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Innovative Reimbursement - IPASA Conference Dr Jonathan Broomberg – CEO Discovery Health September 2016
AGENDA
Discovery Health’s initiatives to manage medicine expenditure 3
Key trends in the SA pharmacy and medicine industry 2
1 Current operating environment for schemes
2
AGENDA
Discovery Health’s initiatives to manage medicine expenditure 3
Key trends in the SA pharmacy and medicine industry 2
1 Current operating environment for schemes
3
4
Claims inflation is high and increasing - driven mainly by increasing utilisation of healthcare services
6.3% 0.5%
2.9%
1.7% 11.4%
CPI Tariffs Demand side utilisation Supply side utilisation Claims inflation
If utilisation was constant since 2008: Contributions would be 27% lower
If tariff differential was 0% since 2008: Contributions would be 2.8% lower
Average annualised inflation rates (2008 – 2015)
CPI Tariffs Demand side utilisation Supply side utilisation Claims inflation
DEMAND SIDE | Increasing lifestyle diseases and adverse selection are driving claims costs
5
75%
5
5
5 lifestyle behaviours
5 chronic conditions
75% of deaths worldwide
Physical inactivity Poor nutrition Smoking Alcohol Medicine non-adherence
Diabetes Heart & lung diseases Cancer Mental diseases
Epidemic of lifestyle diseases
2008 2015
31.51
33.68
13.90%
22.10%
60.10% 49.80%
6.9%
59%
21%
% Chronic
Age
% Non-claimants
Evidence of adverse selection in DHMS
DEMAND SIDE | Serious illness should be randomly distributed by duration
6
17%
11% 10%
6%
9%
6% 7%
9%
5% 5% 6%
5%
2% 1%
0%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 >15Years on Scheme
[VALUE]
4% 5%
6% 5%
8%
6% 7%
9% 9% 9%
5% 4%
3% 2% 2%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 > 15
Years on Scheme
14% who claimed biologics for RA and related conditions had been on the Scheme for <1 year
17% who claimed biologics for multiple sclerosis had been on the Scheme for <1 year
Multiple Sclerosis Rheumatoid Arthritis and related conditions requiring biologic medicines
R120 000 PER PATIENT PER
ANNUM
R97 000 PER PATIENT PER ANNUM
14%
7
SUPPLY SIDE | New hospitals have led to R1.1bn excess expenditure
Regional Analysis: Durban
Regional admission rate vs national average
Impact of new hospitals (2008-2015)
*12 of 18 regional case studies show significantly increased utilisation levels, with total excess cost of R1.1 billion
25 NEW FACILITIES
2,653 NEW BEDS
R1.1bn EXCESS COST*
2010
14% higher
National Average
2011
19.8% higher
2014
29.7% higher
AGENDA
Discovery Health’s initiatives to manage medicine expenditure 3
Key trends in the SA pharmacy and medicine industry 2
1 Current operating environment for schemes
8
DHMS medicine expenditure trends
9
161
183 192
204 206 220
234 250
291
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 YTD Jun2016
Real medicine expenditure PLPM (2008-2016) Steeply increasing trend in chronic scripts per 1000 lives
R’billion
81% growth in 7 years
120.00
125.00
130.00
135.00
140.00
145.00
150.00
155.00
160.00
165.00
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Increasing generic usage, but SA remains slightly behind international benchmarks
10 1. Basket excludes non-substitutable; 2. International substitution rate = 80%
Chronics medicines
Acute medicines
49% 52% 55% 60% 66% 71% 75% 78%
51% 48% 45% 40% 34% 29% 25% 22%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
58% 59% 61% 64% 65% 68% 71% 74%
42% 41% 39% 36% 35% 32% 29% 26%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Generic Brand
In Hospital Out of Hospital1
80%2
80%2
46% 49% 52% 55% 59% 64%
69% 71%
54% 51% 48% 45% 41% 36%
31% 29%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Generic Brand
Growing impact of high cost medicines and new technologies
Treatment for Lymphoma
R2.2m (7 month course)
Treatment for melanoma or lung cancer
R1.4m (6 month course)
High cost medicines entering the market
13 ULTRA-HIGH COST
CLAIMANTS 89 ULTRA-HIGH
COST CLAIMANTS
Increasing incidence of ultra high-cost medicine
2008 2015
R1,22 million
R4 030
PER ULTRA-HIGH COST CLAIMANT
AVERAGE COST PER CLAIMANT
11
Oncology medicine prices on a steep upward curve
12
-
500,000.00
1,000,000.00
1,500,000.00
2,000,000.00
2,500,000.00
2005 - 2010 2011 - 2014 2015 - 2016
*Some product prices have since been negotiated down
Oncology products submitted for funding consideration
By 2020, high cost medicine spend is predicted to cost R2.57 billion per year
13
Real increase in spend on high cost drugs – PLPM
18.02
21.62
27.50
31.10 31.75 33.53
36.83
42.09
45.17
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
150% growth in 8 years FORECAST
417
1,554
2,574
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
ACTUAL
HCM spend - Actual and predicted by 2020
Disparity in pricing between public and private sectors leads to funding challenges for medical schemes
14
R 1,062
R 41
R 24,291
R[VALUE]
12x
R 16,822
R 7,950
Note: *State bid price for 2014
Trastuzumab* Private Sector Public Sector
2x Rituximab
Imatinib 24x
AGENDA
Discovery Health’s initiatives to manage medicine expenditure 3
Key trends in the SA pharmacy and medicine industry 2
1 Current operating environment for schemes
15
16
Discovery Health’s strategic approach to managing medicine expenditure: maximise efficiency and create headroom to fund innovative medicines
Benefit design to ensure alignment of incentives 1
Continue to drive uptake of affordable generics 2
Increase supply chain efficiencies, reduce waste and fraud where possible 3
Bundled payments and innovative reimbursement strategies 4
17
Benefit design to align incentives
In 2015, 96.4% of members were funded in full from the Oncology Benefit
In 2015 98.9% of members were funded in full from the Specialised Medicine Technology Benefit (SMTB)
96.4%
2.8% 0.8%
Funded in full from benefit
Exceeded Core benefit (R200k limit)
Exceeded Comprehensive benefit (R400k limit)
98.9%
1.1%
Funded in full from benefit Exceeded R200k limit
Biosimilars are made available at prices of around 30% to 50% lower than their comparable biologic comparators
18
Estimated savings from EMA-approved biosimilars if available in SA
Product name Active ingredient
Eprex Epoeitin Alpha
Gentropin Somatropin
Humatrope Somatropin
Neupogen Filgrastim
R16 254 000 DHMS saving per
year out of total spend of
R54,18 million
Total Estimated
30% saving impact
Partnership approach across the medicine value chain
19
Price Negotiation Innovative Funding
• Expanded indication pricing • Pharmaceutical access programmes • Supply chain innovation
– Wholesaler fees – Parallel Importation – Designated Service Provider – Vial sizes – waste reduction – Reduce fraud
• Regulatory change – Maximum allowable SEP with flexibility
below this – Narrow public private price differentials – Single price for key medicine categories
• Outcomes based risk sharing models – Failed treatments – Incomplete courses
• Capped risk models – Patients – Dose per weight – Per ml billing
• Patient management programmes – Registries / Data – Services (monitoring)
• Cost off-set funding models
Innovative Reimbursement - IPASA Conference Dr Jonathan Broomberg – CEO Discovery Health September 2016