelligence blunders. p.23.

    34Holmes, The D-Day experience, facsimile of map Lage West, 3.7.44, OKH Gen St d H,

    Op.Abt/IIIb

    35 Danchev, A., & Todman, D. War diaries, 1939-1945: the diaries of Field Marshal LordAlanbrooke. London: Weidenfeld & Nicolson, 2001. p.554.

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    available. The troops, the air and the Navy did all that bravery anddevotion to duty could do. If any blame or fault attaches to theattempt it is mine alone.36

    That Eisenhower and Brooke both retained grave doubts about the success of

    their great endeavour - despite knowing exactly how well the intelligence and

    counter-intelligence efforts had prepared the battlefield - indicates the limits of

    intelligence in winning battles.

    Even though the German high command was thoroughly deceived, none of the

    Allies geographical objectives on D-Day were achieved.37 But despite this,

    heavy fighting got the well prepared Allied forces ashore and kept them there,

    ensuring that the worst fears of Brooke and Eisenhower were not realised.

    Before the Battle of Crete intelligence allowed Freyberg to develop a viable

    plan to counter a novel form of warfare, but failures by subordinate

    commanders wasted the advantage, and this superior intelligence failed to

    avert defeat. At Medenine intelligence provided the information which allowed

    Montgomery to balance himself, but defensive positions on the ground still

    had to be developed, and the men had to fight well to avoid defeat. At

    Normandy a vast array of intelligence provided Allied commanders with

    unrivalled insight, while a complex counter-intelligence effort blinded the

    Germans. Intelligence provided the opportunity for success, but a hard fighting

    was required to secure it.

    36Eisenhower, Dwight D. "In case of failure" message drafted before D-Day. Dwight D.

    Eisenhower Library, Pre-Presidential Papers, Principal File: Butcher Diary 1942-1945.

    Eisenhower explicitly recognises the importance of intelligence in this message.37

    Hastings, Overlord, map on p.96-97 showing Allied objectives and advances on D-Day

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    These examples demonstrate that intelligence can enable success in battle,

    but only effective force can realise it. The relationship between intelligence

    and success has been summarised by noting that

    [I]nformation cannot win wars by itself. Information helpscommanders make their operations more effective and efficient. Itmagnifies physical resources by enabling troops and guns to bebetter used in combat. It improves will and morale by reducinganxiety and steadying command. But ultimately its effect issecondary: it works only as a multiplier and guider of force anddetermination.38

    As the Battles of Crete, Medenine, and Normandy show, it is superior use of

    force that wins battles, not simply superior intelligence.

    38Kahn, The Rise of Intelligence p.134.

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    Bibliography

    Unpublished Sources

    anon, OL-series messages sent to Freyberg, Crete, Apr-May 1941, DEFE3/894, The National Archives.

    Eisenhower, Dwight D. "In case of failure" message drafted before D-Day.Dwight D. Eisenhower Library, Pre-Presidential Papers, Principal File:Butcher Diary 1942-1945.

    Hargest, James, Notes from Normandy, WAII 1 DA 491.5/3, Archives NewZealand.

    Stewart, K.L., BGS Appreciation German Plan for Attack on Crete, ForceHeadquarters, 12 May 1941, Freyberg Papers, BGS File March-May1941, WAII 8/16, Archives New Zealand

    Williams, Bill, Enemy reaction to Overlord: Allied intelligence assessment, 6May 1944, WO 219/1837, Operation Overlord: disposition of enemyforces, appreciations of possible reactions etc. The National Archives.

    Books

    Behrendt, H. Rommels intelligence in the Desert Campaign. London: WilliamKimber & Co., 1985.

    Buckley, J.(ed.). The Normandy campaign 1944: sixty years on. London; NewYork: Routledge, 2006.

    Davin, D.M., Crete. Wellington, N.Z.: War History Branch, Department ofInternal Affairs, 1953.

    Danchev, A., & Todman, D. War diaries, 1939-1945: the diaries of FieldMarshal Lord Alanbrooke. London: Weidenfeld & Nicolson, 2001.

    Ellis, L. (1993). Victory in the West. Vol.1. The battle of Normandy. London:H.M.S.O., 1962.

    Hamilton, N., Monty: master of the battlefield, 1942-1944. Sevenoaks:Coronet, 1985.

    Hastings, Max, Overlord: D-Day and the battle for Normandy, 1944. London:

    Pan Books Ltd., 1985.Hellenic Army General Staff. The battle of Crete, May 1941. Athens: Army

    History Directorate, 2000

    Hinsley, F.H., Thomas, E.E.. et al., British intelligence in the Second WorldWar: its influence on strategy and operations, vol 1. London: H.M.S.O.,1979

    __, British intelligence in the Second World War: its influence on strategy andoperations, vol 2. London: H.M.S.O., 1981

    __, British intelligence in the Second World War: its influence on strategy and

    operations, vol 3, part 2. London: H.M.S.O., 1990

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    Intelligence and Victory in Battle 15 of 15

    Hinsley, F.H., Simkins C., et al, British intelligence in the Second World War:security and counter intelligence, vol 4. London: H.M.S.O., 1990

    Holmes, R., The D-Day experience. London: Carlton, 2004

    Hughes-Wilson, John, Military Intelligence blunders. London: Robinson, 1999

    Jones, R.V., Most secret war. London: Penguin, 2009

    Kershaw, R., D-Day; piercing the Atlantic Wall. Surrey: Ian Allan 2010

    Kippenberger, H. Infantry brigadier. London: Oxford University Press, 1949

    Latimer, J. Deception in war. New York: Overlook Press, 2001.

    ___, Alamein. London: John Murray, 2003

    Liddell Hart, B.H. (ed.). The Rommel papers. London: Collins, 1953

    Murray, W., & Millett, A. A war to be won: fighting the Second World War.Cambridge, Mass.: Belknap Press of Harvard University Press, 2000.

    Pemberton, A.L., The development of artillery tactics and equipment. London:British War Office, 1951

    Playfair, I.S.O., Molony, C.C., et al. The Mediterranean and Middle East, vol II,The Germans come to the Help of their Ally (1941). London: H. M.Stationery Office, 1956.

    Reit, S. The hidden war: the amazing camouflage deceptions of World War II.London: Corgi, 1980.

    Stevens, W. Bardia to Enfidaville. Wellington, N.Z.: War History Branch,Department of Internal Affairs, 1962.

    Journal Articles

    Kahn, David. The rise of intelligence Foreign Affairs, Vol. 85, No. 5 (Sep. -Oct., 2006), pp.125-134.

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    Intelligence and Victory in Battle

    Intelligence is a vital component in all military operations, and gaining an

    information advantage over the enemy can assist commanders conduct

    successful operations. Intelligence is not, however, sufficient to guarantee

    success because battles arent decided until the infantry have finished fighting.

