institutional structured products - catley...

Institutional Structured Products9th May 2014

Agenda

§ Who are Catley Lakeman Securities?

§ What is a Structured Product?

§ Key Categories of Structured Product

§ Two case studies

§ Costs / Liquidity

§ How we support our clients

§ Appendix

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Who are Catley Lakeman Securities?

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4

Who are Catley Lakeman Securities?

What We DoInstitutional sales, structuring, pricing, execution, servicing for:− Defined return and market participation structured products− Delta one, ETFs, ETPs, trackers and structured UCITS− Research, analysis, portfolio manager training − Portfolio hedging, options modeling− Legal, tax and regulatory process advice

Highlights− Est. August 2008− Unparalleled experience− Exceptionally qualified team of eight− Leaders in institutional market for securitised product− Growing reputation for hedging advice and execution− £3bn originated and executed since August 2008− £955mn originated and executed in financial year to July 2013

37%

8%6% Autocallable 37%

Synthetic 8%Income 6%

51%

32%

12%5%

Defined Return 51%

Option Hedging 32%

Market Participation 12%

Delta One 5%

Business Split By Product Type

(Data to Q4 2013)

Where CLS sits…

Client Discretionary Portfolios

Institutional Investor

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So it’s key to understand counterparty risk?

Source: Bloomberg, data as at 9-May-2014

What we really care about is how stable the bond spread is!

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Cre

dit D

efau

lt Sw

ap (C

DS)

leve

ls [b

asis

poi

nts

over

LIB

OR

per

ann

um]

Credit Spreads since June-2008 - Trading Ranges

Series4

high

low

maximum 1360

current

How are Structured Products Put Together?

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FIRST STEPBuy Zero Coupon Bond from Bank

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§ First step: buy Zero Coupon Bond from bank, it sits as Senior Unsecured Debt on the bank’s mainBalance Sheet

§ Net Amount Remaining to Invest: 11.21p§ Note: the 11.21p could be spent on a guaranteed coupon stream, what would this be called?

→ A bank corporate bond

£15yr zero-couponBond/Swap

Cost: 88.79p

£1to invest

ZCB now worth £1*

5 years

*The ZCB is discounted at the respective interest swap rate for the term, plus the bank’s funding level, to return 100p at maturity

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§ The next step is to sell a knock-in put on an index the investor is looking for exposure to

§ Net Amount Remaining to Invest: 21.67p§ Note: all puts are expensive due to a skewed demand for downside protection in the derivative

marketsEG: how probable do the models think it is that the FTSE will be below 4000 points in 6 years time?→ 21% chance (as of May 2014, updated from original research piece ‘Structured Investments and Value’)


Cost: 88.79p

£1to invest

5 years

Sell 5yr EuropeanPut Option

on the FTSE Risk At 60%

Strike (‘Knock-In Put’)

Cost: 10.46p

ZCB now worth £1

Knock-In Put:

Has the FTSE fallen by more

than 40%?

SECOND STEPSell Knock-In Put

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§ The final step is to choose your upside package- for consistency we will stay with FTSE

§ Fee of 1 – 1.5%§ Net Amount Remaining to spend on Upside Package: 20.17– 20.67p§ Bullish? → Accelerator: geared participation in rising markets

§ Bearish? → Synthetic/ Autocall: both provide a positive return in flat to falling markets*

§ Somewhere in between? → Booster


Cost: 88.79p

£1to invest

5 years




Cost: 10.46p

ZCB now worth £1

Knock-In Put:

Has the FTSE fallen by more

than 40%?

