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Numerical Modelling – Policy InterfaceWorkshop 2007

March 12th – 13th, 2007, Stuttgart, Germany Venue: Senatssaal, Rektoramt, Keplerstrasse 7

NMPI Concept & Vision

Desmond Yaw Manful & Andrew Hughes

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Outline of the talk

BackgroundMotivationObjectivesMethod: NMPI WorkshopsNMPI NETWORK

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Background

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Context I - General

D e c isionS upport

C u rren t W aterM an agem en t

S ys tem s

A d ap ted W aterM an agem en t

S ys tem s

F e e d b ac ks

A d ap tation

V ulne rab ility& Im p ac ts

C o n d itio n s& S cen ario s

„Water could be the first casulty of global warning; Effects of declining water supplies will be harsh &noticeable“Steven Chu, Director Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory, USA (Speech from CleanTech Forum, February 2007.

“Decision support” provides a milieu that links present and future aspects of resource management to adaptation, vulnerability and feedback mechanisms.

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Background

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Context II - why a network?

The potential of networks to foster change in research, practice and policy (RPP)

To break the expensive viscous cycle of model development & non-use by target audience

Beyond what a single institution, programme oreven country can achieve (Synergies – e.g. EU & US)

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Motivation

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Need for a new paradigm:

To assess the needs of end-usersTo improve the involvement of end-user*Improving communication is not enough!

Missing links

Need for a new tools:

To assess to uptake of numerical tools by end-user

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Motivation Beyond the Status Quo

Issues arising out informal expert consultation:

1. Need to downscale Science-Policy Nexus to manageable components

2. Strategic communication and effective engagement of researchers &

decisionmakers

4. Urgent need to make adaptation work especially in the southern hemisphere

3. Need for a common platform to compare notes, exchange ideas, develop synergies

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Motivation Summary

NMPI NetworkPurpose To narrow gap betw. numerical modelling & policy /practice

To improve use of numerical tools for adaptation to CG

Objective Define issues that characterize gap & set a research agenda to address them (thematically within geopolitical Provide a platform where all stakeholders (model users, developers, other S.P.N initiatives) can share knowledge

Outcome Establish a Global network of interested parties working on various themes of the interface Improved uptake of numerical models A Forum for informed & objective stakeholder dialogue

How is NMPIN realised?

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Objectives Overview

NMPI 2007Workshop IStuttgart

NMPI 2007Workshop IINottingham

BackgroundEU FP6 BidsIPCC Report 2007 Consultations

• Rapid Assessment Instrument• Improving decision making• Adaptation to climate change• Need for well defined interface• Need for common platform to harmonize global initiatives & to share exp. & knowledge

• Characterize the interface• Domain: water environment• Adapt a thematic approach• Geopolitical consideration• Set an agenda for research with sciencitifically formulated issues• Provide input for NMPI strategy

• Engage practioners • Research agenda from Stuttgart as basis for research consortia development• Concretize input into 5 year short-term strategy of NMPI• Disemination of NMPI process

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Method NMPI – Workshop I

I. To develop a network of interested parties to systematically assess, define &document the gap between numerical modeling & policy

II. To develop a research agenda driven by the findings from objective I

1. Thematic

2. Geopolitical

Within specific:

Framework

F e m ale

M ale

NMPI Netw ork15

A knowledge sharing network

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NMPI Network Beyond – Workshops I & II

Beyond the workshops:

1. NMPI 5 Year Strategy Paper

2. Research Consortia (Thematic with Geopolitical consideration)

3. Publish two edited volumes documenting NMPI workshop “process”

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NMPI Network Components

Classification Organisation Consensus

Allows one to ask the right questions

Role of young professionals, graduate students and interns in NETWORK building

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Method NM PIN Concept

Adaptated from Creech & Willard, 2001