    As one commentator has noted; intelligence in war works only through force.

    It can focus and economize efforts, it can offer an advantage, but in the end,

    force is necessary for victory.1

    This essay discusses the effect of intelligence on the outcome of three battles;

    the Battles of Crete in May 1941 and Medenine in March 1943, and the

    invasion Normandy in June 1944. The Allied forces in each of these battles

    held a major intelligence advantage over the Germans, which had a significant

    influence on the conduct of the three battles. Despite this similarity, the course

    and outcome of each battle was quite different.

    The Commonwealth forces which defended Crete in May 1941 largely

    consisted of poorly equipped evacuees from the Greek debacle.

    2

    Balancing

    that, and providing some confidence in the attempted defence, was detailed

    intelligence obtained courtesy of the emerging ability of the Government Code

    and Cypher School at Bletchley Park to decrypt German radio traffic. In sum,

    1Kahn, David. The Rise of Intelligence Foreign Affairs, Vol. 85, No. 5 (Sep. - Oct., 2006),

    pp.125-6.2

    Kippenberger, H. Infantry brigadier. London: Oxford University Press, 1949, p.46-9.

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    this intelligence provided Freyberg with the date, locations, strengths, and

    methods by which the Germans would invade.3 By contrast the Germans only

    had very sketchy intelligence available, much of which seems to have been

    based on wishful thinking rather than rigorous analysis. Allied strength on the

    island was severely underestimated, and in a spectacular display of naivet it

    was anticipated that the civilian population would be friendly to the invaders.4

    Freyberg used the intelligence available to him to develop a solid appreciation

    of the situation, and from it a sound concept of operations and defence plan.

    In outline, Freyberg recognised that holding the few airfields on Crete would

    cause the whole plan [to] fail, and commanders were enjoined to hold out on

    them. A threat of sea borne invasion was noted, but clearly identified as being

    of secondary importance. Forces were positioned and plans prepared for

    prompt counterattacks to recapture any key terrain lost at the airfields.5

    Freybergs simple plan of holding the airfields worked well, and by the end of

    the first day the German airborne invasion had suffered severe casualties and

    was in deep trouble.6 Greek forces had destroyed the German detachment

    landed at Kastelli in the far west.7 In the central and eastern sectors the

    3 Hinsley, F.H., Thomas, E.E., et al., British intelligence in the Second World War: its influenceon strategy and operations, vol 1. London: H.M.S.O., 1981, p.415-18. anon, OL-seriesmessages sent to Freyberg, Crete, Apr-May 1941, DEFE 3/894, The National Archives, OL2154 (30 Apr 41) OL 14/375 (19 May 41), in particular message OL 2/302.

    4Murray, W., & Millett, A. A war to be won: fighting the Second World War. Cambridge, Mass.:

    Belknap Press of Harvard University Press, 2000, p.106. Playfair, I.S.O., Molony, C.C., et al.The Mediterranean and Middle East, vol II, The Germans come to the Help of their Ally(1941). London: H. M. Stationery Office, 1956, p.130.

    5Stewart, K.L., BGS Appreciation German Plan for Attack on Crete, Force Headquarters,

    12 May 1941, Freyberg Papers, BGS File March-May 1941, WAII 8/16, Archives New Zealand

    6Playfair, The Mediterranean and Middle East, vol II, p.133-4

    7 Hellenic Army General Staff. The battle of Crete, May 1941. Athens: Army HistoryDirectorate, 2000, p.58-9.

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    British, Greek and Australian forces hadbottled up the German paratroopers

    away from the airfields at both Rethymno and Heraklion.8 The German plan at

    Maleme was also floundering. Landings around Galatas and Suda had been

    contained, and the airfield itself remained under fire from New Zealand troops

    in dominating positions on Hill 107.9 All that was required to complete the

    German defeat was for the anticipated counter attacks by the New Zealand

    brigade under Brigadier Hargest to occur. Inexplicably Hargest failed to grip

    up his command, the counter attacks were repeatedly postponed. Eventually

    Lieutenant Colonel Andrews voluntarily abandoned Hill 109, thus gifting use of

    the airfield to the Germans.10

    It was an opportunity that General Student seized with both hands, literally

    crashing his only operational reserve onto the airfield at Maleme. Student

    subsequently leveraged this slight advantage into a cascading success that

    ten days later saw the Royal Navy conducting the third emergency evacuation

    of the Army in less than a year.11

    Superior intelligence had allowed Freyberg to prepare a workable defensive

    plan, but the forces under his command werent capable of carrying it out. In

    this battle the Germans had the strength to off-set bad intelligence, [whereas]

    8Playfair, The Mediterranean and Middle East, vol II, p.133.

    9Davin, D.M., Crete. Wellington, N.Z.: War History Branch, Department of Internal Affairs,

    1953, p.172-3.

    10Davin, Crete, p.164-71.

    11 Hellenic Army General Staff. The battle of Crete, p.82-3. Playfair, The Mediterranean andMiddle East, vol II, p.142-6.

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    the British were not in a position to make better use of an intelligence

    service that was getting into its stride.12

    When Field Marshall Rommel moved east after his partial victory over the

    Americans at Kasserine Pass in February 1943, thought he would be able to

    catch General Montgomery off-balance and to defeat the forward elements of

    Eighth Army at Medenine.13 However, in a repeat of the Crete operation,

    German intentions were betrayed by Ultra decrypts of radio communications

    and photo reconnaissance (PR) showing the panzer divisions heading east.14

    With this advance warning Montgomery had the time he needed to rush

    additional forces, including the 2nd New Zealand Division, forward from Tripoli

    and set up a carefully prepared ambush.15

    The resulting battle on March 6th saw the largest commitment of German

    armour in any North African battle, yet the outcome was a rapid and decisive

    German defeat. Rommel lost over one-third of his engaged tanks in just a few

    hours, while inflicting only minor casualties on the British and New Zealanders.

    The outcome was so one-sided that the Germans suspected a leak. This

    suspicion was noted by the British and resulted in the flow of special

    12Hinsley, British intelligence, vol 1, p.421.

    13Behrendt, H. Rommels intelligence in the Desert Campaign. London: William Kimber & Co.,

    1985, p.218. Liddell Hart, B.H. (ed.). The Rommel papers. London: Collins, 1953, p.412-13.Stevens, W. Bardia to Enfidaville. Wellington, N.Z.: War History Branch, Department of InternalAffairs, 1962, p.131-2. Hamilton, N., Monty: master of the battlefield, 1942-1944. Sevenoaks:Coronet, 1985, p.152-3.

    14Hinsley, F.H., Thomas, E.E., et al., British intelligence in the Second World War: its influence

    on strategy and operations, vol 2. London: H.M.S.O., 1981, p.593.

    15Kippenberger, Infantry brigadier, p.270-272. Stevens, Bardia to Enfidaville, p.136-45.