THIRD STEPChoose Upside Package

Option packageProvidingEconomic

Return


Return

*so long as markets haven’t fallen by more than the put, ie 40% down

Upside Package: Accelerators

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UPSIDE PACKAGEAccelerators

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• HSBC 5.5 year Fixed Rate Bond§ Price of 1 FTSE call option today: 10.08p§ Therefore the investor can afford: 20.17/ 10.08p

→ 2.00 call options

20.17p left to spend

In other words: 200% participation in the FTSE over 5 years

USE TYPE EXAMPLE SITS ALONGSIDE

Gearing / Participation Uncapped Accelerator / Supertracker Large cap / core long only funds and ETFs

How do Accelerators fit into portfolios?

§ These have been very popular this year, with clients bullish beginning of year view§ Not usually held for more than 1 to 2 years

Eg: HSBC 603 US Accelerator 9 (167%)

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HSBC 603 US Accelerator (167%)

Strike: 31-Jan-2014

Counterparty: HSBC

Currency: USD Denominated

Underlying: S&P 500 (1782 points)

Maximum Term: 6 years

Platform: EIS (subject to CGT under current tax rules)

Upside: 167% participation (final year averaging)

Downside (60% European Knock-In Put):

if at maturity the S&P has fallen by more than 40% of the initial level (below 1069 points) at maturity, the structure will redeem paying the original capital minus 1% for every 1% the Index has fallen below the initial level

Performance of the US Accelerator Series

14The calculations above are based on gross reinvestment of proceeds. Average weighted entry/exit levels have been applied based on actual investor flows, webelieve this to result in a conservative estimation of cumulative performance. Source: Bloomberg, data to 08-May-14

80%

90%

100%

110%

120%

130%

140%

150%

160%

Feb-11 Sep-11 Mar-12 Oct-12 Apr-13 Nov-13

Cum

ulat

ive

Perf

orm

ance

US Equity "Defined Return Security" cumulative

S&P 500 PR

S&P 500 TR

(cumulative +58.01%)

(1) US Supertracker 2: bought 16-Feb-11

(2) sold US Supertracker 2 for 118.41 centsBought US Accelerator 5with proceeds reinvested@ 100 cents

(3) Sold US Accelerator 5 at bid price of 128.77cents >> Invested into US Accelerator 9 with proceeds reinvested @ 100 cents

Decision: How Bullish on US

Equities?

(4) US Accelerator 9 : current bid price of 103.63 cents >> overall cumulative performance of +59.31% versus a passive S&P TR investment return of +48.39%

Where does it fit?

15Source: Bloomberg, Financial Express, data to 6-May-14

USD Denominated Performance (TR)

Bloomberg Ticker 3 month 1 month Since Launch

(3-Feb-2013) (4-Apr-2014) (22-Feb-2013)HSBC 476 US Supertracker Series 5

B92SVS9 12.67% -0.87% 36.78%

Legg Mason Funds US Equity LMUSEAA LN Equity 6.60% -1.43% 31.23%

JPMorgan American Investment Trust

JAM LN Equity 7.07% 0.61% 30.59%

UBS US Equity Investment Funds

UBSUEAA LN Equity 5.49% -1.15% 28.88%

Neptune Investment Funds US Opps

CFNUSAA LN Equity 1.45% -2.01% 27.81%

Schroder QEP US Core Fund SCHRAMA LN Equity 6.33% -0.19% 27.20%

ISHARES S&P 500 SACC LN Equity 7.21% -0.25% 26.71%JPM US Equity Income HLIEX US Equity 8.42% -0.24% 25.94%Threadneedle Investment Funds American Select

TDNASGA LN Equity 2.04% -2.84% 25.74%

S&P 500 SPX Index 7.68% 0.23% 25.65%Findlay Park American Fund FINDLPI ID 5.56% 0.00% 23.68%M&G Investment Funds American

MGAMDAA LN Equity 4.45% -1.46% 20.72%

Brown Advisory US Equity Growth Fund BRAUSEB ID Equity 1.66% -2.44% 16.70%

Upside Package: Synthetics

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UPSIDE PACKAGESynthetics

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• HSBC 5.5 year Fixed Rate Bond§ Guaranteed coupons: Reverse Convertible§ Coupons contingent on an index being over a certain level: Digital§ Coupon contingent on an index being between a range: Range Trade / Range Accrual

§ Note: all of the above can be structured to pay income


How do Synthetics fit into portfolios?

