innovative future...aaron schacht evp –innovation, regulatory, & business development david...
TRANSCRIPT
-
Innovative Future
Aaron Schacht
Executive Vice President –
Innovation, Regulatory, &
Business Development
Elanco Investor Day 2020
-
Today’s Agenda
2
Racquel
Harris MasonEVP – Chief
Marketing Officer
Aaron SchachtEVP – Innovation,
Regulatory, & Business
Development
David UrbanekEVP – Manufacturing
& Quality
Jeff SimmonsPresident & Chief
Executive Officer
Todd YoungEVP – Chief Financial
Officer, Corporate
Governance, & Strategy
Elanco Today
Innovative Future
Maximizing the Portfolio
Focus on Productivity
Financial Outlook
Q&A
-
FocusSignificant Brands
Accretive to Growth
CorePortfolio Value
Drivers
DefendMaterial Brands,
Highly Profitable
Maximizing Value Of Current PortfolioInnovation
Internal Pipeline
External Innovation
Enabled by
Overall
Pricing Digital
Ecosystem
Omnichannel
Leadership
Geographic
Focus
2%-3% 2%-3%0%-1%
(1)%-(2)%
~3%-4%Long-Term
Contribution
to Average
Annual Total
Revenue
Growth
Growth: ~3%- 4% Average Annual Revenue Growth
3
Launch
Excellence
Note: All references to forward-looking financials are at constant currency, unless otherwise noted.
-
What You Can Expect from Today
4
A better
understandingof our innovation
capabilities and focus
areas
A clear
articulationof projected outputs
An
unprecedented
deep dive on Pet Health
parasiticides and
therapeutics
How market
dynamics guide our investment priorities
and pipeline structure
-
5
Focus in Relevant Areas of Need
3Technology Platforms
Increased from two to three by adding microbiome as a strategic platform in 2019
6Focus Innovation Categories
Reduced from 13 to six by 2018 to increase organizational focus and effectiveness
9R&D Sites
Consolidated over time to nine R&D sites with core competencies
U.S.Greenfield, IN
Shawnee, KS
Ft. Dodge, IA
EuropeBasel, CH
Monheim, DE
Cuxhaven, DE
APACYarrandoo, AUS
Manukau, NZ
Bangalore, IND
Parasiticides
Therapeutics
Vaccines
Pharmaceuticals
Nutritional Health
Vaccines
Pet Health Farm Animal
Biologicals
Microbiome
Chemistry
-
Pet Health Parasiticides, Therapeutics, and Poultry Vaccines Lead Industry Growth
PH growth has been
driven primarily by
parasiticides and
therapeutics
In FA, the bulk of
growth has come
from poultry
vaccines, while swine
has been a significant
industry ‘drain’
Aqua is growing fast
(~15%), but off a small
base
Global Industry Revenue Growth Trend, 2017-2019 xx Industry drivers xx Industry drains
Note: Elanco analysis based on Vetnosis, AnimalPharm, and other public and proprietary data sources
CategoryPH growth FA growth
Total CAGR ’17-’19Dog & Cat Ruminant Swine Poultry Aqua Other
Parasiticides +++ = = + = = +++ 6-7%
Vaccines + = - ++ = = ++ 3-4%
Anti-Infective = = - - = = = 0-1%
Therapeutics +++ - = = = = +++ 8-9%
Nutritionals = = = = = = = 2-3%
Other = - - = = = - -1-2%
Total +++ = -- ++ = = +++ 4-5%
CAGR, ‘17-’19 8-9% 0-1% -2-3% 5-6% ~15% 5-6%
6
-
Balanced R&D portfolio across phases given risk profile
Maturing later stage portfolio
Pet Health with high proportion of research, reflecting future innovation needs
By R&D Phase
7
Industry Dynamics Inform the Structure of Elanco’s Pipeline
By Category
Overall Pipeline Composition
FA Pharma and PH Thera/Para categories with most active
projects, followed by PH Parasiticides
Selective approach in Vaccines and FA Nutritional Health
FA Pharmaceuticals37%
FA Nutritional Health8%FA Vaccines
11%
PH Parasiticides
15%
PH Therapeutics
21%
PH Vaccines8%
# of Projects
# P
roje
cts
2616
25 30
35
16
1310
0
20
40
60
Research ExploratoryDevelopment
FullDevelopment
Submission
Farm Animal
Pet Health
-
Composition of R&D Investment
NME67%
LCM29%
Other4%
Funding Choices Take Risk Profile, Innovation Type, and Category Potential into Account
Higher investment in PH reflects market dynamics
NME development is primary driver in PH
FA more balanced between NME and LCM