    Pemberton, A.L., The development of artillery tactics and equipment. London: British WarOffice, 1951, p.151.

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    intelligence from England to Montgomery being restricted for the remainder of

    the North African campaign.16

    The Battle of Medenine appears to be a clear case of decisive intelligence

    advantage translating into decisive victory. However it should be remembered

    that it was less than a year since Rommel had run roughshod over a

    thoroughly demoralised British army from Gazala, through Tobruk, and all the

    way up to El Alamein, in the summer of 1942.17 Intelligence certainly helped

    Montgomery prepare his forces at Medenine, but crucially the British had

    learned how to beat the Germans in battle and had gained the confidence to

    do so. An Eighth Army report on the battle noted that

    This action proved conclusively that if infantry are well dug in withtheir anti-tank guns properly concealed, and if they are wellsupported by artillery fire, they have nothing to fear from a tankattack18

    Lt. General Leese, commander of XXX Corps, remarked that the Battle of

    Medenine was a magnificent story ... [which] indicate[d] the will to win that

    was so evident everywhere in the Eighth Army. Without the skill and will to

    win the outcome would likely have been much less favourable to

    Montgomerys forces, despite the intelligence advantage.19

    Operation Overlord formed the centrepiece of Western Allied strategy for 1944.

    A successful invasion of France would see the British and American armies

    16Kippenberger, Infantry brigadier, p.274. Stevens, Bardia to Enfidaville, p.153. Liddell Hart,

    Rommel papers, p.415-16. Hinsley, British intelligence vol 2, p.595.

    17Latimer, J. Alamein. London: John Murray, 2003, p.43-72.

    18

    Pemberton, Artillery tactics and equipment, p.152.19

    Hamilton, Monty, p.170.

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    grappling with a major part of the German army for the first time, and was

    expected to lead to the liberation of Western Europe and ultimately to the

    defeat of Nazi Germany.20

    In order toensure that the invasion would be a success a great deal of effort

    went in to ensuring that the invaders were well informed about all aspects of

    their impending task. The collection of this information depended on the

    employment of a variety of intelligence resources. Signals traffic analysis

    determined locations and command hierarchies, while decrypts of radio

    messages revealed strengths and intentions. Hundreds of PR flights revealed

    tanks, artillery, fortifications, obstacles, and supply dumps in the coastal

    regions. These missions were repeated at regular intervals so that trends

    could be discerned. The French resistance collected intelligence which

    required close observation, such as whether coastal fortifications contained

    real guns.21 Small commando raids captured prisoners to identify units and try

    and understand their morale. This effort revealed the locations, identities,

    strengths, quality, the nature of any fortifications, and the intentions of

    practically all German army, naval, and air forces in Western Europe.22

    20Ellis, L. (1993). Victory in the West. Vol.1. The battle of Normandy. London: H.M.S.O., 1962,

    p.9-10.

    21Hinsley, F.H. and Thomas, E.E, British intelligence in the Second World War: its influence

    on strategy and operations, vol 3, part 2. London: H.M.S.O., 1990, p.778. Jones,R.V., MostSecret War, London: Penguin, 2009, p.361

    22, Hinsley, British Intelligence, vol. 3, pt 2, p.69-87. Williams, Bill, Enemy reaction to Overlord:

    Allied intelligence assessment, 6 May 1944, WO 219/1837, Operation Overlord: disposition ofenemy forces, appreciations of possible reactions etc. The National Archives. Holmes, R., TheD-Day experience. London: Carlton, 2004, facsimile dossier of German beach defence works.Fenris, J., Intelligence and OVERLORD; a snapshot from 6 June 1944, in J. Buckley (ed.),The Normandy campaign 1944: sixty years on. London; New York: Routledge, 2006, p.188-94,195-6. Hargest, James, The Anticipated Scale of German Air Force Effort AgainstOVERLORD in Notes from Normandy, WAII 1 DA 491.5/3, Archives New Zealand.

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    This massive effort ensured there would be few surprises for the invaders, and

    meant that assault forces could be prepared for the tasks they would face.

    Inevitably there were omissions. The two most significant were the

    unexpected presence of elements of the 352nd Infantry Division on Omaha

    Beach, and the 21st Panzer Division around Caen. While these two divisions

    were able to slow the tempo of the initial assault, they couldnt unhinge the

    invasion.23

    Amphibious invasions are risky operations, primarily because their success

    ultimately depends on the so-called race to the foreshore, with success going

    to the side which can get the most force to the invasion site first. The

    Germans held a major initial advantage since they already had over fifty

    divisions in France and the Low Countries, while the Allies starting from zero

    had to transport everything across the English Channel. Operation Bodyguard

    was the overarching Allied counter intelligence and security effort that sought

    to negate that advantage by concealing the location and strength of the actual

    invasion, and deflecting German interest onto locations well away from

    Normandy.24

    Bodyguard consisted of 16 main deception operations of vary complexity and

    importance, coordinated by the London Controlling Section. The two main

    elements were Fortitude North and Fortitude South.25

    23Fenris, Intelligence and OVERLORD, p.196-7.

    24Kershaw, R., D-Day; piercing the Atlantic Wall. Surrey: Ian Allan 2010, p.409. Barbier, M.K.,

    Deceptions and the planning of D-Day, in J. Buckley (ed.), The Normandy campaign 1944:sixty years on. London; New York: Routledge, 2006, p.170-1.

    25 Hughes-Wilson, John, Military Intelligence blunders. London: Robinson, 1999, p.19, 25.Barbier, Deceptions and the planning of D-Day, p.170.

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    Fortitude North sought to convince the Germans that Norway was under

    imminent threat of invasion. The aim was to draw additional German forces to

    that peripheral location, and ensure the ones already there remained. It is not

    clear that the Germans ever accepted Fortitude North as a genuine threat.

    Even so, Fortitude North still served a purpose. German intelligence expected

    the Allies would attempt to deceive them and penetrating the deception around

    Fortitude North supported their belief that Fortitude South was genuine.26

    Fortitude South portrayed an invasion of France along the Pas de Calais by

    the fictional First US Army Group (FUSAG), from the south-east of England.

    This deception relied on a number of interrelated factors to be convincing.

    This part of the English Channel is the narrowest and therefore required the

    least time at sea, enabled aircraft operating from England to provide the

    maximum cover, and provided the shortest route to the Third Reichs industrial

    heartland in the Ruhr. The Pas de Calais was also the launching point for the

    planned V-weapon campaign against England. Taken together, this made it

    seem to be the obvious place to mount an invasion.

    Commanding FUSAG was General Patton, who the Germans held in high

    regard and it was assumed he would be at the forefront of the invasion. A

    theatrical flourish was added when Patton hosted a sick officer being

    repatriated to Germany to dinner. Every stage-managed thing General Cramer

    26Hughes-Wilson, Military Intelligence blunders. p.24. Hastings, Max, Overlord: D-Day and the

    battle for Normandy, 1944. London: Pan Books Ltd., 1985, p.75. Latimer, J. Deception in war.New York: Overlook Press, 2001, p.214, 222.