§ The other success story over the last year, beyond autocalls§ With the backdrop of falling rates, falling vol and tightening credit, in most cases these structures have

outperformed the market


Yield Enhancement Defined Return Selling Volatilty

Synthetics Range Accrual ZDPs

RESULTING STRUCTUREMANAGER CONSIDERATIONS & DECISIONSHOW TO GET HIGHER YIELD

Yield : circa 2.9%

HSBC 6y Fixed Rate Bond

*All pricing as at circa May-2014

Yield : circa 4.7%

Yield : circa 5.0%

Yield : circa 5.23%(Rolled-up version, accrued max6*5.58% p.a.)

Put capital risk

Put coupon at risk (via lower barrier)

Put coupon at risk (add upper barrier)

Which underlying should the structure be linked to? FTSE

At what level should the lower barrier be?Coupon paid annually as long as the FTSE is over 4090 points.

To what extent is the manager prepared to put capital at risk?Soft protection at maturity at 4090 points.

At what level should the upper barrier be?5.23% annual, accrued daily for every day the FTSE closes within the range of 4090 to 8864 points.

HSBC 6y FTSE Reverse Convertible

HSBC 6y FTSE Digital

HSBC 6y FTSE Range Accrual

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UPSIDE PACKAGESynthetics

This shows the evolution of a live trade:

HSBC 440 FTSE Daily Range Accrual (7.0%)

19*Example structure first traded Oct-12

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

5500

6000

6500

7000

7500

8000

8500

+0 years +1 year +2 years +3 years +4 years +5 years +6 years

FTSE

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Upper Barrier: 7500 points

Strike: 5800 points

7% coupon paid as FTSE stayed

between barriers for whole year

1.75% coupon paid as FTSE exceeded theupper barrier for 75% of

the year

3% coupon paid as FTSE fell below the lower barrier for 50% of

the year

2.3% coupon paid as FTSE fell below thelower barrier for 33% of

the year

7% coupon paid as S&P 500 stayed


7% coupon paid as FTSE stayed


0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

+0 years +1 year +2 years +3 years +4 years +5 years +6 years

Cou

pon

Paym

ents

Lower Barrier: 3500 points

Soft Protection at Maturity: 3500 points

Potential Coupon: 7%

HSBC Bond Coupon: 3.0%

Traded example, semi-annual, HSBC 440 FTSE Income (3.5% s.a. Daily Range Accrual) Note

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Eg: HSBC 363 FTSE Daily Range Accrual (8.0%)

HSBC 363 FTSE Daily Range Accrual (8.0%)

Strike: 9-Jan-11

Counterparty: HSBC

Currency: GBP Denominated

Underlying: FTSE 100 (5460.38 points)

Maximum Term: 6 years

Platform: EIS (subject to CGT under current tax rules)

Upside:8% annual coupon accrued daily, for every day the FTSE closes between 55% and 150% of the initial level ( 3003.21 to 8190.57 points)

Downside (55% European Knock-In Put):

if at maturity the FTSE has fallen by more than 45% of the initial level (below 3003.21 points) , the structure will redeem paying the original capital minus 1% for every 1% the Index has fallen below the initial level

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Mark-to-Market

Source: Bloomberg, data as at 8-May-14

75.00%

85.00%

95.00%

105.00%

115.00%

125.00%

135.00%

Nov-11 Feb-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Apr-13 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-14 May-14

FTSE 100 Index Performance [Price]

HSBC 363 Performance

Total return of index = 135% (dividend reinvestment assumingNet of Corporate Tax rate 20%)

Sterling Interest Rates

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Sterling Interest RatesGrinding lower, 10% autocall coupon equates to 15% in 2007 (ceteris paribus)

Source: Bloomberg (08-May-2014)

5 year currently 2.04%

2 year currently 1.10%

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Swap

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GBP Swap Rates

Upside Package: Autocalls

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UPSIDE PACKAGEAutocalls

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• HSBC 5.5 year Fixed Rate Bond§ Snowballing annual coupon which can redeem early if the index is over a certain level

§ These barriers typically fall each year

§ Note: Synthetics have a tenor of 6 years, Autocalls have an expected life of roughly 2 years.