Pet Health57%
Farm Animal
43%
Variable R&D Investment Dollars
By R&D phase By Business Area By Innovation Type
Research7%
Exploratory Development
17%
Full Development76%
Higher late-stage per project development cost
drives investment levels in full development
R&D fixed costs not reflected per project
8
Dedicated investment in NME’s with high
unmet need
Intentional LCM investment to grow brands
Other reflects platform and discovery
investments to secure future innovation
-
History of successfully
growing innovation brands
since IPO in 2018
9
A Proven History of Delivering Value Through Innovation
Slide 17 from Elanco 2020 Earnings – Third Quarter Presentation from November 6, 2020
Available at investor.elanco.com
Innovation delivered in
2021 as new baseline for
the future
Many of these products are
now represented as focus
products
-
10
Pet Health Farm Animal
12 Launch Equivalents / 20 shots on goal 15 Launch Equivalents / 25 shots on goal
3.1
1.7
2.8
2.9
5.0
2.9
1.3
3.2
2.1
Probabilistic Total Shots on Goal
1.3
1.7
2.6
4.0
3.0
2.7
2.3
1.4
1.0
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
Probabilistic Total Shots on Goal
Total
4-10
3-7
5-10
7-10
8
25+
Launch equivalents include:
NME launches in first major
geography
Novel combination products
Novel vaccines and microbials
Significant lifecycle/geographic
entries
Year of
Approval
Near-Term Opportunities Are Higher Probability Compared to Later Years, Reflecting
the Risk Resolution That Occurs as Projects Progress Through Development
2021-2025: 45 Opportunities to Deliver 25+ Launches
2021 – 2025: 25+ Launch Equivalents
-
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Development Pipeline Contribution to Revenue
Innovation to Deliver Dependable 2%-3% Revenue Contribution
$80-$100
$500-$600
Near-term Farm Animal
launches establish strong
foundation for growth
Significant Pet Health
products accelerate
growth in later years
CAGR estimates based on
2020 pro forma revenue of
$4.37-$4.40 billion
11
Pet Health Farm Animal
~2% CAGR
$ Millions
-
Our Expectations for Innovation
Investment
~8%-9%of annual net sales
10%-12%
pIRR
2025 Value
$500-$600Min baseline
probabilistic sales
Gross Margin
60%+on average on
pipeline assets
12
Customer Veterinarian
Farmer Pet Owner
pIRR represents the probabalized internal rate of return
-
2021 Farm Animal New Product Launches
Geography Market Size Launch Quarter
+
+
++
+++
Market Creation Q1 2021
Q1 2021
Q2 2021
Q1 2021
Q2 2021
Species
Cattle
Poultry
Poultry
13
Farm Animal Five New Launches
Product
Cattle
Swine
Description
Natural IL-10 antibody
with a novel MoA(3);
Suitable for RWA(4)
Injectable tulathromycin
antibiotic in BRD(1)/SRD(2)
Novel in feed technology
with environmental claim
Anticoccidial
Portfolio Expansion;
Suitable for RWA
(1) Bovine Respiratory Disease (2) Swine Respiratory Disease (3) Mode of Action (4) Raised Without Antibiotics (5) Intent to Announce Two RWA Products in Q1 2021
(5)
+ = up to $200M +++ = ≥$1B++ = $200M - $999M
Note: Elanco analysis based on Vetnosis, AnimalPharm, and other public and proprietary data sources
-
2021 Pet Health New Product Launches
Description Geography Market Size Launch Quarter
Oral Solution for Weight Loss
Management in CKD(1)+
Oral Monthly Flea/Tick++
Oral Monthly
Flea/Tick/Heartworm
+++ Q1 2021
Q2/Q3 2021
Q1 2021
+ = up to $200M +++ = ≥$1B++ = $200-$999M
14
Pet Health Three New Launches
SpeciesProduct
Dog
Cat
Cat
(1) Chronic Kidney Disease
Cat U.S.
Note: Elanco analysis based on Vetnosis, AnimalPharm, and other public and proprietary data sources
-
Expect to Launch Eight New Products in 2021
Farm Animal
Pet Health
One launch with blockbuster
potential
Total of $80-$100M, in-line with
long-term expectations of 2%-3%
annual growth
Multiple launches across species
and geographies
8New Product Launches
Revenue
$80M – $100M
(1)
(1) Raised Without Antibiotics 15
Cat U.S.
