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Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and Hazards (ISAIAH) 7 th NDRRMC IM-TWG Meeting Office of Civil Defense, Camp Aguinaldo, Quezon City 27 June 2016

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Page 1: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

Integrated Scenario-based

Assessments of Impacts and

Hazards (ISAIAH)

7th NDRRMC IM-TWG Meeting

Office of Civil Defense, Camp Aguinaldo, Quezon City

27 June 2016

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What is Project NOAH?

Specifically, Project NOAH aims to provide:

• flood mitigation system, specifically targeting a 6 hour flood

early warning system for communities along 18 major river

systems;

• enhancement of geohazard maps and;

• enhancement of storm surge vulnerability maps

As per President Aquino’s directive

to put in place a responsive

program for disaster prevention &

mitigation, the Department of

Science & Technology launched

Project NOAH last July 2012 in

Marikina City.

Nartea, 2012

Page 3: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

More than 1500

Automated Weather

Stations,

Rain Gauges and

Water Level Sensors

Page 4: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident
Page 5: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident
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LiDAR Mapping

Page 7: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident
Page 8: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

Hazard Maps

Page 9: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

How many people / households are in flood, landslide and

storm surge hazard areas?

Which critical facilities (schools, health facilities, evacuation

centers) may be affected by impending hazards?

How many houses made of light materials are inside of

areas covered by Tropical Cyclone Warning Signal?

How many children, senior citizens, PWDs and other at-risk

groups are needed to be evacuated in anticipation of

hydrometeorological hazards?

What are the gaps of local governments units in preparing

and responding for extreme weather events?

Let us consider these questions…

Page 10: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

Risk = f (Hazard , Exposure , Vulnerability

- World Risk Index Report 2013

, Capacity)

Page 11: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

Program Title: Nationwide Operational Assessment of Hazard

Project Title: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and Hazards (ISAIAH)

Implementing Agency: UP National Institute of Geological Sciences

Project Leader: Dr. Alfredo Mahar Francisco A. Lagmay

Page 12: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

Cooperating Agencies

1. National Disaster Risk Reduction

Management Center (NDRRMC)

2. Department of the Interior and Local

Government (DILG)

3. Department of Social Welfare and

Development (DSWD)

4. Ateneo Java Wireless Competency Center

5. Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA)

Page 13: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

Objectives • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

reporting and visualization tools

• To map exposure elements such as population, buildings and critical facilities

• To assess vulnerability to hydrometeorological hazards based on available datasets

• To evaluate the Disaster Risk Reduction and Management capacities of local government units

• To train and communicate with end-users in the use of the NOAH website and its allied tools

• To provide data and risk information required by NDRRMC during extreme weather events thru the PDRA system

Page 14: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

Population Exposure Mapping

DSM

DTM

Remotely

Sensed

Data

Census

Datasets

Page 15: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

Building Exposure Mapping

Open

StreetMap Remotely Sensed Data

Page 16: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

Exposure Mapping Results

Page 17: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

Exposure Mapping Results

Page 18: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

Vulnerability

The characteristics and circumstances of a

community, system or asset that make it

susceptible to the damaging effects of a

hazard (UNISDR, 2007)

Page 19: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

RA 10121 (Philippine DRRM Act of 2010)

pinpoints the source of vulnerability from:

• Physical factors

• Social factors

• Economic factors and

• Environmental factors

Page 20: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

Vulnerability Indicators

Dependent Age Group

Household Head Qualities

Unemployment

Literacy

Poverty Incidence

At-Risk Population

Housing

Environmental Factors

Census & Other

Surveys Datasets Source:

Page 21: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

Capacity Assessment

Page 22: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

WebSAFE

WebSAFE allows users to

calculate the number of

population exposed to a

particular risk such as flood

hazard in question format.

For example: In the event of a

100-year flood in Quezon City,

how many people (population)

will need evacuation?

Page 23: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

WebSAFE

Page 24: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

WebSAFE

Page 25: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

Risk

Assessment

Hazard

Exposure

Vulnerability Capacity

Page 26: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

Target Provinces

Abra

Aurora

Bataan

Batangas

Biliran

Camiguin

Cavite

Ilocos Norte

Ilocos Sur

La Union

Leyte

Metro Manila

Misamis Oriental

Samar

Zambales

Page 27: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

NOAH is part of the PDRA System

Page 28: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

NOAH-WISE

Wind

Forecast

Page 29: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

NOAH-WISE

Rainfall

Forecast

Page 30: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

NOAH-WISE

Accumulated Rainfall Forecast

June 25 Saturday

June 26 Sunday

Page 31: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

NOAH-WISE

Accumulated Rainfall Forecast

June 27 Monday

June 28 Tuesday

Page 32: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

NOAH-WISE

Accumulated Rainfall Forecast

June 29 Wednesday

June 30 Thursday

Page 33: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

NOAH-WISE

Accumulated Rainfall Forecast

July 01 Friday

Page 34: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

198 Municipalities in

13 regions

AREAS WITH >= 100 mm OF RAIN THAT MAY

TRIGGER LANDSLIDES & FLOODS

Based on

NOAH-WISE Simulations

Page 35: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident
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noah.dost.gov.ph

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