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    observed was duly reported when he arrived in Berlin, all of it designed to

    reinforce existing German fears and preconceptions.27

    The Allies knew that German intelligence collection capabilities in England

    were limited to PR, signals intelligence, and secret agent reports. Poor

    procedures, coupled with Allied air supremacy, ensured that German PR

    coverage of England was poor to non-existent.28 This was exploited by

    denying any opportunity to observe the locations Overlord was actually being

    mounted from, whilst allowing some limited coverage of the FUSAG area and

    its concentrations of dummy tanks, installations, and landing craft.29

    Supporting this visual deception were fictitious radio transmissions between

    non-existent headquarters. This gave German radio intelligence an active

    target to operate against, leading them to believe their own skill and cunning

    was revealing Allied capabilities and intentions.30

    Shortly after the outbreak of World War II the British had imprisoned all

    German spies based in the United Kingdom, and a combination of good luck

    and good counter-intelligence captured every spy sent later. Most of these

    spies were convicted and executed or imprisoned, but a select few were

    turned to work as double-cross agents for the British. Controlled by the XX

    Committee, these men were used to feed scripted information to the Germans.

    This consisted of false information to deceive the Germans, mixed with true but

    unimportant and easily obtainable information build the agents credibility.

    27Hughes-Wilson, Military Intelligence blunders. p.31-2.

    28Jones, Most secret war, p.422-3.

    29Reit, S. The hidden war: the amazing camouflage deceptions of World War II. London:

    Corgi, 1980, p.20-1, 22-3, 31-2, 37.30

    Hughes-Wilson, Military Intelligence blunders. p.25. Latimer, Deception in war, p.224-5.

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    Bodyguard made use of this group to feed corroborating information about

    Fortitudes North and South directly into heart of German intelligence, adding a

    third layer of apparently independent evidence to the overall picture.31

    As the overall commander, General Eisenhower wasnt prepared to rely on

    only passive counter-intelligence measures to hold German forces away from

    Normandy. Allied strategic and tactical bombers were actively used to isolate

    Normandy by ruining the railway infrastructure in northern France. However,

    even this authentic effort was integrated into Fortitude South. By happy

    coincidence, rail lines that fed Normandy also ran through the Pas de Calais

    so attacks that seemed to be isolating the latter were actually isolating the

    former. Additionally, any missions that were necessary to fully isolate

    Normandy were masked in intelligence noise created by a policy of

    conducting at least two bombing missions in the Channel area for each one

    conducted in Normandy.32

    In these ways the Allies completely subverted German intelligence collection to

    tell a coherent but false story. Since the Germans believed their various

    sources to be independent, and since all were telling the same story, they

    deduced that the true Allied plan involved a main invasion along the Pas de

    Calais, led by Pattons FUSAG.

    As icing on their deceptive cake, the British used Ultra to monitor how the

    various components of their deception plans were succeeding. This insight

    31Hughes-Wilson, Military Intelligence blunders. p.24. Hinsley, F.H., Simkins C., et al, British

    intelligence in the Second World War: security and counter intelligence, vol 4. London:

    H.M.S.O., 1990, p.237-43. Latimer, Deception in war, p.227-9.

    32Ellis, Victory in the West, vol I, p.103

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    allowed them to fine tune their efforts by leaking additional information when

    necessary.33

    The success of this grand deception effort can be seen in a German

    operational map dated 3 July 1944, almost a month after the D-Day landings.

    This map identifies Allied forces in Normandy with reasonable accuracy.

    However, it still shows the fictitious Fortitude North and South forces located in

    England, and documents the retention of over seventeen German divisions in

    the Pas de Calais area defending against a non-existent threat.34

    On the eve of D-Day Allied intelligence had produced an excellent picture of

    the strength of German forces in Normandy, while Allied counter-intelligence

    had blinded the Germans tactically and operationally. This dual advantage

    provided the confidence to carry out the invasion.

    Despite this, grave concerns remained about the invasion. Alan Brooke

    confessed to his diary the day before the invasion that he was very uneasy

    about the whole operation, and feared that it may turn into the most ghastly

    disaster of the whole war, which says a lot given some of the disasters Brooke

    had presided over earlier in the war.35 On the same day General Eisenhower

    prepared a dispatch, which was fortunately never used, to inform the public

    that

    Our landings in the Cherbourg-Havre area have failed to gain asatisfactory foothold and I have withdrawn the troops. My decisionto attack at this time and place was based on the best information

    33Hughes-Wilson, Military Intelligence blunders. p.23.

    34Holmes, The D-Day experience, facsimile of map Lage West, 3.7.44, OKH Gen St d H,

    Op.Abt/IIIb

    35 Danchev, A., & Todman, D. War diaries, 1939-1945: the diaries of Field Marshal LordAlanbrooke. London: Weidenfeld & Nicolson, 2001. p.554.

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    available. The troops, the air and the Navy did all that bravery anddevotion to duty could do. If any blame or fault attaches to theattempt it is mine alone.36

    That Eisenhower and Brooke both retained grave doubts about the success of

    their great endeavour - despite knowing exactly how well the intelligence and

    counter-intelligence efforts had prepared the battlefield - indicates the limits of

    intelligence in winning battles.

    Even though the German high command was thoroughly deceived, none of the

    Allies geographical objectives on D-Day were achieved.37 But despite this,

    heavy fighting got the well prepared Allied forces ashore and kept them there,

    ensuring that the worst fears of Brooke and Eisenhower were not realised.

    Before the Battle of Crete intelligence allowed Freyberg to develop a viable

    plan to counter a novel form of warfare, but failures by subordinate

    commanders wasted the advantage, and this superior intelligence failed to

    avert defeat. At Medenine intelligence provided the information which allowed

    Montgomery to balance himself, but defensive positions on the ground still

    had to be developed, and the men had to fight well to avoid defeat. At

    Normandy a vast array of intelligence provided Allied commanders with

    unrivalled insight, while a complex counter-intelligence effort blinded the

    Germans. Intelligence provided the opportunity for success, but a hard fighting

    was required to secure it.

    36Eisenhower, Dwight D. "In case of failure" message drafted before D-Day. Dwight D.

    Eisenhower Library, Pre-Presidential Papers, Principal File: Butcher Diary 1942-1945.