-
Market Overview: Pet Health Parasiticides
Category Size
History of market growth through innovation
Strong demand through high media spend
Increased customer access through diverse channels
Strong margin profile across all three sub-categories
Increasing competition due to market attractiveness
Market Attractiveness
$5.3bn
Endecto(2)
, $1.1B
Endo(3), $1.1B
Ecto(1), $3.0B
Elanco’s Innovation Focus Areas
Oral endecto~60% ~40%
U.S.
Novel mode of
action heartworm
prevention
Single dose,
season-long ecto
OTC-specific
innovation
1 2 3 4INT’L
Note: Elanco analysis based on Vetnosis, AnimalPharm, and other public and proprietary data sources
(1) Ectoparasiticides include products that are effective against external parasites (such as fleas and ticks)
(2) Endectoparasiticides include products that are effective against both external and internal parasites (such as intestinal worms or heartworms) in a single product
(3) Endoparasiticides include products that are effective against internal parasites16
$5.3B
-
Pet Health Parasiticide PipelineRobust Pipeline with Intention to Deliver One Parasiticide Innovation on Average Per Year Through 2025
17
Identifier Description Species Market FocusPeak Sales Opportunity
1 Credelio Pluslotilaner/mibemycin oxime
Oral Monthly
Flea/Tick/HeartwormDog
JP/EU/AUS
Veterinary
2 Credelio Catlotilaner
Oral Monthly Flea/Tick Cat U.S. Veterinary
3
4
5
3x Endecto(1) Assets• Flea/tick/heartworm
• Varied gastrointestinal parasite spectrum
Dog
Cat
Global
Veterinary
6
72x Extended Duration Ecto(2) Assets• 2 different forms
Dog
Cat
U.S. OTC
8
92x Novel MoA Endo(3) Assets• Different spectrums and novel mechanisms
DogGlobal
Veterinary
10
11
2x Season-Long Duration Novel Ecto Assets• Flea/tick efficacy
• Different delivery forms
DogGlobal
Veterinary
≥$100M$50-$99M$10-$49M
Regulatory
Events
2024
Submission
Range
(average of one
per year)
Total of 11 parasiticides
assets with regulatory
events by 2025
Five projects with
regulatory events
between 2021-2024, with
an average of one per
year expected
Attractive future market
categories well-covered
with multiple shots on goal
(1) Endectoparasiticides include products that are effective against both, external and internal parasites in a single product
(2) Ectoparasiticides include products that are effective against external parasites (such as fleas and ticks)
(3) Endoparasiticides include products that are effective against internal parasites
Table represents total shots on goal, based on current pipeline
and does not account for expected attrition. Peak sales
opportunity is deterministic considering all shots on goal.
2020
2021
Approved (JP)
Launch
2020
2021
Approved
Launch
-
Market Overview: Pet Health Dermatology
Category Size Market Attractiveness
Zoetis~70% Elanco
~13%
Virbac~5%
$1.2B
~62% ~38%
U.S.
Other ~12%
Relatively underdeveloped market with strong growth history and more upside potential
Top four reasons for a vet consultation is dermatology (not considering preventive care)(1)
Historical success based on amelioration of symptoms (itch, inflammation)
Almost purely incremental opportunity for Elanco, outside of Atopica and otitis externa
Dominated by two products, offered by a single company
Elanco’s Innovation Focus Areas
Diversity in mode of action and type of
molecule (small molecule/biologic)
Itch/inflammation relief and
disease modification
1 2
Note: Elanco analysis based on Vetnosis, AnimalPharm, and other public and proprietary data sources
INT’L
(1) Vet Practice Report April 2015
18
-
Regulatory
Events
Pet Health Therapeutics Pipeline Development of Diversified Dermatology Assets and Specialized Cat Portfolio
19
Identifier Description SpeciesMarket Focus
Peak Sales Opportunity
1 Eluracapromorelin
Oral Solution for Weight Loss
Management in CKD(1)Cat
U.S.
Veterinary
2 1x Transdermal Post-Operative Pain Asset CatU.S.
