inspire your kids to be better investors
TRANSCRIPT
(Than we were)
Inspire your kids to be better investors
• Linda and Erin of NAFR Ottawa Branch• Frank Schilder our Zoom Master• Dave Gass for the video• Dyane for acting as MC
Acknowledgements
• Nothing in this presentation is advice or recommendation and is for information only• All investing involves risk• Readers should seek the advice of a registered
financial/investment adviser or conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decision
Disclaimer
If I knew then what I know nowI would be sitting on this yacht
• Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs)• All in One ETFs• One Click solutions
• Discount Brokers• Robo Advisors• “D” Series Mutual Funds• High Interest savings Accounts
Intelligent investing available to all
• The average annual compound total return of the S&P 500 (US large companies) over the long term is:• 1. <9%• 2. 9%• 3. >9%
Poll question 1
Average return of the S&P 5009% average camouflages a lot of variability
• Over the next ten years, considering the economic impact of Covid 19, the total return of the S&P 500 will be:• 1. < 9%• 2. > 9%• 3. about 9%• 4. < 5%
Poll question 2
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
10 years 20 years 30 years 40 years
Future Value of $100 invested in a tax free account
9%/yr 8%/yr 7%/yr
The magic of compound growthAnd the misery of high fees
Don’t try to beat the marketThe wisdom of Warren Buffett
• Low fees• No taxes• Diversification• Automatic investments• Time in the market• 94% positive return over any 10 year period
Five secrets to investing success
• What percentage of actively managed Canadian stock mutual funds beat the market over ten years?• 1. 90%• 2. 50%• 3. 12%• 4. 5%
Poll question 3
The “Active” vs “Passive” debate
• Actively managed funds try to beat the market (ie the index)• Active management incurs higher fees for the stock
pickers’ salaries• Passive funds simply mimic an index such as:• S&P 500 largest US stocks• TSX 250 selected Canadian stocks• EAFE Europe, Australasia, Far East• EM Emerging Markets
The broken promise of Actively Managed Mutual Funds
% who have beaten indexes
5 years 10 years
Cdn Equity 1.5 16
Cdn Dividend 15 9
US Equity 11 5
Intl Equity 22 16
Simple Average 12 12
Chance of picking a winner
1/8 1/8
Source: SPIVA 2020
Fund Type % Management Expense Ratio (MER)
Managed MF 2.2
Index ETF .05
All in One ETF .25
Why do managed mutual funds underperform ?
Fees
Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) (usually) have the lowest fees
• Bought and sold like a stock• $9.95 or lower commission through discount brokers
• Same as a Mutual Fund• No Advisers to pay• Simple administration• Management Expenses (MERs) as low as .05%/year
• What’s an Index ?• TSX 250• S&P 500• Dow Jones
• What are the fees (MERs)• .05% or less for broad based index ETFs
Index Tracking Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs)
All in One ETFs
• What’s an All in One (AKA Asset Allocation) ETF ?• Wide diversification of stocks and bonds • Professional management
• What do they contain ?• Stocks of the world• Canada and US bonds if selected
• What’s the fee (MER) ?• 0.2 – 0.25%
Selected Vanguard All in One ETFs
• Available through discount online brokers• Same funds as available through banks or advisers• No “Trailing Commissions” = 1% lower fees• Balanced Funds offer One Stop investing• Example: Mawer Balanced, MER 0.9%
“D” Series Mutual Funds
VBAL vs VGRO vs MAW Balanced3 Years
High Interest Savings Accounts (HISA)
• What’s a HISA?• What’s the interest rate?• Who provides them ?• On Line Banks
• What’s a Discount Broker ?• What are their fees (commissions) ?• Are they secure ?• Examples:• Questrade• Q Trade• All the Banks
Discount Online Brokers
• What’s a Robo Advisor ?• What are their fees ?• Are they secure ?• Examples:• Wealth Simple• Questwealth• BMO SmartFolio
Robo Advisors
“We don’t get fooled again”
Globe and Mail, March 24, 202
“Investors face regulatory nightmare after advisers’ moves
trigger big losses”
• Fee based• 1% +- depending on portfolio size
• Certified Financial Planner (CFP)• Fiduciary responsibility (in writing)
If you do use a Financial Adviser
• Registered Retirement Savings Plan (RSP)• Tax Free Savings Account (TFSA)• $6000/year contribution room from 18 years old
• Registered Education Savings Plan (RESP)• 20% government top up of annual contribution up to $500
Max out Tax Sheltered Accounts
• Typically, 100% match• Usually limit of 3-5% of salary
Max out company match RSPs
Are stocks risky ?Not in a diversified, long term portfolio
The longer your time horizon, the more stocks you should own.
Years to retirement/House Purchase
HISAStock/Bond %
All in One ETF/D series MF example
<5 5030/20
HISAVBAL in TFSA
5-10 60/4070/30
VBALMAW Balanced A
10-20 80/20 VGRO
20+ 100/0 VEQT
Note: similar offerings from Ishares and BMO
Future Value Calculations$500 per month invested
In thousands
Return after fees
10 Years 20 Years 30 Years
7% 87 262 613
8% 92 297 751
9% 97 336 922
Note the effect of later years’ compoundingStarting early is key
Conclusions
• Invest regularly no matter what • Invest through a Discount Broker• Realize that you ain’t no Warren Buffett• Buy All in One ETFs• Ignore the Financial media• AKA “Financial Pornography”
• Introduction to Investing For Retirees• Three parts• How to develop an investing strategy• How to choose an adviser• How to select the right investments
• April 21, 28 & May 5
Future Seminars
Questions ?Sleep well. Retire well
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