    Eisenhower explicitly recognises the importance of intelligence in this message.37

    Hastings, Overlord, map on p.96-97 showing Allied objectives and advances on D-Day

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    These examples demonstrate that intelligence can enable success in battle,

    but only effective force can realise it. The relationship between intelligence

    and success has been summarised by noting that

    [I]nformation cannot win wars by itself. Information helpscommanders make their operations more effective and efficient. Itmagnifies physical resources by enabling troops and guns to bebetter used in combat. It improves will and morale by reducinganxiety and steadying command. But ultimately its effect issecondary: it works only as a multiplier and guider of force anddetermination.38

    As the Battles of Crete, Medenine, and Normandy show, it is superior use of

    force that wins battles, not simply superior intelligence.

    38Kahn, The Rise of Intelligence p.134.

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    Bibliography

    Unpublished Sources

    anon, OL-series messages sent to Freyberg, Crete, Apr-May 1941, DEFE3/894, The National Archives.

    Eisenhower, Dwight D. "In case of failure" message drafted before D-Day.Dwight D. Eisenhower Library, Pre-Presidential Papers, Principal File:Butcher Diary 1942-1945.

    Hargest, James, Notes from Normandy, WAII 1 DA 491.5/3, Archives NewZealand.

    Stewart, K.L., BGS Appreciation German Plan for Attack on Crete, ForceHeadquarters, 12 May 1941, Freyberg Papers, BGS File March-May1941, WAII 8/16, Archives New Zealand

    Williams, Bill, Enemy reaction to Overlord: Allied intelligence assessment, 6May 1944, WO 219/1837, Operation Overlord: disposition of enemyforces, appreciations of possible reactions etc. The National Archives.

    Books

    Behrendt, H. Rommels intelligence in the Desert Campaign. London: WilliamKimber & Co., 1985.

    Buckley, J.(ed.). The Normandy campaign 1944: sixty years on. London; NewYork: Routledge, 2006.

    Davin, D.M., Crete. Wellington, N.Z.: War History Branch, Department ofInternal Affairs, 1953.

    Danchev, A., & Todman, D. War diaries, 1939-1945: the diaries of FieldMarshal Lord Alanbrooke. London: Weidenfeld & Nicolson, 2001.

    Ellis, L. (1993). Victory in the West. Vol.1. The battle of Normandy. London:H.M.S.O., 1962.

    Hamilton, N., Monty: master of the battlefield, 1942-1944. Sevenoaks:Coronet, 1985.

    Hastings, Max, Overlord: D-Day and the battle for Normandy, 1944. London:

    Pan Books Ltd., 1985.Hellenic Army General Staff. The battle of Crete, May 1941. Athens: Army

    History Directorate, 2000

    Hinsley, F.H., Thomas, E.E.. et al., British intelligence in the Second WorldWar: its influence on strategy and operations, vol 1. London: H.M.S.O.,1979

    __, British intelligence in the Second World War: its influence on strategy andoperations, vol 2. London: H.M.S.O., 1981

    __, British intelligence in the Second World War: its influence on strategy and

    operations, vol 3, part 2. London: H.M.S.O., 1990

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    Intelligence and Victory in Battle 15 of 15

    Hinsley, F.H., Simkins C., et al, British intelligence in the Second World War:security and counter intelligence, vol 4. London: H.M.S.O., 1990

    Holmes, R., The D-Day experience. London: Carlton, 2004

    Hughes-Wilson, John, Military Intelligence blunders. London: Robinson, 1999

    Jones, R.V., Most secret war. London: Penguin, 2009

    Kershaw, R., D-Day; piercing the Atlantic Wall. Surrey: Ian Allan 2010

    Kippenberger, H. Infantry brigadier. London: Oxford University Press, 1949

    Latimer, J. Deception in war. New York: Overlook Press, 2001.

    ___, Alamein. London: John Murray, 2003

    Liddell Hart, B.H. (ed.). The Rommel papers. London: Collins, 1953

    Murray, W., & Millett, A. A war to be won: fighting the Second World War.Cambridge, Mass.: Belknap Press of Harvard University Press, 2000.

    Pemberton, A.L., The development of artillery tactics and equipment. London:British War Office, 1951

    Playfair, I.S.O., Molony, C.C., et al. The Mediterranean and Middle East, vol II,The Germans come to the Help of their Ally (1941). London: H. M.Stationery Office, 1956.

    Reit, S. The hidden war: the amazing camouflage deceptions of World War II.London: Corgi, 1980.

    Stevens, W. Bardia to Enfidaville. Wellington, N.Z.: War History Branch,Department of Internal Affairs, 1962.

    Journal Articles

    Kahn, David. The rise of intelligence Foreign Affairs, Vol. 85, No. 5 (Sep. -Oct., 2006), pp.125-134.

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    Intelligence and Victory in Battle

    Intelligence is a vital component in all military operations, and gaining an

    information advantage over the enemy can assist commanders conduct

    successful operations. Intelligence is not, however, sufficient to guarantee

    success because battles arent decided until the infantry have finished fighting.

    As one commentator has noted; intelligence in war works only through force.

    It can focus and economize efforts, it can offer an advantage, but in the end,

    force is necessary for victory.1

    This essay discusses the effect of intelligence on the outcome of three battles;

    the Battles of Crete in May 1941 and Medenine in March 1943, and the

    invasion Normandy in June 1944. The Allied forces in each of these battles

    held a major intelligence advantage over the Germans, which had a significant

    influence on the conduct of the three battles. Despite this similarity, the course

    and outcome of each battle was quite different.

    The Commonwealth forces which defended Crete in May 1941 largely

    consisted of poorly equipped evacuees from the Greek debacle.

    2

    Balancing

    that, and providing some confidence in the attempted defence, was detailed

    intelligence obtained courtesy of the emerging ability of the Government Code

    and Cypher School at Bletchley Park to decrypt German radio traffic. In sum,

    1Kahn, David. The Rise of Intelligence Foreign Affairs, Vol. 85, No. 5 (Sep. - Oct., 2006),

    pp.125-6.2

    Kippenberger, H. Infantry brigadier. London: Oxford University Press, 1949, p.46-9.

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    this intelligence provided Freyberg with the date, locations, strengths, and

    methods by which the Germans would invade.3 By contrast the Germans only

    had very sketchy intelligence available, much of which seems to have been

    based on wishful thinking rather than rigorous analysis. Allied strength on the

    island was severely underestimated, and in a spectacular display of naivet it

    was anticipated that the civilian population would be friendly to the invaders.4

    Freyberg used the intelligence available to him to develop a solid appreciation

    of the situation, and from it a sound concept of operations and defence plan.

    In outline, Freyberg recognised that holding the few airfields on Crete would

    cause the whole plan [to] fail, and commanders were enjoined to hold out on

    them. A threat of sea borne invasion was noted, but clearly identified as being

    of secondary importance. Forces were positioned and plans prepared for

    prompt counterattacks to recapture any key terrain lost at the airfields.5

    Freybergs simple plan of holding the airfields worked well, and by the end of

    the first day the German airborne invasion had suffered severe casualties and

    was in deep trouble.6 Greek forces had destroyed the German detachment

    landed at Kastelli in the far west.7 In the central and eastern sectors the

    3 Hinsley, F.H., Thomas, E.E., et al., British intelligence in the Second World War: its influenceon strategy and operations, vol 1. London: H.M.S.O., 1981, p.415-18. anon, OL-seriesmessages sent to Freyberg, Crete, Apr-May 1941, DEFE 3/894, The National Archives, OL2154 (30 Apr 41) OL 14/375 (19 May 41), in particular message OL 2/302.

