influenza introduction
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Influenza
Seasonal and Pandemic
EPID 8500
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Lessons Learned formPast Pandemics
First outbreaks March 1918 in Europe, USA Highly contagious, but not deadly
Virus traveled between Europe/USA on troopships
Land, sea travel to Africa, Asia
Warning signal was missed
August, 1918 simultaneous explosiveoutbreaks in in France, Sierra Leone, USA 10-fold increase in death rate
Highest death rate ages 15-35 years Cytokine Storm?
Deaths from primary viral pneumonia, secondarybacterial pneumonia
Deaths within 48 hours of illness
Coincident severe disease in pigs
20-40 million killed in less than 1 year World War I 8.3 million military deaths over 4
years
25-35% of the world infected
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Pandemics are unpredictable
Mortality, severity of illness, pattern of spread A sudden, sharp increase in the need for medical care
will always occur
Capacity to cause severe disease in nontraditionalgroups is a major determinant of pandemic impact
Epidemiology reveals waves of infection Ages/areas not initially infected likely vulnerable in future
waves
Subsequent waves may be more severe 1918- virus mutated into more virulent form
1957 schoolchildren spread initial wave, elderly died insecond wave
Public health interventions delay, but do not stoppandemic spread Quarantine, travel restriction show little effect
Does not change population susceptibility
Delay spread in Australia
later milder strain causesinfection there
Temporary banning of public gatherings, closing schoolspotentially effective in case of severe disease and highmortality
Delaying spread is desirable Fewer people ill at one time improve capacity to cope with
sharp increase in need for medical care
Lessons Learned formPast Pandemics
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Timeline of EmergenceInfluenza A Viruses in Humans
1918 1957 1968 1977 1997
1998/9
2003
H1
H1
H3
H2
H7
H5H5
H9
Spanish
Influenza
H1N1
Asian
Influenza
H2N2
Russian
Influenza
Avian
Influenza
Hong
Kong
Influenza
H3N2
2009
H1
Reassorted Influenza virus
(Swine Flu)
1976 Swine Flu
Outbreak, Ft. Dix
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Swine Influenza A(H1N1)Mexico Epidemic Curve Confirmed, by Day
4
5961
75
128127
148
126
112
90
168
22 4
217
214
20 1
176
199
22 1
27 0
29 0
40 0
38 5
30 9
26 2
15
310
76
3122
14 1014
4138
4276500 234210 3322111211017
38
122
186
77
158
92
6965
85
7176
595052
4136
3137
2933
2025
816
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Day
No.ofConfirmedCases
Source: Secretaria de Salud, Mexico
Total Number of Confirmed Cases = 6,241*
As of June 09, 2009
*NOTE: 54 confirmed cases not included
Epidemiological Alert
School Closure
Suspension of Non-essential Activities
School Open
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Influenza Epidemic in the US
2008 - 2009
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Epidemic in Georgia
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All Respiratory InfectionsUniversity Health Center, UGA
2005 - 2009
Feb 2005Feb 2006
Feb 2007
Feb 2008
Aug 2009
Aug 2007
Aug 2006Aug 2005Aug 2008
R Forehand, MD
Medical Director UHC
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0
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70
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6/17/09 6/24/09 7/1/09 7/8/09 7/15/09 7/22/09 7/29/09 8/5/09 8/12/09 8/19/09 8/26/09 9/2/09 9/9/09 9/16/0
Diagnosis=Influenzaor
ILI
Influenza-like IllnessUGA University Health Center
through Sep 16, 2009
First H1N1 rRT-PCR positive patient
occurred on June 17,2009
R Forehand, MD
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Influenza Transmission
Transmitted through respiratory route
Cough, sneezing, talking
Transmitted through direct and indirect contact with
respiratory secretions Caring for patient
Inanimate objects
Infectious for up to 24 hours before ill
30% of cases asymptomatic
Incubation period 1 4 days
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Reproductive Rate (R0)
Estimated R0:
1918 Influenza R0 = 1.8 - 4
1957 Influenza R0 = 1.9 - 2.1
1968 Influenza R0 = 1.89
How transmissible is this virus likely to be?