→ Rates concern?


How do Autocalls fit into portfolios?

§ Performance of Defensive Autocalls is predictable and defined§ Bull market: Underperform

§ Bear market: Likely to outperform§ Flattish market: Outperform significantly


Yield Enhancement Defined Return Selling Volatilty

Autocalls Defensive Autocall Equity income finds and absolute return funds

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Payoff Example

Level of Index 1st anniversary 2nd anniversary 3rd anniversary 4th anniversary 5th anniversary

100%

60%

0%

6th anniversary

Autocall observation coupon of 32%




Autocall continues to 2nd anniversary

Autocall continues to 3rd anniversary

Autocall continues to 4th anniversary



Capital protection barrier triggered

Cap

ital P

rote

cted

Cap

ital L

oss



100%95%

90%85%

80% 75%

Autocall redeems at 100p

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Current Yields

Source: Data as at 08-May-14

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Defensive (5% dropper) Dual Autocall A+

issuer(FTSE / S&P) (simple per

annum)

High yield bond ETF (Bank of

America Merrill Lynch Global

High Yield BB-B)

FTSE 12 month Dividend Yield

UK Gov't bonds 2 year (£ Gilts)

2 year Sterling Swaps

High Grade credit (£ Non-Gilts AAA

3-5)

UK Gov't bonds 6 year (£ Gilts)

6 year Sterling Swaps

RWANDA 10 Year (6 ⅝ 05/02/23)

COSTA RICA 12 Year (COSTAR 4

⅜ 04/30/25 )

YIel

d %

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Eg: HSBC 260 FTSE Defensive Autocall (10%)

HSBC 260 FTSE Defensive Autocall (10%) EIS

Strike: 7-Oct-10Counterparty: HSBCCurrency: GBP DenominatedUnderlying: FTSE 100 (5662.13 points)Maximum Term: 6 yearsPlatform: EIS (subject to CGT under current tax rules)Upside: Defensive autocall, 10% snowballing annual coupon

Autocall Barriers:

Year 1: 100% barrier 110% payoffYear 2: 100% barrier 120% payoffYear 3: 100% barrier 130% payoffYear 4: 95% barrier 140% payoffYear 5: 90% barrier 150% payoffYear 6: 85% barrier 160% payoff

Downside (50% American Knock-In Put):

should the structure not autocall on any of the 6 anniversaries, and the FTSE has fallen by more than 50% at any close over the life, the structure will redeem paying the original capital minus 1% for every 1% the Index had fallen below strike level

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Oct-10 Feb-11 May-11 Aug-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12

FTSE 100 Total ReturnHSBC 260 FTSE Defensive

Annualised Volatility over the life of the trade:HSBC 260: 14.51%FTSE 100: 19.93%

Outperformance over the Underlying: 9.77%

Total return of index = +10.23% (dividend reinvestment assuming Net of Corporate Tax rate 20%)

Mark-to-Market

Structure outperformance to date: 9.77%

Structure annualised volatility: 14.51%

FTSE 100 annualised volatility: 19.93%

Source: A selection of popular UK funds, all rated AAA/AA by Citywire 29

• Called in Year 2 (8th October 2012), with the FTSE at 5841.74 points

• Over the two years since launch, the structure doubled the return of the market with less volatility