    4Murray, W., & Millett, A. A war to be won: fighting the Second World War. Cambridge, Mass.:

    Belknap Press of Harvard University Press, 2000, p.106. Playfair, I.S.O., Molony, C.C., et al.The Mediterranean and Middle East, vol II, The Germans come to the Help of their Ally(1941). London: H. M. Stationery Office, 1956, p.130.

    5Stewart, K.L., BGS Appreciation German Plan for Attack on Crete, Force Headquarters,

    12 May 1941, Freyberg Papers, BGS File March-May 1941, WAII 8/16, Archives New Zealand

    6Playfair, The Mediterranean and Middle East, vol II, p.133-4

    7 Hellenic Army General Staff. The battle of Crete, May 1941. Athens: Army HistoryDirectorate, 2000, p.58-9.

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    British, Greek and Australian forces hadbottled up the German paratroopers

    away from the airfields at both Rethymno and Heraklion.8 The German plan at

    Maleme was also floundering. Landings around Galatas and Suda had been

    contained, and the airfield itself remained under fire from New Zealand troops

    in dominating positions on Hill 107.9 All that was required to complete the

    German defeat was for the anticipated counter attacks by the New Zealand

    brigade under Brigadier Hargest to occur. Inexplicably Hargest failed to grip

    up his command, the counter attacks were repeatedly postponed. Eventually

    Lieutenant Colonel Andrews voluntarily abandoned Hill 109, thus gifting use of

    the airfield to the Germans.10

    It was an opportunity that General Student seized with both hands, literally

    crashing his only operational reserve onto the airfield at Maleme. Student

    subsequently leveraged this slight advantage into a cascading success that

    ten days later saw the Royal Navy conducting the third emergency evacuation

    of the Army in less than a year.11

    Superior intelligence had allowed Freyberg to prepare a workable defensive

    plan, but the forces under his command werent capable of carrying it out. In

    this battle the Germans had the strength to off-set bad intelligence, [whereas]

    8Playfair, The Mediterranean and Middle East, vol II, p.133.

    9Davin, D.M., Crete. Wellington, N.Z.: War History Branch, Department of Internal Affairs,

    1953, p.172-3.

    10Davin, Crete, p.164-71.

    11 Hellenic Army General Staff. The battle of Crete, p.82-3. Playfair, The Mediterranean andMiddle East, vol II, p.142-6.

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    the British were not in a position to make better use of an intelligence

    service that was getting into its stride.12

    When Field Marshall Rommel moved east after his partial victory over the

    Americans at Kasserine Pass in February 1943, thought he would be able to

    catch General Montgomery off-balance and to defeat the forward elements of

    Eighth Army at Medenine.13 However, in a repeat of the Crete operation,

    German intentions were betrayed by Ultra decrypts of radio communications

    and photo reconnaissance (PR) showing the panzer divisions heading east.14

    With this advance warning Montgomery had the time he needed to rush

    additional forces, including the 2nd New Zealand Division, forward from Tripoli

    and set up a carefully prepared ambush.15

    The resulting battle on March 6th saw the largest commitment of German

    armour in any North African battle, yet the outcome was a rapid and decisive

    German defeat. Rommel lost over one-third of his engaged tanks in just a few

    hours, while inflicting only minor casualties on the British and New Zealanders.

    The outcome was so one-sided that the Germans suspected a leak. This

    suspicion was noted by the British and resulted in the flow of special

    12Hinsley, British intelligence, vol 1, p.421.

    13Behrendt, H. Rommels intelligence in the Desert Campaign. London: William Kimber & Co.,

    1985, p.218. Liddell Hart, B.H. (ed.). The Rommel papers. London: Collins, 1953, p.412-13.Stevens, W. Bardia to Enfidaville. Wellington, N.Z.: War History Branch, Department of InternalAffairs, 1962, p.131-2. Hamilton, N., Monty: master of the battlefield, 1942-1944. Sevenoaks:Coronet, 1985, p.152-3.

    14Hinsley, F.H., Thomas, E.E., et al., British intelligence in the Second World War: its influence

    on strategy and operations, vol 2. London: H.M.S.O., 1981, p.593.

    15Kippenberger, Infantry brigadier, p.270-272. Stevens, Bardia to Enfidaville, p.136-45.

    Pemberton, A.L., The development of artillery tactics and equipment. London: British WarOffice, 1951, p.151.

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    intelligence from England to Montgomery being restricted for the remainder of

    the North African campaign.16

    The Battle of Medenine appears to be a clear case of decisive intelligence

    advantage translating into decisive victory. However it should be remembered

    that it was less than a year since Rommel had run roughshod over a

    thoroughly demoralised British army from Gazala, through Tobruk, and all the

    way up to El Alamein, in the summer of 1942.17 Intelligence certainly helped

    Montgomery prepare his forces at Medenine, but crucially the British had

    learned how to beat the Germans in battle and had gained the confidence to

    do so. An Eighth Army report on the battle noted that

    This action proved conclusively that if infantry are well dug in withtheir anti-tank guns properly concealed, and if they are wellsupported by artillery fire, they have nothing to fear from a tankattack18

    Lt. General Leese, commander of XXX Corps, remarked that the Battle of

    Medenine was a magnificent story ... [which] indicate[d] the will to win that

    was so evident everywhere in the Eighth Army. Without the skill and will to

    win the outcome would likely have been much less favourable to

    Montgomerys forces, despite the intelligence advantage.19

    Operation Overlord formed the centrepiece of Western Allied strategy for 1944.

    A successful invasion of France would see the British and American armies

    16Kippenberger, Infantry brigadier, p.274. Stevens, Bardia to Enfidaville, p.153. Liddell Hart,

    Rommel papers, p.415-16. Hinsley, British intelligence vol 2, p.595.

    17Latimer, J. Alamein. London: John Murray, 2003, p.43-72.

    18

    Pemberton, Artillery tactics and equipment, p.152.19

    Hamilton, Monty, p.170.

