infrastruktur för förnybar energi hur stor blir omställningen och vad
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Infrastruktur för förnybar energi hur stor blir omställningen och vad krävs för att facilitera den? Mikael Odenberger Affiliation : Chalmers University of Technology Energy and Environment, Division of Energy Technology Sweden. Example: Germany load from transmission system. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Infrastruktur för förnybar energihur stor blir omställningen och vad krävs för att facilitera den?
Mikael Odenberger
Affiliation:Chalmers University of TechnologyEnergy and Environment, Division of Energy TechnologySweden
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Difference in vertical grid load 2012-2010 Difference in PV/wind 2012-2010
During 1,5 week in July
Example: Germany load from transmission system
Source: TenneT, web
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0
2000
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100001 27 53 79 105
131
157
183
209
235
261
287
313
339
365
391
417
443
469
495
521
547
573
599
625
651
677
703
729
755
781
807
833
859
885
911
937
963
989
1015
1041
1067
1093
MW
(per
15
min
)
Difference in vertical grid load 2012-2010 Difference in PV/wind 2012-2010
During 1,5 week in July
Example: Germany load from transmission system
Source: TenneT, web
Large scale introduction of intermittent power - possibilitiesSupply Demand
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1st Jan 1st April 1st July 1st Oct 31st Dec
GWh/
hour
Load
Variable generation
Regulated/DispatchableTransmission
Balance
TradeSt
orag
e
Stor
age
DSM
Key considerations• Demand response
– load shifting, load shedding…
• Trade between regions– Bottle necks and nested networks
• Distribution system and transmission system– Energy exports and/or balancing
• Linking sectors– Poly generation, Bio-refineries, EVs and PHEVs...
• Market design – “Low” electricity prices (RES support) vs High prices (ban of fossil)– Decreasing load hours thermal power plants
• What future?– Sweden/Nordic vs EU/Global
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1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
TWh
- Low EUA prices- No additional policy instruments- Low availability in non-renew(or phase-out)
- Very high EUA prices- Common EU renewable support- New non-renewable capacity- Declining demand
- Higher EUA prices- Renewable electricity targets
Including new interconnectors
Only existing interconnectors
The future for Sweden and the Nordic region depend on others
NEPP, 2012Export/Import to continental Europe (Exchange with Russia not included)
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2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Ele
ctric
ity g
ener
atio
n [T
Wh]
Year
Hydro
Nuclear
Lignite
Hard coal
Gas
biomass & waste New Wind
New Gas
Nuclear reinvestments
Wind
New Biomass
Coal-Bio CCS cofire
Lig-bio CCS cofire
PV
New Others
Example EU-27 (+Norway & Switzerland)(cf. Energy Roadmap 2050 “High Energy Efficiency”–scenario)40% CO2 reduction by 2020 & 99% by 2050 relative 1990
Existing power p
lants
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2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Ele
ctric
ity g
ener
atio
n [T
Wh]
Year
Hydro
Nuclear
Lignite
Hard coal
Gas
biomass & waste
New Wind
New Gas
Hydro replacements
Nuclear reinvestments
Wind
New Biomass
Peat
New Others
Demand
Nordic region