Epidemic : R0 >1
Epidemic H1N1: R0 = 1.4 at UGA
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UGA H1N1 Projected Epidemic
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Influenza Virus - Morphology
Virus are usually roughly spherical Viral genome is composed of eight segments of
single-stranded RNA
Each of which has to be present for successful
replication
Segmented genome is enclosed within an outer
lipoprotein envelop
Antigenic protein called matrix protein (MP 1)
which lines the inside of the envelope and is
chemically bound to the RNA
The envelop contains two highly important glycoproteins (protruding spikes) which
form a characteristic halo of projections
Neuraminidase (NA) of which there are 9 major antigenic types
Haemagglutinin (HA) of which there are 15 major antigenic types
http://www.chemsoc.org/exemplarchem/entries/2001/sanderson/immunology.htm
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Overview of Proteins HA, mediates binding to cellular receptors (sialic acid moieties)
NA, cleaves sialic acid, having a critical role in progeny virus release from host cells
M2, is an ion channel involved in viral entry and exit
The virus encodes two proteins excluded from virions: NS1 and PB1-F2.
NS1, blocks innate antiviral responses and contributes to viral gene expression
PB1-F2, functions remain to be firmly established; it appears to have an important
role in pathogenicity
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Haemagglutinin trimeric protein
Copyright Linda M Stannard, 1995.
The envelop contains two types of protruding spikes,which form a characteristic halo of projections
i. Neuraminidase (NA) of which there are 9 major
antigenic types
ii. Haemagglutinin (HA) of which there are 13
major antigenic types
Haemagglutinin functions during attachment of the
virus particle to the membrane of epithelial cells in the
upper respiratory tract
Lipoprotein bilayer envelope makes the virus rather
unstable susceptible to heat, drying, detergents and
solvents
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Life cycle of influenza virus - replication
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Antigenic Drift antigenic evolution natural mutations
occur that result in the accumulation ofamino acid substitutions in HA
RNA polymerase error-prone, no
proofreading function
the immune response to HA is critical in
virus neutralization
Small changes in HA can lead to loss ofimmune recognition
HA (side view) HA (top view)
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Influenza Virus Natural host
Three type of influenza viruses A,B and C
only types A and B cause
widespread outbreaks
Infuenza A viruses are classified
into subtypes based on antigenic
differences between their two
surface glycoproteins
Heamagglutinin (H1 H15)
Neuraminidase (N1 N9)
Only H1-3,and N1,N2 have
established stable lineages in human
populations since 1918
Only 1 subtype of NA and 1 of HA
are identified for influenza B viruses
Nicholson et al. 2003. The Lancet; Vol. 362
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Antigenic Shift
Antigenic shift, occurs when an entirely
new virus is introduced into the human
population from the animal reservoir.
Reassortment of viral genes occurs when
there are multiple viruses that infect the
same cell.
Segments from each of the viruses infecting
the same cell can be mixed and matched and
repackaged into new viruses
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Swine: The Viral Mixing Pot
S i l f I fl Vi
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Source: Bean B, et al. JID 1982;146:47-51
Survival of Influenza VirusSurfaces and Affect of Humidity & Temperature*
Hard non-porous surfaces 24-48 hours Plastic, stainless steel
Recoverable for > 24 hours
Transferable to hands up to 24 hours
Cloth, paper & tissue
Recoverable for 8-12 hours
Transferable to hands 15 minutes
Viable on hands
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Influenza Diagnosis Viral Culture
Respiratory secretions collected within 3 days of illness
Cultured in embryonated eggs or tissue culture
Viral growth occurs in 2 3 days
Viral typing
Antigen Detection Methods Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) or immunofluorescence
Available in clinical setting within hours
Sensitivity and specificity low
Antibody Detection Methods 4-fold increase in antibodies in serum
ELISA, complement fixation tests, hemagglutination
inhibition
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Immunity to Swine Flu-H1N1
The immune response comprised of innateand adaptive immunity.
Innate immune system plays an essentialrole in limiting viral replication in the firstdays of infection.
Adaptive immunity includes the inductionof B and T cell responses.
Three IAV proteins elicit robust antibodyresponses during infection: NP, NA and HA.