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    grappling with a major part of the German army for the first time, and was

    expected to lead to the liberation of Western Europe and ultimately to the

    defeat of Nazi Germany.20

    In order toensure that the invasion would be a success a great deal of effort

    went in to ensuring that the invaders were well informed about all aspects of

    their impending task. The collection of this information depended on the

    employment of a variety of intelligence resources. Signals traffic analysis

    determined locations and command hierarchies, while decrypts of radio

    messages revealed strengths and intentions. Hundreds of PR flights revealed

    tanks, artillery, fortifications, obstacles, and supply dumps in the coastal

    regions. These missions were repeated at regular intervals so that trends

    could be discerned. The French resistance collected intelligence which

    required close observation, such as whether coastal fortifications contained

    real guns.21 Small commando raids captured prisoners to identify units and try

    and understand their morale. This effort revealed the locations, identities,

    strengths, quality, the nature of any fortifications, and the intentions of

    practically all German army, naval, and air forces in Western Europe.22

    20Ellis, L. (1993). Victory in the West. Vol.1. The battle of Normandy. London: H.M.S.O., 1962,

    p.9-10.

    21Hinsley, F.H. and Thomas, E.E, British intelligence in the Second World War: its influence

    on strategy and operations, vol 3, part 2. London: H.M.S.O., 1990, p.778. Jones,R.V., MostSecret War, London: Penguin, 2009, p.361

    22, Hinsley, British Intelligence, vol. 3, pt 2, p.69-87. Williams, Bill, Enemy reaction to Overlord:

    Allied intelligence assessment, 6 May 1944, WO 219/1837, Operation Overlord: disposition ofenemy forces, appreciations of possible reactions etc. The National Archives. Holmes, R., TheD-Day experience. London: Carlton, 2004, facsimile dossier of German beach defence works.Fenris, J., Intelligence and OVERLORD; a snapshot from 6 June 1944, in J. Buckley (ed.),The Normandy campaign 1944: sixty years on. London; New York: Routledge, 2006, p.188-94,195-6. Hargest, James, The Anticipated Scale of German Air Force Effort AgainstOVERLORD in Notes from Normandy, WAII 1 DA 491.5/3, Archives New Zealand.

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    This massive effort ensured there would be few surprises for the invaders, and

    meant that assault forces could be prepared for the tasks they would face.

    Inevitably there were omissions. The two most significant were the

    unexpected presence of elements of the 352nd Infantry Division on Omaha

    Beach, and the 21st Panzer Division around Caen. While these two divisions

    were able to slow the tempo of the initial assault, they couldnt unhinge the

    invasion.23

    Amphibious invasions are risky operations, primarily because their success

    ultimately depends on the so-called race to the foreshore, with success going

    to the side which can get the most force to the invasion site first. The

    Germans held a major initial advantage since they already had over fifty

    divisions in France and the Low Countries, while the Allies starting from zero

    had to transport everything across the English Channel. Operation Bodyguard

    was the overarching Allied counter intelligence and security effort that sought

    to negate that advantage by concealing the location and strength of the actual

    invasion, and deflecting German interest onto locations well away from

    Normandy.24

    Bodyguard consisted of 16 main deception operations of vary complexity and

    importance, coordinated by the London Controlling Section. The two main

    elements were Fortitude North and Fortitude South.25

    23Fenris, Intelligence and OVERLORD, p.196-7.

    24Kershaw, R., D-Day; piercing the Atlantic Wall. Surrey: Ian Allan 2010, p.409. Barbier, M.K.,

    Deceptions and the planning of D-Day, in J. Buckley (ed.), The Normandy campaign 1944:sixty years on. London; New York: Routledge, 2006, p.170-1.

    25 Hughes-Wilson, John, Military Intelligence blunders. London: Robinson, 1999, p.19, 25.Barbier, Deceptions and the planning of D-Day, p.170.

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    Fortitude North sought to convince the Germans that Norway was under

    imminent threat of invasion. The aim was to draw additional German forces to

    that peripheral location, and ensure the ones already there remained. It is not

    clear that the Germans ever accepted Fortitude North as a genuine threat.

    Even so, Fortitude North still served a purpose. German intelligence expected

    the Allies would attempt to deceive them and penetrating the deception around

    Fortitude North supported their belief that Fortitude South was genuine.26

    Fortitude South portrayed an invasion of France along the Pas de Calais by

    the fictional First US Army Group (FUSAG), from the south-east of England.

    This deception relied on a number of interrelated factors to be convincing.

    This part of the English Channel is the narrowest and therefore required the

    least time at sea, enabled aircraft operating from England to provide the

    maximum cover, and provided the shortest route to the Third Reichs industrial

    heartland in the Ruhr. The Pas de Calais was also the launching point for the

    planned V-weapon campaign against England. Taken together, this made it

    seem to be the obvious place to mount an invasion.

    Commanding FUSAG was General Patton, who the Germans held in high

    regard and it was assumed he would be at the forefront of the invasion. A

    theatrical flourish was added when Patton hosted a sick officer being

    repatriated to Germany to dinner. Every stage-managed thing General Cramer

    26Hughes-Wilson, Military Intelligence blunders. p.24. Hastings, Max, Overlord: D-Day and the

    battle for Normandy, 1944. London: Pan Books Ltd., 1985, p.75. Latimer, J. Deception in war.New York: Overlook Press, 2001, p.214, 222.

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    observed was duly reported when he arrived in Berlin, all of it designed to

    reinforce existing German fears and preconceptions.27

    The Allies knew that German intelligence collection capabilities in England

    were limited to PR, signals intelligence, and secret agent reports. Poor

    procedures, coupled with Allied air supremacy, ensured that German PR

    coverage of England was poor to non-existent.28 This was exploited by

    denying any opportunity to observe the locations Overlord was actually being

    mounted from, whilst allowing some limited coverage of the FUSAG area and

    its concentrations of dummy tanks, installations, and landing craft.29

    Supporting this visual deception were fictitious radio transmissions between

    non-existent headquarters. This gave German radio intelligence an active

    target to operate against, leading them to believe their own skill and cunning

    was revealing Allied capabilities and intentions.30

    Shortly after the outbreak of World War II the British had imprisoned all

    German spies based in the United Kingdom, and a combination of good luck

    and good counter-intelligence captured every spy sent later. Most of these

    spies were convicted and executed or imprisoned, but a select few were

    turned to work as double-cross agents for the British. Controlled by the XX

    Committee, these men were used to feed scripted information to the Germans.

    This consisted of false information to deceive the Germans, mixed with true but

    unimportant and easily obtainable information build the agents credibility.

    27Hughes-Wilson, Military Intelligence blunders. p.31-2.

    28Jones, Most secret war, p.422-3.

    29Reit, S. The hidden war: the amazing camouflage deceptions of World War II. London:

    Corgi, 1980, p.20-1, 22-3, 31-2, 37.30

    Hughes-Wilson, Military Intelligence blunders. p.25. Latimer, Deception in war, p.224-5.