Period Range: 7-Oct-10 to 8-Oct-12

Total Return Performance 360 Day Volatility

Structure (HSBC 260 Def Ac) 20.00% 14.51%

BlackRock UK Special Situations 16.70% 19.92%

Threadneedle UK Equity Income 15.79% 17.49%

Underlying (FTSE 100) 10.23% 19.93%

M&G Recovery 11.14% 22.56%

Standard Life Investment GARS 7.62% 4.72%

Jupiter Absolute Return 4.51% 5.51%

Performance

Overview

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Categories of Structured Products

CAPPED

UNCAPPED

ACCESS TO A PARTICULAR UNDERLYING

PARTICIPATION

SELLING VOLATILITY

DEFINED RETURN

YIELD ENHANCEMENT

AUTOCALLS

SYNTHETICS

INCOME Sit alongside: Income funds

Sit alongside: ZDPs

Sit alongside: Equity income funds and absolute return funds

Sit alongside: Large cap / core long only funds and ETFs

Sit alongside: Other vehicles accessing the same underlying asset

AcceleratorsSupertrackers

Call Spreads

Usually participation in the form of an Accelerator, (but not always)

Autocalls Defensive Autocalls Worst-Of Autocalls

Synthetic ZerosDigitalsRange TradesRange Accruals

Reverse Convertibles DigitalsRange Trades High Income Range AccrualsInflation Plus

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Appendix

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Full Intra Day Secondary Market Liquidity

33


Cost: 88.79p




Cost: 10.46p


Return

Zero Coupon Bond§ A notional swap from the

bank’s Treasury Department

§ This is cancellable at any point

§ They are ultimately notional- do not need to be sold, hedged or replaced.

Option Package§ Calls and put options are,

logically, derivatives of their underlying risk assets

§ Therefore, the options market can only become illiquid at some point after the underlying market becomes illiquid

Past Exceptions§ Close Brothers & ELDerS- collateralised with British, Irish and some Icelandic banks and building

societies.§ Retail Structured Product market.

FTSE 100 Futures Daily Volume

34Source: Weekly average data, as at 01-Oct-13

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Trad

ing

Volu

me

£ B

IL Current

1 month ago

1 year ago

Trading in the top ten traded UK stocks is 29% of FTSE 100 futures

volume

The Operational Process

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§ Investment Manager checks price with Catley Lakeman (via phone or Catley Lakeman website)

§ Investment Manager places dealing instruction to Dealer at Stockbroker

§ Dealer sends request to Catley Lakeman

§ Catley Lakeman sends email to Stockbroker Dealer and Bank Structured Products Desk with price and notional

§ Dealer confirms

§ Bank confirms and executes

§ Note: Stockbroker faces the bank directly, they do not face Catley Lakeman.

Disclaimer

This is a marketing communication and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote independence of investment research andis not subject to any prohibition of dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.

The information in this document is derived from sources believed to be reliable but which have not been independently verified. Any prices included within thiscommunication are for indicative purposes only. Catley Lakeman Securities makes no guarantee of its accuracy and completeness and is not responsible for errors oftransmission of factual or analytical data, nor is it liable for damages arising out of any person’s reliance upon this information. All charts and graphs are from publiclyavailable sources or proprietary data. The opinions in this document constitute the present judgment of Catley Lakeman Securities, which is subject to change withoutnotice.

This document is neither an offer to sell, purchase or subscribe for any investment nor a solicitation of such an offer. This document is intended for the use ofinstitutional and professional customers and is not intended for the use of private customers. This document is not intended for distribution in the United States ofAmerica or to US persons. This document is intended to be distributed in its entirety. No consideration has been given to the particular investment objectives, financialsituation or particular needs of any recipient.

Catley Lakeman Securities is regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Firm FSA Reference No. 484826. Catley Lakeman Securities is the trading name of CatleyLakeman LLP. Registered Office: One Eleven Edmund Street, Birmingham. B3 2HJ. Registration Number: OC336585

DISCLAIMER

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