M2 is less immunogenic, but is a promisingtarget for cross-protective vaccination,since its short extracellular target domain ishighly conserved
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Neutralizing Antibody Titers Against the 2009 Pandemic H1N1 Virus among
Serum Donors, According to Birth Decade (18802000)
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Hayden, F. G. N Engl J Med 2006;354:785-788
M2 Blockers (Adamantanes)
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Hayden, F. G. N Engl J Med 2006;354:785-788
M2 Blockers
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Moscona, A. N Engl J Med 2005;353:1363-1373
Neuraminidase Inhibitors
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Influenza Reporting
WHO and National Respiratory and Enteric VirusSurveillance System
125 collaborating laboratories
US and international
122 Cities Mortality Reporting system Count deaths from pneumonia
State and Territorial Epidemiologist
Sporadic, Regional, Widespread
US Sentinel Physicians Surveillance Network 260 physicians throughout the country voluntarily
report cases to CDC
Global Distribution of Reported Cumulative Laboratory Confirmed Cases of
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Global Distribution of Reported Cumulative Laboratory Confirmed Cases of
Swine Influenza A(H1N1) by Countries, June 11, 2009 (14:00 GMT)
Source: WHO
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Influenza Vaccines
Inactivated influenza A vaccine Contains 4 different strains
H1N1 (2009), H1N1 (1977), H3N2, Influenza B
Virus is killed Cannot transmit, mutate, or cause influenza in vaccinee
Injected, intramuscular
Single dose in adults, 2 does to children(immunologically nave)
Given annually
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Influenza Vaccines
Live-attenuated vaccines Contains 4 strains of influenza virus
H1N1, H3N2, Influenza B
Cold adapted live influenza viruses Infect humans
Produce infection (temperature regulated) but not
disease (attenuated)
Theoretical concerns about mutation to virulent virus
Nasal inhalation
Given annually
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Vaccine Efficacy
Vaccine Efficacy Comments
Inactivated 70 90% Laboratory
confirmed illness
Cold-adapted Live 85 92% Influenza
Vaccine Efficacy
- Underlying population studied
- Match between vaccine and circulating virus
- Type of endpoint used, e.g., laboratory-
confirmed disease, influenza-like illness,
hospitalization, death
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Influenza Vaccine
Vaccine Production
Virus grown on chorioallantoic membranes of
embryonated eggs
Allantoic fluids are ultracentrifuged to collect viralparticles
Inactivated by formaldehyde and processed to
ensure stability and sterility Titre antigen levels and assess antigenicity
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Influenza Vaccine
Vaccine Production
In January each year, WHO reviews the circulating
strains of influenza in Northern and Southern
hemispheres
Data collected through global surveillancenetwork
The most likely epidemic strain(s) are selected
Seed lots of virus are distributed to manufacturers Manufacturers produce vaccine in eggs and test,
license, package, and distribute by October
250 million doses produced each year
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Influenza Vaccine
Vaccine Strategy
Old approach to vaccinate children and adults,
those at greatest risk for severe or disease
complications New approach to vaccinate those who are likely to
transmit infection including healthy children and
adults.
See current CDC Website
http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/pdf/rr/rr5908.pdf
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Vaccine Efficacy
A single 15g dose of
unadjuvanted 2009 H1N1
vaccineresulted in titers
of 1:40 or more on
hemagglutination-
inhibitionassay in 96.7%
of adult subjects
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Vaccine Efficacy
Reverse cumulative-
distribution curves of
antibody titers in serum
samples obtained on day
21 after first dosing of 7.5
g of MF59-adjuvanted
vaccine
40
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Signature Features of Influenza Pandemics
Three previous influenza pandemics
A/H1N1 from 1918 -1919, A/H2N2 from
1957 -1963, and A/H3N2 from 1968 1970
Past pandemics were characterized by:
1) shift in the virus subtype
2) shift of the highest death rates in elderly
to younger populations
3) successive pandemic waves
4) higher transmissibility than that of
seasonal influenza
5)differences in impact in differentgeographic regions
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Prevention: Exposure/Infection
Social Interventions:
Restrictions on travel A 90%, 99%, or 99.9% reduction in
imported infections might delay the peakof a pandemic by 1.5, 3, or 6 weeksrespectively
Border Restrictions unlikely to delay
spread of virus more then 2-3 weeksunless more than 99% effective(Ferguson, N. et al. 2006. Nature.)
School or workplace closures
School closure during the peak of apandemic can reduce peak attack rates
by up to 40%, but has little impact onoverall attack rates
(Ferguson, N. et al. 2006. Nature.)
Restrictions of Mass Public Gatherings
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Unconventional and Untested
Approach to Influenza Protection