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    Bodyguard made use of this group to feed corroborating information about

    Fortitudes North and South directly into heart of German intelligence, adding a

    third layer of apparently independent evidence to the overall picture.31

    As the overall commander, General Eisenhower wasnt prepared to rely on

    only passive counter-intelligence measures to hold German forces away from

    Normandy. Allied strategic and tactical bombers were actively used to isolate

    Normandy by ruining the railway infrastructure in northern France. However,

    even this authentic effort was integrated into Fortitude South. By happy

    coincidence, rail lines that fed Normandy also ran through the Pas de Calais

    so attacks that seemed to be isolating the latter were actually isolating the

    former. Additionally, any missions that were necessary to fully isolate

    Normandy were masked in intelligence noise created by a policy of

    conducting at least two bombing missions in the Channel area for each one

    conducted in Normandy.32

    In these ways the Allies completely subverted German intelligence collection to

    tell a coherent but false story. Since the Germans believed their various

    sources to be independent, and since all were telling the same story, they

    deduced that the true Allied plan involved a main invasion along the Pas de

    Calais, led by Pattons FUSAG.

    As icing on their deceptive cake, the British used Ultra to monitor how the

    various components of their deception plans were succeeding. This insight

    31Hughes-Wilson, Military Intelligence blunders. p.24. Hinsley, F.H., Simkins C., et al, British

    intelligence in the Second World War: security and counter intelligence, vol 4. London:

    H.M.S.O., 1990, p.237-43. Latimer, Deception in war, p.227-9.

    32Ellis, Victory in the West, vol I, p.103

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    allowed them to fine tune their efforts by leaking additional information when

    necessary.33

    The success of this grand deception effort can be seen in a German

    operational map dated 3 July 1944, almost a month after the D-Day landings.

    This map identifies Allied forces in Normandy with reasonable accuracy.

    However, it still shows the fictitious Fortitude North and South forces located in

    England, and documents the retention of over seventeen German divisions in

    the Pas de Calais area defending against a non-existent threat.34

    On the eve of D-Day Allied intelligence had produced an excellent picture of

    the strength of German forces in Normandy, while Allied counter-intelligence

    had blinded the Germans tactically and operationally. This dual advantage

    provided the confidence to carry out the invasion.

    Despite this, grave concerns remained about the invasion. Alan Brooke

    confessed to his diary the day before the invasion that he was very uneasy

    about the whole operation, and feared that it may turn into the most ghastly

    disaster of the whole war, which says a lot given some of the disasters Brooke

    had presided over earlier in the war.35 On the same day General Eisenhower

    prepared a dispatch, which was fortunately never used, to inform the public

    that

    Our landings in the Cherbourg-Havre area have failed to gain asatisfactory foothold and I have withdrawn the troops. My decisionto attack at this time and place was based on the best information

    33Hughes-Wilson, Military Intelligence blunders. p.23.

    34Holmes, The D-Day experience, facsimile of map Lage West, 3.7.44, OKH Gen St d H,

    Op.Abt/IIIb

    35 Danchev, A., & Todman, D. War diaries, 1939-1945: the diaries of Field Marshal LordAlanbrooke. London: Weidenfeld & Nicolson, 2001. p.554.

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    available. The troops, the air and the Navy did all that bravery anddevotion to duty could do. If any blame or fault attaches to theattempt it is mine alone.36

    That Eisenhower and Brooke both retained grave doubts about the success of

    their great endeavour - despite knowing exactly how well the intelligence and

    counter-intelligence efforts had prepared the battlefield - indicates the limits of

    intelligence in winning battles.

    Even though the German high command was thoroughly deceived, none of the

    Allies geographical objectives on D-Day were achieved.37 But despite this,

    heavy fighting got the well prepared Allied forces ashore and kept them there,

    ensuring that the worst fears of Brooke and Eisenhower were not realised.

    Before the Battle of Crete intelligence allowed Freyberg to develop a viable

    plan to counter a novel form of warfare, but failures by subordinate

    commanders wasted the advantage, and this superior intelligence failed to

    avert defeat. At Medenine intelligence provided the information which allowed

    Montgomery to balance himself, but defensive positions on the ground still

    had to be developed, and the men had to fight well to avoid defeat. At

    Normandy a vast array of intelligence provided Allied commanders with

    unrivalled insight, while a complex counter-intelligence effort blinded the

    Germans. Intelligence provided the opportunity for success, but a hard fighting

    was required to secure it.

    36Eisenhower, Dwight D. "In case of failure" message drafted before D-Day. Dwight D.

    Eisenhower Library, Pre-Presidential Papers, Principal File: Butcher Diary 1942-1945.

    Eisenhower explicitly recognises the importance of intelligence in this message.37

    Hastings, Overlord, map on p.96-97 showing Allied objectives and advances on D-Day

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    Intelligence and Victory in Battle 13 of 15

    These examples demonstrate that intelligence can enable success in battle,

    but only effective force can realise it. The relationship between intelligence

    and success has been summarised by noting that

    [I]nformation cannot win wars by itself. Information helpscommanders make their operations more effective and efficient. Itmagnifies physical resources by enabling troops and guns to bebetter used in combat. It improves will and morale by reducinganxiety and steadying command. But ultimately its effect issecondary: it works only as a multiplier and guider of force anddetermination.38

    As the Battles of Crete, Medenine, and Normandy show, it is superior use of

    force that wins battles, not simply superior intelligence.

    38Kahn, The Rise of Intelligence p.134.

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    Hinsley, F.H., Simkins C., et al, British intelligence in the Second World War:security and counter intelligence, vol 4. London: H.M.S.O., 1990

    Holmes, R., The D-Day experience. London: Carlton, 2004

    Hughes-Wilson, John, Military Intelligence blunders. London: Robinson, 1999

    Jones, R.V., Most secret war. London: Penguin, 2009

    Kershaw, R., D-Day; piercing the Atlantic Wall. Surrey: Ian Allan 2010

    Kippenberger, H. Infantry brigadier. London: Oxford University Press, 1949

    Latimer, J. Deception in war. New York: Overlook Press, 2001.

    ___, Alamein. London: John Murray, 2003

    Liddell Hart, B.H. (ed.). The Rommel papers. London: Collins, 1953

    Murray, W., & Millett, A. A war to be won: fighting the Second World War.Cambridge, Mass.: Belknap Press of Harvard University Press, 2000.

    Pemberton, A.L., The development of artillery tactics and equipment. London:British War Office, 1951

    Playfair, I.S.O., Molony, C.C., et al. The Mediterranean and Middle East, vol II,The Germans come to the Help of their Ally (1941). London: H. M.Stationery Office, 1956.

    Reit, S. The hidden war: the amazing camouflage deceptions of World War II.London: Corgi, 1980.

    Stevens, W. Bardia to Enfidaville. Wellington, N.Z.: War History Branch,Department of Internal Affairs, 1962.

    Journal Articles

    Kahn, David. The rise of intelligence Foreign Affairs, Vol. 85, No. 5 (Sep. -Oct., 2006), pp.125-134.