Veterinary
3
4
5
3x Oral Anti-Inflammatory Assets• Differentiated assets with diverse MoAs(2)
- Atopic dermatitis/pruritis
- Allergy/inflammation
- Pruritis/inflammation
DogGlobal
Veterinary
6 Oral Cat Asset• Anemia associated with CKD(1)
CatGlobal
Veterinary
7
82x Injectable Monoclonal Antibody Assets Dog
Global
Veterinary
Total of eight pet
therapeutics assets with
regulatory events by 2025
Six therapeutic assets
with planned
submissions between
2022 and 2025
Robust dermatology
pipeline with oral anti-
inflammatory and
injectable monoclonal
antibody products
2020
2021
2022
Approved
Launch
Submission
Submission
Range
(average of
one per year)
2025
Portfolio Enhancements
(1) Chronic Kidney Disease
Table represents total shots on goal, based on current pipeline
and does not account for expected attrition. Peak sales
opportunity is deterministic considering all shots on goal.
≥$100M$50-$99M$10-$49M
(2) Mode of Action
-
20
Farm Animal Focuses on Driving Customer Outcomes in High-Value Areas
Technology Platforms Small Molecules, Biological Agents, Microbiome
Identify Customer Needs
Focus on un-met needs or dissatisfaction in large, addressable spaces
Leverage Core Strengths
Technology platforms
Portfolio enhancements
Enter new categories
Create New Platforms
Replace older technology
Revolutionize the space
-
Farm Animal PipelineWell-Stocked Pipeline with Breadth and Depth to Support Core Species
21
Identifier Description Species Market FocusPeak Sales Opportunity
1 Experiorlubabegron
Novel In-Feed Technology with
Environmental ClaimCattle
U.S., CAN
Livestock
2 Increxxatulathromycin
Injectable Tulathromycin for
BRD(1)/SRD(2)Cattle
SwineGlobal Livestock
3 CosabodyIL-10
Nutritional Solution with Novel
MOA(3)
Poultry
Global Livestock
4 Anticoccidial Portfolio Expansion. Suitable for RWA(4)
U.S. Livestock5
50+ Total Projects• Parasiticides
• Therapeutics
• Nutritionals
• Vaccines
• OtherVarious
Species,
Incl. Aqua
Various Markets
40+ Total Projects• Parasiticides
• Therapeutics
• Nutritionals
• Vaccines
Regulatory
Events
Full
Development
& Submission
Five launches in 2021,
including breakthrough
innovation, anti-infectives
and anti-coccidials
>90 additional projects in
Farm Animal, including early
development and research
Diverse array of assets,
spanning cattle, poultry,
swine, and aqua, as well as
all focus innovation areas
2021
Approved Launch
EU
Early
Development
& Research
Portfolio Enhancements
Peak Range
(2) Swine Respiratory Disease(1) Bovine Respiratory Disease (3) Mode of Action (4) Raised Without Antibiotics
≥$100M$50-$99M$10-$49MTable represents total shots on goal, based on current pipeline
and does not account for expected attrition. Peak sales
opportunity is deterministic considering all shots on goal.
-
22
Research Platforms at Elanco – Pioneering Next Generation Products
Biopharma Microbiome Chemistry
Biotherapeutics
Rationally Engineered Vaccines
RNA/DNA delivered Biologics
1
2
3
Microbiome Modulation
Microbial Delivery Platforms
Microbes and Drug Discovery
4
5
6
Parasiticides
Therapeutics
7
8
Innovation
Novel Actives
Products
-
Elanco Innovation ModelInternal R&D Complemented by External Initiatives
R&D Technology Licenses
Product
Development
Licenses/
Collaboration
Product/Platform
Joint Ventures Commercial Alliances
Submission/
ApprovalResearch
Product
Development
Exploratory
Development
Launch/
Commercialization/
Lifecycle
Molecule Licenses
External Innovation Ventures
Out-License
of Lotilaner for
Human Indications
License of KIND 030
Complement
& Supplement
Core R&D
Pipeline
Growth
External
Internal
~2%3%
Elanco Connected
Care Strategy
Capture
Additional
Value
from Elanco
Innovation
Provide
Entry Points
into New
Platforms
Categories
Alliances
1
2
3
23
-
24
InnovationTakeaways
Annual innovation contribution of 2%-3% revenue growth, with 60%+
gross margin and IRR of 10%-12%
Strong start in 2021: Eight expected launches, delivering $80-$100M
Compelling pipeline transparency, pursuing high-value targets in
parasiticides, dermatology, and Farm Animal
Clear growth areas allow for targeted investment, leading to $500-
$600M in new product revenue in 2025
Robust innovation capabilities, leveraging best talent and assets
from a decade of transformation
Dependable 2%-3% Annual Revenue Growth from Innovation