industrial microgrids planning including different time …...• without microgrid: time of return...
TRANSCRIPT
In collaboration with Decube Consult, IDEA and UMONS
Industrial microgrids planning including different time horizons and all stakeholders by the use of game theory
Charline Stevanoni, Electrical Power Engineering UnitSupervisor: Prof. Olivier Deblecker, Co-supervisor: Prof. François Vallée
Organisation
Stakeholders
Consumers: industrial or
offices companies
Prosumers: consumers withtheir own RES
DSO: Distribution System Operator
IEO: IndustrialEstate Owner (e.g.
IDEA)
Aggregator = manager of the microgrid• Management of data forecasting (consumption and production)• Management of the microgrid operation (internal exchanges and
exchanges between the microgrid and the distribution network)
Multi-time horizon planning
Long-terminvestments
Short-termmanagement
Week-ahead
Day-ahead
MicrogridOperation
LoadManagement
Combination of the different time horizons and their connection
Data modelling
Data pre-processing
Pricing definition
Long-termExtensive
Game
Scenario definition
Week-aheaddecisions and contracts W
Day-ahead decisions and
contracts D: Short-term extensive
game
LoadMana-
gement
Microgrid operation Deviation
NPVn for long-termextensive game:
Equilibrium
Year =1
Day =1
Day =7
Year =Ytot
Stakeholder Objectives
DSO
Sign of profit:> or = 0
• Decreasing transmission costs, even if there is less energy transiting in the distribution network
• Maintaining or improving the quality of electricity in the distribution system and in the microgrid and ensuring their stability
Prosumers/Consumers
Sign of profit: > 0
• Reducing of the difference between the current purchasing price of electricity to supply their needs and selling price of the excess of electricity produced
• Improving their self-consumption (for the prosumers)• Decreasing the amount of electricity exchanged with the distribution system
IEO
Sign of profit: <, = or > 0
• Optimizing the proper operation of the microgrid by promoting the RESs• Providing a social and global welfare• Developing the industrial estate by luring new companies thanks to attractive
prices of electricity
Multi-agent and multi-objective problem
Prosumer 1
Prosumer k
Prosumer 2
.
.
.
IEO
InternalMarket
Aggregator = DSOExternalMarket
Distribution Network
Industrial microgrid
TSO + taxes
Flexibiliy
Management & pricing
RES+ storage
RES+ storage
Interaction model
Flowchart of the long-term planning tool
Outputs of the tool
NPV global over the 20 years and their evolution over the years:• NPV if the situation doesn’t change (𝑁𝑃𝑉𝑛,0 )• NPV with investments but without microgrid (𝑁𝑃𝑉𝑛,𝑖𝑛𝑣)• NPV with microgrid which correponds to the equilibrium
of the long-term game (𝑁𝑃𝑉𝑛,𝑚𝑔 ) Results of a load flow for a technical analysis Number of days with load managament for each consumer/prosumer
and profiles with and without load management All exchanges without microgrid All exchanges inside the microgrid and between the microgrid and the
distribution system Metrics in order to analyse the performances of the microgrid
𝑁𝑃𝑉𝑛 = 𝜌𝑛𝐿𝑇 +
𝑌=1
𝑌𝑡𝑜𝑡
𝑑=1
365
h=1
24𝜌𝑛𝑆𝑇
1 + 𝑟 𝑌
Objective function
With:𝑁𝑃𝑉𝑛,𝑚𝑔: Net Present Value, payoff of the
long-term game for a stakeholder 𝑛
𝜌𝑛𝐿𝑇 : cost of the long-term investments
(negative value)
𝜌𝑛𝑆𝑇 : difference between the short-term
incomes and expenses (exchanges of energy), cumulated payoff of the short-term games
• Prosumer 2 : Investment in a PV installation at year 1
• Without microgrid: Time of return on investment ≈ 8 years
• With microgrid: Time of return on investment ≈ 6 years
• Prosumer 1 (who already has a PV installation)
• No investment at year 1 : 𝑁𝑃𝑉𝑛,0 = 𝑁𝑃𝑉𝑛,𝑖𝑛𝑣
• Benefits thanks to the microgrid operation !
Game Theory
“Game theory is a concept which allows for describing and analyzing different dealings among agents who need to take decisions to fulfill their own objectives. It involves using the interaction between them
to optimize their respective objectives.“
. . . . . .
. . . . . .
Player 2
Player Ntot
a11 a1m1
a21
aNtot1
a2m2
aNtotmtot
(ρ1(τ1), … , ρ𝑁𝑡𝑜𝑡(τ1)) (ρ1(τtot), … , ρ𝑁𝑡𝑜𝑡(τtot))
Player 1
. . .
Player 2a21 a2m2
. . .
Player Ntot
aNtot1aNtotmtot
τ = 1 τ= τ totτ = 2
Nash equilibrium=
global solution suchthat, if any player
would change its decision, the risk of weakening the global
solution would increase
Extensive Game
Payoff attached by each player to the corresponding combination of decisions τtot
Illustrations (aggregator =DSO)
Context and planning problem definition
Planning tool
• Aggregator
• Lower NPV if only investments of prosumers (without microgrid)
• Benefits thanks to the microgrid operation(new pricing and exchanges between prosumersinside the microgrid)